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Act/UsdtBINANCE:ACTUSDT 📉 **ACT price analysis**: - The current price is **0.2591**, which is holding at the previous resistance level. If it stays here, the price could try to move higher to these resistance levels: 1. 🔝 **0.2843** 2. 🔝 **0.300** 3. 🔝 **0.3454** 4. 🔝 **0.400** - If the price **doesn’t** hold here and starts dropping, it might find support at the following levels: 1. ⬇️ **0.2445** 2. ⬇️ **0.2143** --- 🚨 **Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions! 😊
Long
by Wolftrader1337
GOOGLE INC. (NASDAQ: GOOG) ANALYSIS AND TRADING PLANWelcome to a detailed analysis of Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG). Using advanced analytical tools, including the proprietary TheWaved™ platform, this report dissects recent market behavior and provides actionable insights for traders and investors. Let’s explore the technical and fundamental dynamics of the stock and forecast future price movements with key support and resistance zones. Overview of Current Market Position Ticker: NASDAQ-GOOG Current Price: $193.52 52-Week High: $202.88 (28 days ago) 52-Week Low: $83.45 (803 days ago) Key Indicators: RSI (14): 54.92 (neutral) MFI (60): 41.67 (indicating low buying pressure) Moving Averages (Daily): MA50: $183.31 MA100: $173.39 MA200: $172.54 Technical Analysis Support Levels: 187.16 | 185.08 | 181.41 | 176.09 | 173.53 Resistance Levels: 202.88 | 197.62 | 194.55 Moving Averages Insight: The stock trades slightly below the MA50 and MA100 on the daily chart, indicating a potential bearish short-term outlook. However, the long-term trend remains intact as the price remains above MA200. VSA Patterns: Recent trading sessions highlighted critical Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns: Sell Volumes Max (2025-01-13 14:00 UTC): Increased sell volumes pushed prices down by 4.42%. VSA Buy Pattern 3 (2025-01-13 10:00 UTC): Signals potential for a rebound after testing lower supports. Trendline and Channel Analysis: GOOG’s price action is constrained within an ascending channel since October 2024. The lower boundary aligns with the $188.00 support zone, while the upper resistance lies near $202.00. Price Action Insight: The recent lower highs and consistent rejection at $194.71 suggest a strong overhead supply zone. A break and close above $195.00 will be a decisive bullish trigger. Key Oscillators: RSI indicates no overbought/oversold condition, leaving room for directional moves. Stochastic cross above 50 strengthens the probability of an upward trajectory. Fundamental Analysis Google continues to show robust performance driven by its advertising and cloud businesses. Recent developments include: Q4 Earnings are expected to show a revenue growth of 11% YOY, boosted by robust ad demand and cloud service expansion. Strong financial metrics: Cash reserves of $130 billion with minimal debt. AI innovations: Google’s advancements in AI-based ad targeting offer a competitive edge over rivals. Market sentiment: Increasing institutional accumulation as hedge funds position for long-term growth. Forecast and Trading Plan Short-Term Projection: Price action indicates consolidation within $188.00-$195.00. Traders should monitor the $195.00 breakout level closely. Medium-Term Projection: Given the strength in fundamentals and supportive technicals, we anticipate an upward breakout, testing $202.88. Long-Term Projection: Once the stock decisively clears $202.88, a rally towards $215.00-$220.00 could unfold, aligning with the next Fibonacci extensions. Trade Levels: Entry: Buy at $188.00-$189.50 after confirmation of support. Stop-Loss: Place at $185.00. Take-Profit Targets: Target 1: $195.00 Target 2: $202.88 Target 3: $215.00 Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $185.00 could accelerate selling pressure towards $176.00. In this scenario, adopt a defensive approach or short-term bearish bias. Risk Management: Maintain a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:3. Leverage smaller position sizes when trading near key support or resistance levels. Conclusion The technical and fundamental landscape for GOOG appears balanced, with bullish potential outweighing downside risks. Short-term traders can capitalize on the current consolidation phase, while long-term investors may find value in accumulating positions near support zones. Using TheWaved™’s advanced analytics, we’ll provide real-time updates as price action unfolds. Concept of Rays Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept Core Idea My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns. Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement. How Rays Work Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement. Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases. Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray. Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel. If you have questions or need personalized analysis for other stocks, feel free to reach out in direct messages. All indicators and tools mentioned are available via our profile link. Thank you for reading, and as always, trade safely and strategically! Denis Mikheev - TheWaved™
NASDAQ:GOOG
by brandlabelden
Nvidia. Analysis and Price Forecast: A Strategic OutlookIntroduction: Nvidia Inc. (NASDAQ: NVDA) continues to be at the forefront of the AI and semiconductor revolution, showcasing robust innovation and a compelling business model. This analysis leverages advanced tools such as TheWaved™ and utilizes VSA Analysis, Technical Indicators, Price Action, and Fundamental Analysis to craft a comprehensive forecast. Recent Price Movements and Key Patterns: 1. Candle Pattern Analysis: From the provided patterns sequence data: January 13, 2025, 14:00: Pattern: "Increased Buy Volumes" Movement: +6.69% from open to close, suggesting strong buyer activity and market confidence. January 10, 2025, 16:00: Pattern: "Buy Volumes Take Over" Movement: -5.7%, indicating potential sell-offs after profit-taking. These patterns highlight the recent tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, creating opportunities for strategic entries and exits. 2. Key Levels and Trend Analysis: From technicals: Current Price: $135.19 Resistance Levels: Short-Term: $139.48 (MA200 on the hourly chart) Mid-Term: $141.15 (MA100) Support Levels: Immediate: $127.30 Key Support Zone: $123.69-$127.30 Nvidia's price is trading below critical moving averages (e.g., MA50 and MA200), suggesting a potential rebound or consolidation phase before further directional movement. Multi-Dimensional Analysis: 1. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Analysis: Strong buy patterns are evident, with significant volume upticks near critical support zones. This implies institutional interest in accumulation phases. Prediction: Anticipate continuation of buying pressure if price stabilizes above $135. Resistance at $140 may pose challenges in the short term. 2. Fundamental Insights: Nvidia’s Q4 earnings report showed record revenue driven by AI GPU demand. Major customers in cloud computing and automotive industries continue to bolster growth. However, rising interest rates and potential geopolitical risks (e.g., China’s tech policies) might pressure valuations. 3. Price Action Analysis: Recent bullish engulfing candles near $127 indicate buyer confidence. Price may revisit $130 before testing $140. Breaking $140 could pave the way to retest $150 (January’s absolute high). Projections: Short-Term (1 Week): Target: $138.50 Stop-Loss: $132.00 Rationale: A breakout above MA50 ($136.93) will signal short-term bullish momentum. Mid-Term (1 Month): Target: $145.00 Stop-Loss: $130.00 Rationale: Stabilization above $140 supported by institutional buying and potential macroeconomic support. Long-Term (3-6 Months): Target: $160.00 Stop-Loss: $125.00 Rationale: Continued demand for Nvidia’s GPUs in AI and automotive applications combined with broader tech sector recovery. Strategic Recommendations: Support Levels: - 1. 127.3 2. 123.69 3. 113.9 4. 90.4855 5. 87.88 Resistance Levels: - 1. 127.3 2. 123.69 3. 113.9 4. 90.4855 5. 87.88 Powerful Support Levels: - Powerful Resistance Levels: - 1. 89.599 2. 89.599 3. 63.974 4. 63.974 5. 48.462 Above $160: Consider reducing positions to hedge against potential market corrections. 3. Stop-Loss & Risk Management: Strict stop-loss at $130 for short-term trades. Trail stops to lock profits as price moves favorably. Tools and Insights: Analysis powered by TheWaved™, leveraging decades of professional experience and cutting-edge analytics. Key insights have been shared to align with both retail and institutional perspectives. Call to Action: For personalized queries or deeper insights into Nvidia’s price action, feel free to reach out via direct message. Explore our tools and indicators through the link in our profile. Concept of Rays Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept Core Idea My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns. Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement. Disclaimer: This analysis reflects the author’s perspective based on available data and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risks; ensure proper due diligence. Follow TheWaved for more actionable insights!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by brandlabelden
1
Quantum Mechanics & Market Behavior At this stage of my research, I would like to share the primary inspirations behind my style of analysis. As you've already noticed, I don’t create forecasts, as they are subjective and inherently disconnected from the objective nature of markets. Instead, I focus on predictions grounded in the captured dynamics of market behavior in order to actually get closer to its causality. "QUANTUM MARKET" In the unpredictable world of trading, price action often mirrors the strange principles of quantum mechanics. Concepts like wave function collapse, entanglement, chaos theory, the multiverse, and even the double-slit experiment provide a unique lens to understand why markets behave as they do—particularly when they defy the majority of forecasts and move in unexpected directions. The Collapse of the Market Wave Function In quantum mechanics, a particle exists in a state of possibilities described by its wave function until it is measured. When observed, the wave function "collapses" into one definite outcome. Similarly, in markets, price exists as a spectrum of probabilities, influenced by fundamental data, sentiment, and technical levels. These probabilities reflect the collective forecasts of traders, analysts, and institutions. The "collapse" of the market wave function can be likened to the moments when price unexpectedly moves against the prevailing sentiment, proving the majority wrong. For instance, when experts predict a bullish breakout, only for the market to reverse sharply, it resembles the moment a quantum system resolves into a state that surprises its observers. This metaphor highlights the fragile relationship between market expectations and actual outcomes. Just as the act of measurement influences a quantum system, the collective observation and positioning of traders directly impact market movements. The Multiverse of Price Action The Many-Worlds Interpretation (MWI) of quantum mechanics posits that every possible outcome of a quantum event occurs, creating branching universes for each scenario. This offers a useful metaphor for the multiverse of market possibilities, where price action simultaneously holds countless potential paths. Each decision by traders, institutions, and external forces influences which path the market ultimately "chooses," much like the branching of quantum states into separate realities. When the market takes an unexpected turn, it can be thought of as moving into a "branch" of the multiverse that was previously considered improbable by the majority. For example: A widely anticipated bullish breakout may fail, with the price collapsing into a bearish reversal. This outcome corresponds to a "parallel universe" of price action where the market follows a path contrary to the consensus. When they say market has its on path, chances are they're definitely referring to approach from Fractal Market Hypothesis. The moment traders observe the market defy expectations, their reality shifts into this new "branch," leaving the discarded probabilities as theoretical relics. While traders only experience one "reality" of the market—the observed price movement—the multiverse perspective reminds us that all potential outcomes coexist until resolved by market forces. Chaos Theory: The Hidden Order Behind Market Behavior Markets may appear chaotic, but their movements are not entirely random. Instead, they follow principles reminiscent of chaos theory, where complex systems display patterns that arise from underlying order. In trading, this hidden order emerges from the entanglement of price action—the intricate relationship between buyers, sellers, sentiment, and external events. Counter-oscillations of opposing forces, such as bullish and bearish sentiment that has stake in patterns. When these forces reach a critical point, they can produce dramatic reversals or breakouts. A fascinating aspect of this hidden order lies in the measurement of cycle intervals, which can decrypt the path and stops of price action. These intervals, often influenced by Fibonacci ratios, reflect the inherent chaos of the market while maintaining a surprising consistency. In chaotic systems, the ratios of results inherit the domestic chaos properties of the system itself. This means the measured intervals not only explain past behavior but also project future movements, where price has no option but to adhere to the golden ratio in its path, regardless of direction. Tools like Fibonacci Channels on TradingView combine these ratios with the angle of the trend, revealing fractal-based timing measurements that highlight potential trend shifts. These tools demonstrate how price action, driven by the chaotic yet structured forces of the market, aligns with these self-similar patterns over time. Entanglement and the Double-Slit Experiment in Markets Einstein described quantum entanglement as "spooky action at a distance," where the state of one particle instantaneously influences another, no matter how far apart they are. Markets also mirror another iconic quantum experiment: the double-slit experiment, which demonstrates how particles behave as waves when unobserved but collapse into definitive points when measured. In the double-slit experiment, an electron passes through two slits, existing as a wave of probabilities until observed. Without observation, it creates an interference pattern, suggesting it travels through both slits simultaneously. However, when measured, the electron collapses into a single state, taking a definitive path through one slit and landing at a specific spot on the detector. Price action behaves in a strikingly similar way. Just as an electron "feels" it is being observed and alters its behavior, ongoing price action appears to respond to the collective observation of millions of traders. Despite this intense scrutiny, price action frequently surprises both bulls and bears, defying expectations as if reflecting the duality of probability and definitiveness. When unobserved or in a state of uncertainty, markets exhibit wave-like behavior, oscillating between potential paths. Trends consolidate, creating a balance of opposing forces. However, as traders act on their observations—placing bets, setting stop losses, or predicting breakouts—price "collapses" into a definitive state, choosing a path that often defies the collective expectations of the market. Logical Deductions Understanding the market through the lens of quantum mechanics, chaos theory, and the multiverse offers valuable insights for traders: Expect the Unexpected: Just as a quantum particle's state cannot be precisely predicted, markets are inherently probabilistic. Even the most widely expected outcomes can collapse under the weight of unforeseen variables or simply change of incentive during overheat volatility. Beware of Herd Mentality: When the majority aligns behind a forecast, the market becomes entangled in their collective assumptions. This might create conditions for a dramatic reversal, much like how a quantum system shifts into an unanticipated state. Recognize Counter-Oscillations: Price action is driven by the push and pull of opposing forces. Trends often mask the tension beneath, and understanding these dynamics can help traders anticipate critical turning points. Measure Cycles with Ratios: Fibonacci-based tools, when combined with trend angles, reveal fractal rhythms and the frequency of reversals. These measurements help traders predict price shifts with greater accuracy. Embrace the Multiverse: Just as the Many-Worlds Interpretation suggests all outcomes coexist until resolved, traders should recognize that multiple possibilities are always present in the market. Being prepared for alternative scenarios helps mitigate risk and improve decision-making. General Interconnectedness: Markets are a dynamic interplay of order and chaos, shaped by the entanglement of opposing forces and the constant tension between consensus and contrarian dynamics. The collapse of the wave function—those moments when price defies expert predictions—reminds us of the deep complexities underlying actual behavior of masses. Through the lens of the multiverse, every market outcome can be seen as a branching reality, where the price action we observe is just one of many potential paths. By embracing this perspective, traders can better navigate the intricate dance of probabilities and entanglement, understanding that markets are not linear systems but ever-changing, interconnected realities. This mindset empowered me to thrive in the environment of duality, where adaptability and probabilistic thinking are the actual keys to understanding price mechanism in Financial Markets. Disclaimer: You don’t have to accept these observations as true. Always trust your own judgment and cultivate independent thinking. Personally, I find that the behavior of particles at the quantum scale is the closest phenomenon that mirrors the chaos of the market.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by fract
12
Bitcoin ATH: Potential Retracement Zones and Key LevelsBitcoin current price now is 76k surpassed ATH at 14 March 2024, after surge more than 13% we may see increased speculation and bullish momentum driving the price higher. However, if Bitcoin struggles to maintain upward momentum near this level, we may witness a retracement before the next significant move. Retracements are a common and healthy part of price movement, providing the opportunity for consolidation before the next leg up. On the chart, we observe several retracement levels marked by Fibonacci retracement levels, as well as Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that may act as areas of support if Bitcoin's rally takes a breather. 1. The first potential support level sits at the 0.5-0.62 retracement level. This zone represents a modest pullback and would allow Bitcoin to establish a higher base without losing its bullish structure. This level falls within an FVG, which might reinforce the zone as a strong support if Bitcoin pulls back to this area. 2. A deeper retracement could see Bitcoin testing the 0.705-0.79 retracement level. This level could attract more significant buying interest, as it represents a meaningful correction or extreme discount zone that provides an attractive entry point for new buyers. 3. Green zone (OB) signaling areas of potential liquidity where buyers might enter aggressively to capture value. Trendline Support and Horizontal Levels Trendlines provide insight into Bitcoin's directional bias. A rising trendline, indicated in yellow on the chart, has been guiding the recent rally and could serve as dynamic support in case of a downturn. If Bitcoin respects this trendline, it would suggest a continuation of the uptrend, with the trendline acting as a safety net for any dips in price. This would allow BTC to pull back and consolidate while maintaining its upward momentum. Another significant level is marked as "rH" around $73,787, a former resistance level that could now act as support. If Bitcoin retraces to this level and finds support, it could reinforce bullish sentiment and potentially lead to another rally attempt. Volume Analysis We also see moderate trading volumes, indicating sustained but cautious buying activity. An increase in volume at higher prices would strengthen the case for a continued rally, as it would demonstrate robust market interest. Conversely, if the volume decreases during a pullback, it may indicate that sellers lack conviction, suggesting that the retracement could be brief and limited to consolidation.
by Perseusx01
Nas100 Bearish IdeaOnly going off of what information the chart has showed and in no way trying to predict anything. This week I'm bearish on Nas100 looking for it to retest the new resistance that was once support to see if it will hold. If price can stay under that resistance I will be looking to enter a trade at that level and targeting previous support. I try to keep trading simple by letting the charts show me the levels they want to go to and me reacting. Any feedback is appreciated :)
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by pippenjr
4
Bitcoin, What's Next After "Almost" Hit ATH?After significant rally, Bitcoin price action recently approached its all-time high (ATH), signaling significant bullish sentiment. However, the price is now showing signs of potential retracement. Currently trading around the 72k USDT level, the price could either dip into a fair value gap (FVG) or descend further into the highlighted green box, where a trendline provides support. This retracement would allow for consolidation and might attract new buyers, offering a more solid base for the next upward push. As the price potentially reaches the green box or bounces off the FVG, there could be an increase in bullish volume, pushing it toward resistance zones marked above. If the trend holds and the bulls regain control, Bitcoin could break through resistance, potentially pushing beyond 74,000 USDT to reach new highs. In this scenario, this temporary pullback serves as a healthy correction within an ongoing bullish trend, building momentum for the next leg up in the journey toward breaking the ATH.
by Perseusx01
Stan Weinstein Theory on NetflixThe 4 Market Phases Stan Weinstein describes the evolution of stocks in four main phases: - Phase 1: Accumulation The market is flat after a prolonged decline. Smart investors start buying. - Phase 2: Uptrend The price breaks a key level and rises above the 30-week moving average, which is rising. This is the ideal phase to buy. - Phase 3: Distribution The market stabilizes after a rise. Big investors sell, and the moving average stabilizes. This is the beginning of the end of the uptrend. - Phase 4: Downtrend The price breaks a key support, the moving average goes down. Avoid buying or selling to limit losses. Key Indicators 30-week moving average: In an uptrend, the price is above. In a downtrend, it is below. Volume: Increasing volume during breakouts confirms the strength of the trend. Weinstein advises buying early in Phase 2 and selling early in Phase 4 to follow major market trends. Analysis made in collaboration with @Yannick1961
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by DL_INVEST
#202430 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. Quote from last week: bear case: Bears are at the exact same spot as last Sunday but just a tat higher. They want a big reversal again at multiple resistance above 18800. They also see all the rejections from the past months at this level and shorting here has been very profitable. They also know it’s a bad buy for the bulls up here. Odds clearly favor them to trade back to at least 18600 but we will probably see 18500 early next week. comment: Bears took complete control of the market after the lower high 18927 which formed a perfect head & shoulders pattern. The Measured move down is around 17000 and I expect that price to be hit in 2024. Last bull trend line before the big one from 2020 & 2022 and I expect it to be broken over the next 1-3 weeks. The upcoming pullback is the most important part now because the height will determine the strength of the next bear leg and if this a new bear trend or not. If bulls get above18600 again, there is a decent chance we are still inside a big trading range. If bears keep it below the daily 20ema, we will most likely form a proper channel we can grind down over the next months. current market cycle: trading range - go look at the monthly chart. It’s a clear 4 month trading range. —unchanged key levels: small range 18000 / 18900 bull case: Bulls and bears alike knew the recent high at 18900 was a bad buy and they tried to save their bull case on Tuesday but once Wednesday came around and 18700ish was resistance the third time, they gave and we only produced lower highs since. Best bulls can hope for now is to keep it above 18000 and bounce at the weekly 20ema which is exactly right under Friday’s close and that the bull trend line from April will hold. Market expects a pullback and bulls want it to go above 18600, which increases the odds of this being a continuation of the triangle, rather than a new bear trend. Invalidation is below 18147. bear case: Bears are in full control and want a lower low below 18148 to break the bull trend line. The recent selling was strong enough for a second leg but I think a pullback is expected after Opex. Also very strong selling on much greater volume. Any pullback should stay below 18600. Invalidation is above 18650/18700, but that is pure guesswork. Need to see a bounce first. In general, if a pullback goes beyond the 50% mark, it’s hard to argue for a strong bear trend. outlook last week: short term: Bearish at least to 18500. It’s 50/50 if bulls can do a higher high or will only print lower highs from here. Looking for early weakness and then at 18500 absolutely neutral and let the market decide where it wants to go next. Any bad Dax earnings next week will probably flush it below 18500 again. → Last Sunday we traded 18857 and now we are at 18298. High of the week was 18889 and the low was 18274. Gave you 18500 and you got 18274. That’s 585 points from last Friday’s close. Hope you made some. short term: Full bear mode. Will try to catch the bounces as good as one can but the big money will be made to the downside over the next months. Short term we will see a bounce that should stay below 18500/18600 and from there I expect another big leg down to 17800. medium-long term: Time to update this section. I called for 17000 for couple of months now and I said, any short around or above 19000 is amazing. The highs held and now we will see how low we can get in 2024. 17100 is still my first bigger target and should be reached in 2024. At this point it does not make sense to call lower targets. current swing trade: Short since 18700, added to shorts 18900. Will hold this till Cathy closes ARKK or the big short 2.0 is announced. Update: Will post also some profit taking and adding to the position again. On Monday I plan to look for strength and take about half off and to add again around 18500 or higher. Chart update: Be reminded, that I switched from dax cfd to dax futures. Removed all the bullish lines except the two main trend lines. On from April and the one from 2020. Put text on the shs pattern and added a fat bear trend line from ath to the recent lower high because that’s the triangle we are currently in and about to find out of the bottom will hold.
EUREX:FDXSU2024
by priceactiontds
#202430 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bull trend is losing steam but still very bullish. Every dip is bought and market is mostly staying above the 4h 20ema. My measured move target upwards is around 72000. Do not look to short this is my advice and only look for strong bull breakouts on pullbacks. Trend kinda had 3 pushes up already but until the bull trend line is broken and market is trading below the daily 20ema, looking for shorts is a waste of time. current market cycle: Trading range but smaller bull trend inside of it key levels: 53000-70000 bull case: Bulls had an amazing reversal 2 weeks ago and follow through last week. They want their measured move target 72000 and if they can reach it, most likely also a new ath. Invalidation is below 62400. bear case: Not much for the bears. Technically it’s a breakout retest of the small trading range before the bear trend between 67000 - 72000. Bears want to turn around here but it’s very low probability that this bull trend inside this bigger trading range is already over. Invalidation is above 69000. short term: Bullish if we break above 68000 for tp 70000 or higher. Absolute no interest in shorts. medium-long term: I have been writing about getting down to 50000 for many many weeks now and since we are only 3500 points above it, it’s time to review my medium-long term take. I do think we are doing a very similar thing to 2021. Market will probably touch the monthly 20ema at 46000 soon and then go for a dead cat bounce. I do not think market can do a higher high again. For me it’s lower highs from here on and highest I think it can get again is 65000 but I do think there is a good chance, 63000 may be all bulls can get again. If it trades strongly below 46000, probably 30000 soon after but let’s make 46000 first and then I reevaluate my take. Update: Dead cat bounce way too strong to call it that. Still holding my 40000 target for 2024. current swing trade: None chart update: Added bull trend lines and removed old unnecessary highs and lows. That dotted bear trend line is very low probability and it’s better to ignore it.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
#202428 - priceactiontds - weekly update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Friday I wrote on twitter that the highs are probably in and I will stand by that. Can I be wrong by another 100 points in the sp500? Sure but I doubt it. The patterns to sell down are aligning on the monthly, weekly and daily tf. The buying was more than climactic and we can see enough indicators pointing down or are already bad. Big institutions won’t jeopardize their whole trading year with overstaying in this bubble. The past 3 trading days formed a perfect bull trap and if bears can start the reverse early next week, we will see some acceleration downwards. As always, don’t blindly long/short anything. Wait for confirmation before you enter a trade. dax: Big up, big down, bigger up. Interesting week but again, nasty reversal bar on Friday. I doubt bulls will buy this up again. The right shoulder here looks decent enough on the daily chart and market could drop 600 points from here. Confirmation for the bears is a print below 18500. If bulls are strong, they stay inside the wedge and trade back above 18800. 55/45 for the bears imo. Quote from last week: comment: Market was completely neutral past week. Let’s look at the weekly chart and what it tells us. 5 Week selloff and now 2 bull weeks and past week was as neutral as it gets. Tells us that the market is in balance and does not know where it will go next. We can draw multiple bad bear trend lines and all are valid until broken. Does not help with trading at this price. Since we have a decent bull support line from the April and June low, we know that the market is in a triangle and the middle is most likely around 18300. As long as market is coming back to that price, you buy low and sell high. Since market is also staying above the weekly 20ema, bears are not favored to suddenly break below it. It’s also trading below the daily 20ema and did not have a daily close above it for 12 trading days. It’s a trading range near the ath, where the market is compressing and will soon see a breakout. comment: We got the breakout to the upside, then the downside and another upside breakout again. Clearly not the continuation of a strong bull trend but a leg inside the trading range. Friday’s bull bar is a bad buy going into next week, which raises the odds of market moving sideways to down. Two bull wedges on the daily chart and I slightly favor the bears to break to the downside at least to the daily ema 18460. Weekly tf gives head & shoulders vibe but as long as market is staying above the weekly 20ema at 18200, it’s neutral inside the given key level. current market cycle: trading range - go look at the monthly chart. It’s a clear 4 month trading range. —unchanged key levels: small range 18200 / 18800 bull case: Bulls want to stay inside the bull wedges and break above them to retest the ath 19006. They are making higher highs and higher lows and are above all important ema. Invalidation is below 18540. bear case: Only hope for bears was the decent sell off on Friday for a quick -249 points in 1h which denied the market a daily close above 18700 for 29 trading days. Left shoulder from March/April high was 18836 and Friday’s high was 18822. Close is always close enough. They also see the two bull wedges we have formed and want a break to the downside. Their first target is a retest of Friday’s low 18575 which is almost the open of last week to the tick. If they manage to break below 18540, their next target is the daily 20ema at 18470 and that’s also close to the 50% pb for this whole trading range. Invalidation is a 1h close above 18800. outlook last week: short term: Can’t be anything but neutral again. Bears managed to stay below the daily 20ema but bulls bought the weekly 20ema. Trading range price action. Will get a breakout soon. → Last Sunday we traded 18417 and now we are at 18666. High of the week was 18822 and the low was 18190. Outlook was ok. Market closed 40ish points above the open of the week and we made new lows and new highs. Trading range price action, which is why I was and am neutral for this market. short term: Neutral. Higher highs, lower lows. Expanding triangle, form of trading range. 50% pb is 18439 and if bulls do not rally strongly on Monday, I will look for weakness and a pullback to 18450 or lower. medium-long term: 17000 over the next 3-6 Months and when we get there, I update again. —unchanged current swing trade: Nothing Chart update: Bear wave and trend line is gone and added bull wedges.
EASYMARKETS:DAXEUR
by priceactiontds
a weekly price action market recap and outlook - nvidia #5Good day and I hope you are well. Last time I talked about Nvidia was 2024-06-08 and Nvidia was at 120.8 and my targets were 130/140. We are after the stock split so it's time for an update. comment: Please check out my nvidia #4 post, to see how accurate it was. I wrote that once the W5 or third push up is done, we will see a 10-20 bars sideways to down correction. Since the first leg of the correction made 16% down, we can expect a second one, which would bring us to around 100$ (weekly 20ema is also there), which is an obvious magnet. There bulls can decide if they want to continue the bubble. current market cycle: If we break below 114, we are probably forming a trading range between 100 - 140. If bulls buy this up again, bull trend continues. key levels: 114 - 140 bull case: Everything as long as most bull trends hold. The big bull trend line is currently around 95 and bulls do not want a pullback that deep. They want this bubble to infinity and staying above the daily 20ema is crucial to do so. If they fail here, we will see 100$ soon. Having said all that again, it's a bubble and it will deflate. Maybe it already started and stock won't trade above 130 again for a long time. No one knows but the probable thing is a pullback to the weekly 20ema/100$ before market wants a retest of the ath. That can fail or even make a higher high before turning again. Invalidation is below 100. bear case: Parabolic wedge top broke to the downside but bulls still have 3 more bull trend lines as support. Bears are happy for now that they trapped all the bulls who bought above 130 and most stops will run around 115-118. Bears ultimately want to test the big bull trend line and the 100$ price. Thats a 40% drop and I wrote many times, that this stock will half again. Bears see the recent drop as strong enough for a second leg and the current trading range as a two legged sideways to up correction, which they want to break below from. Invalidation is above 130. short term: All bull targets are met and the ath will probably be tested. It's unsure if we get a second leg down first or after the retest. I slightly give it to the bears to push down to at least 117ish since the past days nasdaq & sp500 made new ath's while nvidia held below 130. Trapped bulls who bought above 130 will give up below 119 latest. medium-long term: Over the next 6 months we should see the 1000 price area again and 6-18 months we most likely will see 800-900 again. --unchanged current swing trade: Waiting for weakness on Monday and if bulls can't trade it back up, will do long term shorts for 100$.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by priceactiontds
#202427 - priceactiontds - weekly update - JPMGood Day and I hope you are well. JP Morgan / NYSE:JPM comment: Clear bull wedge, which means buyers at new highs taking profits and since it's the third push up, the probability of a two legged correction breaking below the wedge is decent. Market touched the weekly 20ema 2 times over the past 3 months and the third time will probably happen soon. We also have a decent rejection at 210, which gives you even better odds for a short. I do think longer term shorts can work well, if you can hold 4-6 months until price reaches 185ish. Quicker short for 195, which is the most recent breakout price, is the safer play obviously. Once market hits the C target, I expect a lower high and then some stronger down move to below 190 over the next 6-12 months. current market cycle: Bull trend which transitions into a trading range. key levels: 190 - 210 bull case: Bulls see this recent bull trend inside the wedge as strong enough for a third leg. A measured move from W3 would lead to 220. For that to happen they want to stay inside the tight bull channel and turn the market around here quickly. I do think if it drops below 200, that bull trend is over and the high is in or at least a double top would not exceed it by more than 1-3$. Bull Invalidation is below 200. bear case: Bears want to keep the upper wedge line as resistance and test back down to the lower one around 196ish. They sold the previous highs for a 10% and a 7% drop. 10% down would bring us to 190, which is suprisingly around the weekly 20ema. Coincidences or math? You decide for yourself. Bear Invalidation is above 215. short term: bearish - Two legged correction to at least 200 over the next weeks. medium-long term: bearish - Trading range 180-200, since we are at the highs, longer term shorts are reasonable. current swing trade: Short 205, sl 215, tp 200ish or the lower bull wedge line/weekly 20ema Have a good rest of your weekend and talk to you soon. If you enjoy my writings, please leave a boost or follow. Thank you and I wish your trading to be profitable.
NYSE:JPMShort
by priceactiontds
KAVA PRICE ACTION TRADINGToday i will try to explain how to play with Kava in a simple way. - Remember always that in Cryptos are not easy as forex or stocks, because movements are always brutal. - The first step is always to detect the real trendline. - Detect 3 points. Bouncing Points, Rejection Points. - Some traders use only 2 points, but i am old style trader, so i really need 3 Points to Draw the trend. - Remove the abnormality ( FOMO and PANIC ) - Draw your line. - Now you will need to find PRICE ACTION AREAS. - Those areas can be easily detected by the price fluctuating for a long period of time in the same zone. - For KAVA right now we are fluctuating between $0.75-$1.25$ ( Price action zone 2) - Now you can draw your price action lines. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- METHOD 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - So to enter a position you need to understand that you never know if you are right, or if you are wrong. anyone have a magic ball. - The best way is to NEVER GO ALL IN. - Keep always more juice to rebuy if the market crash. - For exemple, you could try to enter KAVA Market at 0.75$ (invest 25%), in case of DIP to 0.5$ (re-inject 75%) ( this is very important!!) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- METHOD 2 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Simple wait to see if KAVA will break out the Trendline - in that case you will need to wait the price to break out from triangle (Yellow Triangle) - Again never go all in, on a breakout, some breakout could be fakes. - Keep always Juice. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - More you will understand and detect price movements, supports, resistances, breakouts, more you will trade better. - Price action and trendline are the basic of trading. - indicators are complementary. PS : This method can also be applied by Shorting the market. ( just inverse everything ). - Happy Tr4Ding !
KRAKEN:KAVAUSDLong
by thecryer
14