Stock Market Logic Series #11If you are not adding the pre-and-after-hours of trading on your chart, you don't actually see the full picture of your trading analysis.
A lot of times, the market makers will push the price on the pre/after-hours times on a light volume, and will define the true low or high of the day, where you could have gotten inside with a much better price and stop placement, so when the trading hours starts, you don't feel lost that you don't have a close risk point to put your stop at.
Also, in those outside-hours, you can clearly see a much more sensible picture where the trendlines are much more clear and it is clear what the price is doing.
Also, I don't even talk about when EARNINGS are happening... and there is a high chance for gap to happen in one direction or the other.
After a gap happens, if you only look on the trading hours, you have only the information of the first 5 min of the day so you have some estimation of what could be the high or low of the day, but looking at the pre-market you could see what are the possible true high or low of the day, which is completely different.
Also, after a gap happens, your indicators are "wrong", since they miss information.
As you go into a higher frame this becomes less important, but still... some crazy huge moves start in the pre/after-hours and the price just never comes back, it just flies to the moon. So why not position yourself at a better price with better stop placement?
The logic behind it, is that if BIG money wants a stock badly... he will buy it whenever it is possible and available before the other BIG money will snatch it from it...
Look how clear price action looks in this chart:
Afterhours
BAKKT coming BackThe past couple of days were exciting. After hours traders (buyers) likely took one in the pants, but what I offer is this: remove after hours trading. Look at how yesterday influenced any and all indicators. I think $20-22 is a great entry point here with another big push coming in the next few weeks.
Over-hyped - yes.
Oversold - yes.
Overvalued - maybe not at $20-22.
Torchlight Energy Boomin After HoursSymbol: NASDAQ:TRCH
Indicators
Lag RSI
My Opinion: Bullish
Comments: Torchlight is trading high volume afterhours and may continue higher. Here is technical analysis for TRCH
May the yum yum season begin! Sundial looking bullish on the 4HYou didn't think ya girl would lead you wrong, did you?
Wowza, I called it at a lower price, it dropped a bit lower and now I think we MAY have a breakout. I repeat, we may have breakout! It's up after hours and perhaps in during the regular market hours it will start off trading at a higher price than it closed at yesterday.
WHO's to say?
Very exciting. What are your moves? Comment below!
Not investment advice!
ITP has three year resistance in sightThis is the weekly view of ITP. With a float of less than 25 million shares, and around 25% of them short, this chart looks primed for a short squeeze. Today, volume was about 5x the recent average, and was close to double the overall float. Based on the weekly chart, the next level of significant resistance is around $1.50/share. The stock closed at the highs of the day, and after hours it's up even further. If ITP can continue through $1.50 tomorrow, the next area of major resistance is around $2.00, suggesting a potential 30-40% upside from here.
OCGN (END WEEK BIG PLAYERS)2-5-2021 This stock started selling high volume at end of trading session. Large orders of 2+ million began coming in. "Thats not your aunt Helen's money".
Bought at 5.22 ; sold 1/2 positon @ 5.91 and 6.16. The stock then went on to trade up to 8.61 in after hours.
I expect the price to be very volitile in early morning trading on Monday.
My average cost on remaining shares is 4.22. I don't expect it to drop below the closing price of 5.25. This is a risky venture (buying on such a large advance) but I took the trade for these 3 reasons:
1. High volume at end of trading day on Friday when most are usually trying to close positions. This is what NVAX did on Thursday 1/28/2021. Sensing a similar path.
2. Looked like institutions really wanted this stock based on volume and large orders of over 2 million.
3. Catylst .. Covid Vaccine that might be safe for children.
I usually dont chase a stock but this one was irresistable.
This is not trading advice. Make your own trading decisions based on your research.
This is for educational purposes so I am open to any comments on this trade.
After Hours weirdness, can anyone provide an explination?I observe this phenomenon fairly often (but not every day.) Trading view won't let me publish a chart below this time frame, but it actually happens on the one minute time frame or less. Can anyone explain what is going on here?
My best hypothesis is that some whale entered into an agreement with with their broker intra day (while the market is open) to buy or sell after the market closes (or perhaps whenever they want) at a specific price that existed at that time, while the market was open, when the agreement was made. And then they are cashing in on it.
Anyone else have any other ideas, or knowledge about this weird after hours phenomenon?
$ROST can gap up todayEarnings trading strategy signal.
The US off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores operator Ross Stores has been increasing sales (from $11.04 bln in 2015 to $14.98 in 2019) and EPS (earnings per share: from 2.24 to 4.3) for 4 years straight.
The last two of four published $ROST ratings from analyst companies were good, one was neutral.
So the price is more predetermined to rise than fall.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EPS is $1.26, (+5% year-over-year change), for revenue — $4.37 billion (+6.4% from the year-ago quarter) — finance.yahoo.com
Previous earnings report beats EPS and revenue estimates.
I suppose this earnings report will also be with such a pleasant surprise.
Also, confident EPS and sales growth are positive factors, which can cause today`s gap up.
So we hypothesize that $ROST is ready for the next gap up after publishing earnings report today after market close.
The last three days show the bearish market probably ends.
So we can long stocks before earnings again.
Due to strategy, the buy long can be from the price 10 minutes before market close.
It is too risky to buy now due to huge ATR.
target profit — +$5 per share;
stop-loss — -$5 per share.
Risk/reward is 1:1, but correct strategy implementation implies more than 60% of profit trades.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust.
You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
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Why I'm ignoring technical chart and buying SOXL after hoursTrading View's technical chart is flashing a sell signal for SOXL, but my proprietary algorithm is saying buy.
These indicators are flashing strong buy:
Slope of the Hull moving average
Previous day's change
Difference between 20-day exponential moving average and 20-day simple moving average
These indicators are flashing a weak sell:
20-day simple moving average slope
Distance from Hull moving average
This indicator is flashing a fairly strong sell:
*Distance from 20-day exponential moving average
My proprietary algorithm aside, there's also seasonality to consider. Today is a "bear day" according to the Stock Trader's Almanac, meaning that on this date the market historically has fallen more than 60% of the time. However, the next week and a half have historically been bullish. So historical patterns suggest that today's decline was an anomaly and that the market will rally tomorrow or Friday.
As always, this is just an idea about how the market may move, not investment advice.
AMDA drawdown: stay as far away as possibleLearn from my mistake. Bought in @ .66...after hours sunk to .49. I wonder what will happen tomorrow at 9:30? Bears (i.e me) will sell causing it to sink even further. AMDA to .26