ADSK
Long term uptrend untouched, set to new ATH this year.Please note this is just an idea, invest at your own risk.
Autodesk is clearly in an uptrend long-term, however has been trading in a range for the past half year.
It recently touched the 200MA, which has been a stable support historically for the stock.
Avoid buying if it breaks 275 level of support.
I think the current 293 can be a good entry, although an alternative entry around 305 can be a safer play.
If it moves up strongly over 305, I expect it to test ATH at 322.
Happy to get feedback on my idea.
TTD ADSK7.9.20 TTD ADSK In this video I discussed more market dynamics in both of these equities. TTD is definitely a bullish market that is making new highs and has no structured that suggest resistance because there is no resistance based on the past and this has certain challenges to it. There are certain details that might be of interest, things we can look for, not as an absolute commitment that they will happen, but we have a chance to analyze previous behavior and what future behavior might look like. I will follow up on this chart regardless of what happens after today. ADSK similarly has made all-time highs and has no resisting structure, but it does have behavior from the past which is very important to recognize in my opinion, and if you had recognizes behavior you have a way of interpreting the market and taking advantage of this market when it was trading around structure, and for that reason it's worth looking at ADSK. I did not have time to talk about the current transitions in ADSK which actually give us some information that we can work with, but I will address this on a future video.
AUTODESK: ANOTHER EARNINGS DISAPPOINTMENT MIGHT BREAK THE TRENDAutodesk is a software company. It's stock rose 50% since last October. The market cap is currently 46B USD. Last year's revenue was only 2.578B USD, while the net income was a negative 80.8M USD. We were following this stock for a while and consider it overvalued. The time to go short might have arrived now. In the chart the earnings are indicated. Everytime Autodesk disappointed with the earnings and the stock dropped but recovered quite quickly.
Last earnings report on 26 Nov 2019 was 0.30 USD instead of the estimated 0.72 USD. The estimate for 27 Feb 2020 is 0.89 USD. Chances are high that Autodesk will miss the earnings estimate again. What might be different this time is the reaction. The chart, the MACD and the stochastic show that the stock hasn't dropped for months. If the earnings will disappoint again, the stock will probably drop further and for longer than after the last earnings.
ADSK looks interesting hereClearly defined support and resistance in an ascending channel. If it's going to rise to around $200, it will first need to break out above a descending trendline around $167. I'd maybe put on half a position here and add more if it falls to the bottom of the channel or if it breaks out above the descending trendline.
$ADSK trend continuationhigher time frame is in defined uptrend with healthy pullback
mid time frame is showing a rising ma after minor accumulation and weakening downtrend breaking out of downtrend line with positive momentum and volume pressure
lower time frame is showing positive strength after price was overextended and pullback to intermediate moving average and working it way back up
looking for price to break through the 106.1x resistance area and first target to 106.7x for a break of that resistance higher