Will WEED break the triangle?Since the last update WEED has been correcting within the triangle that I had defined, slowly making its way down and bouncing really hard off the upward trend line, taking it to the top of the triangle and closing on the 61.8% Fibonacci retrace. There is some resistance at this point as it will try to break its way out of the triangle for confirmation of a bullish signal if we can close somewhere around 30.50. We are not overbought on the 4H RSI and are now using the EMA20 as support and keep in mind that the EMA50 is about the cross over the EMA20 which is also a bullish signal, so hopefully we can close above the triangle and head towards new resistance at around 31 and then 32.
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Acmpr
Still in the triangle, rejected at the 50MA.As we successfully came back into the triangle, but got rejected below the downward trend line, respecting the 50 day moving average as resistance. It has now re-traced back to the 61.8% Fibonacci line, where it sits with indecision as I write this. There is some light support that is now holding us, but it won't take much volume in the wrong direction to see a re-test of the 200 day moving average, where it we can see some more serious support.
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CMED fell through triangle, nothing to bounce off.CMED has joined WEED in it's journey through the triangle, looking for any support it can get at the 200 day moving average. Continuing downward, a re-test of 28.00 and further are likely. I have indicated any remaining support or possible rebound zones.
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Broke upward trend line and fallen out of the triangle.We have officially fallen below the upward trend line and out the triangle, stopping right at the 50% Fibonacci retrace, which was to be expected. From here, there is not much left for support. We could bounce and come back into the channel, but a re-test of ~23.75 is more likely, and subsequently a re-test of the 38.2% Fib if support cannot be found there.
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WEED bounced off upward trend line, can it hold 200MA?After the correction and a trace all the way down to 25.34, we can see that it closed twice right on the current upward trend line and bounced. It is currently holding above, in the support and resistance channels that I have drawn on the 4H. Conviction does not look very high however, as it was looking to come back down again, but it got rejected just above the trend line. Hopefully we can close and keep it above the 200 day moving average, but a retest of the upward trend line or new support is definitely possible.
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WEED holds support at the MA50? So much sideways chop!There is a a lot of choppy sideways movement going on with WEED right now that I wasn't expecting and it invalidated the temp upward trend that looked promising.. I was really hoping that we could confirm three points, but we are now looking to hold support around the 50 day moving averages. We are still way above the 200 day moving average. We can see that it keeps getting reject at the support zone at 31.40 quite nicely, looking like we will close with green candle above support, between the current channel.
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Will LEAF cross the upward trend?MedAs we can see, TSX:LEAF is approaching the wedge, where the upward trend line meets the current downward. There is where it will have to find support. The drop after the hearing that nearly lost, didn't help the situation. Hopefully we can see a reversal at that point.
Aurora bounced off resistance, but faces heavy resistance.We can see that TSX:ACB just can't seem to keep volume or momentum. Although it had traced all the way back down to the .618 Fibonacci retrace, where it finally found some support and did a little bounce, but there is now heavy resistance it will have to face at 10.60. It is following the temporary downward trend line, indicated by the dotted green line, coming to a triangle where the upward trend line meets current support at ~9.57. We can confirm some new light support if the next couple candles close at somewhere around, or above 10.00.
Support for WEED moving up.As we can see, TSX:WEED buyer volume opened strong and we have been able to turn the previous resistance line into support, after closing 5 times above the previous line on the 4H chart. That double re-test right before this jump into the next Fibonacci zone, created some seriously heavy support and falling below that any time soon will be unlikely unless something drastic happens. We did see a bit of a dip after breaking resistance, which is usual, but right now we are just consolidating along the 61.8% retrace and holding support nicely. If we don't re-test 32.50, let's see if we can work our way up to ~34.33.
Aurora didn't even get high and still needs support.Aurora didn't get as high as the other stocks, rather ending the last few days in the red. Forcing me to remove the previous support I was worried about, as well as the possible new upward trend line, replacing it with a dotted green temp downtrend line. It didn't recover well from that broken neck. There wasn't much of a shadow and the candle closed almost full red, indicating that we may still be headed in that direction. We will probably see 10.80 and possibly 10.50, as we closed below all three MACD's according to Bill Williams.
Today WEED closed at +4.20%. Not only is that hilarious, but it is a step in the right direction for sure. We tried to smoke our way past resistance, but it looks as though we couldn't quite do it, stumbling back down into the support channel. Confirmation above the MACD's on Monday will allow is to move the support up to 31.40 and possibly 31.85 if it opens bullish. That huge red shadow on the closing candle is something that we should look out for and may lead to a re-test of ~31.05, but there is some very good support as we have confirmed twice strong at that line, as you can see by my beautiful chicken scratch black circles. Hopefully it took everything the bears had to keep us blow that resistance level, and we can start to increase our positions.
New heavy support, upward consolidation.On this Friday's chart, you can see that we have bounced off the light support line and closed above to a nice little upward consolidation right in the middle of the channel. The main support at 18.66 is now confirmed as heavy support. Today's final candle closed with a slight green hammer, which could indicate a positive Monday open, taking us towards 18.69. If we can't bring in some volume however, this could turn into a giant bull flag, and stop loss should be in place at ~18.70.
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Time to WEED out the bears.So as we can see, there was a nice positive consolidation between the current support and resistance channel, with quite strong buyer volume all day long. This has formed somewhat of a bull flag. There is a good possibility that we will re-test resistance again, however, this is somewhat necessary to confirm the third point for a new possible upward trend line. There was zero green shadow on the closing candle, with high green volume. Tomorrow will probably push above resistance, but as I said, may not close above. If it closes into the 78.6% retrace, we will be inherently safe at 31.00.
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Broke my neck.. looking for some support.Stocks are the only time breaking your neck can be a good thing. But it is usually scary for a bit afterwards. Some big volume came in and sent us shooting right past the 78.6% retrace, but right back down again as volume petered off and we look for support. Today did close with a minuscule green candle, sporting a small shadow. This could mean we might test the somewhat weak support level at 11.80, possibly falling where the MACD13 hits this line. If it goes below there, we are most likely going to test ~10.90 lightly. Let's hope it bounces off current support, consolidates along the 78.6% as it re-tests the zone it shot past earlier, and then up towards 13.10.
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CMED estabishing some higher support..After some new money came in, sending the price upward of 14% in a 6 day period, CMED pulled back a little pulling up and over some resistance at ~39.80. Friday proved to be almost a complete day of indecision with volume high and in the red. This could be from possible whale activity, taking that quick profit that came along with last weeks upswing. What we need to see to confirm support in the current resistance window, indicated by the dotted and dashed red lines, is that we close in or above the area where the 5 and 8 MACD's meet the temporary dotted, green upward trend line. This will give us a third point of confirmation for the new upward trend line. If it closes below, re-tests 37.60 - 36.55 are most likely.
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Well, That was a reLEAFAlthough there was an indication that it was going to re-test support as I mentioned, it retraced further than expected, but it respected the heavy support line drawn on the previous chart. Support remains the same, however, new support and resistance lines have also been established to indicate new windows. We closed today with a green indecision candle, so we cannot assume that it will for surely go up on Monday. If we do bounce off of this support line, we should be headed back up to where the MACD's cross resistance. If it drops down below, we may see a re-test as low as 18.00, but hopefully the bulls catch at 18.35.
How's the WEED?For a brief time we crossed resistance, but retraced and are now keeping in line with the support and resistance channel that has being tested and is currently consolidating. For the time being, the support line has been moved up, although keep an eye out or have a stop loss somewhere just below, maybe ~30.50. This is due to a slightly looming green shadow that was cast earlier this morning. Luckily it never formed a head and shoulders and held support quite nice. Hopefully this consolidation can take us in the right direction.
Do you beLEAF this?Over the past few days, we can see that LEAF has been trailing it's rivals slightly, although it is strange that we didn't see more of a consistent breakout, considering we just saw a head and shoulders pattern, followed by a bull flag. It seems as though we might see a retest of the 32.8% fib retrace line to confirm a bullish trend.
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Aurora's neck is broken. Indecision Volume.Sometimes breaking your neck isn't always a bad thing. After a fairly large consolidation after that inverse head and shoulders pattern, we can see from the 4h chart today, ACB is logically following suit with WEED , just cracking the neckline (indicated by the purple line) and waiting for that second confirmation above. The shadows of both candles just barely touched the resistance line at 12.00. The combination of these two factors means that we will probably see a hesitation, which generally happens after the neckline is broken with any sort of volume influx. Support was raised to ~10.60, stop loss is at 11.30, in case it decides to form a head and shoulders pattern and come back down to retest where the MACD's meet new support, but it is looking like we may close with indecision.
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These WEEDs are out of control!After a brief pullback at the neckline, this Monday is showing up with some serious numbers! The support lines, as well as the downward trend line has moved up as we rocket through resistance, landing right in line with the arrow that I had indicated on the chart before last. When you approach a neck line like the one that we have just crossed, you should always be weary of a little pull back. Flying past 31.00 and almost clearing a whole retrace zone in one day, we approach new resistance, it can be anticipated that we will confirm new support when we close above, for the second time on the 4h chart. This may also be forming a head and shoulders or W pattern, where the top of the head will be will be at the resistance line. If it bounces off the next resistance hard at the 61.8% retrace, it might come down to complete that pattern, landing where the 8 day line touches support. Let's see how tomorrow plays out, if it does like it did today, it shouldn't take much to hit ~36.00.
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Bounced off resistance unexpectedly.Unfortunately, we didn't even close above the 0.5 re-trace, bouncing off the resistance pretty hard. Generally, closing with no shadow on a that big of a green candle would indicate an increase. There was definitely buyer volume coming in, although not quite as much as 02-05-2018, but we can see that the market opened with a giant shadow at the bottom of the candle. This indicates to me that there was most likely some whales that were waiting at that resistance/re-trace and took profit on that giant spread. I was hoping that something like that wasn't going to be the case. This is why the use of stop loss is vital, and to respect support and resistance. The Bloomberg article published yesterday that essentially called out the valuations of investors, probably didn't aide in new conviction.
I have added a new green trend line to indicate a slightly more sideways channel we are in. It is to early to determine if we are going to see a head and shoulders pattern that could take us above resistance. We are still looking good long. For now, it appears as though we may work our way down to re-test the support area, indicated by where the blue dotted lines intersect the 8 and 13 EMA's.
www.bloomberg.com
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Am I seeing things?Wow 9.54%! We absolutely blew past any form of futile resistance that I thought may have held us up a bit, into the 0.5 Fibonacci re-trace zone, waiting for an almost guaranteed close tomorrow to confirm above 29.50. I'm moving the support lines up faster than I can buy. The bulls are in full force with no sign of a flag, and even though I've drawn some measly resistance that we could stagger at, the volume right now is just to massive for me to believe that we will be stopped dead at 31.00. Today closed with essentially no wick, so tomorrow, hopefully we can make it there and past. I haven't seen a breakout like this since "The Shawshank Redemption".
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