ADOBE INC - BEARISH CENARIOTough times for Adobe and its investors.
The software giant is facing the biggest stock decline in years. The price already reached the COVID-19 bottom and it looks like this is not the end.
The rapid lifting of the interest rates by the central banks means more reduction in consumer demand and lesser price increases. In the near term, sales and profit margins are likely to drop from current estimates.
Adobe Inc recently announced a lowered revenue guidance for 2023 also affected by the change in the currency rates.
In a short-term correction is possible to the major resistance located at the $ 300.
The long-term scenario is a breakout of the local $ 270 support level and a new drop to the $ 205 support level.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Adobe
Green on Adobe. ADBEFlat finished. We are due for another fractal. Betting on further growth given relative and short term growth in the indices.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
Adobe on a sale!Adobe - 30D Expiry - We look to Buy a break of 301.11 (stop at 284.98)
With signals for sentiment at oversold extremes, the dip could not be extended.
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Trading close to the psychological 300.00 level.
We expect a significant move higher if prices manage to break the 300.00 resistance.
The measured move target is 360.00.
Our profit targets will be 349.49 and 359.49
Resistance: 290.00 / 300.00 / 312.00
Support: 275.00 / 265.00 / 255.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses
SPY Fractal: will SPY re-capture 390 after a hammer & engulfing?Pessimism is all over with analyst calling for recession & another 20% drop from 390. SPY already made an impressive recovery from June Low even touching ma200 line but then falls back to the 390 zone after high inflation data. Further rally was again delayed by FDX declaring recession & slashing guidance. Adobe also contributed to the pessimism after investors didn’t like its over-priced purchase of a competitor.
POSITIVE VIEW: UPS’s announcement did not quite agree with FDX so maybe FDX is just losing its logistics business to UPS & AMZN. Market may have over-reacted. If after today, FED raises by 75 basis points which was already priced in, SPY may continue to bounce especially now that it already made a hammer & a bullish engulfing candle in the last 2 days. Maybe SPY will initially tank to make a bigger bulltrap before rising above 390 again. This will confirm the ongoing bullish divergences & a rally
may follow soon. SPY now at the crossroad of my dotted 0.786 Fib Channel line & the pandemic trendline.
Also, price action is somewhat similar to the fractal in the chart which ends bullish.
NEGATIVE SIDE: End of September is historically bearish before a rally in the 4Q.
BUT this time it may be different.
Not trading advice
ADBE higher high higher low; Target of Inv H&S id 555ADBE just broke above some resistance lines as shown in the chart. Here I used GANN lines.
It broke above a small resistance zone & the downward channel. If the huge inverse H&S pattern plays out, there
Will be a huge upside with TP at 555.
A fundamental very good company with a lot of moat.
Not trading advice
ADOBE INC - BULLISH SCENARIOA new bullish opportunity comes from Adobe Inc.
Higher lows and higher highs are forming an uptrend price channel with a reasonable risk-reward ratio.
1st resistance is 0.236 Fibo level located in the middle of the channel at $425.
2nd resistance is located at $ 460.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Adobe - Trend-Following Setup!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
ADBE is overall bullish trading inside our brown rising broadening wedge and it is currently sitting around the lower bound so we will be looking for trend-following buy setups.
For the bulls to take over, we need a break above the gray minor support/resistance zone.
Meanwhile, ADBE can still trade lower and dive inside the blue rejection zone.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
This is not photoshopped - Adobe heading lower?Adobe - Short Term - We look to Sell at 380.40 (stop at 401.40)
The medium term bias remains bearish. The gap open from 10/06/2022 to 13/06/2022 has now been closed. As this corrective sequence continues we look to set shorts on a rally at better risk/reward levels. Further downside is expected and we prefer to set shorts in early trade.
Our profit targets will be 321.30 and 256.00
Resistance: 392 / 426.42 / 441.90
Support: 357.56 / 338.00 / 320.90
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Adobe - Still to Fall or Has It Reached Support Area? Is one of the leading digital media companies Adobe already attractive for investors?
Let's look at fundamentals and technical aspects.
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - demonstrated consistent and explosive long-term earnings growth over the past 10 years
Profit margin - impressive 40% in 2021
P/E - still overpriced with 37x ratio
Liabilities - no problems with debt
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
The sharp drop in March 2020 has completed a Running Flat correction that lasted for more than year and a half
Since then Adobe has enjoyed over 170% gain in its share price with a clear impulse movement
Having peaked at nearly $700 in November 2021 it has completed global wave 3 that started in August 2011 - very lengthy growth cycle
And hence it is time for even longer correction than the one we observed in 2018-2020, the duration target is end of 2023
Global wave 4 has already started with rapid correction from the historic high, the potential support levels using Fibonacci retracement are 0.5x and 0.618x, $360 and $280 respectively. But given still quite high P/E ratio it is more likely for Adobe to reach lower level of this zone
Once support is found then we are likely to observe a very lengthy corrective movement in the range between the lower support level and the maximum price of $700, which will provide short term opportunities for bull and bears
What do you think about this scenario for Adobe ?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
Thanks
Adobe (NASDAQ: $ADBE) Wicks Thru Golden Pocket! 🕯️ Adobe Inc. operates as a diversified software company worldwide. It operates through three segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing and Advertising. The Digital Media segment offers products, services, and solutions that enable individuals, teams, and enterprises to create, publish, and promote content; and Document Cloud, a unified cloud-based document services platform. Its flagship product is Creative Cloud, a subscription service that allows members to access its creative products. This segment serves content creators, workers, marketers, educators, enthusiasts, communicators, and consumers. The Digital Experience segment provides an integrated platform and set of applications and services that enable brands and businesses to create, manage, execute, measure, monetize, and optimize customer experiences from analytics to commerce. This segment serves marketers, advertisers, agencies, publishers, merchandisers, merchants, web analysts, data scientists, developers, and executives across the C-suite. The Publishing and Advertising segment offers products and services, such as e-learning solutions, technical document publishing, web conferencing, document and forms platform, web application development, and high-end printing, as well as Advertising Cloud offerings. The company offers its products and services directly to enterprise customers through its sales force and local field offices, as well as to end users through app stores and through its website at adobe.com. It also distributes products and services through a network of distributors, value-added resellers, systems integrators, software vendors and developers, retailers, and original equipment manufacturers. The company was formerly known as Adobe Systems Incorporated and changed its name to Adobe Inc. in October 2018. Adobe Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Short-term Bullish on AdobeI'm looking at ADBE today. Seeing a lot of good signs for a shorter-term play. I'm seeing Bullish Divergence on the Daily chart (as well as recent 4-hr Bullish Divergence). In addition, ADBE has entered a *strong* buy zone on the lower indicator (something that hasn't happened since 2011). Working against ADBE is the negative momentum, however, I think there's a good chance we see bulls step in over the next few weeks. I'm interested in increasing my exposure here.
Good Luck
----------------------------------------------------------------
These are my personal views and not financial advice. Please do your own research before investing.
I'd love to hear your thoughts, ideas and feedback. Feel free to Comment and I'll try and get back to you quickly.
If you appreciated this analysis, consider Liking or Following . Thanks!
ADOBE is preparing for take-off!ADOBE has several signals suggesting a take-off!
First, it has broken a major dynamic resistance in price, which has been formed since November 2021.
Second, it has broken another major dynamic resistance in RSI, which has been formed since November 2021.
Third, the daily price has formed a reverse head and shoulders.
The only problem is Ichimoku which shows resistance at the current time. Wait for a clean break out and retest of the neckline and then enter to gain massive profit!
Adobe near SMA200 on weekly chart.This is the weekly chart of Adobe, we can see that price is very close to SMA200. I would like to see it testing this support level, but i would also want a divergence at RVI and RSI. For now, none of the oscillators have a divergence at lows, but all 4 have a divergence at highs.