$AMD Forms Another Double Bottom – Will History Repeat Itself?I wanted to share an interesting setup I’ve noticed on NASDAQ:AMD daily chart. The stock just completed what looks like a classic double bottom pattern—something it’s done before with impressive results.
What I’m Seeing:
Double Bottom Revisited:
We can see that AMD has formed another “W” shaped bottom, where price tested a support zone twice and successfully bounced.
Historical Precedent:
The last time AMD completed a double bottom, the subsequent breakout and follow-through rally were significant. After the neckline breakout, price continued to move higher, rewarding patient traders and confirming the pattern’s bullish nature.
Volume & Confirmation:
It’s worth looking closely at volume to confirm the pattern. In many textbook double bottoms, volume often increases on the breakout, signaling that buyers are stepping in. If we see heavier trading volumes as AMD breaks through the neckline, it could be an indication that a similar move might unfold.
Potential Price Target:
A common way to project a double bottom target is to measure the height of the “W” and add it to the breakout point. If this pattern performs similarly to the last one, we could see a significant upside move. Of course, there are no guarantees, but patterns like these give traders a framework to manage risk and set objectives.
What to Watch For:
Neckline Break: A clean move above the neckline (resistance area) would be a key bullish signal.
Volume Expansion: Higher volume on the breakout adds conviction.
Market Conditions: Broader market health and sentiment can affect whether the pattern plays out as expected.
AMD has shown us before that this pattern can precede major rallies. As always, manage your risk appropriately—no matter how promising a setup looks, it’s wise to confirm with price action and volume before jumping in.
Advancedmicrodevices
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES $AMD | CHIP STOCKS FALL DOWN Dec11'24ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES NASDAQ:AMD | CHIP STOCKS FALL Dec11'24
NASDAQ:AMD BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $141.50 - $166.50
NASDAQ:AMD DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $134.50 - $141.50
NASDAQ:AMD SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $110.00 - $134.50
NASDAQ:AMD Trends:
NASDAQ:AMD Weekly Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD Daily Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD 4H Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD 1H Trend: Bearish
NASDAQ:AMD Oct29 earnings release started bearish trend. Bears should start targeting the previous quarter's lows. Price is currently breaking my indicator's range to the downside, and all display indicators are pointing to a bearish trend for $amd. Recently, bearish momentum breaks down from the DNT range this week.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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AMD Is it really as 'dead' as it looks?Advanced Micro Devices / AMD is down -45% since their March 2024 All Time High and the market appears to be quickly losing faith on the stock.
However, this is not the first time we've encountered such decline on this stock as the exact same Channel Down that had a drop of -42% also took place during the previous Bull Cycle.
In fact this is what we called the mid Bull Cycle accumulation Channel and as you see in both patterns, the 1week MA100 supported. On the 2017/18 case, it kickstarted a rebound to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension.
It is amazing to see that even the Bear Cycles that preceded those Channels (2022 and 2014/15), they declined by the same amount (-66.41%).
So for now the 1week MA100 is supporting the November-December consolidation and this is the 1nd time it has since the August 5th low.
Once the 1week RSI hits 38.00 again (like it did on March 26th 2018), it will be the ultimate time to buy again but being so close to it right now, you can start buying even now.
Target 350.00 (little under the 1.382 Fib).
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AMD: Final shot to rise in this Channel. $290 if successful.Advanced Micro Devices are bearish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 38.717, MACD = -4.560, ADX = 33.691) but just under neutrality on the 1W technical outlook (RSI = 43.494, MACD = -3.840, ADX = 18.724). This indicates that this is the final support long term to reverse the medium term bearish sentiment and this is quite evident on this chart where the price is at the bottom of the 2 year Channel Up.
Roughly every November inside this Channel (2022, 2023 and 2024), it is on a corrective wave (or has been the month before), so the symmetric structure on this pattern is very strong. Another reason to see a massive bullish wave next. The previous two peaked approximately 160 days after that low, completing a +141.24% rally from the HL. Consequently, we are aiming for a similar rally (TP = 290.00) by late April 2025.
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Will AMD ever break out? Let's see!Will AMD ever break out? Let's see!
We have a massive one year bull flag on the charts.
We are still sitting on the bottom of a volume shelf in which we need to hold if we want to keep this name on the watchlist.
To enter, all we need is a flip to green on our H5 Indicator and a breakout of the bull flag pattern.
Measure Move is: $300 (2x)
Measured Time: FEB2026
NFA
AMD Can it survive this horrific week?On August 13 (see chart below) we called the start of the new long-term Bullish Leg on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), as a week before it entered the 2-year Higher Lows Zone and rebounded:
Still, the road (green Channel Up) isn't without its hurdles, and one of them is this week where the price is again being brutally sold towards the Higher Lows Zone. Notice that during the previous 2-week correction (August 26 - September 03 1W candles), the Zone's top was tested and held.
As a result, the multi-year trend remains bullish and will be this way for as long as the Higher Lows Zone holds.
It is interesting to observe at this point that the Bearish Phase of this pattern (March 04 - August 05) was in the shape of a Bearish Megaphone and can be compared to the one that bottomed on October 10 2022 and practically started the new Bull Cycle.
Notice also that so far each Bullish Leg (green Channel Up) rose by +141.87%. Within this comparison, and if we plot the Fibonacci levels from the Leg's bottom to top, we can see that the first Bullish Leg also had a rejection on the 0.618 Fib level and pull-back below the 0.786 into the Higher Lows Zone.
Obviously the current correction isn't ideal but it is not something we haven't seen and is within the tolerance levels of this 2-year pattern.
We expect another +141.87% rally to be concluded on this Bullish Leg, so our Target is straight up $295.00.
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Amd - Break, Retest And New All Time Highs!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is about to start another +100% rally:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Amd just retested and rejected a major previous horizontal structure and is starting the next major bullish wave towards the upside. Looking at previous cycles and the rising channel pattern, it is quite likely that Amd will follow Nvidia and create new all time highs soon.
Levels to watch: $130, $270
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
AMD (AMD): Trendline test coming - crucial for bullish case!Following the completion of wave 3, NASDAQ:AMD has also completed wave 4 with a near-perfect correction at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The rapid V-shaped recovery after the drop validates our count and points to continued bullish momentum as long as key support levels hold.
AMD’s earnings report on Tuesday aligned with forecasts but projected slightly weaker revenue than expected for the upcoming quarter. This led to a 6% decline in after-hours trading, raising concerns about potential deceleration in AMD’s overall business, even as the company remains a key player in the AI chip sector alongside its competitor, Nvidia.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:AMD now faces a crucial test. The stock must break through the resistance zone between $162 and $174 to confirm further upside potential. Failing to do so could result in a pullback to the trendline, a level that has been respected several times since early 2023. As long as the stock remains above the $120 level, we maintain our bullish outlook. However, losing this level would confirm a bearish trend shift.
We expect continued volatility, particularly post-earnings, and will monitor for a potential move higher or consolidation around these resistance levels. We are optimistic about AMD’s prospects but await further developments at this critical juncture.
AMD: New bullish wave to $197 has started.Advanced Micro Devices have entered a healthy bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.730, MACD = 0.360, ADX = 17.320) as the price crossed over the 1D MA200 today, with the 1D RSI above its MA since yesterday. Technically, it has started the 3rd bullish wave of the 3 month Channel Up. The two waves before this have risen by at least +31%, and that is our next target (TP = 197.00) for the next 2 months.
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AMD Advanced Micro Devices Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMD before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMD Advanced Micro Devices prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 160usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-1,
for a premium of approximately $6.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AMD: 4H Golden Cross is the best buy signal you can get.Advanced Micro Devices may be having a noticeable correction that turned the stock back to neutral both on the 4H and 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.728, MACD = 5.610, ADX = 40.223) but it just formed the strongest bullish pattern of all: a Golden Cross on the 4H chart. In the past 2 years we've been given another two 4H Golden Crosses and both turned out to be the utmost bullish validation for enormous rallies, which in both cases extended at +141% from the bottom. We expect another such run and now we have the best confirmation (TP = 290.00).
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AMD broke above the Lower Highs and confirms a massive rally.It's been a while (August 13, see chart below) since we last looked into the Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), which was a strong long-term buy signal, with the price reacting very favorably, having already started its new Bullish Leg:
Today we take it to the 1D time-frame where where the scale of where the price might be compared to the previous two mega rallies since the October 13 2023 bottom, may be clearer. Remarkably, the last two rallies were both of around +142%. In symmetrical terms we are around the 0.618 Fibonacci level mark where both Bullish Legs had a technical pull-back.
The key bullish development of last week though has been the break above the Lower Highs trend-line, which in line with previous Legs, has been the confirmation of the start of the long-term rally. As a result, we have now validated that the Bearish Leg is behind us and any pull-backs this structure gives, will be buy opportunities.
Our Target is intact at $295.00.
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AMD is setting up for another long-run
Jan / Feb 2024 Advanced Micro Devices broke-out & cursed up the charts.
Then it took a couple of months to pullback & then entered some months of consolidation.
Now, its pulled back like a sling-shot and ready to go again.
Plus, it has so much in common with Nvidia.
AMD: Close to giving the signal for mega buy to $295.Advanced Micro Devices is about to test the 1D MA200 on very healthy bullish technicals on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 60.924, MACD = 3.070, ADX = 28.078). This chart is on the 1W timeframe which is still neutral (RSI = 52.205, MACD = -1.400, ADX = 23.295), meaning that if the 1D MA200 breaks, the market would still be significantly undervalued with strong upside potential. As shown the long term pattern is a Channel Up, with the Fibonacci levels explaining pressure zones. The two bullish waves of the Channel have remarkably been of the exact same rise (+143.89%). If the once that will be validated by the 1D MA200 crossing posts the same rally, we expect the 0.786 Fib Channel level to be reached and we will set our target accordingly.(TP = 295.00).
Perhaps the strongest reason to buy for the long term right now is the Bullish Cross on the 1W MACD (seen on the pane below the chart). This has been formed exactly on the two prior bottoms of the Channel on November 6th 2023 and November 14th 2022. Combined with the 1D MA200 breakout, this MACD formation is the mega buy signal we've been waiting for.
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AMD... Is it time to BUY?? YESSIR!!What are we looking at technically?
- The market is in an obvious uptrend
- A bullish BOS (break of structure)
- A retracement to the OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) fib levels between .705 - .786
- The bullish FVG is also aligned with the OTE levels for a confluence of support
- Price has formed a fractal low on the +FVG as price completed the External to Internal run on liquidity. Now comes the IRL back to the ERL move. The swing high at 227.30 is the target, as that is where the buy side liquidity is.
Fundamentally, the recent Amazon partnership is the latest move that will give AMD a huge boost. Not mention the AMD may become a buyer of INTEL's AI Fabric Chip.
Things are looking up for the organization.
What do you think?
It's a BUY for me.
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Technical Analysis on AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)Analyzing the historical performance of AMD , a key turning point is evident that marked the beginning of the current bullish phase—starting at the end of 2015. During this period, the stock held an important support level, followed by a decisive breakout of the bearish trendline.
On a daily timeframe, this breakout was accompanied by a gap up, known as a breakaway gap.
During the upward phase, the stock experienced pullbacks ranging from 40% to 60%. The most recent pullback, which began with a Shooting Star candle, was 45% and stopped precisely at a crucial Fibonacci level of 0.618.
Bullish Scenario:
To confirm a continuation of the bullish trend, AMD must first surpass the $160 area and then the $190 area, a range characterized by significant volumes.
Bearish Scenario:
If the stock fails to exceed these two levels, it could continue its retracement by breaking the ascending trendline. Two potential entry levels can be found in the POC area around $180 and the support area around $95.
AMD Road to $295 has begun.The Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is on the 2nd straight weekly bounce following the August 05 bottom. This is so far the strongest 2-week bullish reversal since November 06 2023, which was the previous bottom/ Higher Low on the 2-year Support Zone.
It is no coincidence that this rebound took place just before hitting the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). So far we have had two Bullish Legs arising from this Support Zone structure and currently we are expecting the 3rd.
Since the decline following the March 2024 High has been around -47%, similar to the September 2023 one, we expect the Bullish Leg to be equally strong. As a result, our new long-term Target is $295.00.
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ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES - Ready for a reversal?NASDAQ:AMD is retesting a significant horizontal structure and we might see a bullish reversal soon, considering that AMD already created a correction of -45% over the past couple of months.
Click chart above to see detailed analysis
AMD is clearly one of these "AI" hype stocks which is now coming back to normal levels after also NVIDIA and other tech stocks are correcting a bit. AMD has been trading in a rising channel formation since the "Covid" crash back in 2020. With the recent break and retest, we could definitely see a bullish reversal soon.
Levels to watch: $120
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
AMD Final Flush completed. Next High above $300.The Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) have most likely bottomed on this week's 1W candle as after breaking last week below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), their earnings report last night came out better than expected and the opening is expected considerably higher.
Technically, the stock has almost touched the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 2-year Channel Up that started on August 01 2022. This can be a similar Higher Low to the last one on the week of October 23 2023. As you can see, that Low was priced while the 1W CCI was Oversold (below -100.00), similar to today. The Channel's first Low was again on an oversold 1W CCI on the week of October 10 2022.
As the same time, we are as close to the bottom of the Sine Wave as possible, which again, as you see, has marked the last two Higher Lows of the long-term Channel Up.
We don't expect any more divergencies from what a typical Channel Up would suggest, and that is the start of a new Bullish Leg, its 3rd so far. If the next Higher High is exactly at the top of the Sine Wave, then we can expect it in early January 2025. The previous two Higher Highs were priced after +144% rallies from the Lows, so it is possible to see $345.00 if this symmetry continues to hold. A 300 - 320 Target Zone though is in our view more suited for a Higher High.
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AMD Advanced Micro Devices Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AMD before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AMD Advanced Micro Devices prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 140usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-10-18,
for a premium of approximately $13.90.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AMD - Correction of -40% over?NASDAQ:AMD just created a new all time high, however we have to be quite careful now.
Volatility is the basis of every major trading position and trading profit. Advanced Micro Devices is just such a stock which offers volatile swings every now and then. Currently Advanced Micro Devices is retesting the previous all time high which is now acting as support. I do expect a move higher but there is simply no good risk to reward setup at the current levels.
Levels to watch: $155, $110
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
AMD a great stock to have in your portfolio to the end of yearLast time we looked at the Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), we made a short-term call (June 20, see chart below) at the bottom of the Bull Flag, with the price responding flawlessly, and is currently on its way for a Higher High on our $190.0 Target:
Before that, it was on May 15 (see chart below) where we called for a buy exactly at the bottom of the cyclical correction/ Bearish Leg of the 2-year Channel Up:
Just a quick reminder, it was back in March when we waved the strongest 1W sell signal on AMD and it surgically delivered (chart below):
In any event, back to today, the price has just broken above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and established the last two trading sessions there. With the 1D RSI approaching the 70.00 overboughr barrier, we are on the exact same level that AMD was during both previous Bullish Legs (circle).
This suggests that we are only at the very start of the new Bullish Leg and based on the Sine Waves, it should start peaking end of December - start of January 2025. We are moving our long-term Target higher to $320.00.
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As you see, we couldn't have gotten a more efficient long-term buy entry than that and the stock has basically confirmed the start of the new uptrend/ Bullish Leg
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