Adani
Adani Enterprise just pure technical analysisAdani Enterprise just pure technical analysis
broke the 200 day moving average on large volume
lot of news flow with some allegations by Hindenburg short seller with some issues around float/holding structure and pending follow-on-public offer
Most likely previous support will become resistance, and trend broken?
Keeping this to technical analysis for the time being
Shows important questions around corporate governance in emerging markets
Holding structure and what's true float?
How Divergence was giving Adequate Warning - Adani EnterpriseDivergence has been very successful in Indicating a reversal well in advance. Of course, not all the indicated divergences resulted in successful price reversal. But Divergence on larger timeframe means at least be cautious !! Most of the traders who trade divergence combine multiple indicators for confirmation, which is fine. But in my opinion never trade against a divergence, specially if it happened in a bigger timeframe/larger timeframe.
Which indicators can be used for divergence ?
Most of the divergence indicators are based on oscillators and the idea is to find divergence between price movement in the chart vs the oscillator. Following are examples of some indicators which can be used to determine divergence:
RSI
MACD
Stochastic/Stochastic RSI
OBV
CCI
Aroon
Willian %R
(Please let us know which indicator do you use for divergence, if it's not in the list)
My indicators are mostly based on RSI and MACD and no one needs any fancy indicators to determine divergence.
Examples of Some Divergences
ADANI GROUPS
Adani Ent (specifically) was showing an extreme divergence on daily chart recently, even much before all these controversy was on!! Please look at all the three oscillators in comparison to price chart. There were enough divergence to stay away from all the longs. Now, switch on to weekly for Adani !!!!!
(The red color change in the first divergence indicatot is noting but RSI overbought zone)
Now, tell me, wasn't there an like never before weekly divergence??? Adani was all set to burst since 19 Dec 2022 weekly candle.
NIFTY CHART - (DAILY )- BULLISH & BEARISH IN ONE CHART
Please have a look into this -
The first divergence is bullish and second one is bearish !! How beautifully captured. Now you ask, can a price reversal happen without divergences?? The answer is yes. But I would say, if there is a divergence, most likely price would move in favour or at least, if doubtful stay away !!!
The irony and the most wonderful thing about divergence, that people don't understand that, these divergences can be traded for a great risk reward ratio !!!
ring ring who are we Mark my words, we are watching hardshade mehta 2.0
loss 677-634 adani ports is dead meat
this is not a finical advice am not a financial adviser do your due diligence before taking any action am, not responsible for your loss
this is follow up to last day TA i hope you guys have made some profits here its time to take profits on short wait for retracement decrease your short exposure we are neutral after this big of brake down we willl be watching ports fall
when opportunity arrive we let you know again
the last ta out target haven't hit yet but it will hit some time soon
and i advise personally not to bottom fish this
on month macd just cross, and they have lost the neutral zone and heavy rejection from bull control zone it will take time so give it time there is huge potential to the downside 85-98% avg correction from ath it was in rising wedge and after it brake the wedge there will be more downside pressure so stay safe i advice don't bottom fish this and let it clear out of Hindenburg is that statement is true or not let court decide that
ADANIENT - A typical bubble burst Chart says it all. 231 rs could be the final stop, with multiple levels on the way. Not directly ofcourse but it's the start today. Look for very quick short bounces in purple box region especially.
Typical Charts of other bubble bursts from the past which could tell the story of ADANIENT ahead. Blueline in the charts below represent where we could be right now on the charts below
1. NaturalGas -
2. Meta -
3. Netflix -
NIFTY ENERGY, FALL OF 13%this fall could take a bit more time, then drawn on chart, but from chart we could clearly see that nifty energy is overvalued.
in all time frame, the rsi currently is at 60, the average, or the mostly rsi being in the chart is around 50. although, it has been falling, and yet following a triangle pattern. there could be a downside, fall.
the dark black line is the trend, which is drawn from 2004''s trend till its ATH.
the trend should be followed by the indices. adani stocs could fall, they have made the index to go a lot upside, in the short term, there could be a lot volatility, and in coming months, the index may falling by 13%.
reliance is somewhat discount(weightage- 35% in nifty energy),
NTPC also fall in a good amount.
in 5 year time frame, rsi is also showing a good trangle pattern. if any breach on downside of support, will result in start of bear market, for nifty energy.
i am saying volatile because
reliance is discounted, NTPC, could go up by 5-7% then fall, and adani stocks are rarely unpredictable, so this may cause the index to move up-down, causing volatility, but in longer term, it looks overvalued, and will fall about 13%.
ADANI IS OVEREXTENDED A MASSIVE DOWNFALL COMINGADANI stock is overextended buying now is a suicide , i see people in twitter and facebook want to buy ADANI stock, i am telling you the big boys are there watching , and they are going to bleed you out.. its trend is overextended ,the big investors will start taking their partial profits and anytime soon a very deep drop will happen ⬇️⬇️
AADANIPORTSAADANIPORTS - We can see it clearly forming the Cup & Handle Pattern. Which give us good up move. The formation of Cup and Handle is not completed yet, but it looks the same.
Once the pattern is formed we can expect a target of 1192.
Disc- This is only for learning purpose and not a trading recommendation
ADANIPORT SPECIAL SWING TRADEStock is looking good on most of the timeframes.
On the hourly chart, it is consolidating above the previous resistance, which is now working as support i.e 818-820.
Sustaining the support, the stock can probably move towards 840 to 860 levels in the coming trading sessions.
ADANIGREEN is forming triangle patternNSE:ADANIGREEN large cap adani stock is forming triangle pattern.
Cons:
Very high PE ratio - 600
Very high debt to asset ratio - 0.9
News driven stock
Pros:
Adani stock
30% below its all time high
Green energy sector
Not recommended for long term as price can crash any time due to high PE ratio. But good pick for swing with very high risk.
Key note : Always follow proper risk management to avoid losing capital from false breakouts as this is common.
Caution : This is a knowledge sharing analysis, not a call.
Profits are not made from following ideas, but by following Risk Management .
ADANI ENTERPRISES STAGES!!BLUE CIRCLE: is the consolidated market after the nifty 50 gave its bull run recently after June 20th.
ORANGE CIRCLE: is the buying and selling, basically the manipulation of stocks for the short period.
RED CIRCLE: and now the current stage, where the stock is forming A HIGHER LOWS PATTERN, chance to give a breakout.
PURPLE LINE: is a support.
ADANI WILMAR, GOOD SUPPORT.the stock has given about 175% approx returns in just 7 months.
it could be possible that, it could hold onto this support, and then start moving, but now its good time to buy. stock has been in a good rally, and i dont see, it will go down, and nullify the rally. i dont see further fall in the stock, and going more lower to its supports.
the stock is just holding onto its support line, and may go up in some time.
TARGET: 875(27%APPROX)
STOCK WILL BE REACHING ITS ALL TIME HIGH.
ADANI GREEN ENERGY!! PATH!!this astock will go down till 2000, and then move up and continue to its trend!!
1. purple line is the trend actually trend, based on stock getting consolidated.
2. blue lines are the major levels.
3. black lines are the trends which define that stock will come down till 2000, and then move upside(since reaching at 2000 level, the stock will be at its bottom).
I HAVE DRAWN THE 4 PHASES GREATLY(REALLY SORRY FOR THAT BAD SCRIBBLE:P), BUT YES I HOPE YOU ARE GETTING MY POINT.
SEE YOU IN MY NEXT ANALYSIS.