Be careful here! ❌We are still above the support at 42, and we have a consolidation. If we don’t break the 44.59 next week, we’ll fall more.
Considering the advanced breakdown on the RSI, chances are that we’ll drop to the 39, to the next fibs retracement. It’ll confirm this idea if we break through the 42.34.
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Advancedbreakdown
A warning sign! ⚠️We are breaking the support at 45.24, meaning, we might see NIO at 43.89 next. We must see a very good and surprising reaction on NIO right now, to invalidate this thesis.
We are under the 20ma, but the Bollinger Bands are still tight, so, there’s still a chance we’ll see something incredible. We just can’t count too much on that.
The RSI has an advanced breakdown, and this is another point in favor of our thesis. The 43.89 will be a breakpoint for NIO, because it is the neckline of this head and shoulders pattern!
If NIO triggers this pattern, then the stock will have some problems. But if we see a good reaction around the 43.89, as crazy as this could sound to some people, we will see a buy sign. How will NIO behave from here? No one knows, but I’ll keep you guys informed.
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A lot of interesting patterns around! 👀This chart is pretty easy to read. NIO has a pivot at 45.97, and it it breaks this point, it’ll trigger this pivot, and possibly an inverted head and shoulders. This would be awesome for NIO, and it could seek the 50s again.
Also, it is curious to notice how the red line, a previous support line, was a resistance today. The market always remembers some breakpoints.
Like the red line wasn’t enough, this price is at the 20ma in the 4h chart, and we have an advanced breakdown on the RSI. Together, these indicators can make NIO drop a little bit more.
Either way, it must not lose the 43.89, as this will trigger a bear trend. Let’s focus on the points mentioned here and we’ll be fine. 😊
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Did exactly what should do. Now, what? 🤨Yes, NIO did everything we talked about yesterday, and it reached the 43s as expected. The resistance around the 38.2% retracement and the 20ma did hold the price pretty well, and today NIO couldn’t deal with it.
We lost the red line, and it already hit its target at the previous bottom, around 43.89. Now the RSI is oversold, and NIO is starting to get interesting again.
The problem is that NIO has a RSI divergence, and an advanced breakdown too. We lost the 20ma and the red line. This means that if NIO doesn’t react as quickly as possible, we’ll just drop to the 42 area again.
For now, it is not a buy, but we must stay alert here, because we might see a buy soon. :)
I’ll keep you guys informed!
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Is it still going to the $26? Yes! 👍PLTR almost hit our target at 26, and I still think it’ll hit there, but we have a correction first.
The RSI was too overbought this morning, so, that was expected. Now the 25.04 is a breakpoint for us, and if PLTR loses it, the advanced breakdown on the RSI will confirm.
This could make PLTR drop to the 24.60 area in the 4h chart.
We have the 20ma and the red line as supports, but the BB are getting tight again, and this tells me PLTR could explode again soon.
The question is if it’ll do a pullback before that or not. The 25.04 will answer our question. But regardless of anything else, the 26 is still the target.
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As requested, I'll analyze XPEV today! 👍As @ asadi2 requested, let's see how XPEV is doing!
Yes, XPEV looks interesting, but there a few things that we should be aware of!
Yes, we have a pivot at 41.13, that if broken, could make XPEV fly to the 43 in the blink of an eye.
But in the 4h chart we have a RSI divergence, and an advanced breakdown. These patterns aren’t confirmed yet, but they will be if XPEV loses today’s low: 38.70.
If this happens, then I see XPEV at least at 35, which is the 38.2% fibs retracement and the 20ma area in the daily chart.
We also have a weird divergence in the daily chart too, so be careful!
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Ok, NIO hit our first target! What now? 🎯We detected this bearish divergence on the RSI just in time! Now NIO hit the first target we talked about yesterday, but we have some things to say before anything else.
NIO has been duplicating the amplitude of its congestions each day, as the black arrows show us. And this indicates that the trend is bearish, at least for now. But NIO was oversold today, and the RSI almost hit the 30 level.
This made the stock go up, along with the 20ma in the 4h chart:
Yes, we hit the 20ma, but the RSI has an advanced breakdown now (yesterday was only a divergence).
This makes me wonder if we’ll see a correction to the 20ma in the daily chart or not. In theory, the 20ma in the 4h chart should hold NIO, but the RSI tell me it can drop a little bit more.
All of this makes me cautious about NIO, and I’ll wait for a better opportunity to trade it.
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Finally doing something interesting! 🥳Ok, PLTR broke the red line now, no excuses this time, and we have an advanced breakdown on the RSI. This increases the odds of a correction, and this would be great for PLTR.
We have another divergence on the 4h chart RSI as well, but the 20ma is getting closer, and it is at 23.64 rn. This kind of ruins my idea of buying PLTR at 22, but that’s ok. I’m interested at a good risk-reward ratio, not necessarily in buying at the best price possible. We must have different strategies regarding trading and investing, remember this! 😉
I find amazing that the BB are very tight in the 30min, and if we see this in the 4h chart, I’ll be very happy! It feels like PLTR will explode soon! I’ll keep you guys updated every day about it!
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I have good and bad news! 🤔Ok, MSFT looks interesting right now!
We have a double top (not triggered yet), and an advanced breakdown (RSI). This makes the 249.27 the next target for MTSF in the 30min chart, but the 4h chart looks good.
Yesterdy MSFT did close the gap at 243, and it did a hammer. Now we are flying, and it looks like any pullback in the 30min will be an opportunity to buy.
We have a gap at 261, which might be filled in the next days. To sum up, I’m bullish, but if it hits the 249 again I think we’ll have just another chance to buy.
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What to do here? Watch these lines! 🤔No, the index didn’t trigger any buy sign, and it was a complete failure today, thanks to the advanced breakdown we talked about yesterday.
In addition, it almost hit our target at 13,430! The chart looks weak, and there is no meaningful sign here.
We identified the advanced breakdown yesterday, in the 4h chart (just look at my previous analysis), and it seems it’ll keep falling.
It still can hit the 13,430, but if the next candle closes above the 13,610, we might see a good movement here, maybe to the 13,700 again. Only time will tell.
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Let's wait for our next chance! 🤑If NIO closes under the 40.90 tomorrow, there’s a chance it’ll fill the gap at 38.64. Then I believe I’ll be a good moment to buy.
It is no secret that I already booked my profits on NIO, and now I’m an observer just waiting for the next chance to buy it again.
In fact, since we have an advanced breakdown on the RSI, this could even trigger a quick short trade, with a tight stop-loss.
We are still overbought in the 4h chart, but NIO is getting back to its normal, it seems. Another possibility I’m working with is a sideways movement for the next days. This might work too, but I prefer a pullback. I’m not working with a scenario that NIO will fly from here, and if it does, I’ll just be happy for its investors, but I will not buy it here, as the risk-reward is not the best. I’ll keep monitoring it, and I’ll update you guys if I see anything.
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Is it possible to trade Nasdaq? Yes, but it won't be easy! ✋Once again, the Nasdaq hit the support at 13,600 and it is bouncing one more time. The 30min has nothing interesting for us, but maybe the 4h chart has:
Yes, we have a bullish candle above the support at 13,600 and the 20ma. This alone is a buy sign, if Nasdaq breaks the 13,680 tomorrow.
The problem: The RSI shows an advanced breakdown. If the index triggers a buy, we must set our stop-loss very tightly, as this advanced breakdown might ruin the bullish idea. If this happens, the Nasdaq has a target at 13,430.
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We must be careful now!Now, Tesla is in the bottom level of a congestion, and it can’t close a candle under the 622.45, which would trigger a possible double top, with a target at 596. And yes, now I'm out of Tesla :), but I'll keep seeking another opportunity!
Tesla is moving very slowly, and the volatility decreased today. At one point, it’ll become more volatile again, but this ruins the idea of any possible trade around.
We have a possible advanced breakdown, and it’ll be confirmed if it closes under the 622.45 tomorrow. But I think it is a good ide to short it only if the risk-reward makes sense. Knowing that our target is the 596, and the stop-loss would be somewhere the 628, the entry point will make all the difference.
The 4h chart has a possible round top formation, and it can hit the 20ma or the 596 again, but we lack more patterns.
Given these signs, I’ll remain cautious with Tesla this week, and if it triggers the double top / advanced breakdown, it can drop to the 596. We’ll see if Tesla will do anything good this week.
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We did well, but it is time to be careful.Ok, let’s talk about a few points to keep in mind here.
First, the Nasdaq did break the upper line we have been talking about, which is a sign of bullish strength. I didn’t buy though, as the RSI was showing an advanced breakdown yesterday, and you know that I already booked the profits from basically all my trades, so, buying QQQ wouldn’t make too much sense to me.
Today, we have a head and shoulders, and the index is back to the congestion. This is not good, because the index is pretty boring. It seems it'll seek the ATH, but we must see it breaking the 13,700 for good.
Another thing that we should keep in mind is the resistance at 13,700, which was our target this week. The Nasdaq can’t break it, and we see a range in the 4h chart.
This tells me that Nasdaq is not interesting right now, and I think we have better things to trade. My opinion, of course. But I did book my profits here, and I’m still looking for something. I just don’t see anything good around, either to long or short.
I’ll keep you guys updated. Next week we’ll see what to do.
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