MSFT EARNINGS CHART - PRICE TARGETS AND TRENDSMSFT
Trying to get multiple charts done so description will be short.
Sorry to those asking about my website. Work in progress, and progress was slowed due to migraines.
Basically, Short term shows a drop, mid term shows a pump, and long term shows a drop.
With this in mind, it sets up strategy to keep risk to a minimum during earnings.
IF MSFT is pushing 336-342 around close. Look to see a final pump to maybe 348-354, with some fast retracements in the AH.
IF MSFT is around 326-327 around 10am-11am, I would look to buy call options, and I would sell those call options before close.
Personally, I see the same indicators setup on almost all the technology stocks, THEY ALL show a small pump to the topside, with a near 20% retracement.
Activision
Activision Blizzard: Woke up 🌞After trading sideways for the past several weeks, Activision Blizzard stock has risen since the end of last week, reaching resistance at $94.30. In our primary scenario, the next step is to break above this level, which should provide further upward pressure. Note, however, that with our downside alternative at 36%, it is still possible that the price will see another sell-off. This scenario would come into play when the price breaks below support at $86.81. It would then have to push the low of the turquoise wave alt.X down a bit more before it would move higher
ATVI Activision Blizzard arbitrage opportunity Microsoft had agreed to acquire Activision Blizzard ATVI in a cash deal valued at $68.7 billion, equal to $95 per share.
Activision Blizzard owns some of the most popular gaming franchises globally: World of Warcraft, Call of Duty, and Candy Crush.
So there is a 17% upside arbitrage here, if the deal does close.
ATVI BUYERS ARE BACK, Ascend next...ATVI accumulation is definitely ON. Net buyers has started positioning for the last 4 days at the 75 ish area...
Buying volume has started increasing significantly on a daily basis.
Expect some bounce from here on.
Here are the financial results for the last quarter -- and ATVI has been bringing the goods so far.
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Financials
Quarterly financials
MAR 2023
(USD) Mar 2023 Y/Y
Revenue 2.38B 34.79%
Net income 740M 87.34%
Diluted EPS 0.93 86%
Net profit margin 31.05% 38.99%
Operating income 800M 67.01%
Net change in cash 2.18B 301.66%
Cash on hand - -
Cost of revenue 665M 38.83%
$SONY: Monthly Hidden Bullish Divergence and Channel Breakout NYSE:SONY on the Monthly Timeframe is breaking out of a Descending Channel while confirming Hidden Bullish Divergence and Bullishly Crossing over on the MACD and the RSI enters the Bullish Control Zone; the next obvious target would be between 150 and 177 Dollars as that would be the completion of an AB=CD Harmonic Pattern. One last thing to note on the side is that the NASDAQ:MSFT acquisition of NASDAQ:ATVI has recently hit a brick wall with regulators and this is likely to spur some optimism in the NYSE:SONY camp who has opposed this acquisition in fears that Microsoft would eventually make games like Call of Duty, Xbox Exclusive.
Activision holding on 0.382 retracement.Activision - 30d expiry - We look to Sell a break of 73.59 (stop at 76.11)
Short term bias is bearish.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
We have a 38.2% Fibonacci pullback level of 74.15 from 103.41 to 56.07.
73.71 has been pivotal.
A break of 73.71 is needed to confirm follow through negative momentum.
The failure to sustain the break higher and subsequent dip, formed a bearish candle and is negative for short term sentiment.
Our profit targets will be 66.77 and 63.77
Resistance: 75.00 / 76.00 / 77.00
Support: 74.00 / 72.00 / 70.00
Daily perspective
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
ATVI Spike (Merger Arbitrage Continued)This morning I received a Spike Alert for price volatility at the open on Activision Blizzard NASDAQ:ATVI . Perhaps people are excited about Wrath of the Lich King classic being released? :D
This swing trade occurs within the context of the Merger Arbitrage trade which has been going on for many months since Microsoft announced an offer of $95/share to purchase ATVI. There has been much rumor and speculation as always on if this deal would go through which manifests itself in a present 20.6% risk premium from the current trading price of ATVI to the buyout price. Nothing has fundamentally changed since the board approved the deal. Warren Buffett is also in the merger arbitrage trade with a 9.5% stake in ATVI.
I am already long the merger arbitrage trade from earlier in the year. Note: Getting into it now would be less than 12 months til the expected buyout which would mean a successful trade would incurr short term capital gains rather than long term. GLHF!
ATVI - Bullish Falling WedgeFalling Wedge in yellow
A Falling Wedge is a bullish continuation pattern and in this case is at the bottom of a larger ascending channel
Once price touches this lower channel band again and forms a double bottom the falling wedge will come into effect and push price back up further into the ascending channel
Microsoft buying Activision in Q3?The end of Q2/H1 has heavily impacted the majority of stocks as we know. The announced takeover of Activision by Microsoft in my eyes has been put on hold due to the market downturn, pushing back into the second half of Q3 or even as late as mid Q4.
With the buyout suggest to be at US$95 i feel that the current price of US$78 is a good buy.
There is a lot of reasons for Microsoft to make this purchase so I dont think they are going to walk away because it was a bad quarter for everyone.
Activision (but with better spelling) Activision
Short Term
We look to Sell at 75.92 (stop at 78.77)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Previous support level of 76.45 broken. Selling continued from the 61.8% pullback level of 85.33. There is ample scope for a move lower from this important resistance. Closed below the 20-day EMA .
Our profit targets will be 65.12 and 56.10
Resistance: 76.45 / 85.00 / 97.50
Support: 74.00 / 65.00 / 56.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Acitision - stop playing with meActivision
Short Term
We look to Sell at 75.92 (stop at 78.77)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Previous support level of 76.45 broken. Selling continued from the 61.8% pullback level of 85.33. There is ample scope for a move lower from this important resistance. Closed below the 20-day EMA.
Our profit targets will be 65.12 and 56.10
Resistance: 76.45 / 85.00 / 97.50
Support: 74.00 / 65.00 / 56.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Activision Blizzard (ATVI) Due For Snowslide?Activision Blizzard ( ATVI ) Due For Snowslide?
I personally enjoy snow related activities to include snowboarding. But I can assure you a snowslide event is furthest from my mind when I go. If I had a heads up for the probability of one occurring in an area, I'd take adhere to safety precautions or be far removed from the event.
I believe that Activision Blizzard is due for a “snowslide” after it gapped up January 18, 2022.
Rationale-ATVI gapped up approximately 15.90 on January 14, 2022. 6.90 of the total gap was filled. The gap amount that remains is approximately 9.81. Please make a note of the fact that, ATVI closed below the 9, 21, 50 and 200 moving averages (please review the chart below).
ATVI bounced off the 200 MA twice prior to finally going just below it on April 29, 2022. Though it closed under the 200 MA, the candle is closed as a spinning top. It is for that reason that I will more than likely wait for a safe entry just below 75.28.
Overall sentiment- Bearish
Peace and Prosperity,
Al
Below Support & Rejected Multiple Times.Extra bullish pump with the purchase that happened but with interest rates still affecting the market, I can see this falling down to retest the previous levels before the pump.
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Don't trade with what you're not willing to lose. Safe Trading, Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only
Activision: This is no time for gamesActivision
Short Term - We look to Sell at 77.15 (stop at 78.83)
We look to sell rallies. Previous support level of 78.00 broken. Previous support at 78.00 now becomes resistance. There is ample scope for a move lower from this important resistance. Selling continued from the 61.8% pullback level of 85.33.
Our profit targets will be 65.12 and 56.10
Resistance: 78.00 / 85.00 / 100.00
Support: 72.00 / 65.00 / 56.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Spring action for ATVI ATVI has a has factors like a low on the RSI on the 1D and the 4H already off to and early reversal. The 4H MACD going in for a cross which made the 1D a bounce into green territory. Price action could definitely go back to resistance and maybe even break through it to find a new floor.
WAR WeStarter most undervalued crypto incubatorWAR WeStarter will soon launch CryptoSteam
Aaron Pulkka, former vice-president of Activision Blizzard , founded CryptoSteam, a crypto-games publishing platform, and invented the concept of GameFi 2.0.
The vision of CryptoSteam is to become the infrastructure provider of Metaverse, and be the bridge to connect all other meta-universes together.
WAR WeStarter is a cross-chain token initial swap platform which selects high-quality crypto projects that need fundraising before listing to major exchanges.
It was launched in May 2021 at $2. Due to market conditions, the price is now $0.06 and the market cap is less than $1 million.
The first financing was completed on April 15th, and the participated investment institutions include Continue Capital, SevenX Ventures, NGC Ventures, AU21 Capital, Spark Digital Capital, LD Capital, Power Law Capital, Kyros Ventures, DoraHacks Ventures, SkyVentures, DEFI TIMES CAPITAL and others.
A similar incubator is SFUND Seedify, has a mk cap of $143Mil.
So The upside potential is 143X from here just to reach SFUND`s market cap.
Extremely low circulating supply, with few thousands usd, you ca substantially move the price.
The RSI shows a massive bullish divergence. Increase in volume while decrease in price. Oversold area!
Minimum upside potential is 10X in my opinion.
WAR launches CryptoSteam founded by vice-president of ActivisionWAR WeStarter will launch CryptoSteam on February 25th.
Aaron Pulkka, former vice-president of Activision Blizzard, founded CryptoSteam, a crypto-games publishing platform, and invented the concept of GameFi 2.0.
The vision of CryptoSteam is to become the infrastructure provider of Metaverse, and be the bridge to connect all other meta-universes together.
WAR WeStarter is a cross-chain token initial swap platform which selects high-quality crypto projects that need fundraising before listing to major exchanges.
It was launched in May 2021 at $2. Due to market conditions, the price is now $0.071 and the market cap is $1 million.
The first financing was completed on April 15th, and the participated investment institutions include Continue Capital, SevenX Ventures, NGC Ventures, AU21 Capital, Spark Digital Capital, LD Capital, Power Law Capital, Kyros Ventures, DoraHacks Ventures, SkyVentures, DEFI TIMES CAPITAL and others.
A similar incubator is SFUND Seedify, has a mk cap of $165Mil.
So The upside potential is 165X from here just to reach SFUND`s market cap.
Extremely low circulating supply, with few thousands usd, you ca substantially move the price.
The RSI shows a massive bullish divergence . Increase in volume while decrease in price.
Minimum upside potential is 10X in my opinion.
Activision (ATVI) Take profitActivision (ATVI) Take Profit
Time to take profit
After the news of the acquisition by Microsoft for nearly 70 billion dollars, Activision (ATVI) jumps to + 32% from the close on January 14.
If you followed me you will know that my average price was $ 70.71 and at the opening on 1/18, I sold the entire position, taking home the profit, with a gain of 22.64%.
Another good trade to start 2022, which saw me in drawdown for most of the trade.
Obviously, I'm not saying that I expected this, because my trading has always been transparent and visible to everyone, I am one of the very few who says things before doing them and if the reasons why I invested in Activision are well explained in previous posts, but clearly, I was expecting a reversal, even a violent one, but not a 32% gap up. This acquisition, which among other things adds yet another arrow to Microsoft's bow, was not expected and, as far as I'm concerned, I didn't even have any rumors.
A huge trade, therefore, it would have been even more profitable if the price had touched $ 55, where I would have mediated the price further.
Happy trading,
Lazy Bull
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor nor a CPA. These posts, videos, and any other contents are for educational and entertainment purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. While it is possible to minimize risk, your investments are solely your responsibility. It is imperative that you conduct your own research. I am merely sharing my opinion with no guarantee of gains or losses on investments.