BTC - Lets have a look shall weBTC 1D Chart Update:
BTC is still Ranging Sideways within its Sideways Channel. Remember that Sideways Ranging is NOT done at a constant level but WITHIN a range of values.
Note that BTC has failed to make any recent higher highs over the last couple of days.
BTC is below its WEEKLY 50EMA. BTC HAS closed 8 Weekly Candles in a row BOVE its Weekly 50EMA. This is a VERY crucial week as BTC needs to close this weekly candle ABOVE its WEEKLY 50EMA. Failure to day so may cause further downwards momentum.
BTC is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that the Upper and Lower bands are indicating Sideways Volatility but that the Lower Band is curving slight upwards.
BTC is in another potential Descending Triangle Pattern. A Descending Triangle Pattern is a potential Bearish Continuation Pattern, so if you are LONG then you need to wait for a successful breakout of the Descending Trend-Line with a successful re-test of that level as strong support. We need to keep an eye on this pattern very carefully.
BTC is also in a Descending Channel Pattern. A break above the upper Resistance Line and successful retest of the resistance as support will be confirmation of a potential reversal to the upside, or failure to breakout will, be possible bearish continuation.
BTC is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range that i have selected.
Daily Volume is still low and todays Volume Bar is still below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. Note that yesterdays Volume Bar was slightly above the Volume MA.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating we have had the MACD Line (Blue Line) cross back under the Signal Line (Orange Line) which is a sell signal for most traders that use this indicator. Note we have negative Red Histograms forming.
The Average Directional index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend strength is increasing with the ADX (Yellow Line) rising to 26.76 and getting very close to crossing back above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 27.34. Note that the -DI (Red Line) has actually dropped to 24.82 but is still way above its +DI (Green Line) which is at 12.92. This is showing me that the -DI (Red Line) which is Negative Momentum had dropped quite sharply but the +DI (Green Line) which is Positive Momentum has also dropped.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating a sharp rise in accumulation with the CMF (Green Line) rising from 0.05 to 0.13. note that the CMF (Green Line) is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is at 0.08 and tis indicates a rising strength in accumulation.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment. The RSI (Purple Line) is below its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) indicating downwards momentum is strong. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is getting closer to the Oversold Zone.
Here is a look at the BTC Weekly Chart. Looking at this chart, you can clearly see that the Weekly 50EMA is VERY crucial level for BTC to continue to close above.
This is a VERY crucial week for BTC. BTC needs to CLOSE a WEEKLY Candle back ABOVE the WEEKLY 50EMA. Even though BTC is below the WEEKLY 50EMA, BTC is still Ranging Sideways within its sideways channel. The indicators are telling me that although momentum is downwards, Trading Volume is still relatively low but BTC is still being strongly accumulated. With overall Trading Volume Low, from My perspective this indicates a lack of Big Institutional Money. Remember that Retail money does not move the market, big institutional money does. Note that it is the institutional money that is put in AFTER they have accumulated their asset of choice, that moves the market up, NOT the money used in the accumulation phase.
As we’ve seen recently, the Fundamentals for BTC, ADA, VET & most cryptos are truly amazing, but the Technicals are utter crap at the moment unless you’re short selling. Looking at the way the world is going, I have no doubt that soon the technicals will match the fundamentals, in a big way.
This should be a very interesting couple of days.
I hope his is helpful with your trading and hold-ing.
Adxdi
VeChain - 1D Chart Analysis UpdateVeChain 1D Chart Update:
VeChain is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band 20 Period SMA. Note that we have expansion of the Upper and Lower Bands indicating increased volatility but on the negative side.
VeChain is still following the its Major Downwards Trend-Line and is having real trouble crossing above it. If you are long then a breakout and successful re-test of this level as support is crucial.
VeChain is getting very near to its Major Upwards Longterm Trend-Line. We 110% do not want VeChain to close a Daily Candle below this level.
VeChain is still on the upper side of its falling wedge pattern.
I have added some support areas if VeChain breaks below its Major Longterm Upwards Trend-line.
Note that the overall Volume is still low on this daily timeframe and the Volume Bar is still below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
VeChain is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts Visible Range I’ve selected.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating trend momentum is sideways but note that it looks like we may see the MACD Line (Blue Line) cross back under the Signal Line (Orange Line) which would be a sell signal for most traders so we may see another downwards drop that would also create Red Histograms indicating sellers are in control. Note that the Green Histograms have also decreased in size indicating a weakening of buying strength.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing the downtrend has gotten stronger with the ADX (Yellow Line) rising to 28.42 and back above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 27.22. Note that the -DI (Red Line) has actually dropped sharply to 20.61 but is still below its +DI (Green line) which is at 9.25. So even though the -DI (Red Line) which is Negative momentum has dropped, the +DI (Green Line) which is Positive Momentum is still showing a big lack of upwards strength at the moment, but note it has not dropped as sharply at the -DI (Red Line).
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating accumulation has actually increased with the CMF (Green Line) rising from -0.03 to +0.03 in the accumulation zone. Note that the CMF is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is at 0.00.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment, The RSI (Purple Line) is below its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line) indicating strong downwards strength. Note that the RSI is getting very near the Oversold Zone on this 1D timeframe so be on the look out for any divergence between Price and the RSI for potential reversals.
From my perspective, at the moment for VeChain and the whole Crypto Market, overall traded Volume is still low indicating a possible lack of big institutional money. Remember that retail money doesn’t move the market, big institutional money does. Note that it is the institutional money that is put in after they have accumulated their assets that moves the market up, not in the accumulation phase.
If VeChain breaks downwards through its Major Upwards Support Line and closes a daily candle below it, then there is a possibility VeChain may drop to $0.035. Note that even though Volume is Low, crypto assets are still being accumulated.
If you are waiting to go long on VeChain but need confirmation, then a breakout of the Major Downwards Trend-Line and a successful re-test of it as support is what you will need to wait for. After that, another is a breakout and support test of the Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. If you are Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) & if VeChain breaks downwards through its Major Longterm Upwards Trend-Line, then there could be really good opportunities to acquire more VeChain at a cheaper price.
The Falling Wedge could indicate that we are coming to end of this downwards pressure but we could see a re-test of $0.058 before a potential breakout, but remember that we are at the mercy of BTC so we have to keep an eye on what Bitcoin is doing as any new potential drop with BTC will effect all alts as well.
I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
ADA - Lets look at the weeklyADA a look at the Longterm weekly chart
ADA is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1W timeframe. Note that the Lower Band has fully contracted upwards & the direction of the Upper and Lower Bands is now sideways for this 1W timeframe.
ADA is well above its 50EMA for this 1W timeframe.
ADA is still safely above its Pitchfork (A,B,C) Median Line. Worthy of note is the fact that ADA has NOT closed a Weekly Candle Below its Upper Yellow Pitchfork Support Line for 21 weeks in a row.
Notice that Volume is still relatively low for this 1W timeframe with the Volume Bar still below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average. Note that the Volume MA is also dropping because of the drop in weekly volume.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still below the Signal Line (Orange Line) and has created 4 Red Histograms so far. Note that the MACD is a momentum and trend indicator so the MACD level can drop with prolonged sideways momentum as we are seeing here. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in in the positive zone above the 0.0 Base Line. We do not want the MACD Line to cross under the 0.0 Base Level on this 1W timeframe. If it did do that, it would mean a 12 Period EMA has crossed under a 26 Period EMA on the 1W timeframe which we absolutely do not want to happen, unless your short-selling.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing the trend strength has dropped with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 55.56 below its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 63.45. The +DI (Green Line) is at 20.39 and still above its -DI (Red Line) which is at 13.91. Note that the +DI (Green Line) and -DI (Red Line) is showing overall positive and negative momentum is sideways with a slight slope to the downside. This is showing me that Positive Momentum is still stronger than Negative Momentum on the 1W timeframe.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is showing that accumulation has dropped with the CMF Line (Green Line) at 0.06 still in the accumulation zone but under its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is at 0.14. We do not want the CMF (Green Line) to cross over into the Distribution Zone on the 1W timeframe.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment so i would say “sideways within a range”. Note the RSI (Purple Line) is showing upwards weakness by being below its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line).
Looking at the Ichimoku cloud for this 1W timeframe:
ADA is still in the Bullish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud.
ADA is still above its Base Line (Kijun Sen).
The Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating the mid point of the short-term momentum is upwards.
The Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating the mid point of the mid-term momentum is sideways.
The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating momentum has a light slope downwards so more like sideways within a range.
Note that the Cloud (Kumo) is still Bullish Green for this 1W timeframe.
Settings used for the Ichimoku Cloud = 20, 60, 120, 30.
So during this downtrend, can ADA drop more…… well yeh of course it’s always a possibility especially if BTC takes another nose dive. But as we have seen during this downtrend, ADA has shown superior recovery strength when compared to most other major crypto assets. With the advent of smart contracts on the horizon and the future prospects of the various Africa deals finally being put in motion, from my perspective, even if you are a BTC or Ethereum maxi, it shouldn’t really matter, so ADA should be in everyones longterm portfolio. Also, if your not actually trading ADA, then just stake it for an easy monthly passive income. From my perspective, the future look extremely bright for ADA.
Don’t know why I decided to do this mammoth post, but here it is, so I hope this is helpful with your trading and hold-ing. :-)
A look at the BTC daily chartA look at the BTC daily chart:
At the moment of typing this, BTC is still above its WEEKLY 50EMA.
During this period of sideways ranging, BTC has yet to close a WEEKLY candle BELOW the WEEKLY 50EMA.
Note that the 50MA is potentially starting to curve sideways.
At the moment of typing this, BTC is below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that the Upper Band is pointing downwards and the Lower Band is pointing upwards.
At the moment of typing this, BTC is just below its Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range.
Volume is still relatively low for this 1D timeframe and note that the Volume Bar is still below its Volume 20 period Moving Average.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is showing that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above the Signal Line (Orange Line) and is starting to curve sideways creating lighter green Histograms showing a weakening of upwards momentum. If you are waiting for full bullish positive confirmation on the MACD then you would wait until the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the 0.0 Base Line level, this indicates that a 12 Period EMA has crossed back above a 26 Period EMA on this daily chart.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend strength is weakening with the ADX (Yellow Line) dropping to 28.38 & below its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 32.43. The -DI (Red Line) has dropped to 24.41 but is still above its +DI (Green Line) which is at 17.69. If you are waiting for positive confirmation on this indicator then you need the +DI (Green Line) to cross back above the -DI (Red Line) and for the ADX (Yellow Line) to stay above 20 and cross back above its 9 Period EMA (White Line)
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating that BTC is still in the accumulation zone, note that the CMF Line (Green Line) has risen from 0.01 to 0.04 and note that the CMF Line (Green Line) looks like its may cross back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is at 0.04. If BTC drops downwards into the distribution zone, its needs to rebound quickly to avoid longterm distribution.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating sideways momentum at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is showing weakness by being below its 9 Period EMA (Yellow Line).
As you can see from this chart, the Weekly 50EMA level is now being tested quite a lot on this daily chart. As stated many times, the WEEKLY 50EMA is a very, very crucial level for BTC to keep closing WEEKLY candles above. So long as BTC keeps closing WEEKLY candles above the WEEKLY 50EMA, then all we will see is sideways ranging until the powers that be, decide that the direction of least resistance is upwards. If BTC does close a WEEKLY candle below the WEEKLY 50EMA then there is a possibility that the powers that be, have decided that the direction of least resistance is downwards.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BTC - 4hr Chart UpdateBTC 4hr update:
BTC is above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA.
BTC is above its Volume Profile Visible Range VPVR Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range.
BTC is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range VPFR Point of Control (POC) for the fixed range i have selected.
Volume is relatively Low for this 4hr Volume Bar & the Volume Bar is below its Volume 20 Period Moving Average (Orange Line) so we may see a drop back to the VPFR POC.
BTC is above its Schiff Pitchfork (A,B,C) Median Line.
BTC is still within its huge sideways channel (Parallel White Lines).
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating theta the MACD Line (Blue Line) has crossed back above the 0.0 level indicating that a 12 Period EMA has crossed back over a 26 Period EMA on this 4hr chart indicating bullish momentum for this 4hr timeframe. Note that the green Histogram has lightened indicating a weakening of bullish momentum at the moment.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is showing that the +DI (Green Line) is at 21.94 and has crossed back above the -DI (Red Line) which is at 12.12. This indicates that positive momentum is now stronger then negative momentum for this 4hr timeframe. The Trend is a strong positive trend with the ADX (Yellow Line) is at 21.86 above the 20 Threshold (Dashed Line) and above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 20.37.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating strong accumulation with the CMF (Green Line) reaching 0.37 but now dropping to 0.29 on this 4hr chart. Notice that the CMF (Green Line) has dropped back under its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) which is at 0.34 so we may see a lessening of upwards pressure before the next leg up.
When someone tweets, burps or farts “BTC will drop to sub $20K”, you have to ask yourself, is that a possibility? The answer is “yes” but rather then sh*t your pants, you have to set levels which will be a form of confirmation to you that such a drop might happen. My confirmation was the WEEKLY 50EMA. Remember that i stated many times before, “so long as BTC keeps closing WEEKLY candles ABOVE the WEEKLY 50EMA, then sub $20K will not happen”. Now, there is always a possibly an asset can produce a very big Wick upwards or downwards, but REMEMBER, its where the candle CLOSES that counts. and BTC never closed a WEEKLY candle BELOW the WEEKLY 50EMA. And that’s that.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
ADA - 4hr chart updateADA Quick Update:
ADA is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud for this 4hr timeframe.
ADA is still below its 50EMA. ADA needs to eventually close above this level.
ADA is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. ADA needs to eventually close above this level.
ADA is in a triangle pattern and is approaching the apex so we need to keep an eye on if the breakout is upwards or downwards and if the potential breakout is on increased volume or not.
At the moment of typing this, ADA is trying to get back over its Ichimoku Cloud Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) cloud resistance.
At the moment of typing this, ADA is above its Volume Profile Visible Range VPVR Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range.
Volume is still relatively low and you can see that the Volume Bar is below its Volume 20 period Moving Average.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is indicating momentum is sideways, note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is back above its Signal Line (Orange Line). Note that we have green histograms formed. We need the MACD Line to cross back over 0.0 for real bullish momentum for this 4hr timeframe.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating that we need to be a bit weary because ADA has dropped into the Distribution Zone for this 4hr timeframe. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is at -0.01 and below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) which is at 0.05. Note that this is a 4hr timeframe so this can easily change to accumulation very quickly which will happen if ADA closes above the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) cloud resistance which would take ADA back into the Ichimoku Cloud Equilibrium Zone for this 4hr timeframe.
ADA has proven to be one of the strongest cryptos during this downtrend, but obviously we still have to keep an eye on what BTC is doing as sadly, alts still follow BTC's direction.
I hope this quick update is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BTC - Quick Daily Chart UpdateQuick BTC Daily Chart update:
BTC is still ranging sideways within its Sideways Channel.
BTC has found some resistance from its Weekly 50EMA, it is crucial that BTC closes THIS weekly candle above this level and turns it into strong support.
BTC is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. BTC needs to closes above this level and turn it into support.
BTC is still above its descending Pitchfork (A,B,C) Median Line.
BTC is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range VPVR Point of Control (POC) for this charts’s visible range.
Daily Volume is still relatively low and the Volume Bar is below its Volume 20 Period MA.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating BTC is still being accumulated and accumulation has increased from 0,02 to 0.14, notice that the CMF (Green Line) is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) which is at 0.10.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating the trend strength is sideways with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 39.29 below its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 39.84. Notice that the -DI (Red Line) has dropped from around 33 to 28.52 and is pointing downwards. The +DI (Green Line) is pointing upwards at 13.16. This indicates negative momentum has dropped and positive momentum has increased on this 1D timeframe. We eventually need the +DI (Green line) to cross back ABOVE the -DI (Red Line) on this 1D timeframe.
So tonight is a crucial WEEKLY CLOSE as we ideally need BTC to CLOSE THIS WEEKLY CANDLE above the Weekly 50EMA.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
VeChain Daily Chart UpdateVeChain Daily Chart Update:
VeChain is still below its 50EMA for this daily chart. VeChain 110% needs to close a daily candle above this crucial level on the daily chart.
VeChain is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating mid-term momentum is sideways within a range.
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating short-term momentum is downwards at the moment.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating momentum at the moment is sideways.
VeChain is below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. VeChain 110% needs to close a daily candle above this crucial level on the daily chart.
VeChain is above its descending Pitchfork (A,B,C) Median Line. VeChain needs to stay above this level.
VeChain is below its Volume Profile Visible Range VPVR Point of Control (POC) for this charts visible range.
VeChain is below its Volume Profile Fixed Range VPFR Point of Control (POC) for the Fixed Range i have selected.
Overall Volume is still relatively low and note that the Volume Bar is back below its Volume 20 Period MA.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is still negative & showing that momentum is sideways. Notice that the Signal Line is pointing slightly downwards and the MACD Line is pointing sideways, so we may eventually see the MACD LINE (Blue Line) cross back ABOVE the Signal Line (Orange Line) for renewed upwards momentum. Notice that the Red Histogram is decreasing in size for this daily chart. We eventually need VeChain to cross back above the 0.0 level for renewed positive momentum on the daily chart.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) Is indicating negative momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line) dropping from 27.9 and is now at 23.35 but still above its positive momentum +DI (Green Line) which is sideways at 8.68. The ADX (Tellow Line) is still showing a strong downtrend withe the ADX (Yellow Line) at 35.01 still above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 31.84. We eventually need to the +DI (Green Line) to cross back above the -DI (Red Line) for renewed upwards momentum on this daily chart.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is indicating VeChain is being distributed but notice that the CMF (Green Line) has increased from -0.16 to -0.05 and that the CMF (Green Line) is above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) which is at -0.11. We eventually need VeChain to cross the Zero line into the accumulation zone for renewed upwards momentum.
As always, this is not a price update but an update about what VeChain needs to do and what VeChain needs to get above and also to show what the indicators are indicating.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BTC - 4hr Chart update and the importance of where the candle......closes
BTC has has said good riddance to the Bearish Descending Triangle it was in.
BTC is back in the Bullish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud for this 4hr timeframe. Note we have had a Cloud (Kumo) Twist into a bullish green cloud for this 4hr timeframe.
BTC is back above its 50EMA for this 4hr timeframe.
BTC is back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that the Bollinger Bands Upper and Lower Bands are expanding further apart indicating increased volatility and that the price found some resistance at the upper band.
BTC is back above its Volume Profile Visible Range VPVR Point of Control (POC) for this chart set up.
I have added a Volume Profile Fixed Range VPFR and as you can see, BTC is above that Point of Control (POC).
Reason for adding the VPFR is that it gives a more clearer macro view of buyer and seller volume and where the key points are for the range that i’ve selected, whereas the VPVR gives you the amount for whatever length you have your chart set at which could be potentially misleading. Blue representing Buy Volume and Yellow representing Sell Volume.
Note that the last 6 4hr candles closed above its Volume 20 Period Moving Average.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating a strong trend with the ADX (Yellow Line) at 27.02 back above its 9 Period EMA (Blue Line) which is at 22.64. The +DI (Green Line) is at 32.90 and has crossed back over the -D (Red Line) which is at 10.77 indicating that positive momentum is now stronger than negative momentum for this 4hr timeframe.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is showing that BTC is back in the Accumulation Zone with the CMF (Green Line) at 0.14 and back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) which is at 0.08 indicating renewed accumulation strength for this 4hr timeframe.
As i mentioned in a few previous BTC post, a very CRUCIAL level for BTC was the Weekly 50EMA, a few traders were posting on TradingView saying that BTC was going to sub $20K, they ignored the fact that BTC would FIRST have to CLOSE this weekly candle below the weekly 50EMA, BTC did wick below it, but it did not close a weekly or a daily candle below the weekly 50EMA level. For whatever timeframe you are in, especially longterm, it is important to remember the IMPORTANCE of where the CANDLE CLOSES. Otherwise…. you’ll just be wick-ing about! :-)
As you can tell, my post are not price prediction post as there are many more experienced traders on TradingView already posting their predications, my post are more educational, showing what these various indicators & squiggly lines that i use are showing me, so I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
TRADING BREAKOUTS WITH KELTNER CHANNELTrading Breakouts with Keltner Channel
When it comes to breakout trading, Keltner Channel is a very powerful indicator. The keltner channel breakout system works best when volatility rises. However, the Keltner indicator measures not just the volatility, but it can also show anomalies in the price behavior.
Since Keltner channel indicator is lagging in nature, we can use a secondary tool like the ADX indicator to give us more confluence. These two indicators can help us catch explosive breakouts.
With the ADX we measure the strength of the breakout. Generally, and ADX reading above the 20 level is considered to be the beginning of a bullish/bearish trend. Any reading below 20 signals a period of consolidation.
The ADX needs to continue to rise to suggest that the trend is strong. When the Keltner Channel is used in combination with the ADX indicator, you can trade breakouts with objectivity.
Trigger conditions for buying breakouts:
Keltner Channel bands need to turn flat.
Price need to break above the upper band.
ADX needs to cross above the 20 level.
Follow the above trading rules if you want to avoid most of the false breakouts.