AG
OPENING: AG COVERED CALLMy timing could have been somewhat better on this at the sub-12 dip, but better late than never ... .
Metrics:
Bought 100 Shares at 13.25
Sold Oct 21st 14 call
Whole Enchilada: 12.30 db
Max Profit: $170 (if called away at 14)
ROC: 13.8%
Notes: I promised myself after closing out my XME short put that I wouldn't be dipping into any more miners ... . Just couldn't help myself ... .
AG LONG POSITION AFTER BREAKING THE 38.2% FIB AND SLIDING INTO ICHIMOKU BEARISH TERRITORY WE HAVE 2 POSSIBLE ENTRY TARGET.
LOOKING TO ENTER AT 10.76 AND 8.78.
BUY HALF OF YOUR POSITION AT THE 10.76 PRICE POINT AND WAIT TO ENTER AT THE 8.78 MARK WITH THE OTHER HALF.
IF 8.78 IS NOT REACHED AND YOU SEE UPTREND MOMENTUM BUY AROUND 12.00.
AT 17.20 UNLOAD HALF OF YOUR POSITION. IF YOU ARE NOT CONFORTABLE WITH ANY MORE RISK THEN UNLOAD 100% AND WAIT FOR THE NEXT BUY OPPORTUNITY.
IF CONFORTABLE WITH MORE RISK THEN WAIT TO SEE IF TARGET 2 IS REACHED AND IF THERE IS STILL UPWARDS MOMENTUM EXPECT TARGET 3 AT 23.81 PRICE POITN AS YOUR FINAL GOAL.
Shorting AG The company is overbought on all chart including daily, weekly and monthly. It will pullback and fill the gap as you see on my charting. Silver stocks are overly pumped with press releases in general. I don't recommend buying the hype at the top. Current price seems to be good for shorting for the gap to fill next month for 20%+ gain.
Looking for a Flash Crash in Silver I use First Majestic (AG) as a bell weather for the metals, especially the silver miners. We've had a nice run, so far this year. And... it will continue, but with the Brexit vote coming up in two days, I expect a big fall off for silver and especially the miners, EITHER WAY the vote goes.
Not that I'm exiting my AG or other mining stocks. But... I am accumulating DUST as a hedge. Probably not enough to compensate for this next down turn, but enough to make the correction more enjoyable.
PS: This text was supposed to be placed over the chart. Not quite sure why it's not showing up. Oh well...
Silver Likely to See a Pullback Near-TermSilver has seen an unexpected rally to most and continues to show strength as holdings of silver-backed ETFs reach all-time highs. Since posting "Potential Inflection in SLV: Price Action and Options," (under CommoditiesTrader) SLV is up almost 22 percent.
However, near-term there will be a correction to work off the overbought conditions.
The RSI was quite elevated at 77, while the z-score hit a near-term high of 2.9
The +/-DMI is showing that price action still remains positive but the ADX is beginning to tick lower.
The stochastic indicator is currently over bought at 87.51/93.26
Of course, precious metals will move with headlines. Given the sharp two-day decline, the SLV looks promising between $15.90 and $15.60. If traders sell through the secondary uptrend near $15.60, we could see further selling to $15.
It's important to remember the risk is dynamic. Traders will flock to the safe-haven aspect of silver if more troubling news surface about European banks, Brexit and, simply, slowing growth.
A correction will only be healthy going forward. The weekly chart shows at $17 is a tough nut to crack - only seeing one close above this level since January '15.
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