DocuSign Inc. and the lesson to be learnt. (TL;DR at end)When the Covid pandemic began affecting many people throughout the workplace and in their homes, companies such as NASDAQ:MSFT , Zoom and NASDAQ:GOOGL began rapidly designing software to accommodate for this very new sprouting market that nobody had ever seen before. A whole line of business dedicated to allowing people to perform their work assigned tasks from anywhere in the world or from the comfort of their couch at home. Despite the major sell-off due to the pandemic and fears of complete economic collapse in some places, a number of people and companies became considerably wealthier. A prime example that I am writing about today is DocuSign and their virtual document signing services which are in competition with NASDAQ:ADBE .
There was a massive craze over this whole digital work idea and many investors believed it was a "money-pot" for a future dominating market. Many investors began pumping money into such companies for long and short term investments. The thought behind it being, "people prefer working this way and now that they have used it, they'll never go back". This mentality obviously allowed companies like DocuSign to advance in price dramatically, because how else are you supposed to sign off a document on a desktop for instance. Despite the thought process seeming "sound", there was one major downfall.
The anticipated growth for a company like DocuSign and other competitors was astronomical. But, as Covid restrictions began to ease up slightly between the time of the announcement of the Delta variant and then Omicron, many people realised that they didn't quite enjoy working from home and/or owners of companies brought many employees back into the workplace, sales for products provided by a company like DocuSign slipped and this sent shivers through countless investors' spines as they realised how overpriced the company may have actually been in comparison to its inherent value. Needless to mention, DocuSign announcing that the "pandemic boom" in business was slowing down after they presented their slipping sales did not help in any which way, shape, nor form. This resulted in a horrific sell-off of countless stocks causing price a catastrophic price drop (especially for traders) of around $100 in Docusign and major price drops with their competitors. Consequently, Adobe had a stock price drop too as investors lost faith in their ability to maintain growth in sales (From $698 all the way through to $616 (at the time of writing)).
Now there is one major lesson to be learnt regarding this scenario and like so many before it. Deciding to become a shareholder in a company due to the potential in their industry and their presence within it alone can end horrifically. Especially when the media "hypes up" such companies resulting in horrific over-evaluations. One must perform their own investigation into the safety of such company regardless of how long you plan on holding their stock for. There is no point in putting money into a company that may not be profitable or the management consists of a number of incompetent monkeys for instance just because everybody is talking about it. You must perform your own investigation and create your own judgement on whether this company is actually worth your time. As an investor or trader, you must be careful, now as much as ever. There are countless startups having their prices floated by the media and the public's attitude towards the company which inevitably come crashing back down, even though all that could be avoided if the investor/trader actually held back until they deemed the price "acceptable or attractive" for the company.
As always, further opinions, facts and news that I may not be aware of are always welcome in the comments, it is always good to bounce ideas off of others, so comment away!
TL;DR: The work from home craze at the beginning of the pandemic ('hyped' by the media) caused many to pump money into companies that would later lose business as many returned to the workplace or their financial infrastructure was realised to be dysfunctional. One must do their own homework into companies and only pay a suitable price for the stock they're getting.
Adobe
Let's all buy a metric shit ton of $CRM and get rich.This is a chart of $CRM. The bars pattern is of $FTNT. You can do this with $ADBE and a number of other tech stocks as well. You'll probably notice $ADBE is leading, I'm betting $CRM will follow. Both will catch up to $FTNT.
The structure is ready, we've been drawing this bull flag forever. We've lost all hope in stocks. Biden flushed everyone out that is scared of a little tax bump but only poors worry about taxes... they sold the bottom. It's time.
ADBE Elliot wave and Wyckoff analysisNASDAQ:ADBE
Extending to the left you can see the monthly 0-1-2 fib extensions, on the right are the 2-3-4 fib extensions. As you can see there is still a lot of room to the upside on the monthly 5. Looking down into the weekly, you can see we have just finished a 2-3 move up out of a Wyckoff re-accumulation.
At the deepest part of the monthly 4 you there was a spring up with high buying volume, ending the negative Weis wave momentum and starting a new daily and weekly EW. We just finished the daily EW and the 2-3 of the weekly and you can see on the daily chart that volume has been ramping down in preparation for a correction. The stochastic is overbought but is showing a false bar so I don't recommend shorting at this time (or trading a 4).
I am watching for an ABC corrective move down from the current levels on the daily chart -- this should form the weekly 4 which once that is over I will re-enter a long position.
You can use Adobe to make $DOGE memes.If a car is a meme, and the gas is $DOGE, then the highway is Adobe.
Create memes of meme coins, but first, load up on some $ADBE. You should invest in the tools you use.
The bars pattern here is from $FTNT... they're all in the same tech basket. $FTNT is leading, $ADBE $CRM and others are following.
LONG Breakout ADOBE After Q1 after consolidationWhen discarding covid19 effect, only once since September 2012 has SMA200 been above SMA50.
Right now there is a balancing act going on.
Yet over this week the price has broken out from the previous 3 tops and had strong support in 420-430 after Q1 postings.
Since then there has been a strong RSI14 development and is showing a strong yet not "overbought" tendency.
I have entered long in 515.23 today, as the spike in price over the last 3 days will ensure that SMA50 will stay above SMA200.
Adobe: Weekly Bull BreakAs I already analyzed in the video on Monday (see attached), Adobe just broke the prolonged Weekly Bull Flag since basically August 2020. We broke & closed above the resistance yesterday on the Daily. If the bulls don't fake out & see follow through this week, Adobe can now easily go towards $600 in the coming weeks & months.
Some fundamentals : Adobe has seen quite some upside since they changed from the one-off to the monthly subscription models, since a lot more professionals could now afford it. This obviously got a lot more usage throughout the Covid period, as people were working from the home office.
Given that it still underperformed the S&P500 and went on a sideways consolidation after it rose 90% until the summer, which we have to recognize.
I'm a Photoshop & Premiere Pro user myself, and can see the value of the neat integration in the cloud.
After all: If you're not gonna own the companies you're using yourself, then what? ;)
In this case the fundamentals are now getting confirmed by the technicals.
Happy trading & investing!
Massive Structure on ADBEToday we will take a look at the current situation on ADBE.
Key concepts:
a) Flag Pattern: This type of formation is considered a continuation pattern, meaning that after the breakout, we tend to observe a movement in the same direction as the previous impulse
b)Ascending Structure: using two trendlines, we can understand the upper and lower bands of any trend; when we have a breakout on any of the directions, we can use that to forecast possible movements on the breakout direction
c)Fibo Extensions: We use them to forecast possible targets on a new impulse
Final Conclusion: We have an activation level on the green line and an invalidation level on the red line; the final target is the 2nd fibo extension, and we will use the first one as a risk-free level.
Thanks for reading!
ADBE short with LONG entry levelsADBE just broke the support around $463, and we are heading to another support around $438. This could be a good entry-level for long positions. The area from $417 to $438 is a big support zone.
ADOBE INC is a strong company with a strong base of customers. The perfect subscription model with a monthly fee and irreplaceable software that is used worldwide guarantees stable profits.
Entry levels LONG positions:
$438
$423
$417 - STRONG BUY
2/10 Quarterly Update (End of year 2020)Hey guys,
as you know, each quarter 10 Videos/Charts.
This is a number, enjoy it :)
Today we discuss some stocks, the first video was about the crypto asset class. There will be other asset classes, like main videos them for example about spx or dow jones or dax, as well as other financial derivates. In between them, the other videos will contain random stocks, which we encounter, while streaming.
So the next one will discuss a few stocks of the "good stocks" list.
The next asset class video will be about forex or commodities.
Thereafter will be more stock examples and finally, the last videos will again be about a major asset class and the last one will be about trading ideas for 2021.
And as always, thank you for tuning in, happy trading everybody,
roman from -ger-quality-trades-