SOYBEAN CFD Market Money Heist Plan on Bullish SideHallo! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
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Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low Point.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe.
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Agricultural Commodities
Bullish time in CORN ahead \o/You can see here the CBOT:ZC1! price displayed in a line chart. After reaching its high in early 2022, the bears took control, driving the price down significantly until now.
The factors in play are as following:
Seasonality: Corn prices have historically shown strength from December through March, aligning with planting and crop cycles. This seasonal trend could provide a solid backdrop for a potential price recovery. (highlighted in green on the chart)
Interest Rates: We’ve reached a pivotal moment in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cycle. The rate hikes that began in March 2022 coincided with the start of the bearish trend, while recent rate cuts in September 2024 may support a rebound in commodity prices, including corn. This shift in monetary policy could act as a bullish catalyst for corn and other commodities. (highlighted in orange on this chart)
Technical Indicators: For additional confirmation, one could wait for a bullish crossover of the moving averages (a golden cross). Such a cross would reinforce the technical setup and definitively signal the onset of a new bull market in corn.
With these factors in play, corn could be setting up for a strong rally in the months ahead.
Sugar may target 22.7Daily chart, Sugar PEPPERSTONE:SUGAR can be seen as forming a diamond chart pattern.
Since there is a price gap, as shown in the circle, it may go to close this gap before a rebound to the resistance line R.
Above R, the target will be 22.7 passing through a resistance level at 20.9
Stop loss below 18.4 should be considered.
SUGAR - UniverseMetta - Signal#SUGAR - UniverseMetta - Signal
W1 - Potential start of the 5th wave in the continuation of the uptrend.
H4 - You can consider entering from these levels or wait for fixation beyond the trend line. A more confident entry point is formed at the formation of the 3rd wave. Stop behind the minimum of the 1st wave.
Entry: 2206.7 - *2246.5
TP: 2290.8 - 2378.3 - 2520.6 - 2609.5
Stop: 2143.4
Wheat Futures Are at a Crossroads – Here’s What I’m SeeingAlright, here’s where things stand with wheat futures, and this one feels like it’s balancing on a knife’s edge. We’re sitting right around 571, and honestly, the chart could break either way. Moments like these can be exciting, but they’re also where preparation makes all the difference—whether you catch the right move or get left chasing after it.
If the price drops below 564, we could see it slide down to 554, 543, and maybe even 535. This kind of move would likely mean that supplies are holding strong, or demand is weaker than expected. It might not happen all at once, but once that first level breaks, sellers could pile on, and each support level below becomes the next stop on the way down. It’s like the market testing where buyers are willing to step back in.
But if the bulls get their act together and push above 600, the game changes. That’s the kind of breakout that could attract a lot of momentum and send prices heading toward 620. It wouldn’t take much—maybe bad weather affecting crops or surprising export numbers—and suddenly, we’d see buyers jump back in with force. When a psychological level like 600 cracks, traders love to pile on, and things can move quickly.
This is one of those trades where you’ll want to stay sharp. Just watch the levels, have a plan, and let the market show you the way. Whether it’s a slide down or a breakout higher, there’s opportunity either way. If this breakdown helped, like, boost, follow, and drop a comment—always better when we trade together.
Mindbloome Trader
Corn Reversal: Classical 5 bar trend confirmed!Corn CBOT:ZC1! is showing signs of a reversal, and it has confirmed the following:
The daily trend was activated at yesterday's close, with enough momentum to push above 450.
The weekly trend is also active, following a classic five-bar trend pattern, indicating a strong reversal signal.
Once it reclaims 433, it should quickly move toward the first target of 466.
If everything aligns as expected, it could aim for a break of the current trend. For now, it’s important to take it level by level.
15% to 35% Upside Ahead for Corn (Divergence Strategy)Corn recently has had the monthly bullish divergence confirmed with Septembers monthly close. This has major implications for corn, as I anticipate corn to now trade up at least 15% from current prices, up to a max move of approximately 35%. Monthly divergence triggers such as this are signals that the prudent trader must pay attention to. This does not mean I anticipate this market to go straight up from here. However, it does mean that, in my opinion, dips are for buying in the Corn market until we reach these upside targets.
Have a great week.
Wheat could be up by at least 7% in the next few daysWheat with little resistance in the zone between 590 and 632 will likely rise 7%.
Any escalation in Ukraine and maintained demand in Egypt will drive the demand up against supply.
This will add an inflationary pressure on most markets and might be an uncontrolled pressure on the USD amongst many others,
BUY!
SOYBEANS - Are We Close to a Major Bottom? Cycles Say YES.Here is what I am currently watching for SOYBEANS.
-We need to be aware that there is a major bullish divergence setup (not trigger) developing on the quarterly & monthly charts. We need to pay close attention to this setup, because if triggered/confirmed, it implies a massive move up for Soybeans would be on the horizon.
-Interestingly, the Weekly chart has confirmed bullish divergence. The first target (1090) has not yet been hit, but in my opinion, it looks probable that Soybeans will hit that target (and possibly go as high as the second target (1179). This implies that I believe Soybeans is likely to rally at least 5% in the near future, and possibly rally as much as 10% from current price levels.
-I will be aggressive with taking profits on any short setups that present, due to the bullish weekly divergence that has triggered.
-Utilizing the Weekly MAC & Valuation methods, I note that this market is in an area where we can look for H6/Daily short trades. As mentioned in previous paragraph, I will utilize more aggressive targets.
-The cycles for Soybeans...wow, they are quite something. Decennial cycle suggests significant low being put in, APZ's suggest major low around October 4th, major 5 year cyclical low RIGHT NOW. Other temporary and permanent blended cycles suggest a major low right now. Composite of the 3 most similar years of price action also suggest a major low could happen soon, with a major rally to March 2025.
-A combination of the cycles and the major timeframe bullish divergences have me leaning somewhat towards calling a possible major bottom in the Soybeans market. I would prefer to see commercials COT positioning support this idea, which makes me think maybe we get another nice selloff into the August lows before the real bottom is in. But time will tell.
WHEAT, start planting now for a MASSIVE HARVEST...WHEAT: BOUNTIFUL HARVEST SOON... if you seed at the current price range.
KEY NOTES:
WEEKLY DESCENDING TRENDLINE BREAKOUT.
Monthly shifting price lines. HUGE HINT!
Weekly histogram higher lows.
MONTHLY HISTOGRAM SHIFT -- CLOSING UP TO BREAK SOON.
SEEDED LONG (long term) 628.0
TAYOR.
Safeguard capital always.
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RELATED NEWS:
WSJ ARTICLE:
Severe Drought Stunts Great Plains Wheat Crops
Harvest in nation’s breadbasket forecast to be the worst in 60-plus years
June 17, 2023 10:09 am ET
The Enigma of Robusta: Why is Coffee's Unsung Hero So Valuable?Robusta coffee, a resilient and versatile bean, has played a pivotal role in the global coffee market. Despite its often overlooked status, Robusta has experienced a significant surge in value in recent years. This article explores the factors driving the rising prices of Robusta coffee, including increased demand, supply chain disruptions, and climate change. By understanding the challenges and opportunities facing Robusta, we can better appreciate its enduring significance in the global coffee industry.
Introduction
The global coffee market has witnessed a steady rise in demand, leading to a corresponding increase in prices for both Arabica and Robusta beans. While Arabica often takes center stage, Robusta, a less celebrated but equally essential bean, has also experienced a notable appreciation in value. This article delves into the reasons behind Robusta's ascent, examining the factors that have contributed to its growing prominence.
Factors Driving Robusta Coffee Prices
Several key factors have converged to push Robusta coffee prices upward:
Increased Demand: The global appetite for coffee has expanded significantly, particularly in emerging markets. This rising demand, coupled with a limited supply, has created upward pressure on prices.
Supply Chain Disruptions: Weather-related challenges, geopolitical tensions, and logistical constraints have disrupted supply chains, leading to shortages and higher costs.
Climate Change: Climate change has exacerbated weather-related events, such as droughts and floods, impacting coffee production and driving up prices.
Shifting Cultivation Patterns: Some farmers have shifted their focus to more profitable crops, reducing the overall supply of Robusta coffee.
The Enduring Value of Robusta
Despite the challenges it faces, Robusta Coffee continues to hold significant value. Its resilience, versatility, and unique flavor profile make it a sought-after commodity. As a cornerstone of the global coffee market, Robusta plays a crucial role in meeting consumer demand and supporting the livelihoods of millions of farmers.
Conclusion
The rising prices of Robusta coffee can be attributed to a combination of factors, including increased demand, supply chain disruptions, and climate change. While the future of coffee production faces challenges, Robusta's enduring value and adaptability position it as a resilient force in the global coffee market. By understanding the factors driving price increases and exploring innovative solutions, we can ensure the continued sustainability and enjoyment of this beloved beverage.
Is Your Summer BBQ in Jeopardy?The seemingly innocuous drought in Brazil could have far-reaching consequences for global food supply chains. As the world's largest soybean exporter, Brazil's weather patterns significantly influence the availability and affordability of various food products.
The delayed planting of soybean crops due to dry conditions in Brazil is raising concerns about potential shortages and price hikes. This could have a ripple effect on the production of meat, poultry, and other food items that rely on soybeans as a key ingredient.
Beyond the immediate impact on soybean prices, the drought could also have broader implications:
Increased Food Costs: The shortage of soybeans could lead to higher prices for animal feed, ultimately affecting the cost of meat and poultry.
Disruptions in Food Processing: Industries that rely heavily on soybeans, such as food processing and biofuel production, may face disruptions due to limited supply.
Global Economic Impacts: The drought could have economic consequences beyond the food sector, affecting trade, transportation, and employment in related industries.
The question now is: How will the global food system adapt to this challenge?
As the world grapples with the implications of Brazil's drought, it is crucial to explore sustainable solutions and strategies to mitigate the potential impacts on food security and economic stability.
Can Corn Conquer Climate Change?The global food system is under siege from the escalating climate crisis, and corn, a pivotal commodity, is facing a particularly formidable challenge. Rising temperatures, erratic rainfall patterns, and the increased prevalence of pests and diseases are all conspiring to undermine corn production. This article delves into the intricate relationship between corn and climate change, examining the potential consequences for food security, economic stability, and social well-being.
Beyond the immediate threats posed by climate change, the impacts on corn production can have far-reaching consequences. Reduced yields can lead to price volatility, making it difficult for low-income households to afford basic food staples. This can contribute to food insecurity and malnutrition, particularly in vulnerable populations. Moreover, corn production is a major source of income for many farmers, especially in developing countries. Climate change-induced crop failures can have devastating consequences for rural livelihoods and economic stability.
However, the challenges are not insurmountable. By adopting sustainable agricultural practices, investing in climate-resilient crop varieties, and fostering global cooperation, we can safeguard the future of corn and ensure a more sustainable and equitable food system for generations to come. Climate-smart agriculture, which includes practices like crop rotation, cover cropping, and precision agriculture, can improve soil health, reduce water use, and enhance resilience to climate change. Additionally, breeding for resilience can develop corn varieties that are more tolerant to heat, drought, and pests.
Furthermore, promoting crop diversification can help reduce the risk of crop failures and ensure food security even in the face of climate-related challenges. Governments can also play a crucial role in supporting farmers by providing financial assistance, access to climate information, and investments in agricultural research and development.
In conclusion, the future of corn is inextricably linked to our ability to adapt to a changing climate. By embracing sustainable practices, investing in innovation, and fostering global cooperation, we can ensure that corn continues to play a vital role in feeding the world. It's a call to action, a challenge to rethink our approach to agriculture, and a reminder that the future of food is in our hands.
Smart Money Positioned to LONG Cotton - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Cotton (CT)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in CT if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
Valuation: Undervalued vs Gold
Extreme Positioning: Commercials around max long of last 3 years - bullish. Small specs around max short of last 3 years - bullish.
OI Analysis: "Bubble Up" of positioning happening between commercials and large specs = bullish.
COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal
Supplementary Indicators: UO & Momentum (not yet confirmed)
Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside.
Good luck & good trading.
Smart Money Positioned to LONG Soybeans - COT StrategyDISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to participate in this market. There is significant risk involved in trading, do your own homework and due diligence.
COT Strategy
LONG
Soybeans (ZS)
My COT strategy has me on alert for long trades in ZS if we get a confirmed bullish change of trend on the Daily timeframe. I note that I am already long as this market has been giving a buy signal for a few weeks.
COT Commercial Index: Buy Signal
Extreme Positioning: Commercials hovering around max long of last 3 years - bullish.
OI Analysis: "Bubble Up" in net positioning between commercials and large specs - bullish. Multi week down move has seen OI increase. When OI increases, we need to ask "who caused the increase in OI". When the OI increase is caused by Commercials adding to longs, it is bullish.
True Seasonal: Major seasonal low end of September and up to February.
COT Small Spec Index: Buy Signal
Supplementary Indicators: Acc/Dist, %R, UO, Stochastic & Confirmed Momentum Shift.
Remember, this is not a "Long Now" idea. These indicators are not timing tools. They simply tell us that this market could have a move of some significance to the upside, which we will participate in with a confirmed Daily trend change to the upside.
Good luck & good trading.
Is This the Beginning of a Global Food Crisis?Wheat, a cornerstone of global food security, is facing unprecedented challenges.
Rising temperatures, extreme weather events, and geopolitical tensions are converging to create a perfect storm for wheat production. The result? A significant wheat rally that could have far-reaching implications.
Climate Change's Impact:
As the planet warms, wheat-growing regions are becoming increasingly vulnerable. Extreme heat and unpredictable weather patterns are disrupting harvests and reducing yields. This is especially pronounced in Europe, where persistent rainfall and heatwaves have devastated crops.
Global Supply Chain Disruptions:
The war in Ukraine, coupled with export restrictions and transportation challenges, has further strained global wheat supplies. This has led to a surge in demand for wheat from other regions, exacerbating the price increase.
The Looming Food Security Threat:
The rising cost of wheat, a key ingredient in many staple foods, poses a significant threat to food security, particularly in developing countries. As prices continue to climb, access to affordable food becomes increasingly difficult for millions.
The Road Ahead:
The future of wheat production and global food security is uncertain. The world must adapt to the changing climate, invest in sustainable agricultural practices, and develop strategies to mitigate the risks posed by geopolitical tensions. The stakes are high, and the time for action is now.