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Agricultural Commodities

Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish ContinuationTitle: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Continuation Type: Bearish Continuation Resistance: 673.75 Pivot: 632.00 Support: 586.00 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for ZC1! is bearish due to the current price below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to head towards the pivot at 586.00 where the 50% Fibonacci line is located. Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and head towards the resistance at 673.75, where the 50% Fibonacci line is located. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
CBOT:ZC1!Short
by Genesiv
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish DropTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop Type: Bearish Drop Resistance: 2500 Pivot: 2422 Support: 2275 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bearish due to the current price crossing below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head towards the pivot at 2422, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and retest the resistance at 2500, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ICEUS:CC1!Short
by Genesiv
Wheat: Rough ride since March...Now what???Wheat has had a rough ride since the historic highs reached in March, and now is at levels that will test a "swing support" zone that has held several times in the past year. In summarizing this past week's wheat action, Total Farm Marketing noted (www.totalfarmmarketing.com) Wheat Prices Lower for the Week December CBOT wheat futures shed 10-1/2 cents this week to close at 803-1/4 December KCBOT wheat futures shed 9-1/4 cents this week to close at 934-1/4 December MGEX wheat futures added 5-3/4 cents this week to close at 951-1/2 Informa raised its estimate for the 2023 World wheat crop my 4.5 million tons on higher production in China and India Wheat export sales were only 5.7 million bushels last week which is the second smallest weekly total for that date since 1996 Managed money is currently holding its largest net-short position in 3 years US winter wheat conditions improved somewhat after last week’s rains, but the Plains are still in an extreme drought and will need higher than normal winter precipitation to replenish soil moisture before crops come out of dormancy in the spring Given the mostly negative news, the price action is understandable. But from here, what's the play? Carley Garner from DeCarley Trading tweeted the following idea (and shared with her clients): madmimi.com The link will take you to Carley's specific trade idea which...spoiler alert....plays on Wheat holding support and bouncing from here at some point. I think her trade idea is well constructed and founded on sound reasoning. I actually initiated a small position in the call spread (without selling the otm put). As always, my positioning and my article is NOT meant to be advice in any way! But it's good food for thought and discussion. Eager to hear reactions/thoughts.
CBOT:ZW1!Long
by trader_investr
HogsHogs - Weekly Continuous: The gray vertical bars represent the expiration month of labeled contract and have prices of each contract as of today labeled. The deferred contracts can use the uptrend/downtrend lines to determine areas to be hedged. The June 21' high has provided a pivot for a down trend line that has acted as a strong area of resistance. Currently the May and June Contracts are near that downtrend line and could warrant some Price protection. Above look at the Red Uptrend line
CME:HE1!
by mtb1980
January Soybeans - DailyJanuary23 Soybeans – Daily: Back to a daily chart with a few weeks remaining on the Jan contract and trying to narrow the focus for end of year contract activity. The break above the black downtrend line was short lived, Thursday’s close found support at the red Tenkan line. Monday & Tuesday need to come out strong and sustain price above the cloud at 14.42 and more importantly the blue Kijun/black downtrend line currently at 14.47. Support below at 14.05 and a break below the cloud and uptrend line has end of contract risk at 13.45-13.30 area…
CBOT:ZSF2023
by mtb1980
2
Corn Weekly ContinuousContinuous Corn – Weekly: The charts above are the same, but using different indicators. Both Charts are showing a break of major support this week. A break below the blue uptrending pitchfork on the left and a weekly close below the cloud on the right are both telling us that an important area of support has been broken. Support is in the lower 6.00 area and further risk is from 5.50 to 4.50 depending on length in time… A sustained move above 6.62 is needed to keep the bull trend going or at least trade sideways. Resistance above would be at 6.81, and bullish enthusaiam regained above the upper red pitchfork in the 7.20 area…
CBOT:ZC1!
by mtb1980
Wheat Futures Ready to Pop Again. Same Signal to Start 2020 BoomCOT Data is signaling that Wheat Futures ( CBOT:ZW1! ) are ready to pop after a few months of declines and chop As it currently stands, this is the shortest the Large Speculators have been on Wheat since 2020 where it bottomed at 589'4 to rally all the way as high as 1422'0. By no means do I expect a similar rally to ensure, but this does illustrate how oversold the large speculators are and what the consequences of that can be. I'm looking for a technical long reversal entry on the daily chart to enter the trade and then use sound risk management thereafter Notes on My Trading Methodology and What I'm Even Talking About COT Definitions: - COT: Commitments of Traders Reports - A weekly report published by the government (CFTC) that shows long and short positions of the below 3 groups (As well as much more data I don't look at). We look at the NET positions of these 3 groups and compare them to historical levels to signal trade opportunities 1- Commercials: Hedgers - We want to trade with them when they're at extreme levels (Think Tyson, Cargill, General Mills, etc) 2- Large Speculators: Hedge funds and large institutions - We want to fade them when they are at max positions (Think suits in NYC and commodity funds) 3- Small Speculators: People/institutions trading small lot sizes not big enough to report to CFTC - We want to fade their max positions as well since they represent the public (Think dude in his PJs trading and small trading firms) Indicators on Chart: - The first indicator shows the net positions of the 3 groups above plotted over time - The second indicator is an index of the relative buying/selling of commercials over a certain lookback period. Anything above 95 is looking for buy, look to sell when it hits 0 - Note: Just because the Commercial's net position is negative doesn't mean it can't be relatively net long and signal a buy (same in the opposite scenario) Trade Setup - Both Must Happen: - When commercials are at max levels we are alerted to buy or sell (Depending on the criteria above) - On a daily chart, use technical indicators, candlestick patterns, news, etc to enter the trade (not shown here) - Added bonus when the trend is your friend (I use a Multiple Moving Averages indicator to visualize)
CBOT:ZW1!Long
by Rudeadam18
Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bullish ContinuationTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CCK2022 ), H4 Potential for Bullish Continuation Type: Bullish Continuation Resistance: 2577 Pivot: 2422 Support: 2500 Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for CC1! is bullish due to the current price being above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head towards the resistance at 2577, where the previous high is. Alternative scenario: Price may go back down and retest the support at 2500 where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is located. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ICEUS:CC1!Long
by Genesiv
Wheat Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for ZW1! is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a pullback sell entry at 804.00, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 820.25, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 767.50, where the 88% Fibonacci line is. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CBOT:ZW1!Short
by VantageMarkets
Corn Potential For Bearish ContinuationOn the H4 chart, the overall bias for ZC1! is bearish . To add confluence to this, price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. With price tapping into my sell entry at 675.00, where the 50% Fibonacci line is, I am looking to take profit at 632.00, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 685.25, slightly above where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is located. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CBOT:ZC1!Short
by VantageMarkets
Corn Potential For Bearish ContinuationOn the H4 chart, the overall bias for ZC1! is bearish . To add confluence to this, price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. With price tapping into my sell entry at 675.00, where the 50% Fibonacci line is, I am looking to take profit at 632.00, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 685.25, slightly above where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is located. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
CBOT:ZC1!Short
by VantageMarkets
Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish RiseTitle: Cocoa Futures ( CC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Rise Type: Bullish Rise Resistance: 2506 Pivot: 2422 Support: 2280 Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bullish bias. To add confluence to this, price is crossing back above the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bullish market. If this bullish momentum continues, expect price to head back up towards the 1st resistance at 2506 where the 23.6% Fibonacci line and 100% Fibonacci projection line are located. Alternative scenario: Price head back down towards the Pivot line at 2422, where the 50% Fibonacci line and 61.8% Fibonacci projection line are located. Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ICEUS:CC1!Long
by Genesiv