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Aex-index

Alfen May Collapse SoonThis chart could be a perfect example of why you should use caution when dealing with a volatile price chart. We’ve seen this with Bitcoin recently: The price goes up in a steady line, maybe in a parabolic fashion, before the trend weakens. A slowing down of a trend is not necessarily bad. For example: the price went up almost 30% between the first and the last sell signal (the ones at the top). However, it is clear that the price is struggling making more convincing highs. However, be cautious when you see this pattern at the top. A slowing down in a trend after the price went up exponentially is bad. That means that the buyers are exhausted. So to come back to this stock. The price went up exponentially, slowed down, went volatile, and now is below the resistance area. This convinces me that the price will go lower sooner or later. With charts like these, you could be looking at a drop of at least 40% to 50% from the current price.
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by FetchTeam
AEX Bearish VersionLooking at the AEX i chart, this bearish pattern is quite easy to spot. At the previous two tops AEX printed: A high (yellow) Followed by a higher high with a drop to the low of the yellow zone (green) Followed by a retracement to around mid green zone and a big dump (red) Retest of support turned resistance (orange) with a final big dump afterwards. I’m not a big fan of Head and Shoulder patterns but this one is too obvious to ignore. The current pattern we’re in can be drawn in two ways. The one I have and one with the yellow circle as the left shoulder. So obviously this would mean a big drop would happen if this one plays out (I’m not convinced). The AEX is a capitalization-weighted-index with three companies having a total weight of 43,46%(!) of the total index: ASML Holding (semiconductors) Royal Dutch Shell (oil & gas) Unilever (personal products) It’s interesting to watch how these company go through the Corona pandemic. Why is this pattern useful? Invalidation is nearby . If we surpass the green zone it’s likely the ‘corona-low’ is already in and we go for new highs. This is just an idea.
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by arnosv
5
AEX Is Inside a Rising Wedge, After Struggling at the 0.500 Fib Let's look at the Dutch AEX index. The prices seem to not have recovered as much as the american stock markets, giving us more opportunity to trade with higher percentage gains. However, I am starting this one with my analysis on an upcoming short trade. I'm not a huge fan of this inverted fibonacci retracement, but saw it getting very popular on charts recently to model the big Corona drop. If we use this charting method, we do see the price struggled quite a bit to overcome the 0.5 fib level. After oscillating quite a bit in this rising wedge, we are reaching the point where the price will need to make a decision soon. A rising wedge is a bearish pattern, so I expect a bearish breakout after reaching still slightly higher. possibly around the 525 level. Follow me for consistent high quality updates, with clear explanations and charts. Please like this post to support me. - Trading Guru -------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer! This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only!
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by Trading-Guru
3
AEX 485-500 Short Opportunity2001: AEX broke the 4 year positive trendline and from that moment dropped 57% in the following 105 weeks. After breaking that trendline the price recovered until slightly above the initial break point. From there the real downward rally continued. In hindsight this point of recovery would have been an excellent short opportunity. 2008: AEX broke the 5 year positive trendline and from that moment dropped 57% in the following 61 weeks. After breaking that trendline the price recovered until slightly above the initial break point again (just like in 2001). From there the real downward rally continued again (just like in 2001). In hindsight this point of recovery would have been an excellent short opportunity again (just like in 2001). 2020: AEX broke the 11 year positive trendline, a similar thing that happened in 2001 and 2008. The price dropped sharply but is now recovering slightly. If the price recovers the next few weeks to 485-500 this would give a similar short opportunity as we have seen in 2001 and 2008. Let me know your thoughts :) PS: a more or less similar opportunity can be spotted when looking at S&P500 and DJ30.
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by baasix
4
UPDATE: #AEX - "Financial recession is a fact!"UPDATE: #AEX - "Financial recession is a fact! Depression is coming!" Feb 19 UPDATE: #AEX - "Financial markets will goes into years of recession!" Financial market is going to prepare itself for a long-term downward movement. Some financial experts will call this an economic depression the coming period! Mar 02 Trade active: #IEX #AEX #coronavirus is being misused by the financial market to justify correction that has long been established! It will take approximately 10 years for the financial market reach the bottom.
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by EvertLenos
Death CrossThe death cross occurs when a short-term moving average crosses over a major long-term moving average to the downside and is interpreted by analysts and traders as signaling a definitive bear turn in a market. The death cross is a technical chart pattern indicating the potential for a major selloff. The death cross appears on a chart when a stock’s short-term moving average crosses below its long-term moving average. The death cross indicator has proven to be a reliable predictor of some of the most severe bear markets of the past century: 1929, 1938, 1974, and 2008 As we can see it occured in 2008 aswell and the chart and other indicators (RSI and stoch RSI, but also ichimoku cloud and few others) are almost indenticial to when the crash in 2008 happened. The AEX will take a big hit and may fall to 0.786 fib. level and perhaps lower.
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by Decrazer
2
AEX approaching resistance, potential drop!AEX is approaching our first resistance at 534.4 (61.8% fibonacci retracement , 100% fibonacci extension , horizontal overlap resistance) and a strong drop might occur pushing price down to our major support at 505.7 (50% fibonacci retracement , 61.8% fibonacci extension ). Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
TVC:AEXShort
by Tickmill
AEX approaching resistance, potential drop! AEX is approaching our first resistance at 538.32 (78.6%, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, 100% fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) and a strong drop might occur pushing price down to our major support at 513.59 (38.2% fibonacci retracement). Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
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by Tickmill
AEX approaching resistance, potential drop! AEX is approaching our first resistance at 510 (61.8% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension, descending channel resistance, horizontal overlap resistance) and a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 485 (61.8% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension). Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
TVC:AEXShort
by Tickmill
AEX approaching resistance, potential drop! AEX is approaching our first resistance at 501.3 (78.6%, 50% fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) and a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 477.2 (78.6% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension,horizontal swing low retracement). Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
TVC:AEXShort
by Tickmill
AEX approaching resistance, potential drop! AEX is approaching our first resistance at 495.2 (61.8%, 38.2% fibonacci retracement, 100% fibonacci extension, horizontal pullback resistance) and a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 471.9 (61.8% fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support). Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
TVC:AEXShort
by Tickmill
AEX approaching resistance, potential drop! AEX is approaching our first resistance at 495.2 (61.8%, 38.2% fibonacci retracement, 100% fibonacci extension, horizontal pullback resistance) and a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 471.9 (61.8% fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support). Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level. Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk. Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
TVC:AEXShort
by Tickmill