ADBE - Follow up - Getting ready to rallyOn my previous post a few days ago, I highlighted this orange zone from which a bounce is highly likely if the primary count is correct.
Today we are seeing it go up with other mega caps.
Right now it look like it's making a 5 wave advance which would be a great bullish sign but we only have 3 waves up for now.
I already have a position here but I will look to add to it if we get 5 waves up followed by a correction lower which needs to remain above 453.2 !
ADBE
Adobe shares nearing good buying levelsShares of Adobe (NYSE:ADBE) have pulled back nicely to the support level of a descending triangle. The share is also now within 3% of its 200MA. I will be keeping a close eye on the share in the coming days for a long term buying opportunity. This is a strong technology company with good prospects and prices are now at August 2020 levels.
Im looking at a price target of around $530 (17%) and a stop at the $425 level, given a conservative risk reward ratio of 2.2. Other supporting indicators are the MACD and RSI which both support the position that the stock is reaching oversold territory.
ADBE short with LONG entry levelsADBE just broke the support around $463, and we are heading to another support around $438. This could be a good entry-level for long positions. The area from $417 to $438 is a big support zone.
ADOBE INC is a strong company with a strong base of customers. The perfect subscription model with a monthly fee and irreplaceable software that is used worldwide guarantees stable profits.
Entry levels LONG positions:
$438
$423
$417 - STRONG BUY
ADBE - 2 way this could play outWe have 2 possiblities here.
Either we are in a complex WXY correction which would then take price towards 415 i n a corrective fashion similar to the dotted line drawing.
or
we are finishing a Flat corrective wave 2 pattern in which case price should remain above the invalidation level at 439 .
The usual termination point for wave (C) of a Flat pattern is the 100% and 127.2% projection of wave (A) from (B) but the 127.2% level would be below the invalidation level, therefore we can discard it for this setup.
100% level comes at 451, which is also the 78.6% retracement level of wave 1, known also as the last line of defense for bulls.
So, price needs to ideally remain above that level if we are to see higher prices.
Note also that any move above 505 even before touching the 451 level should be considered as a big bullish indication!
Short term opportunity on ADBE Today, we will show a bullish setup we have seen on ADBE.
a) The price has broken a major Descending structure
b) Now it's above a resistance zone
c) We can see a corrective structure on the mentioned resistance zone
d) If we have a breakout on the Green line, we will consider the analysis active / The same scenario for the red line (Invalidation of the analysis)
e) The TP1 area can be used to close the setup or move the stop loss to break-even (that is what we will do)
f) We are aiming for a final target at 533.10
g) This setup can provide a Risk Reward Ratio above 2
h) We expect a resolution between 10 to 20 days
Our plan going into earnings next week #stocksWe were burned by Salesforce but were rewarded by Crowdstrike. The Model has us long equities across the board so we are willing to continue to take the earnings risk. ADOBE has been best in breed
Ingenuity Trading Model is an algorithm used in- Stock, Forex, Futures, and Crypto markets. The model is a Geometric Markov Model :
In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal sine wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions.
Our model focuses on the current sine wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement. For questions or more information feel free to contact me in the comment section or via private chat
Corrective Structures and Fibonacci ExtensionsHere, we will expand the information about the chart.
Corrective Structure: Tell us about an accumulation/distribution process. That means that Institutional funds are trying to buy the maximum amount of an asset. Remember, they have a lot of money. They cant set a buy order as Retail traders do. They need to average their buy on a range (that takes time). The same applies to the selling process. A key aspect of this process is the idea that when they buy, they will move the price; after that, they need to sell a partial amount of the previous purchase to keep the price in range. When the price falls again, they loop the process again. These actions create corrective structures that retail trades can use to understand that this is happening and simply wait for the breakout.
Fibonacci Extensions: Ralph Nelson Elliott stated that, while stock market prices may appear random and unpredictable, they actually follow predictable, natural laws and can be measured and forecast using Fibonacci numbers. ( In this case, Fibo Extenssions provide us with Targets based on proportions with previous movements) Elliott stated that, while stock market prices may appear random and unpredictable, they actually follow predictable, natural laws and can be measured and forecast using Fibonacci numbers.
We hope the information was useful!
Buy Signal: 467.19Ingenuity Trading Model used in- Stock, Forex, Futures, and Crypto markets
The model is a Geometric Markov Model :
In probability theory, a Markov model is a stochastic model used to predict randomly changing systems. Markov Models are used in all aspects of life from Google search to daily weather forecast. The randomly changing systems we focus on are the equity, futures, and forex markets. The geometric element of the model is the fractal wave structure you can find on any chart you look at across any market and across all time dimensions.
Our model focuses on the current wave formation (current state)- geometric price formation along with its volume and volatility over a given time period and using that information to predict the future state- future price movement. For questions or more information feel free to contact me in the comment section or via private chat
It´s never too late to buy $ADBE It´s never too late to buy a stock. No one can determine wether it´s on its cealing or not. Sometimes all you need is historical data and a clear long signal.
It has been now more than 4 years since Adobe´s stock price started to increase at good rithm. For the past weeks it has been quite blurry to determine what could happen.
$ADBE has broken the triangle pattern created since its last highest, upwards. It is above the 50MA, the RSI has been latheralizing while the MACD forrest was negative. But now the MACD is about to turnaround positvely, plus the RSI is above the 50lvl. We can see this as clear long signals on a stock price to which I personally see no roof yet.
$ADBE Adobe Poised for a Run$ADBE Broke out of a falling wedge pattern to the upside today on the daily chart, held the 20d ema line as support and closed above recent highs. Expect to see a strong continuation move in the coming days.
Also of note, we saw some bullish unusual options activity late last week with 5k $420.00 strike (deep ITM) Jan'21 calls traded Friday vs open interest <300 or 19 times OI. These contracts were over $8k each for a total premium outlay of $42.1M - this was likely a large hedge fund trade.
Near term target - $540-$560 range by late October
Note This is NOT investment advice.