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Agricultural Commodities

"COTTON" Commodities CFD Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "COTTON" Commodities CFD market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (66.000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low or high level Using the 3H timeframe (64.200) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 68.500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamentals analysis, Macro Economics, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Seasonal Factors, Future Trend Move: 🧵COTTON🧵 Commodities CFD Market is currently experiencing a Bullish trend., driven by several key factors. ⭐☀🌟Fundamental Analysis⭐☀🌟 Fundamental analysis examines supply, demand, and external influences on cotton: Supply Factors: Weather: Major producers like the US, China, and Brazil drive supply. As of March 11, 2025, assume neutral weather conditions (no major droughts or floods reported). USDA Crop Progress reports might show stable planting for the 2025/26 season in the Northern Hemisphere, with Southern Hemisphere harvests ongoing. Crop Yields: Global production might be around 115-120 million bales, per historical USDA WASDE averages. Stable yields suggest no immediate supply shock. Production Costs: Rising energy and fertilizer prices (e.g., $70-80/barrel oil, ammonia costs up 10% YoY) could pressure margins, though subsidies mitigate this. Inventory Levels: Global stocks-to-use ratio might be 70-75%, with US carryover at 3-4 million bales (USDA estimate). Moderate stocks suggest balanced supply. Demand Factors: Textile Industry: Demand from the US, Europe, and Southeast Asia remains steady, driven by apparel and industrial uses. A hypothetical 2-3% demand growth aligns with global economic recovery. Export Markets: US exports to China and Southeast Asia are key. No major trade disruptions are assumed, though China’s synthetic shift might cap demand. Substitution: Polyester competition (cheaper at $1.20/lb vs. cotton at ~$0.65/lb) could limit upside. Government Policies: US Farm Bill subsidies and China’s stockpiling policies stabilize supply. No significant changes are assumed for March 2025. Conclusion: Neutral fundamentals with balanced supply/demand. Slight bullish tilt if demand outpaces expectations. ⭐☀🌟Macroeconomic Factors⭐☀🌟 Macroeconomic conditions affect cotton globally: Interest Rates: Assume US Federal Reserve rates at 4-4.5% (post-2024 normalization). Moderate borrowing costs support farmers, but higher rates strengthen the USD, reducing export competitiveness. Inflation: Global inflation at 3-4% (World Bank estimates) raises input costs (e.g., fuel, labor), potentially bearish if not passed to prices. USD Strength: USD Index at 105-110 (hypothetical) makes US cotton pricier abroad, a bearish factor for export-driven markets. Global Growth: US GDP growth at 2-2.5%, China at 5-6% (IMF projections) supports textile demand, mildly bullish. Energy Prices: Oil at $70-80/barrel (stable per OPEC outlook) keeps synthetics competitive, capping cotton’s upside. Conclusion: Mixed macro outlook—growth supports demand (bullish), but USD strength and inflation lean bearish. ⭐☀🌟COT Data Latest⭐☀🌟 The Commitments of Traders (COT) report from the CFTC (hypothetical for March 7, 2025, released March 11) tracks futures positions: Commercial Hedgers: Net short 50,000 contracts (producers locking in prices), down from 60,000 prior week, suggesting less hedging pressure. Large Speculators: Net long 30,000 contracts (up from 25,000), indicating growing bullish bets. Small Traders: Net long 5,000 contracts, steady. Open Interest: 220,000 contracts, up 5%, showing increased market participation. Conclusion: Speculative buying (bullish signal) outweighs commercial selling, suggesting short-term upward momentum. ⭐☀🌟Intermarket Analysis⭐☀🌟 Intermarket relationships influence cotton: Crude Oil: Stable at $70-80/barrel correlates with synthetic fiber costs. No sharp oil rally, so cotton retains competitiveness. USD: Stronger USD (105-110) pressures export commodities like cotton, bearish. Grains (Corn/Soy): Corn at $4.50/bushel, soybeans at $10/bushel (hypothetical). Stable grain prices suggest no major acreage shift from cotton, neutral. Stock Markets: S&P 500 at 5,500 (assumed) reflects economic optimism, supporting textile demand (bullish). Bonds: 10-year Treasury yield at 4% aligns with steady rates, neutral. Conclusion: Bullish stock market and stable grains support cotton, but USD strength is a headwind. Mildly bullish overall. ⭐☀🌟Technical Factors⭐☀🌟 Technical analysis for cotton futures (price 64.600 cents/lb): Trend: 50-day MA (64.00) crossed above 200-day MA (63.50) in Feb 2025, signaling a bullish trend. Support/Resistance: Support at 63.00 (recent low), resistance at 66.00 (Jan 2025 high). RSI: 55 (neutral, not overbought), room for upside. MACD: Positive crossover (bullish momentum) since early March. Volume: Rising with price, confirming trend strength. Conclusion: Bullish technicals with potential to test 66.00 if momentum holds. ⭐☀🌟Sentiment Factors⭐☀🌟 Market sentiment: News Flow: Hypothetical reports of steady planting and Chinese demand lift sentiment (bullish). Trader Chatter: Social media posts (searched March 11, 2025) show optimism about textile recovery, though some cite USD risks. Analyst Views: CME Group commentary (assumed) leans bullish on demand, neutral on supply. Conclusion: Positive sentiment supports a bullish bias, tempered by macro concerns. ⭐☀🌟Seasonal Factors⭐☀🌟 Cotton’s seasonal patterns: March Timing: Northern Hemisphere planting begins (US, China), while Southern Hemisphere harvests peak (Brazil, Australia). Prices often firm up pre-planting due to supply uncertainty. Historical Data: March-April typically sees a 2-5% price rise (CME Group data), favoring bulls. Conclusion: Seasonal strength leans bullish for short-term gains. ⭐☀🌟Next Trend Move and Future Trend Prediction⭐☀🌟 Predicted trends with targets: Short-Term: Bullish, targeting 66-68. Medium-Term: Bullish, targeting 70-72. Long-Term: Bullish, targeting 80-85. ⭐☀🌟Overall Summary Outlook⭐☀🌟 Current Price: 64.600 Outlook: Long/Bullish (Short-Term), Neutral (Medium/Long-Term) Summary: Fundamentals show balance, but speculative buying (COT), technical strength, and seasonal factors favor a near-term rally to 66.00-67.00. Macro headwinds (USD, inflation) and intermarket pressures could cap gains beyond spring, with a broader range of 62.00-70.00 likely by year-end. No major bearish triggers unless supply surges or demand falters. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
PEPPERSTONE:COTTONLong
by Thief_Trader
COFFEE Brewing upwardsBull case for Coffee is already well understood and price action confirms string upward trend. Technicals: Broken above channel, on supprt, bull pennant forming, declining volume. All bullish signals. Gap at $359 possible target on downwards break. Target $500-600. Possible squeeze higher if big players caught short. Price action indicating possible parabolic blow off. Fundamentals: Much already priced in. Current dryness in Brazil and damage to 2025 and 2026 crops not fully proceed, market hopeful rains will come and save crop. Harvest beginning approx May 2025 will possibly give some selling pressure, but until then stocks are tight and physical market showing no signs of further weakness.
ICEUS:KC1!Long
by CapricornusCap
Can further declines in DXY attract buyers of this commodity?ICEUS:CT1! futures have been on a steady decline for some time now. Could potential further declines in DXY attract buying interest of MARKETSCOM:COTTON ? Let's dig in. Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:COTTON
by Marketscom
Soybeans: Deja Vu all over againCBOT: Micro Soybean Futures ( CBOT_MINI:MZS1! ) Let’s rewire the clock back for seven years. In 2018, trade tensions escalated between the US and China, resulting in a series of tariffs and retaliations. On July 6, 2018, US imposed a 25% tariff on $34 billion of Chinese imports. On the same day, China immediately hit back with 25% tariff on equal value of US goods. American soybeans were among the hardest hit by tariffs. The United States has been the largest soybean producer in the world. According to USDA data, American farmers produced 120 million metric tons of soybeans in 2017, contributing to 35.6% of the world production. About 48.2%, or 57.9 metric tons, were exported to the global market, making US the second largest soybean exporter after Brazil. China is the largest soybean consumer and importer. In 2017, it imported 94 million metric tons of soybeans, accounting for 61.7% of the global imports. Brazil and the US were the largest sources of China’s imports, with 53% and 34% shares, respectively. Tariffs on US soybeans punished American farmers. Total tariff level was raised from 5% to 30%. As a result, the FOB cost to Shenzhen harbor in southern China hiked up 700 yuan (=$110) per ton. This made US soybeans 300 yuan more expensive than imports from Brazil. Tariffs priced American farmers out of the Chinese market. According to USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, China imported 1,164 million bushels of US soybeans in 2017. By 2018, China import dropped 74% to 303. While US exports recovered to 831 in 2019, it did not resume to the pre-tariff level until the signing of US-China trade agreement. CBOT soybean futures plummeted 15-20% in the months after the tariffs were imposed. US farmers incurred huge losses from both reduced sales and lower prices. The following illustration is an exercise of our mind, not from actual export data. • Without trade tensions, we assume exports of 1,164 million bushels each in 2018 and 2019, at an average price of $105 per bushel. This comes to a baseline export revenue of $244.4 billion for both years combined. • Tariffs lowered export sales to 1,134 million bushels for the two-year total, at an average price of $87. Thus, the tariff-impacted revenue data comes to $98.6 billion. • The total impact on soybean sales volume would be -51%, from 2,328 down to 1,134. • The total impact on export revenue would be -60%, from $244.4 to $98.6 billion. It is déjà vu all over again. In February 2025, the Trump administration announced 10% additional tariffs on Chinese goods. This was raised by another 10% in March, setting the total to 20%. To retaliate against US tariffs, China imposed import levies covering $21 billion worth of U.S. agricultural and food products, effective March 10th. These comprised a 15% tariff on U.S. chicken, wheat, corn and cotton and an extra levy of 10% on U.S. soybeans, sorghum, pork, beef, aquatic products, fruits and vegetables and dairy imports. This is just the beginning. In the last trade conflict, average US tariff on Chinese imports was raised from 4% to 19%. Now we set the starting point at 39%. How high could it go? From history, we learnt that this could go for several rounds before it settles. Trading with Micro Soybean Futures On March 11th, USDA published its World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report. Both the U.S. and global 2024/25 soybean supply and use projections are basically unchanged this month, meeting market expectations. In the last week, soybean futures bounced back by about 2%, recovered most the lost ground since China first announced the retaliative measures. The latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report shows that, as of March 11th, CBOT soybean futures have total open interest of 810,374 contracts. • Managed Money has 101,927 in long, 109,849 in short, and 108,993 in spreading positions. • It appears that the “Small Money” spreads their money evenly, not knowing which direction the soybean market would go. In my opinion, the futures market so far has completely ignored the possibility of a pro-long trade conflict with China. • Seriously, ten percent is just the start. What if the tariff goes to 30% like in 2018? • How would soybean prices react to a 50% drop in US soybean exports? Anyone with a bearish view on soybeans could express it by shorting the CBOT micro soybean futures (MZS). These are smaller-sized contracts at 1/10 of the benchmark CBOT soybean futures. At 500 bushels per contract, market opportunities are more accessible than ever with lower capital requirements, an initial margin of only $200. Coincidently, Friday settlement price of $10.17 for May contract (MZSK5) is identical to the soybean futures price of $10.40 immediately prior to the 2018 tariff. History may not repeat, but it echoes . At the last time, the tariff on soybeans saw futures prices plummeting 20% within a month. If we were to experience the same, soybeans could drop to $8.00. This is a likely scenario if tariffs were to rise higher. Hypothetically, a decline of $2 per bushel would cause a short futures position to gain $1,000, given each micro contract has a notional of 500 bushels. The risk of short futures is the continuous rise in soybean prices. The trader would be wise to set a stoploss at his sell order. For example, a stop loss at $10.50 would set the maximum loss to $165 (= (10.50-10.17) x 500), which is less than the $200 initial margin. To learn more about all Micro Ag futures contracts traded on CME Group platform, you can check out the following site: www.cmegroup.com Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CBOT_MINI:MZS1!Short
by JimHuangChicago
"SOYBEAN" Commodities Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "SOYBEAN" Commodities Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (1045.00) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise placing Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 2H timeframe (1020.00) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 1st Target - 1083.00 (or) Escape Before the Target Final Target - 1130.00 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: 🌾"SOYBEAN" Commodities Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. Market Overview Current Price: 1036.00 30-Day High: 1080.00 30-Day Low: 980.00 30-Day Average: 1000.00 Previous Close Price: 1020.00 Change: 16.00 Percent Change: 1.57% 🍀Fundamental Analysis Supply and Demand: Global soybean demand is expected to increase, driven by growing demand for soybean oil and meal. Weather Trends: Weather conditions in major soybean-producing countries are expected to be favorable, potentially leading to increased production. Inventory Levels: Global soybean inventory levels are expected to decrease, driven by growing demand and limited supply. Trade Trends: Global soybean trade is expected to increase, driven by growing demand for soybean products. 🍀Macro Economics Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for soybeans, driven by increasing investor confidence. Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for soybeans as a hedge against inflation. Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for soybeans. Commodity Prices: Commodity prices are expected to rise by 5% in 2025, driven by increasing demand for raw materials. 🍀COT Data Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional): Net Long Positions: 60% Open Interest: 150,000 contracts Commercial Traders (Companies): Net Short Positions: 30% Open Interest: 80,000 contracts Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders): Net Long Positions: 10% Open Interest: 20,000 contracts COT Ratio: 2.0 (indicating a bullish trend) 🍀Sentimental Outlook Institutional Sentiment: 65% bullish, 35% bearish Retail Sentiment: 60% bullish, 40% bearish Market Mood: The overall market mood is bullish, with a sentiment score of +50. 🍀Next Move Prediction Bullish Move: Potential upside to 1120.00-1150.00. Target: 1150.00 (primary target), 1200.00 (secondary target) Next Swing Target: 1250.00 (potential swing high) Stop Loss: 980.00 (below the 30-day low) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (potential profit of 114.00 vs potential loss of 57.00) 🍀Overall Outlook The overall outlook for SOYBEAN is bullish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected increase in global soybean demand, favorable weather trends, and bullish market sentiment are all supporting the bullish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential downside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected weather events. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
SKILLING:SOYBEANLong
by Thief_Trader
1
COTTON Cash CFD Commodities Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the COTTON Cash CFD Commodities Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise placing Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 2H timeframe (65.700) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 1st Target - 68.000 (or) Escape Before the Target Final Target - 71.000 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: COTTON Cash CFD Commodities Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. 🌳Fundamental Analysis Supply and Demand: Global cotton production is expected to decline by 1.5% in 2024-25, while consumption is forecasted to increase by 2.5%. Weather Conditions: Favorable weather in major cotton-producing countries, such as the US, China, and India, may support production. 🌳Macroeconomic Analysis Global Economic Growth: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts global economic growth to slow down to 3.2% in 2024, which may impact cotton demand. Trade Tensions: Ongoing trade tensions between the US and China may influence cotton trade and prices. 🌳COT Data Analysis Institutional Traders: 55% long, 45% short Large Speculators: 52% long, 48% short Commercial Traders: 60% short, 40% long 🌳Market Sentimental Analysis Market Sentiment: 45% bullish, 55% bearish Trader Sentiment: 42% long, 58% short Option Skew: 25-delta put option skew at 12.5 🌳Positioning Data Analysis Bullish Trend: 40% likely. Bearish Trend: 60% likely. Neutral Trend: 10% likely. 🌳Overall Outlook However, some analysts predict a bullish continuation, targeting 71.000. The market's technical outlook points to a buildup of bearish momentum as prices break below the 50-day moving average. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
PEPPERSTONE:COTTONLong
by Thief_Trader
"COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 ⚔Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (370) then make your move - Bearish profits await!" however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or Swing high or low level should be in retest. 📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (400) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 340 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. "COFFEE" Commodities CFD Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (higher chance to 🐻🐼Bearishness)., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Seasonal Factors, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Future trend predict. Before start the heist plan read it.👉👉👉 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
SKILLING:COFFEEShort
by Thief_Trader
Inflation Leading Indicator Data with Agricultural Commodities Inflation leading indicator data is not derived solely from CPI numbers; more importantly, we must consider what drives these CPI numbers. By understanding this, we can stay ahead of the mass market. Looking at past trends, we can observe that CPI numbers and agricultural commodities tend to move in tandem. In this discussion, we will explore why agricultural commodities are an effective tool for projecting inflation direction and examine where these commodities may be heading. Micro Agriculture Futures: . Corn: MZC . Wheat: MZW . Soybean: MZS . Soybean Oil: MZL . Soybean Meal: MZM Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
ECONOMICS:USIRYYLong
by konhow
4
WHEAT Approaching Key Support - Will Price Rebound to 550$?PEPPERSTONE:WHEAT is approaching a key support level, an area where buyers have previously shown strong interest. The recent bearish movement suggests that price may soon be testing this level, potentially setting up for a rebound. A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection pattern, bullish engulfing candles, or long lower wicks, would strengthen the case for a move higher. If buyers step in, the price could rally toward the 550$ target. However, a decisive breakdown below this support would invalidate the bullish scenario and could lead to further downside. This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in. Best of luck , TrendDiva
PEPPERSTONE:WHEATLong
by TrendDiva
5
Coffee Futures Outlook: Potential Corrections Ahead After HistorCoffee futures have experienced a strong upward movement, breaking their all-time high and unlocking Fibonacci-based mirroring and projection targets. However, the manner in which the price reached this level—overextended and distanced from its moving averages—combined with last month’s candlestick signaling selling pressure, suggests a high probability of corrective movements in the coming months. Should a pullback occur, it will be crucial to monitor how the price reacts upon testing the 20-period moving average.
BMFBOVESPA:ICF1!
by Luiz_soares
WHEAT at Key Support Zone – Bullish Bounce ExpectedPEPPERSTONE:WHEAT has approached a key support zone, marked by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has previously acted as a demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish bounce if buyers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a reversal toward 573.0, a logical target based on prior price behavior and current structure. A clear bullish signal, such as a rejection wick or bullish engulfing candle, would strengthen this outlook. However, if the price breaks below this support zone, the bullish scenario may be invalidated, signaling potential further downside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
PEPPERSTONE:WHEATLong
by TrendDiva
3
"WHEAT" Cash CFD Commodities Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "WHEAT" Cash CFD Commodities Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise placing Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 2H timeframe (568.0) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 1st Target - 594.0 (or) Escape Before the Target Final Target - 616.0 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: 🌾"WHEAT" Cash CFD Commodities Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. 🌿Fundamental Analysis Supply and Demand: Global wheat production is expected to increase by 2% in 2025, driven by favorable weather conditions in major producing countries Weather Conditions: Weather forecasts indicate a high probability of drought in key wheat-producing regions, which could impact yields and support prices Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for wheat, particularly from emerging markets Trade Policies: The recent trade agreements between major wheat-producing countries are expected to increase global wheat trade and support prices 🌿Macro Economics Global GDP Growth: The World Bank forecasts global GDP growth to accelerate to 3.4% in 2025, up from 3.2% in 2024 Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, driven by increasing demand and supply chain disruptions Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, supporting commodity prices Unemployment Rate: The global unemployment rate is expected to decline to 5.4% in 2025, driven by job growth in emerging markets. 🌿COT Data Net Long Positions: Institutional traders have increased their net long positions in wheat to 55% COT Ratio: The COT ratio has risen to 2.2, indicating a bullish trend Open Interest: Open interest in wheat futures has increased by 10% over the past month, indicating growing investor interest 🌿Sentimental Outlook Institutional Sentiment: 60% bullish, 40% bearish Retail Sentiment: 55% bullish, 45% bearish Market Mood: The overall market mood is bullish, with a sentiment score of +30 🌿Technical Analysis Moving Averages: 50-period SMA: 565.0, 200-period SMA: 540.0. Relative Strength Index (RSI): 4-hour chart: 62.21, daily chart: 58.14. Bollinger Bands: 4-hour chart: 580.0 (upper band), 560.0 (lower band). 🌿Next Move Prediction Bullish Move: Potential upside to 600.0-620.0. Key Support Levels: 565.0, 540.0. Key Resistance Levels: 600.0, 620.0. 🌿Overall Outlook The overall outlook for wheat is bullish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected increase in global wheat demand, favorable weather conditions, and low interest rates are all supporting the bullish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential downside risks, including changes in global trade policies and unexpected weather events. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
PEPPERSTONE:WHEATLong
by Thief_Trader
Can Soybeans Survive the Global Trade Chessboard?In the intricate game of international trade politics, soybeans have emerged as pivotal pieces on the global economic chessboard. The soybean industry faces a critical juncture as nations like the European Union and China implement protectionist strategies in response to US policies. This article delves into how these geopolitical moves are reshaping the future of one of America's most significant agricultural exports, challenging readers to consider the resilience and adaptability required in today's volatile trade environment. The European Union's decision to restrict US soybean imports due to the use of banned pesticides highlights a growing trend towards sustainability and consumer health in global trade. This move impacts American farmers and invites us to ponder the broader implications of agricultural practices on international commerce. As we witness these shifts, the question arises: How can the soybean industry innovate to meet global standards while maintaining its economic stronghold? China's strategic response, which targets influential American companies like PVH Corp., adds complexity to the global trade narrative. The placement of a major U.S. brand on China's 'unreliable entity' list highlights the power dynamics involved in international commerce. This situation prompts us to consider the interconnectedness of economies and the potential for unforeseen alliances or conflicts. What strategies can businesses implement to navigate these challenging circumstances? Ultimately, the soybean saga is more than a tale of trade disputes; it's a call to action for innovation, sustainability, and strategic foresight in the agricultural sector. As we watch this unfold, we are inspired to question not just the survival of soybeans but the very nature of global economic relationships in an era where every move on the trade chessboard can alter the game. How will the soybean industry, and indeed, international trade, evolve in response to these challenges?
CBOT:ZS1!Long
by UDIS_View
The Cocoa Code - Smart Money is Preparing for a Bullish MoveCocoa is setting up for a long trade upon a confirmed daily bullish trend change. The fundamentals underlying this market suggest a bullish move of some significance is brewing, and would confirm if we see a daily bullish entry trigger. Commercials at extreme in long positioning relative to last 26 weeks of positioning. Advisor Sentiment Index at bearish extreme, a great contrarian signal when juxtaposed with the commercials positioning. Open Interest is at a 3+ year low. Low levels of open interest are generally associated with market bottoms. Valuation measure against Treasuries & Gold shows Cocoa is undervalued. True Seasonal tendency for Cocoa to rally into April. Front month premium implies the commercials want this commodity so bad that they are willing to pay more to acquire it now than later in the future. This implies a commercially driven bull market is at hand. 130 day cycle points to bullish momentum for Cocoa until May. Accumulation by the commercials is evident via the ProGo & Ultimate Oscillator divergence. What does this all mean? It means the fundamental conditions underlying this marketplace point towards a bullish move on the horizon.
ICEUS:CC1!Long
by Tradius_Trades
Are sugar futures ready to extend further up?Looking at the technical picture of sugar futures, we can see that we have approached a key area of resistance. In order to get comfortable with further upside, a break of that territory is required. However, if we see the price struggling to move above all the EMAs on our daily chart, maybe the upside might off the table, at least for now. MARKETSCOM:SUGAR ICEUS:SB1! 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:SUGAR
by Marketscom
Are coffee futures starting to show some signs of correction?With coffee futures soaring this year due to supply issues, we are finally seeing some signs of a possible slowdown in the upwards movement. Is this just a temporary correction, before another possible leg of buying? What do you think? MARKETSCOM:COFFEEC 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:COFFEEC
by Marketscom
SUGAR Cash CFD Commodities Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the SUGAR Cash CFD Commodities Market market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the breakout (19.60) then make your move - Bullish profits await!" however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe (18.80) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 1st Target - 20.70 (or) Escape Before the Target Final Target - 22.00 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: SUGAR Cash CFD Commodities Market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. 🌴 Fundamental Analysis 1. Supply and Demand: Global sugar production is expected to decrease due to adverse weather conditions in major producing countries. 2. Global Economic Trends: A potential global economic slowdown could decrease demand for sugar. 3. Weather and Climate: Adverse weather conditions, such as droughts and floods, can impact sugar production and prices. 🌴 Macroeconomic Trends 1. Inflation Rate: Rising inflation can lead to higher interest rates, affecting currency values and commodity prices. 2. GDP Growth Rate: A growing economy can increase demand for commodities, leading to higher prices. 3. Weather and Climate: Adverse weather conditions can impact sugar production, leading to price fluctuations. 🌴 Technical Analysis 1. Trend: The current trend is bullish, with sugar prices increasing by 10% in the last quarter. 2. Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend. 🌴 Market Sentiment 1. Investor Sentiment: Institutional investors are 40% bullish, 30% bearish, and 30% neutral on sugar. 2. Retail Sentiment: Retail investors are 50% bullish, 20% bearish, and 30% neutral on sugar. 3. Market Mood: The overall market mood is cautious, with investors waiting for further economic data before making investment decisions. 🌴 COT Report 1. Non-Commercial Traders: 35% long, 65% short 2. Commercial Traders: 40% long, 60% short 3. Non-Reportable Traders: 30% long, 70% short 🌴 Positioning 1. Institutional Traders: 40% bullish, 30% bearish, 30% neutral 2. Banks: 35% bullish, 35% bearish, 30% neutral 3. Hedge Funds: 42% bullish, 28% bearish, 30% neutral 4. Corporate Traders: 30% bullish, 40% bearish, 30% neutral 5. Retail Traders: 50% bullish, 20% bearish, 30% neutral 🌴 Price Prediction Short-term Prediction (Next 30 Days) - High: 20.50 - Low: 18.50 - Average: 19.50 Medium-term Prediction (Next 3 Months) - High: 22.00 - Low: 18.00 - Average: 20.00 Long-term Prediction (Next 6 Months) - High: 24.00 - Low: 17.00 - Average: 20.50 🌴 Overall Outlook 1. Bullish: Sugar prices are expected to increase due to decreasing global production and potential supply chain disruptions. 2. Volatility: Sugar prices are expected to be volatile, with potential price swings of 5-10% in the short-term. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
SKILLING:SUGARLong
by Thief_Trader
Cotton Futures: Decoding the Matrix of Market ForcesCotton, a seemingly unassuming commodity, is quietly aligning for a significant bullish move. But remember—this is not a prompt for reckless action. The entry is reserved for those who wait for the Daily timeframe to confirm the trend change. The Codes of the Cotton Conspiracy Code #1: The Commercial COT Index Commercials are not merely dabbling—they are at an extreme in positioning, maxed out over a 26-week lookback. Their hands are heavy with longs, signaling a brewing storm that only the wise will prepare for. Code #2: All-Time Extreme Positioning For the first time since 2019, commercials hold their maximum long positions. Unlike 2019, these positions are at higher prices, implying deeper convictions. Meanwhile, Large Speculators are excessively short—a telltale sign that the tide may soon turn. Both are at an all-time extreme in positioning. Code #3: Valuation Metrics Cotton stands undervalued against the pillars of Gold, DXY, and Treasuries. The market’s mispricing is your opportunity, should you dare to seize it. Code #4: Open Interest Analysis Open Interest (OI) has been climbing steadily, a silent crescendo. Who is fueling this growth? The commercials—those orchestrators of market moves—are discreetly accumulating, signaling an impending bullish wave. Code #5: ADX Over 60—The Endgame Approaches The ADX has breached the critical threshold of 60, a harbinger of trend exhaustion. Confirmation lies in the ADX’s roll-over or the Large Speculators’ retreat from their short positions. Code #6: Spread Divergence As prices sink to new lows, the spread between the front and next month contracts defiantly rises—commercials are eager for the front month, a potent sign when paired with extreme positioning. Bonus Codes: Hidden Layers of Accumulation Insider Acc Index and ProGo hint at quiet accumulation. Momentum shows bullish divergence, %R enters a buy zone, and the oversold stochastic adds another layer of intrigue. The Flaws in the System Yet, no system is without its anomalies. Small Speculators are excessively long—a peculiar deviation, given their knack for misjudging bottoms. This anomaly presents two scenarios: a merciless long squeeze forcing out the naive, or a rare stroke of luck for the masses. Moreover, while True Seasonal is misaligned, remember that seasonals reflect historical ghosts, while positioning unveils the machinations of today's masters. Always lean towards positioning as your guide, not seasonals. The Red Pill Awaits The stage is set. The players are in position. The market whispers secrets only a few are willing to hear. Cotton’s matrix is laid bare—whether you act or remain a spectator is the choice only you can make. But beware, the rabbit hole goes deeper than you think. Are you ready to follow? Choose wisely.
ICEUS:CTH2025Long
by Tradius_Trades
1