Speculative Long-term BTC:USD trajectory and ATHBTC:USD to reach 11k-12k USD, then gradual decline down to 8k USD again around 02Mar20 to inflict more pain on the bulls and eliminating more weak-hands, before going relatively sideways until 13Jul20, then a fakeout to, 11.8k USD around 11Jan21 before crashing below 9.9k USD before the next actual parabolic rise commences around Mar21 eventually hiting a new all-time-high at ~120kUSD.
Base on my earlier speculative post:
See also shorter term prediction:
Aeondrift
BTCUSD: BTC may drop below 10kUSD again, before bouncing.Presently BTC remains within what I consider a no-trading zone.
In my view, BTC may drop below 10kUSD again, to around 9400USD, before bouncing back up to 10200 USD level.
If BTC does drop below 10k USD again, will look at the PRISM momentum oscillators again at lower time scales + IchiCloud, before deciding if I should cost-average in to accumulate more BTC at below 10kUSD, or if there's a chance it may finally drop even lower down to 8200-8400 USD.
See Aug30 Chart:
ADAUSD: Possible Trade Ahead..Entering trade if breakout above resistance level strongly, or show signs of finding resistance level as support (see details in the chart).
Price have already broken cleanly out of the descending channel.
The FG-Divergence "buy" signal triggered, hinting that we are entering a bullish phase.
Need to wait for the "buy" signal from PRISM Signals to trigger as well.
The 3 Buy/Sell suggestion indicators used,
Namely:
PRISM Signals
FG-DIVERGENCE
CYBER ENSEMBLE
are detailed here:
BTC looks like it want to head to the 11470 USD level (1D Chart)To retest the upper resistance level.
Will it be able to break through and find support?
Longer term trend still looking somewhat bearish. However the longer BTC stays within the upper half of the descending triangle, the oscillators will gradually evolve towards looking more positive on the longer term as well.
Comparison of PRISM and FG-DIVERGENCE generated Buy/Sell SignalsPRISM Signals (Lime/Red)
Buy/Sell signals based on filtered pSAR-based Monemtum/Acceleration/Jerk oscillator.
[ p.Doji ] marks points of market-indecisiveness, and where typically, significant volatility and movement is about to occur ahead.
FG-DIVERGENCE V4 {50/15-Series} (Light-Blue/Orange)
Buy/Sell signals based on Momentum/Acceleration hybridized FUSIONGAPS oscillator.
Seems to have a high hit-rate for local tops and bottoms at different time-frames.
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The above are based on the following two respective Indicators
PRISM Signals
FG-DIVERGENCE V4 {50/15-Series}
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Related Indicators
PRISM {PSAR+RSI/STOCH/MAJ Oscillator Set}
FUSIONGAPS V4 {50/15-Series}
FG-DIVERGENCE V4 {50/15-Series}
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Note:
In no way is this intended as a financial/investment/trading advice. You are responsible for your own investment decisions and trades.
Please exercise your own judgement for your own trades base on your own risk-aversion level and goals as an investor or a trader. The use of OTHER indicators and analysis in conjunction (tailored to your own style of investing/trading) will help improve confidence of your analysis, for you to determine your own trade decisions.
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~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~
Please check out my other indicators sets and series, e.g.
LIVIDITIUM (dynamic levels),
AEONDRIFT (multi-levels standard deviation bands),
FUSIONGAPS (MA based oscillators),
MAJESTIC (Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk Oscillators),
PRISM (pSAR based oscillator, with RSI/StochRSI as well as Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk indicators),
PDF (parabolic SAR /w HighLow Trends Indicator/Bar-color-marking + Dynamic Fib Retrace and Extension Level)
and more to come.
Constructive feedback and suggestions are welcome.
If you like any of my set of indicators, and it has benefited you in some ways, please consider tipping a little to my HRT fund. =D
cybernetwork @ EOS
37DzRVwodp5UZBYjCKvVoZ5bDdDqhr7798 @ BTC
MPr8Zhmpsx2uh3F5R4WD98MRJJpwuLBhA3 @ LTC
1Je6c1vvSCW7V2vA6RYDt6CEvqGYgT44F4 @ BCH
AS259bXGthuj4VZ1QPzD39W3ut4fQV5giC @ NEO
rDonew8fRDkZFv7dZYe5w3L1vJSE51zFAx @ Ripple XRP
0xc0161d27201914FC0bAe5e350a193c8658fc4742 @ ETH
GAX6UDAJ52OGZW4FVVG3WLGIOJLGG2C7CTO5ZDUK2P6M6QMYBJMSJTDL @ Stellar XLM
xrb_16s8cj8eoangfa96shsnkir3wctdzy76ajui4zexek6xmqssweu85rdjxrt4 @ Nano
~ JuniAiko
(=^~^=)v~
[Quick Guide] PRISM Signals & PDF indicators.
The PRISM Signals appears to work well especially at lower time-frames (even down to 5 min candles).
The key is to maximizing true-positives is to carefully optimize the input parameters and scoring weights and detection thresholds for a specific given chart and timeframe.
See also the 5 mins chart:
Also shown here is the PDF script, which provides: dynamic Fib levels, pSAR indicator, as well as 2 levels standard deviation bands (disabled here).
The thickest green/red limes are the local-top/bottom lines. Adjust the Fib Input Range accordingly to ensure that the local highs/lows are accurately captured.
The 61.8% levels are the thicker blue lines, and the purple lines are additional levels derived base on the mathematical conjugation between Fib levels.
Again, it is highly recommended to carefully check/optimize the input parameters for a given chart/timeframe against historical trends before proceeding to use it.
This script also provides consecutive higher/lower-highs/lows detection, which is disabled here.
Various features of these scripts can be manually Enabled/Disabled by the users to keep the chart neat.
Even though these scripts are constructed from a set of indicators, it is still highly advised to be used in conjunction with other analysis such as: trendlines, volume, and other indicators, etc., as well as analyzing and comparing with higher/lower timeframes, to help filter out or identify possible risk of false-positives to maximize your success rate.
==========================================================
Indicators used:
PRISM Signals (Color and Stdev bands disabled here) -- Algorithm to generate scoring-based bullish/bearish signals derived from the PRISM oscillators set.
PDF {pSAR /w HiLo Trends + Fib Retrace/Extension Levels} -- Parabolic SAR /w HighLow Trends Indicator/Bar-color-marking + Dynamic Fib Retrace and Extension Level.
Ichimoku Cloud {Cybernetwork} -- Ichimoku Cloud with modified parameters.
Related Indicator:
PRISM Oscillator -- pSAR based oscillator, with RSI/StochRSI as well as Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk indicators
==========================================================
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Note:
In no way is this intended as a financial/investment/trading advice. You are responsible for your own investment decisions and trades.
Please exercise your own judgement for your own trades base on your own risk-aversion level and goals as an investor or a trader. The use of OTHER indicators and analysis in conjunction (tailored to your own style of investing/trading) will help improve confidence of your analysis, for you to determine your own trade decisions.
~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~
Please check out my other indicators sets and series, e.g.
LIVIDITIUM (dynamic levels),
AEONDRIFT (multi-levels standard deviation bands),
FUSIONGAPS (MA based oscillators),
MAJESTIC (Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk Oscillators),
and more to come.
Constructive feedback and suggestions are welcome.
If you like any of my set of indicators, and it has benefited you in some ways, please consider tipping a little to my HRT fund. =D
cybernetwork @ EOS
37DzRVwodp5UZBYjCKvVoZ5bDdDqhr7798 @ BTC
MPr8Zhmpsx2uh3F5R4WD98MRJJpwuLBhA3 @ LTC
1Je6c1vvSCW7V2vA6RYDt6CEvqGYgT44F4 @ BCH
AS259bXGthuj4VZ1QPzD39W3ut4fQV5giC @ NEO
rDonew8fRDkZFv7dZYe5w3L1vJSE51zFAx @ Ripple XRP
0xc0161d27201914FC0bAe5e350a193c8658fc4742 @ ETH
GAX6UDAJ52OGZW4FVVG3WLGIOJLGG2C7CTO5ZDUK2P6M6QMYBJMSJTDL @ Stellar XLM
xrb_16s8cj8eoangfa96shsnkir3wctdzy76ajui4zexek6xmqssweu85rdjxrt4 @ Nano
~ JuniAiko
(=^~^=)v~
Bull/Bear Scenarios and conditions.PRISM's pSAR-based RSI looks to be reset on the 3hr timescale, but not yet on the 1D timescale, hint that there is still a bit more downside to go.
BTC expected to fall to 9176 USD support in the short term.
If it finds strong support there, will expect it to bounce back to 10788 USD (61.8% on the PDF dynamic Fib-level, hidden here) and at also where the top resistance trendline is.
However, if it falls below support (expected to be ~8991 USD) and rebounds to retest support-turned-resistance at 9176 USD, then expect BTC to likely drop all the way down to 8220 USD.
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See earlier related BTCUSD analysis:
Combination of Bearish BTCUSD signals emerged. 9550USD next?
BTC to 8350 USD (200ema), if fail to hold @ 9400 USD (100ema)
www.tradingview.com
BTC to 8350 USD (200ema), if fail to hold @ 9400 USD (100ema)Bitcoin reached about previous predicted level, after "Bear Pivot" signal triggered in LIVIDITIUM signaling script.
However, PRISM oscillators still looking weak + PRISM's pSAR-based RSI still have same way to go before resetting.
Expecting BTC to drop further to ~8400 USD (200 ema) if 9400 USD (100 ema) support fails to hold, which is also where the level2 lower AEONDRIFT band level lie atm.
On the 1D time scale, BTC is still in an "overbought" state base on Fast-LIVIDITIUM {F.LVDT} dynamic levels; noting the strong red-streaks >> which can be imagined as downward forces pulling the candles down towards the 0.6 guide equilibrium level.
By falling down to 8400 USD will position the price just below the F.LVDT 0.6 equilibrium/neutral Guide line, which will turn the market to be healthily bullish again.
~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~
Note: In no way is this intended as a financial/investment/trading advice. You are responsible for your own investment decisions and trades.
Please exercise your own judgement for your own trades base on your own risk-aversion level and goals as an investor or a trader. The use of OTHER indicators and analysis in conjunction (tailored to your own style of investing/trading) will help improve confidence of your analysis, for you to determine your own trade decisions.
~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~
Please check out my other indicators sets and series, e.g.
LIVIDITIUM (dynamic levels),
AEONDRIFT (standard deviation bands),
FUSIONGAPS (MA based oscillators),
MAJESTIC (Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk Oscillators),
PRISM (PSAR based oscillator, with RSI/StochRSI as well as Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk indicators),
and more to come.
Constructive feedback and suggestions are welcome.
If you like any of my set of indicators, and it has benefited you in some ways, please consider tipping a little to my HRT fund. =D
cybernetwork @ EOS
37DzRVwodp5UZBYjCKvVoZ5bDdDqhr7798 @ BTC
MPr8Zhmpsx2uh3F5R4WD98MRJJpwuLBhA3 @ LTC
1Je6c1vvSCW7V2vA6RYDt6CEvqGYgT44F4 @ BCH
AS259bXGthuj4VZ1QPzD39W3ut4fQV5giC @ NEO
rDonew8fRDkZFv7dZYe5w3L1vJSE51zFAx @ Ripple XRP
0xc0161d27201914FC0bAe5e350a193c8658fc4742 @ ETH
GAX6UDAJ52OGZW4FVVG3WLGIOJLGG2C7CTO5ZDUK2P6M6QMYBJMSJTDL @ Stellar XLM
xrb_16s8cj8eoangfa96shsnkir3wctdzy76ajui4zexek6xmqssweu85rdjxrt4 @ Nano
~ JuniAiko
(=^~^=)v~
FTM: Short-term, Looking strong (Stop-Limit set to secure gains)Setting stop-limit as indicated by the red arrow to protect the 30%+ profits gained so far: using the Fast AEONDRIFT script on the 1hr chart to determine suitable stop-loss values for the next few hours.
The RSI/Stochs as well as the PRISM oscillators looking bullish on the short term (for now). Looks like FTM may still have a bit of gas left to continue higher still (with proper risk management setup of course, in case it dumps) after retesting the 15 ema line.
=====================================================================
My indicators used:
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Note: In no way is this intended as a financial/investment/trading advice. You are responsible for your own investment decisions and trades.
Please exercise your own judgement for your own trades base on your own risk-aversion level and goals as an investor or a trader. The use of OTHER indicators and analysis in conjunction (tailored to your own style of investing/trading) will help improve confidence of your analysis, for you to determine your own trade decisions.
~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~
Please check out my other indicators sets and series, e.g.
LIVIDITIUM (dynamic levels),
AEONDRIFT (standard deviation bands),
FUSIONGAPS (MA based oscillators),
MAJESTIC (Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk Oscillators),
PRISM (PSAR based oscillator, with RSI/StochRSI as well as Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk indicators),
and more to come.
Constructive feedback and suggestions are welcome.
If you like any of my set of indicators, and it has benefited you in some ways, please consider tipping a little to my HRT fund. =D
cybernetwork @ EOS
37DzRVwodp5UZBYjCKvVoZ5bDdDqhr7798 @ BTC
MPr8Zhmpsx2uh3F5R4WD98MRJJpwuLBhA3 @ LTC
1Je6c1vvSCW7V2vA6RYDt6CEvqGYgT44F4 @ BCH
AS259bXGthuj4VZ1QPzD39W3ut4fQV5giC @ NEO
rDonew8fRDkZFv7dZYe5w3L1vJSE51zFAx @ Ripple XRP
0xc0161d27201914FC0bAe5e350a193c8658fc4742 @ ETH
GAX6UDAJ52OGZW4FVVG3WLGIOJLGG2C7CTO5ZDUK2P6M6QMYBJMSJTDL @ Stellar XLM
xrb_16s8cj8eoangfa96shsnkir3wctdzy76ajui4zexek6xmqssweu85rdjxrt4 @ Nano
~ JuniAiko
(=^~^=)v~
WANBTC Target: 0.000062 BTCSee earlier published WANBTC chart, and crude Trade Logs:
and also see my post on BTC dominance:
Setting stop-loss at 0.000046 BTC -- using my Fast Aeondrift (stdev based bands) to suggest suitable stop-limit levels to consider.
~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~
Note: In no way is this intended as a financial/investment/trading advice. You are responsible for your own investment decisions and trades.
Please exercise your own judgement for your own trades base on your own risk-aversion level and goals as an investor or a trader. The use of OTHER indicators and analysis in conjunction (tailored to your own style of investing/trading) will help improve confidence of your analysis, for you to determine your own trade decisions.
~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~ * ~
Please check out my other indicators sets and series, e.g.
LIVIDITIUM (dynamic levels),
AEONDRIFT (standard deviation bands),
FUSIONGAPS (MA based oscillators),
MAJESTIC (Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk Oscillators),
PRISM (PSAR based oscillator, with RSI/StochRSI as well as Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk indicators),
and more to come.
Constructive feedback and suggestions are welcome.
If you like any of my set of indicators, and it has benefited you in some ways, please consider tipping a little to my HRT fund. =D
cybernetwork @ EOS
37DzRVwodp5UZBYjCKvVoZ5bDdDqhr7798 @ BTC
MPr8Zhmpsx2uh3F5R4WD98MRJJpwuLBhA3 @ LTC
1Je6c1vvSCW7V2vA6RYDt6CEvqGYgT44F4 @ BCH
AS259bXGthuj4VZ1QPzD39W3ut4fQV5giC @ NEO
rDonew8fRDkZFv7dZYe5w3L1vJSE51zFAx @ Ripple XRP
0xc0161d27201914FC0bAe5e350a193c8658fc4742 @ ETH
GAX6UDAJ52OGZW4FVVG3WLGIOJLGG2C7CTO5ZDUK2P6M6QMYBJMSJTDL @ Stellar XLM
xrb_16s8cj8eoangfa96shsnkir3wctdzy76ajui4zexek6xmqssweu85rdjxrt4 @ Nano
~ JuniAiko
(=^~^=)v~
BITCOIN DOMINANCE {update}: More gains for Alts vs BTC ahead?Even though BTC.D doesn't always reflect the state of every individual altcoins, I still personally find it useful to refer to it as a measure of the level of "tendency towards risk-taking" in the market.
Trend wise, BTC.D is still conforming to the upward channel drawn.
However, recent history indicates that prices above the thick-grey LIVIDITIUM (LVDT) level is considered "overbought".
The PRISM's psar-derived oscillator also seems to be heading towards flipping "red" again and PRISM's momentum oscillator as well as the acceleration/jerk ribbon are now on a downward trajectory as well!
I speculatively predict that BTC.D will first go down the "pink" path (continuing a minor "alt season" vs. BTC, but not necessarily vs. USD save for a selected handful) -- with BTC dropping further and significantly more so than the alts (i.e. semi-decoupled), before rebounding at the next extrapolated LVDT level below, marking the continuation of the BTC parabolic bull market (leaving alts behind once again).
WANBTC: Setting buy back order of WAN btwn 0.00003-0.0000263 BTCEarlier, after the massive pump, I've set limit sell of WAN at 0.0000509 BTC which got triggered.
Setting a buy-back limit buy orders of WAN, cost-averaging btwn 0.00003-0.0000263 BTC, with the aid of the LIVIDITIUM dynamic band levels.
See: t.me
QUOTE "I still think WAN still has strength to continue up more personally. But Im setting stop-losses to protect my gains so far at 0.0000509 BTC/WAN personally, base on my Fast AEONDRIFT script to help suggest suitable stop limit levels on the 5mins candles chart."
t.me
BTCUSD: Why I am not expecting a massive dump coming up.Using the FUSIONGAP oscillator (Zoomed out).
The FUSIONGAPS series oscillators can also be set to log-scale to determine oversold/bought condition, or bullish/bearish phase/flip of the market.
This is why I am not expecting a massive dump down to an all time low, or anything too brutal.
If BTC's next move is a further downward correction, I'd expected it to drop to ~9000 USD or even ~8500 USD at the very most.
Observing that there are way too many people standing on the sideline waiting to buy BTC below 10kUSD, and especially below 9kUSD.
And also quite likely, the market may instead do the opposite and move on higher, leaving those who have not bought in yet and are still waiting behind.
Hence, at the moment, I believe it is unlikely for BTC to drop lower than that -- but will need to reassess the chart when the time comes, of course.
BTC.D: More alt gains until PRISM’s psar-based RSI/Stochs resetsAs I had also posted on the 21st August in a telegram channel as a reply.
t.me
More minor alt gains until PRISM’s psar-based RSI/Stochs resets.
Noteworthy: However, divergence in the progressive tops of the psar oscillator where it is descending, while BTC dominance is ascending.
BTCUSD: mixed but conditionally bullish-biased signals.Bitcoin to rebound back to top black resistance level, if price continues to hold above red support line — allowing the PRISM RSI and STOCHS to reset. Momentum still in the negative though, and acceleration and Jerk oscillators doesn’t look to be rebounding yet. Need to wait till PRISM acceleration oscillator to turn positive first before deciding on an entry time.
Suitable stop loss might be at slightly below the lower black support line perhaps.
Litecoin to fall a bit more (before rebounding at support?)LTCUSD likely to fall to as low as 74-72 USD before (hopefully -- depending on the MAJESTIC-X indicator and RSI/STOCHS) finding support and rebounding to 83 USD, and hopefully continuing up to 61.8% Fib level at 93 USD in around a week.
Using the MAJESTIC-X (Momentum/Acceleration/Jerk oscillators) with the candle range set to "15":
The red jerk oscillator is now crossing the green acceleration candle, with all oscillators in then negative, hinting that the price has more to fall atm.
Need the Momentum histogram to start negatively peaking or plateauing, before prices can make a turn-around.
Will continue monitoring how the chart evolves through the week.
Indicators also used:
Fast LIVIDITIUM Low Volatility Channel {EMA} - dynamic support/resistance levels
as well as the
AEONDRIFT (with FUSIONGAPS indicators) - Stdev levels , with built-in indicators derived from the FUSIONGAPS oversold/bought oscillator and death/golden cross indicators, coupled with its momentum and accelerator based reversal indicators as well.
More pain ahead for Altcoins after some initial gains? Bearish for altcoins in the mid to long term if BTC.D finds support at ca. 68.7% and rebounds (at or before 6th Sept).
Neutral for altcoins , if BTC.D drops below 68.7%, or fails to move higher away from 68.7% after 6th Sept.
Bullish for altcoins , if BTC.D falls below 68.7% and retest as resistance with immediate target down to 66.64% (then chart to be reassessed).