ASX: AGL Fibonacci retracements
ASX:AGL AGL Energy is have been underperforming for long time , now for one year return is just 3.16%
Look the chart and notice
- double bottom formation on weekly chart
- higher high higher low formation
- no supply
- stock also above the key level of fib levels
disc: invested and tracking
AGL
AGL Demerger or Bullet dodging?Good Day Ladies and Gentlemen,
This one goes out to the average retail trying to make sense of this crazy market. In no way is this chart supposed to fearmonger, however it is important to truly understand not only are you investing in a company when you buy shares you are also investing in the crew that runs it.
Its not hard to believe so many investors are wondering what the hell is going on with AGL and how the (incompetent) poorly run 20 year old giant could be put in such a position. Its as if the company has done everything wrong for the past 3 years.. which makes you wonder was it on purpose?
The executive board are pushing hard for a demerger, but why?
With large liquidity pools at 17-20 dollars (that will at some point need to be filled) as a result of price being heavily shorted taking over 70% of retail money (talk about greedy) its no wonder people are asking questions. What are the intentions of the demerger which have been seemly announced at almost to convenient of times. Are they burying the evidence?
Take a look at the chart and tell me what you think?
AGL - Trade PlanAGL looks like it has broken out of its long term downtrend and is expected to head higher. The break of the Bearish trendline coupled with High Volume and huge MACD Bullish Divergence confirms that it is expected to move higher. I am bullish AGL with a target of $10.70 and it may even go much higher towards the strong Resistance level of $12.00.
Please note these are my own notes, by no means trading advice. Please do your own research before entering into any trade.
AGL - UpdateG'day Ladies and Gentlemen,
AGL - Has confirmed a further target breaking with the breaking of the lows. If the bears can hit their targets I would expect a bottom to form somewhere in the buy zone. If that is the case the targets have been listed on the chart.
Remember AGL is in a bear market. Which means the trend can continue for as long as the market makers wants. That being said I do believe the bottom is close (Temporary Bottom).
Give me a follow and a like and I will supply you with more money. and comment on what TA you want to see next.
Ready ? AGL has been making higher lows & lower highs, a sure sign that it will burst out of the trendlines. It has burst out of the iChimoku cloud but is just below the 200 DMA which is at $21.61. A break & close above that price will be potentially bullish. I do not own it but my bias is to the upside.
What are derivatives? and why they’re a revolution for traders
Derivatives trading!
What I believe has been the absolute market revolution since shares.
Derivatives might sound complicated and something you would hear from a professor or a know-it-all businessman – but they're really not.
I am no academic or even remotely one of the smartest guy’s in the world. And if I can grasp the idea and understanding of derivatives, I pretty much guarantee you will too.
Also, if you want to take trading seriously and really make a living with it, you’ll need to understand derivatives trading sometime in your career.
That’s where MATI Trader comes in…
In the next few weeks, I’ll be sending you a series of articles on everything you’ll need to know about CFDs and Spread trading derivatives – Starting with this one…
Make sure you add us to your email address book and set a reminder for every Monday at 7:30am.
Let’s start at the very beginning.
What is a derivative?
– Collins English Dictionary –
‘A derivative is an investment that depends on the
value of something else’
When it comes to trading, a derivative is a financial contract between two parties whose value is ‘derived’ from another (underlying) asset.
Let’s break that down more simply:
• A derivative is a
• financial contract
(CFDs, Spread Trading, Futures, Forwards, Options &Warrants)
• Between two parties (the buyer and seller)
• Whose value (the market’s price)
• Is derived (depends on or comes from)
• Another underlying asset
(Share, index, commodity, currency, bond, interest-rate, crypto-currency etc…)
You’ll find that the derivative’s market price mirrors that of the underlying asset’s price.
NOTE: As there are a number of different derivatives you can trade nowadays, we will ONLY focus on CFDs and Spread trading in the next few weeks, as those are the only ones I trade with MATI Trader.
Why trade using derivatives?
The absolute beauty about trading derivatives is that they are a cheaper and a more profitable way to speculate on the future price movements of a market without buying the asset itself.
You don’t get all the benefits with derivatives
What’s probably important to note with derivatives, is this.
When you buy a derivative’s contract, you’re not actually buying the physical asset. You’re simply making a bet on where you expect the price to go.
EXAMPLE:
When you buy actual shares of a company, means you’ll be able to attend AGMs (Annual General Meetings), Vote and claim dividends from a company.
When you trade derivatives on the underlying share, means you’ll be exposed to the value of the shares and the price movements – and that’s it!
As a trader, when you buy or sell a derivative, you’re not actually investing in the underlying asset but rather just making a bet (speculation) on where you believe the market’s price will head.
This gives you the advantage and opportunity to:
• Buy low (go long) a derivative of the underlying asset and sell it at a higher price for a profit or
• Sell high (go short) a derivative of the underlying asset and buy it back at a lower price for a profit
Remember when I said it was cheaper and more profitable? You can thank margin
With derivatives, you’ll normally pay a fraction of the price of the total sum and still be exposed to the full value of the asset (share, index, currency etc…)
The fraction of the price paid is called ‘margin’.
EXAMPLE:
To buy and own 10 Anglo shares at R390 per share will cost you R3,900 (R390 per share X 10 shares).
To buy and be exposed to 10 Anglo shares using derivatives, and the margin of the contract is 10% per share, means you’ll only pay R390 (R390 per share X 10% margin per derivative X 10 shares).
I’m sure you can see that with derivatives, you’ll be exposed to more and pay less which will gear up your potential profits or losses versus when trading shares.
This is why we call derivatives, geared financial instruments.
To understand this better, we’ll need to examine the very essence of how derivatives work through the function of gearing, which we’ll cover in more detail in the next coming weeks.
Or if you’d like to watch a complete video I recorded earlier this year on how gearing and leverage works with live relatable derivative examples, click here to start watching…
Until next time,
Trade well...
Timon Rossolimos
Founder, MATI Trader
Anglo American PLC | ShortIf I'm analyzing a market, I always force myself to consider what the "other side" is thinking.
In other words, if my research suggests a buy, I take a good long look at the chart, fundamentals and the market in general and think about what the bears might be thinking.
I do this to try and ensure I don't miss anything. At least nothing glaringly obvious!
A couple of days ago I posted an AMS chart, which in many ways is similar to AGL.
And once again, I'm interested in the short side.
Now, if I was interested in a long, what would I be after?
Very simple answer when you look at this chart - if I wanted to buy, you wouldn't get me to place an order before 32600 at the very best. A buy here or anywhere before that is in no mans land, and if I were a long-term bull, like so many fund managers have to be, I want to buy at the best value that I can.
So, if there is no point in buying until 32600, I'm happy to short here instead.