Aerospace
ROCKET LAB Time the next pull-back and buy.Exactly 4 months ago (May 29, see chart below) we gave the ultimate long-term buy signal on Rocket Lab (RKLB) when it was trading at $4.39 and eventually not only did it return us +100% profit by hitting our $8.75 Target but even broke above the 2-year Higher Highs trend-line and Resistance 1:
It is now confirmed that the stock has broken into a new Bull Cycle and won't (most likely) continue to follow the accumulation pattern of the previous 2-year Ascending Triangle. This is also evident on the 1D RSI, which is rising on a Channel Up.
In our opinion it will continue the pull-back buy low sequence that started in July. The next key Resistance is the 0.618 Fibonacci, above which we expect the next short-term correction to start. Our intention is to buy again at 9.15 or if we see 2 red 1W candles first.
Our next Target will be 14.50 (the 0.786 Fib).
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The Silent Assassin - A New Era of Targeted WarfareDelve into the world of precision weaponry with a deep dive into the Lockheed Martin AGM-114 R9X. This non-explosive missile, designed for targeted elimination, challenges traditional warfare concepts. Explore its technical capabilities, potential implications for global security, and ethical considerations.
This analysis explores the Lockheed Martin AGM-114 R9X, a specialized missile designed for precision strikes with minimal collateral damage. Often referred to as the 'Ninja Missile,' the R9X has gained notoriety for its role in high-profile operations. This article delves into the technical specifications, operational history, and implications of this unconventional weapon system.
Key Points:
Detailed technical breakdown of the R9X's design and functioning.
Analysis of the R9X's role in counterterrorism operations, particularly the killing of Ayman al-Zawahiri.
Examination of the ethical and legal implications of using such a weapon.
Comparative analysis of the R9X with other precision strike systems.
Assessment of the R9X's potential for future development and applications.
Let's Focus on the Ethical Implications of the R9X
The ethical dimensions of the R9X are particularly compelling. Given its precision and the potential to minimize civilian casualties, it raises complex questions about the changing nature of warfare.
Hellfire is a low-collateral damage, precision air-to-ground missile with semi-active laser guidance for use against light armor and personnel.
Missiles are used on the MQ-9 Reaper. AFSOC dropped previous plans to integrate the weapons onto its AC-130W gunships in favor of the Small Glide Munition.
Hellfire is procured through the Army, and numerous variants are utilized based on overseas contingency demands. An MQ-1 Predator employed Hellfire in combat for the first time in Afghanistan on Oct. 7, 2001.
The latest AGM-114R replaces several types with a single, multitarget weapon, and USAF is also buying variable Height-of-Burst (HOB) kits to enhance lethality.
The next-generation Joint Air-to-Ground Missile (JAGM) is also procured via the Army, and adds a new multimode guidance section to the AGM-114R. JAGM is used against high-value moving or stationary targets in all weather. FY21 funds 2,497 Hellfire/JAGM via a common production contract.
#AIRBUS Double top.Will the next version of Lockdowns be even more stringent and for longer???
#AIR has a potential DT formation
we have to wait and see
.... I wouldn't go booking next years summer holidays just yet!
War is a Racket | DFEN | Long at $28.00The war machine keeps turning. Profits will reign. Direxion Aerospace and Defense 3x AMEX:DFEN never fully recovered from pandemic lows, but world peace is (unfortunately) far from reach. The uptrend in the chart has commenced. Personal entry point at $28.00.
Target #1 = $37.00
Target #2 = $50.00
Target #3 = $64.00
Next Move Will be a Massive one for $AEROSPARKS:AERO is currently forming a bullish flag pattern on 2-3hr TF, when it bounces it's absolutely going to go. The 1st target is $2 and the next target is $3.9-$4.
good luck!
"Distribution Top Breakdown Signals Downward Trend Continuation"Park Aerospace Corp: A Closer Look at the Distribution Top and Downward Channel
Park Aerospace Corp, a key player in the aerospace industry, is currently undergoing a significant chart pattern that warrants attention from investors. With over 20 years of distribution top formation and a recent breakdown into a downward channel, Park Aerospace Corp is testing recent highs as it continues its downward trajectory. Let's delve deeper into the implications of this pattern and explore what Park Aerospace Corp represents.
Understanding Park Aerospace Corp
Park Aerospace Corp is a leading supplier of aerospace composite materials, parts, and assemblies, serving customers in the commercial, military, and general aviation sectors. With a focus on advanced composite materials and innovative manufacturing processes, Park Aerospace Corp has established itself as a trusted partner in the aerospace industry, providing high-quality solutions for a wide range of applications.
The Distribution Top Formation
A distribution top is a technical chart pattern that typically occurs after a prolonged uptrend and signals a potential reversal in the prevailing trend. In the case of Park Aerospace Corp, the formation of a distribution top spanning over 20 years suggests that the stock may have reached a peak and is now experiencing distribution by long-term investors. This pattern often precedes a period of consolidation or downward movement in the stock price.
The Downward Channel
Following the distribution top formation, Park Aerospace Corp has broken down into a downward channel, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows. This pattern indicates a steady decline in the stock price, with sellers exerting pressure on the market. The recent testing of recent highs within the downward channel suggests that Park Aerospace Corp is likely to continue its downward trajectory in the near term.
Implications for Investors
For investors in Park Aerospace Corp, the distribution top and downward channel pattern carry significant implications. The breakdown from the distribution top indicates a shift in market sentiment, with selling pressure outweighing buying interest. As the stock continues to trade within the confines of the downward channel, investors should exercise caution and consider implementing risk management strategies to protect their capital.
Conclusion
In conclusion, Park Aerospace Corp is currently undergoing a significant chart pattern characterized by a distribution top formation and a subsequent breakdown into a downward channel. With over 20 years of distribution top formation and recent testing of highs within the downward channel, Park Aerospace Corp is likely to continue its downward trajectory in the coming months. Investors should closely monitor the stock's price action and consider the implications of this pattern when making investment decisions in Park Aerospace Corp.
Short or Put ConsiderationThis is Similar to the Uber profitable BLRX Trade. Buy Puts, follow the Trendline down
War/Defence Stocks: Macro Fib SchematicsThis handcrafted idea using Advanced Fibonacci Tools beholds 6 of the largest War Mongering "Defence" contractors.
( Raytheon, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics, L3 Harris Tech )
These Fibonacci Schematics show all price manipulation of Support and Resistance. I've started the timeline at 1999 for many reasons. One being the already conceived and "soon to be" conflicts of the Middle East with the "war of terror." (Give me a break)
2001 kickstarted another HUGE flow of stimulus into these defence contractors to fund the West's newest war to keep people "proud to be an American". Solely by continuing the collective punishment of millions of people in the Middle East region. This had already been going on for about 2 decades at least before 9/11.
The American Government killed hundreds of thousands to millions of Iraqis and Afghanistan people through this collective punishment. They needed a way to continue their genocidal intent and ethnic cleansing with a false flag terror attack to get the American People back on their side. 9/11 brought out the worst in our country and the "PatRioTiC" US citizens green lit their leaders to dish out more collective punishment even though their leaders had been lying though their teeth for countless years.... I need give only one example with "weapons of mass destruction"
Obviously this matters because these Defence Contractors have blood all over their hands that they are basically swimming in it.
Anyways, this is just a Macro Analysis. These lines represent death and destruction so investing in them is a moral dilemma which I obviously advice against.
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) October 2023 to April 2024
Neutral to Long: The company's fundamentals and dividend history are strong, suggesting a potential long position. However, the recent underperformance (negative YTD return) and the volatility might be a concern, which introduces some caution, hence the neutral stance.
Fundamentals:
Market Cap: $110.91 billion
Operating Margin (TTM): 13.43%
EPS (Earnings Per Share): $27.3
PE Ratio: 16.13
Revenue (TTM): $67.39 billion
Quarterly Revenue Growth YoY: 8.1%
Profit Margin: 10.48%
Return on Equity (TTM): 68.31%
Recent Earnings:
Q3 2023: Estimated EPS was $6.67 (actual EPS not yet reported).
Q2 2023: Estimated EPS was $6.45, and the actual EPS was $6.63, resulting in a positive surprise of 2.79%.
Q1 2023: Estimated EPS was $6.06, and the actual EPS was $6.61, resulting in a positive surprise of 9.08%.
Q4 2022: Estimated EPS was $7.39, and the actual EPS was $7.4, resulting in a slight positive surprise of 0.14%.
Technical Indicators:
5-Year Return: 9.02%
10-Year Return: 16.31%
1-Year Return: 13.94%
YTD Return: -7.52%
Dividend Yield: 2.72%
Volatility (1Y): 21.49%
Sharpe Ratio: 0.7561
Dividends & Splits:
Last Dividend Date: December 29, 2023
Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 2.86%
Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $12.6
Last Split: 2:1 on January 4, 1999
Analysis:
Lockheed Martin has shown consistent growth in its revenue, with a YoY quarterly revenue growth of 8.1%. The company's earnings have been positive, with recent quarters showing a positive surprise in EPS compared to estimates. The company's fundamentals, such as the operating margin and profit margin, are robust. The PE ratio is at a moderate level, indicating that the stock might be reasonably priced. The company has a strong dividend history, which is a positive sign for income-focused investors.
However, the YTD return is negative, indicating some recent underperformance. The volatility is also relatively high, which might be a concern for risk-averse investors.
In conclusion, Lockheed Martin appears to be a fundamentally strong company with consistent growth and a good dividend history. However, potential investors should be cautious about the recent underperformance and consider the company's volatility before making an investment decision.
Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and does not guarantee future performance. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) October 2023 to April 2024
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)
Fundamentals:
Market Cap: $73.996 billion
EPS (Earnings Per Share): $30.13
P/E Ratio: 16.232
Book Value: $102.293
Operating Margin (TTM): 11.49%
Profit Margin: 12.27%
Return on Assets (TTM): 8.45%
Return on Equity (TTM): 31.91%
Wall Street Target Price: $504.33
Revenue (TTM): $37.881 billion
Gross Profit (TTM): $7.474 billion
Recent Earnings:
Q2 2023: Actual EPS of $5.34 vs. Estimated EPS of $5.33 (Surprise: +0.1876%)
Q1 2023: Actual EPS of $5.5 vs. Estimated EPS of $5.09 (Surprise: +8.055%)
Q4 2022: Actual EPS of $7.5 vs. Estimated EPS of $6.57 (Surprise: +14.1553%)
Technical Indicators:
52 Week High: $547.6509
52 Week Low: $414.56
50-Day Moving Average: $436.8846
200-Day Moving Average: $453.325
Beta: 0.437 (indicating the stock is less volatile than the market)
Dividends:
Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $7.48
Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 1.53%
Payout Ratio: 29.72%
Performance Metrics:
YTD Return: -9.27%
1-Year Return: 4.55%
3-Year Return: 17.6%
5-Year Return: 11.52%
10-Year Return: 19.05%
Analysis:
Northrop Grumman has demonstrated a solid financial performance with a healthy profit margin and return on equity. The company's earnings have been consistently beating estimates, indicating strong operational efficiency. The stock's P/E ratio is relatively moderate, suggesting it might be fairly valued. The company also offers a decent dividend yield, making it attractive for income-seeking investors. However, the stock has underperformed YTD, which might be a concern for short-term investors. Given its industry positioning and financial metrics, it seems to be a stable investment for those looking at the defense sector.
Impact of FAA Regulations and Rumors in Aerospace Stock TradingInvesting in aerospace-related stocks can be a lucrative endeavor due to the industry's potential for growth and innovation. You may find a lot of long-term investors holding major airline stocks (especially, positions added during COVID lows) and relatively new aerospace startups. However, it is essential to closely monitor and consider the impact of Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) regulations and even rumors on their investment decisions even if you’re not day trading these stocks. In this article, we explore real-life examples of how FAA regulations have negatively affected the stock prices of companies in the aerospace sector, highlighting the crucial role of monitoring and reacting to regulatory developments.
Example #1. FAA Limits on Flight Numbers and the Plunge in US Airline Stocks:
The FAA recently imposed restrictions on the number of flights to alleviate pressure on the national airspace. While this regulation aims to enhance safety and efficiency, it has directly impacted US airline stocks, such as American Airlines (AAL). Airlines faced reduced capacity and higher operational costs. This resulted in decreased revenue and profitability, causing a sharp decline in American Airlines' stock price. Investors who were not prepared for this regulatory change suffered losses. However, in reality this has been a topic of conversation since April, so the late June announcement shouldn’t have caught anybody by surprise. If taken proper measures, the positions might have been cashed out at July highs until the FAA inevitable reduces the geography of this regulation. Which it already started as of 3-4 weeks ago, meaning we can expect a retracement soon.
Example #2. Minimum Flight Time Requirements and the Struggles of EVTOL Companies:
FAA regulations now require small aircraft, including Electric Vertical Takeoff and Landing (EVTOL) vehicles, to have a minimum flight time of 30 minutes. This regulation has posed significant challenges for EVTOL companies like Joby Aviation, as battery technology limitations make meeting this requirement very difficult. For instance, even industry leaders like Joby Aviation, despite its high potential, faced setbacks due to the FAA's minimum flight time regulation. The company's stock price suffered as investors became wary of the challenges presented by battery size limitations amid this new requirement.
Some other example of FAA regulations impacting aerospace stocks include:
1. Noise Restrictions: Recent FAA regulations aimed at reducing aircraft noise levels have affected companies specializing in quieter aviation technologies.
2. Safety Mandates: Stricter safety regulations have led to increased research and development costs for aerospace companies, impacting their profitability.
3. Environmental Regulations: Regulations promoting sustainable aviation and reducing carbon emissions have influenced aerospace companies' strategies, causing fluctuations in their stock performance.
As you may see FAA regulations have a substantial and immediate impact on the stock prices of companies in the aerospace sector. However, this analogy was just an example because of my personal interest as a PhD in Aerospace Engineering and investor into several aerospace stocks. In reality, when trading/investing you should always stay up to date with regulations imposed by your governing body (food or pharmacy should watch out for FDA and so on). Knowledge is power, dear community members. So stay alert and informed in any comfortable way for you. Some like to watch Bloomberg, some read yahoo finance. In reality, you can substitute that by reading through some of the deep good breakdowns by fellow TradingView writers. Make the most out of it!
BA Boeing Flying Above Ichimoku Clouds. Hara-Kiri for the bears I've been invested in this from $130 it is 10% of my total investing and trading capital. The bad news is over for Boeing the stock is still trading cheap compared to the growth this company will have as the US - China Arms and Space Race heats up. Plus the future growth of the aerospace and defense industries in general. Target is for BA to test it's all time high of around $400 .
Vertical Take off for ArcherWith a 73% increase in stock price over the last 11 days it appears as if Archer is getting ready to take off Vertically, just like its upcoming aircraft!
Although the aircraft is still experimental we have already seen players like United make investments for about 100 units. We found a clear foundation level and have tested the resistance level of around $3.30 throughout the year.
Based on the fib retracement scale, there is some potential for it to break past the current levels with the appropriate amount of volume to support to growth.
Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAFs)Honeywell plays a large role in the future technology being implemented in aviation. Specifically now with their push for Sustainable Aviation Fuels. Seeing a greater push from consumers and organizations for more sustainable practices in doing business, the US government is expected to launch more programs to incentivize the use of sustainable fuels. The mix of the two factors may lead to a great opportunity for growth as demand starts to pick up in the coming years.
F22 shoots down hopes of bear market Objects Shot out of U.S airspace is good for the Aerospace and defense sector. LMT hit its ATH trading price less than 3 months ago expect further upside for this industry.
LHX | Oversold Defense Play | BounceL3Harris Technologies, Inc., an aerospace and defense technology company, provides mission-critical solutions for government and commercial customers worldwide. The company's Integrated Mission Systems segment provides multi-mission intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) systems; and communication systems, as well as fleet management support, sensor development, modification, and periodic depot maintenance services for ISR and airborne missions. It also manufactures and integrates mission systems for maritime platforms, such as signals intelligence and multi-intelligence platforms; unmanned surface and undersea autonomous solutions; and power and ship control systems and other electronic and electrical products and systems. In addition, this segment offers advanced electro-optical and infrared solutions. Its Space and Airborne Systems segment offers space payloads, sensors, and full-mission solutions; classified intelligence and cyber defense solutions; mission avionics; and electronic warfare systems. The company's Communication Systems segment provides tactical communications; broadband secured mobile networked communication equipment, including airborne, space, and surface data link terminals, ground stations, and transportable tactical satellite communication (SATCOM) systems for use in manned aircraft, unmanned aerial vehicles, and naval ships; and helmet and weapon mounted integrated night vision systems. This segment also offers radios, systems applications, and equipment for critical public safety and professional communications; and SATCOM terminals and battlefield management networks. Its Aviation Systems segment offers defense aviation products; commercial pilot training; and mission networks solutions for air traffic management. The company was formerly known as Harris Corporation and changed its name to L3Harris Technologies, Inc. in June 2019. L3Harris Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Melbourne, Florida.
NOC | Time to Start Nibbling | LONGNorthrop Grumman Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense company worldwide. The company's Aeronautics Systems segment designs, develops, manufactures, integrates, and sustains aircraft systems. This segment also offers unmanned autonomous aircraft systems, including high-altitude long-endurance strategic ISR systems and vertical take-off and landing tactical ISR systems; and strategic long-range strike aircraft, tactical fighter and air dominance aircraft, and airborne battle management and command and control systems. Its Defense Systems segment designs, develops, and produces weapons and mission systems. It offers products and services, such as integrated battle management systems, weapons systems and aircraft, and mission systems. This segment also provides command and control and weapons systems, including munitions and missiles; precision strike weapons; propulsion, such as air-breathing and hypersonic systems; gun systems and precision munitions; life cycle service and support for software, weapons systems, and aircraft; and logistics support, sustainment, operation, and modernization for air, sea, and ground systems. The company's Mission Systems segment offers cyber, command, control, communications and computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems; radar, electro-optical/infrared and acoustic sensors; electronic warfare systems; advanced communications and network systems; cyber solutions; intelligence processing systems; navigation; and maritime power, propulsion, and payload launch systems. This segment also provides airborne multifunction sensors; maritime/land systems and sensors; navigation, targeting, and survivability solutions; and networked information solutions. Its Space Systems segment offers satellites and payloads; ground systems; missile defense systems and interceptors; launch vehicles and related propulsion systems; and strategic missiles. The company was founded in 1939 and is based in Falls Church, Virginia.
EVTL | Ready to Take Flight | LONGVertical Aerospace Ltd., an aerospace and technology company, engages in designing, manufacturing, and selling zero operating emission electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft for use in the advanced air mobility. It offers VX4, an eVTOL aircraft. The company was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Bristol, the United Kingdom.
Raytheon Technologies: 3 Line Strike at PCZ of Bearish CypherThe Defense Sector in general seems to be overhyped as if it expects earnings not to matter anymore but the PE/Ratios keep rising as if it's betting on the US to enter a direct armed conflict rather than reality which is that we are simply just providing old unused equipment to the Ukraine. I think in the near future the market will realize this and we will see prices on these kinds of stocks got lower as the PE Ratios compress just like every other speculative growth stock has done during the cycle.
Green in your DM Desktop Metals pond fishing 3D printer“I would not be a Moses to lead you into the Promised Land, because if I could lead you into it, someone else could lead you out of it.”
“A privately owned world can never be a free world and a society based upon warring classes cannot stand.”
Desktop Metal, Inc. engages in the manufacture of additive manufacturing solutions accessible to engineering, design, and manufacturing applications.
It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe Middle East, and Africa, and Asia Pacific.
The firm offers 3D printing machines.
It was founded by Ric Fulop, Emanuel Sachs, Rick Chin, A. John Hart, Yet Ming Chiang, Christopher A. Schuh, and Jonah Myerberg in October 2015 and is headquartered in Burlington, MA.
$AERC Braking Resistance!I see a Nice Range Trade till Now.
But if it break Resistance around $3.50, it can run till $4, but even till $8.
Analyst say about $7
