Aex-short
AEX Bearish VersionLooking at the AEX i chart, this bearish pattern is quite easy to spot. At the previous two tops AEX printed:
A high (yellow)
Followed by a higher high with a drop to the low of the yellow zone (green)
Followed by a retracement to around mid green zone and a big dump (red)
Retest of support turned resistance (orange) with a final big dump afterwards.
I’m not a big fan of Head and Shoulder patterns but this one is too obvious to ignore. The current pattern we’re in can be drawn in two ways. The one I have and one with the yellow circle as the left shoulder.
So obviously this would mean a big drop would happen if this one plays out (I’m not convinced). The AEX is a capitalization-weighted-index with three companies having a total weight of 43,46%(!) of the total index:
ASML Holding (semiconductors)
Royal Dutch Shell (oil & gas)
Unilever (personal products)
It’s interesting to watch how these company go through the Corona pandemic.
Why is this pattern useful? Invalidation is nearby . If we surpass the green zone it’s likely the ‘corona-low’ is already in and we go for new highs.
This is just an idea.
AEX looks the same as 2002In 2002 the AEX made a big drop to 380 points. After that point the AEX made a rally up to 528 points. Back to now, this year we als made a big drop to 390 points. 29 april we reached the 528 points. Yesterday we saw a big red candle, does this mean we have seen the top? If we look back at 2002 the answer is yes ;)
AEX approaching resistance, potential drop!AEX is approaching our first resistance at 534.4 (61.8% fibonacci retracement , 100% fibonacci extension , horizontal overlap resistance) and a strong drop might occur pushing price down to our major support at 505.7 (50% fibonacci retracement , 61.8% fibonacci extension ).
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
AEX approaching resistance, potential drop! AEX is approaching our first resistance at 538.32 (78.6%, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, 100% fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) and a strong drop might occur pushing price down to our major support at 513.59 (38.2% fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
AEX approaching resistance, potential drop! AEX is approaching our first resistance at 510 (61.8% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension, descending channel resistance, horizontal overlap resistance) and a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 485 (61.8% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
AEX approaching resistance, potential drop! AEX is approaching our first resistance at 501.3 (78.6%, 50% fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) and a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 477.2 (78.6% fibonacci retracement, 61.8% fibonacci extension,horizontal swing low retracement).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
AEX approaching resistance, potential drop! AEX is approaching our first resistance at 495.2 (61.8%, 38.2% fibonacci retracement, 100% fibonacci extension, horizontal pullback resistance) and a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 471.9 (61.8% fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
AEX approaching resistance, potential drop! AEX is approaching our first resistance at 495.2 (61.8%, 38.2% fibonacci retracement, 100% fibonacci extension, horizontal pullback resistance) and a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 471.9 (61.8% fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
AEX approaching support, potential bounce! AEX is approaching our first support at 475 (50% fibonacci retracement, 100% fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap support) and a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 534 (61.8% fibonacci retracement, 100% fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap resistance).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching support and we might see a corresponding bounce in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
AEX approaching support, potential bounce! AEX is approaching our first support at 475.2 (50% fibonacci retracement, 100% fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap support) and a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 534.4 (61.8% fibonacci retracement, 100% fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap resistance).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching support and we might see a corresponding bounce in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
AEX Approaching Resistance, Potential Reversal!AEX is approaching its resistance at 516.8 (horizontal pullback resistance, 100% fibonacci extension, 61.8% fibonacci retracement) where it could potentially reverse down to its support at 494.2 (61.8% Fibonacci extension , 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ).
Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is approaching its resistance at 97% where a corresponding reversal could occur.
AEX approaching resistance, potential drop! AEX is approaching our first resistance at 516.8 (horizontal pullback resistance, 100% fibonacci extension, 61.8% fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur pushing price down to our major support at 494.2 (100% fibonacci extension, 61.8% fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresonding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
AEX Bearish, YES We've Reached The Top!Hi Guys,
Normally I do Cryptocurrencies, but today my country's AEX Index. I strongly believe we've already reached the top. And after a 10 year long bull market, it's time to take profits.
I haven't bought any stocks, only bonds. But I will short when AEX drops under the 500 points. I already opened a short when it dropped below 500 points. But I had to take my loss when the price moved up again.
According to the emotional cycle, we are just in Denial phase. So you're doing good to take your profits and short the down side.
Happy Trading!
Adyen pennant forming, ugly IPOBrand new IPO stock EURONEXT:ADYEN is forming a pennant. It can go either way from this point so do only trade it after a breakout. I'm not planning to trade Adyen in the near term because there are big risks involved:
Newly listed stocks can do wild things, so use a tight stop loss.
The free float of this stock is very low. All shares are allocated to institutional investors at the time of subscription. They had to sign a contract which states that they want to hold the shares for several years. Only a small part of the shares can be freely traded (<15%). The price can therefore go up but also go down quickly.
If I were a value investor I would definitely not trade this stock because of the low free float. I think that private investors, in particular, are now pushing up the price and will get trapped with expensive shares.
Disclaimer: this reading is intended to explain the risks and high valuation involved with this stock. This is absolutely no investment advice.
General information: Adyen is a global payment company that allows businesses to accept e-commerce, mobile, and point-of-sale payments. Adyen has more than 5,000 customers and is listed on the stock exchange Euronext.
BOSKALIS still bearish BOKA is showing a significant break through the 23 level, aiming for the 21-20 area at least.
If this clearly breaks the level, we can expect a further move down.
What might potentially happen:
- Price goes down and finds support around 21-20 area
- Price continues going down ; first targets are around 18