Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 706.50
Pivot: 688.75
Support: 661.25
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for ZC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head towards the resistance at 706.50, where the previous swing high is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to retest the support at 661.25 where the 61.8% Fibonacci line and recent low are located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Agricultural Commodities
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation
Type: Bullish Continuation
Resistance: 174.95
Pivot: 157.55
Support: 142.05
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the resistance at 174.95, where the previous swing high is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to retest the pivot at 157.55, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Sugar Futures ( SB1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Sugar No. 11 Futures ( SB1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation
Type: Bullish Continuation
Resistance: 21.18
Pivot: 18.94
Support: 20.04
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for SB1! is bullish due to the current price crossing above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the resistance at 21.18, where the previous swing high is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down towards the overlap support at 20.04, slightly below where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
CC1! Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market.
Looking for a sell entry at 2602, where the overlap resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 2675, where the recent high is. Take profit will be at 2507, where the recent low is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 2699
Pivot: 2564
Support: 2451
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bullish due to the current price above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market structure. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to head back up towards the resistance at 2671, where the previous swing high is.
Alternative scenario: Price may break the pivot at 2564, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is before heading towards the support level at 2451, where the 50% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Descending Triangle Setup on Wheat, Target at 525Overview
The main view of this trade idea is on the Daily Chart.
The commodity Wheat is in a descending triangle setup, with the resistance trend line at lower highs of 949.08 and 798.34. These lower highs occurred on 10th October 2022 and 30th December 2022 respectively. The support line is observed around the 730 price level. Expectations are for the support at the 730 price level to break and the commodity will decline towards 525. A negation of this view will result in Wheat rallying above 800.
Technical Indicators
Some technical indicators corroborate the chart pattern setup. The Supertrend indicator is in a sell mode and the Awesome Oscillator is below 0 and Red, indicating a downward trend. The RSI for the commodity is also below 50.
The intra-day trend following indicators of Wheat also show downtrends in the 15-Min, 2-Hr, 4-Hr and Daily timeframes. Short term resistance is observed around the 730-770 price range.
The longer-term view also show Wheat in a downtrend. It broke below trend in late June 2022 and has been below trend ever since. Indication of a downtrend has been utilized using the 28-Week Simple Moving Average. A change in the long term trend would occur, at the time of writing, with a weekly close above 805.
Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go short at market, with a stop loss at 800 and a target of 525. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 2.97.
Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.
At the time of writing, I have exposure to Wheat.
Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 2699
Pivot: 2570
Support: 2470
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bullish due to the current price above the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bullish market structure. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to head back up towards the resistance at 2699, where the previous swing high is.
Alternative scenario: Price may break the pivot at 2570, where the 50% Fibonacci line is before heading towards the support level at 2470, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 154.30
Pivot: 164.00
Support: 142.05
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the support at 142.05, where the recent low is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back up to retest the resistance at 154.30, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Coffee C Futures ( KC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Coffee C Futures ( KC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 154.30
Pivot: 164.00
Support: 142.05
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for KC1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the support at 142.05, where the recent low is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back up to retest the resistance at 154.30, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Soybeans Channeling Higher Towards 1800The main view of this trade idea is on the Daily Chart.
The commodity Soybeans appears to have found some support around the 1350 price level. The commodity is in a trend channel higher and once that trend channel holds, could rally towards 1800 over the next couple of months. This view will be negated if Soybeans fall below 1420.
Technical Indicators
The technical indicators are aligned to this view. Soybean’s Supertrend has been in a buy mode since the end of October 2022. The commodity has been above its respective Moving Average, the 50-Day MA, since November 1st, 2022. The Awesome Oscillator is above 0 and green while the RSI is above 50 and increasing.
The intra-day trend following indicators of the Soybeans also display uptrends in the 15-Min, 2-Hour and 4-Hour time frames. Short to medium term support is seen around the 1425.
Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 1420 and a target of 1800. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 2.45.
Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.
At the time of writing, I have exposure to Soybean futures.
SB1! Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for SB1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 20.10, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 20.49, slightly above where the 61.8% Fibonacci line and minor high is. Take profit will be at 18.94, where the 50% Fibonacci line is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Sugar No. 11 Futures ( SB1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Sugar No. 11 Futures ( SB1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop
Type: Bearish Drop
Resistance: 21.18
Pivot: 18.94
Support: 19.30
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for SB1! is bearish due to the current price crossing below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the support at 19.30, slightly below where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back up towards the resistance at 21.18, where the 5previous swing high is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
CT1! Potential For Bearish DropLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CT1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 84.58, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 87.97, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 79.78, where the 50% Fibonacci line and liquidity hotspots are.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Cotton Futures ( CT1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: Cotton Futures ( CT1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise
Type: Bullish Rise
Resistance: 87.97
Pivot: 82.36
Support: 80.37
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CL1! is bullish due to the current price crossing above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the resistance at 87.97, where the recent high is.
Alternative scenario: Price may head back down to retest the pivot at 82.36, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Jan 11,22-Sugar-Nice Selling SetupI'm a little late for this trade, but I feel it's not too too late.
THis is the classic setup - you can see the recent high was 21 and the recent low is 19. Then price action bounced back up to hit 20 - the midway mark - If I had looked at this chart yesterday, I would have put a Sell Order in at 20 and I'd be in good shape already.
Anyway, I put in a Sell ORder for 19.5. Obviously if price action continues to rise this week and it hits 20 again, I will move my Sell Order up to take advatage and sell at 20.
Price should drop down to 18 or so by end of Jan.
Heiko