BTCUSD - Where to buy?This is an Action/Reaction Model, paired with two Forks. What do they show you?
- Extremes of swings
- Center of swings
If you apply the 7 rules of this analysis framework, you know when it's time to buy or sell. No, it's not 100% exact every time. But how about over 80%?
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Actionreaction
NG1! - NatGas potential to turn.The white fork gives us the most probable path of price on a longterm scale, it's up.
The yellow fork is the opposite force, and projects the potential for a pullback from the very top, with the target at the centerline.
The price drop through the yellow centerline lead in a halt right before the L-MLH (Lower-Medianline-Parallel) of the yellow Fork.
This halt, or "not reaching the L-MLH) is called a HAGOPIAN in the Forkers term. It gives us a heads up that price will move in the opposite direction more then from where price came (...from the yellow centerline).
In short:
- Price has reached a high probability area where it has the tendency to turn the current trend.
- Confluence of two Fork-Lines indicate the same.
- The uncleared HGPN at the yellow L-MLH tells the same.
- The red pressing line looks scary, but is probably just a fake.
- A "Flush" of the longs below the yellow Centerline, and then a sharp climb up above again would not be surprising.
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EURGBP - Waiting for confirmation, pullback and long.I first want to see price staying above the down-sloping Centerline.
Then I wait for the pullback and go with the up-sloping Pitchfork, for the main target at Centerline.
Taking partial profit at the Resistance (Sine-Wave Center) or trail profit-stop up to there is also not a bad plan.
For stops, I would place it below the last P-Low.
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GC1! - A potential trade in Gold and some Pitchfork teaching.I describe what the Forks measure and how the HAGOPIAN rule kicks in.
And of course there's a potential trade happen right now in the hourly timeframe.
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BTCUSD - Bitcoin Resistance And SupportWe see two opposing forces:
1. The orange Action/Reaction lines.
It's boundaries are the upper and lower line. The centerline is where price is in balance. It's a level where Bulls & Bears will fight. The outcome decides if price climbs above, or get rejected to the downside.
2. The white Pitchfork. The same principals applies to this tool.
What we can expect now is a rise up to the orange centerline. Chances for price to trade to a centerline are over 80%, each and every time!
If price climbs above it, then price will proceed up to the white centerline before a potential resistance comes into play again.
These are just the short term targets. Of course, a U-MLH (Upper-Medianline-Parallel) is always possible to reach and very often, price will do over time.
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ZB1! - Bond trend is up, flow is downThe orange stair stepping of the bigger structures (Pivots) on this chart show us, that the trend in this timeframe is up.
But currently there is a opposite flow going on, to the downside. The flow is NOT the trend, but the minor stair stepping down on the level of the market breath.
The white Fork is a "Pullback-Fork", as I call it. It measures the potential pullback (from the upside to the downside in this case), and where price will reach the Centerline (dashed white line) over 80% of time.
The yellow Mini-Fork give us context in the flow of the market. As soon as price is trading above the U-MLH (upper-medianline-parallel), price has a high tendency to swing back to the upside and retrieve it's current direction, the trend (orange stair steps).
Just observe without trading and see how this plays out. You will learn a lot...
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Structures: Minor into a major.Just take a minute and study this chart.
Price has often the tendency to morph from a minor structure into a major one.
However, there are similarities and we can find them out by understanding the connections between the movements of price.
Study the chart peace by peace and you will learn more then if you read a new book about a new trading setup...
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Google back to balanceAfter price left the first HAGOPIAN, it reached the Centerline (CL.). After this first CL. touch, the reverse lasted not long, only to leave another HGPN to the downside.
Now price approaches the Centerline again and we can now observe a potential reversal, or if it blows through, a trade to the upside.
The blue dashed A/R's give us an idea, how price is currently swinging on a pivot level.
Let's see if we can catch a reversal.
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Pitchfork Trading - Video 2Video Nr. 2
I continue the analysis from Video Nr. 1 and show you, why the market is so extremely stretched, and why you need to be super cautious these days.
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Pitchfork Trading - Video 1Video Nr. 1
I explain the quick principals of the Pitchfork and how we use it.
Parallel to the educational benefit, you get the analysis of the NQ and a good feeling, where we are in the whole big picture.
If you like to learn more about the Pitchforks and how they produce great trades, then here's how you can get your free course:
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Thanks for watching and if you like it, give a thumb up :)
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ES - E-Mini is naging at the U-MLHWhat do we see here on this chart?
We see the white down-sloping Pitchfork, giving us the most probable path of price, of course on the pendulum swing level.
The blue A/R set.
It show's us nothing less then the center and the lower and higher extremes on a normal swing level.
See where price get hammered back at the confluence of the red zone and the blue, dashed A/R line? Watch the last closes...
If we break above the white U-MLH (Upper-Medianline Parallel), then chances are over 80% that we hit the yellow Centerline (CL) of the yellow Pitchfork.
If we fall below the L-MLH (Lower-Medianline Parallel), then chances are over 80% that we will see prices at the white Centerline!
We better prepare for both scenarios and put our portfolio in balance and potential trades in place...
If you want to learn how to find high probability trades, then I have a free course for you on my website.
See the footer of this post.
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NQ - Nasdaq InsightsWOW - In this market I see a ton of information we can use to our advantage.
1. The (green) mesured move
2. HAGOPIAN (yellow & white Fork)
3. Confluence on white & yellow Centerline
This tells a great story...
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Failure Test Below $66USOIL bears couldn't hold below key support level around previous high of $66.66. Failure test is pretty much evident at this point but there's still a shimmering light of hope for bears. Oil bulls have already taken back 61.8% of the correction range, if supply fails to turn the tides around here, bears' stop buy orders will add on to the upward extension and the move could go parabolic.
S&P 500 - There's Order In The UniverseHow many lines does one need to describe the markets?
Well, if you know about the universal law of Action & Reaction, there's not much to draw.
Keep it simple, but know what you draw and what to expect from.
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EURGBP TO COMPLETE CYCLE after 4H 60 bars from D to ENext level target is 0.88595 to reach by 7.5.2017 and then next target will be 0.89213. Reversal confirmation will be after entering bearish trap at lower Fibo level 1.75. Watch out all pin bars & hammers appears along nearest support and resistance level.