Will it holdIt have broken the resistance zone successfully but now it have come down to retest the the previous resistance area. If it can hold here then we can expect more upside moment from here. This stock should be in your Stalking mode.
Hit like & follow guys;)
ADX
Correlations of Retail Stock Traders & Carl Jung's Archetypes Carl Jung, a renowned Swiss psychiatrist and psychoanalyst, introduced the concept of archetypes as universal patterns or symbols that reside in the collective unconscious.
Carl Jung's archetypes , rooted in the collective unconscious, offer profound insights into human behavior and decision-making processes.
(archetypes example would be the Devil and Angel on your shoulder, Jung beleives there is more to it that good and evil)
Retail stock traders, operating in a dynamic and often volatile market, are not exempt from these archetypal influences.
Let's explore the correlations between Jungian archetypes and how they impact the decision-making process of retail stock traders when executing trades.
The Hero Archetype:
The Hero archetype drives traders to conquer challenges and attain success. Within retail stock trading, this archetype encourages traders to take calculated risks, seize opportunities, and exhibit unwavering confidence in their decision-making abilities. While the Hero can inspire bravery and determination, traders must be mindful of impulsive and overly aggressive behaviors that may lead to irrational choices.
The Sage Archetype:
The Sage archetype embodies wisdom, knowledge, and the pursuit of truth. Retail stock traders influenced by the Sage archetype engage in extensive research, analysis, and due diligence before executing trades. They seek to understand market dynamics, uncover patterns, and leverage their intellectual prowess to make informed decisions. However, an excessive reliance on analysis may result in analysis paralysis, inhibiting timely execution.
The Jester Archetype:
The Jester archetype represents humor, spontaneity, and irreverence. In the world of retail stock trading, this archetype may manifest as traders who adopt a lighthearted approach and embrace risk with a sense of playfulness. Jester-influenced traders may be inclined to explore unconventional trades, pursue novelty, and seek excitement. Nevertheless, caution must be exercised to avoid impulsive or reckless decision-making.
The Caregiver Archetype:
The Caregiver archetype embodies compassion, empathy, and a desire to nurture others. In retail stock trading, traders influenced by this archetype prioritize socially responsible investing, seeking companies aligned with their values. They consider sustainable practices, ethical considerations, and impact investing as integral components of their decision-making process. However, emotional attachments to causes may cloud judgment, necessitating a balanced approach.
The Magician Archetype:
The Magician archetype symbolizes transformation, power, and the ability to manifest desired outcomes. Traders influenced by the Magician archetype possess intuitive market understanding and employ strategies that seem almost mystical. They may rely on technical analysis, precise timing, and sophisticated algorithms or trading systems. However, an overreliance on intuition without grounding in tangible data may result in unreliable decision-making.
The Shadow Archetype:
Carl Jung's concept of the shadow archetype represents the darker, suppressed aspects of the psyche. In retail stock trading, the shadow can manifest as greed, fear, impulsivity, or an inclination toward unethical practices. Traders must confront their shadows and acknowledge the potential biases and emotional influences that can cloud judgment. By bringing the shadow into conscious awareness, traders can make more objective and rational decisions.
Impact on Decision-Making Process:
The interplay between these archetypes and the shadow profoundly affects the decision-making process of retail stock traders. Awareness of these archetypal influences enables traders to leverage their strengths while mitigating potential pitfalls. Recognizing the shadow archetype's presence allows traders to confront their biases, manage emotions, and make more rational and ethical decisions.
Understanding the correlations between Carl Jung's archetypes and the decision-making process of retail stock traders sheds light on the intricate psychological factors at play within financial markets.
By recognizing and integrating these archetypal influences into their decision-making process, traders can enhance self-awareness, improve emotional regulation, and ultimately make more balanced, informed, and profitable trading decisions.
NAIL- an ETF of Homebuilders 3X leveragedNAIL- is an ETF of Homebuilders; It is 3X leveraged. Price is up over 30% in the first two weeks \
of June. It is shown here on the 30-minute chart with the "Market Bias" indicator which shows
uptrends in green and pull-back zones in gray. Presently, price is pulling back - when the gray
colored trend indicator changes back to green, an optimal entry can be made.The ADX indicator
has topped out as part of the early pullback. When the ADX goes below 25 and then crosses 25
from below, an entry can be made. An ADX over 50 and rising suggests that it is too late for
an entry and not to chase but rather wait for a pullback.
Overall, NAIL's price is now in early pullback by the "Market Bias: trend indicator and the ADX
which shows now a decreasing trend directional strength. Price is more than one standard
deviation above the mean anchored VWAP which is an level that professional traders want
to sell from. Because of all of this I will wait for an entry on NAIL until a pullback is completed
and the uptrend bullish continuation is seen.
Bitcoin poised for a serious correctionIntroduction
Bitcoin has shown a lot of strength since I called the end of the bear market mid January. That was somewhat of an audacious call but so far it has played out in my favor. Nothing goes straight up and it seems that the time for bitcoin to have its first major pull back is upon us.
This is also my first post after being designated a “wizard” so I am caught between a couple of tensions. One is to keep on posting the quality of content that got me appointed (which is opaque to me). The other tension is to not be a try hard.
Primer on Divergences
Normal Divergence (Trend Reversal)
Bearish: Higher highs on price action but lower highs on the indicator
Bullish: Lower lows on price action but higher lows on the indicator
Hidden (Trend Continuation)
Bearish: Lower high on the price action and higher highs on the indicator
Bullish: Higher low on the price action and a lower low on the indicator
Indicators
Dynamic Network Value to Transactions Ratio by aamonkey
Bitcoin is the name of a payment network as well as the currency used on that network and the smallest division of that currency is the satoshi. This is compared to the dollar, which circulates around the world in the SWIFT system with the smallest division that most people use is the cent.
The Network Value Transaction ratio represents the cryptocurrency’s network value (which is its current market capitalization) and the transaction volume that’s transmitted through Bitcoin’s blockchain over a period of 24 hours. In other words, how much is money moving around compared to cost of bitcoin. It is closely related to the idea of the velocity of money. All things being equal when the velocity of money picks up things get expensive.
The indicator is simple to understand. When price is in the green the smart money looks to accumulate/absorb bitcoin and other cryptos and when the NVT moves to the red or even outside the red smart money looks to sell. This is time frame dependent. Right now we are quite hot on the 3 day time frame but no where near where I would be concerned on the weekly.
This circumstance makes it very painful to hold leveraged longs but also difficult to go short because that is against the larger trend. In other words, it is very easy to lose money here.
Average Directional Index D+ and D-
The ADX quite simply tells you how strong a move is. It uses a true range calculation to measure a D+ that compares previous high to one another. When you have higher highs the D+ in green goes up. The True Range Calculation also compares lows and when the lows are lower the D- goes up in red. When the green line is above the red line the trend is bullish and the higher it is above the red line the more bullish things are. When the red line is above the green line price is trending down.
When they cross it indicates neutrality, or in other words, price has moved sideways long enough that the positive and negative price action neutralized one another. It is possible for the D- and D+ to braid and cause a lot of damage to traders so the indicator is best used as part of a collection of indicators or to confirm a chart formation breakout.
Here the D+ is showing hidden bearish divergence. The trend is exhausting and we can se the D- is poised to begin swinging upward.
Relative Strength Index
This is one of the fundamental indicators for most traders. It compares average gains to average losses and when the average gains are more than the average losses price goes up. When the RSI is falling but price is still going up it is a sign that reversal is near.
Technical Analysis
The divergences are pretty easy to see and I am confident that there is a great dip buying opportunity brewing. Where the low is going to be is hard to say. How long it will take is also very difficult to determine. To make it easy for me, I will look to buy again when the NVT is green again on the 3 day. Should help me stay patient.
A 25% drop is very do able at this point. It would be price returning to a trendline that helped set up this uptrend. I hope to see some hidden bullish divergence when this bases out, which means I would want the RSI, MACD, etc, to be lower than then when this uptrend began. I don’t think the gaussain channel or the ketner will confine price action during this dip.
This weakness in bitcoin puts a lot of other long trades at serious risk. It is very hard for other cryptos to stay strong If you are holding be prepared for the value to go down. If you are margined be prepared to have your stop strategy tested.
Fundamental Analysis (technical analysis on the dollar)
DXY looks like it has caught support on both the Gaussian and Keltner channels and has set a double bottom. This sets up some W targeting with a fib draw from the low to the high of the bridge of the W. That target is in a lot of as it is in the micro bull trap of the previous high and against the trend line that was previous support and most likely resistance when tested again.
This fits my larger view on the dollar that it will have to retest its previous wedge resistance as support. This means something big is coming for the dollar and therefore the globe. I wonder what kind of dreadful evens will feed into the dollar decline. This zigzagging of the dollar is going to make dollar alternatives go crazy.
My Realistic worst case scenario for BTC
I have been operating under the assumption the low is in. If not, the easiest target to set is back to $10k. While I don’t expect it to happen it is the easiest way my analysis has been wrong and one I have to prepare for.
Conclusion
These are trying economic times. Trading discipline are going to be key as the dollar whipsaws around and people try to position themselves long, short and sideways. This is not the time to be opening trades without a good entry system and a good system to take profit and set stop losses.
Good Big Moveqholding was the start performer today, It should continue its rally coming week. We have a resistance at 2.50 area either it will take a pause or break past the resistance with big volumes. However if there are any retests before breaking 2.50 it should be considered as buying opportuntity.
Hit like & follow guys ;)
I hope it drops a littleRak Properties made a good move today it was not a surprise to me I made a entry yesterday at 0.714 and I exited today at 0.746. If it drops surely it will be a buying opportunity for new and existing buyers. I will definitely buy it again if i get it at good level, stalking mode ;)
Hit like & follow guys ;)
Introducing the Chop and Trend Index (CTI)Get ready to revolutionize your trading strategy with our latest tutorial on the Chop and Trend Index (CTI)! This unique indicator, unlike traditional oscillators, provides a fresh perspective on market conditions by identifying periods of market chop and strong trends. Whether you're trading stocks, forex, or commodities, on any timeframe, the CTI is a game-changer. In this video, we'll break down how it works, how to use it, and how it can enhance your trading strategy. Don't miss out on this opportunity to stay ahead of the market curve with the CTI!
Introducing the Volatility Adjusted ADX (VADX)In this video, Stock Justice introduces you to the Volatility Adjusted ADX (VADX), a powerful tool that combines trend strength and market volatility. Learn how to customize your settings for optimal analysis and how this indicator, with its proprietary mathematical formulation, offers a nuanced perspective on market dynamics. Discover the benefits of normalized data and how to read and interpret the VADX line in conjunction with other indicators. All of this, delivered in Stock Justice's engaging style, will empower your technical analysis toolkit. Be ready to trade safe, trade smart!
Introducing Dynamic Action Convergence Divergence (DACD)Hello, it's Stock Justice here! In our latest video, we explore the intricate workings of the Dynamic Action Convergence Divergence (DACD) - a tool that synergizes the robustness of the ADX and the DI lines to create a dynamic and responsive trading indicator.
We plunge into the depths of DACD, starting with the base components - the Average Directional Index (ADX) and the Directional Movement System (DI). We then demonstrate how these two indicators are harmoniously fused together to form a comprehensive tool capable of signaling market momentum and potential trend reversals.
We further elucidate how the DACD uses moving averages to mark potential bullish or bearish trends, and how divergence within the DACD can indicate trend continuations or reversals. The video also highlights the DACD's proficiency in multi-timeframe analysis, enabling traders to view market trends from a broader perspective.
Closing out, we underline the DACD's versatility as a powerful trading instrument, while emphasizing the need for using it in conjunction with proper risk management and a balanced blend of other technical analysis tools. This video is an essential watch for all traders seeking to enhance their trading arsenal and navigate the market more proficiently!
Ambire AdEx (ADX) formed a bullish Shark for upto 51% moveHi dear friends, hope you are well and welcome to the new trade setup of Ambire AdEx (ADX) with BTC pair.
On a 4-hr time frame, ADX has formed bullish Shark move for next price reversal.
Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade
BTCUSDT local short (Bitcoin bearish divergence)Take a look at 2Days BTC price timeframe.
As you can see we got a bearish MACD cross after the divergency.
Also I noticed a biger ADX divergence which means that the strength of the trend is fading.
May be it could bring as to 24K next 1-2 weeks.
What do you think?
MTF MA + DMI/ADX 15m Timeframe Upon color change of MA line, wait for first bar to close to confirm color change. Enter on 2nd color change bar on MA after cross in DMI or if DI+ or DI- is above 25 or ADX is going higher or is above 25. Set TP at 1 ATR ( I set a bit below ATR to ensure I hit my TP) SL is either a bit below previous swing high or swing low. Think I might do stop loss 1 ATR away from above moving average line. Let me know what you guys think