Agricultural Commodities
WHEAT // market is in daily impulseHi✋🏽
Trend is short, and price tested the last daily south breakout, then turned. Targets are marked by the fibo.
What do you think???
Trade safe! ⚪️⚫️
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ANYWAY, a lot of Qs about the direction of the price. But it doesn't matter.
I JUST REACT!
Thanks for reading my analysis!🤘🏽
Remember that trading is a business.
SIZE your TRADES according to your risk aversion!
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Corn Futures ( ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 680.00
Pivot: 661.20
Support: 671.50
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, the overall bias for ZC1!, corn is bearish. To add confluence to this, price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. Price has tapped on to the 1st resistance at 680.00 where the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci lines are located before closing underneath it. Expecting price to continue its bearish momentum towards the support at 671.50, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is located.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and close above the 1st resistance level.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
COFFEE in correction, may turn long soonHi Everyone!✋🏽
COFFEE is in a long trend accumulating to go on with it. After having taken back by the buyers, the long trigger zone marks the place where one can find a long trade on H4 time frame.
ANYWAY, a lot of Qs about the direction of the price. But it doesn't matter. WE JUST REACT!
Trade safe! ⚪️⚫️
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Thanks for reading my analysis!🤘🏽
Remember that trading is a risky business.
SIZE your TRADES according to your risk aversion!
Please remember to support the idea with a BOOST or COMMENT
with your highly appreciated opinion!
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SOYBEANS // nice RR aheadHi✋🏽
Within the short trend, we have seen a nice countertrend built by the buyers and the sellers. It seems that this countertrend is turning in the direction of the main short trend.
What do you think???
Trade safe! ⚪️⚫️
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ANYWAY, a lot of Qs about the direction of the price. But it doesn't matter.
I JUST REACT!
Thanks for reading my analysis!🤘🏽
Remember that trading is a business.
SIZE your TRADES according to your risk aversion!
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SOYBEANS // short trend may continue after retestHi Everyone!✋🏽
As you probably know, I analyze price action and price went into countertrend on H4, testing the previous D/H4 south breakout with a nice wick. From here after 1-2-3 and through the short trigger zone, chances are high that targets on the chart will be met.
If countertrend never brakes all the way through the long trigger zone, I switch to the long side.
What do you think???
Trade safe! ⚪️⚫️
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If you liked my analysis, please remember to support the idea with a BOOST , or COMMENT!
ANYWAY, a lot of Qs about the direction of the price. But it doesn't matter.
WE JUST REACT!
Thanks for reading my analysis!🤘🏽
Remember that trading is a risky business.
SIZE your TRADES according to your risk aversion!
----------------------------------------------------------
COTTON // sideways after reaching weekly local lowHi✋🏽
Price has reached a weekly low from May '21, and buyers made it go 1-2 from the 1-2-3 wave. We are in the 3rd wave moving up, but price can easily go sideways for some time before breaking out of this zone.
The long and the short trigger zone marks the sideways channel.
What do you think???
Trade safe! ⚪️⚫️
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ANYWAY, a lot of Qs about the direction of the price. But it doesn't matter.
I JUST REACT!
Thanks for reading my analysis!🤘🏽
Remember that trading is a business.
SIZE your TRADES according to your risk aversion!
----------------------------------------------------------
Wheat, why this last raising?My backtests, September and October are not good months for long swing trading, but Im finding some reason from last WASDE reports
*****************September release on wheat
– U.S. wheat outlook for supply and use is unchanged this month
– Global wheat outlook raises supplies, consumption, exports, and ending stocks this month, as production increases for Russia and Ukraine, more than offset a decline in beginning stocks. Area harvested, yield, and production for Russia will all reach record highs . The Ukraine production forecast is increased as higher yields in the Forest and Forest-Steppe zones
******************October release on wheat
***US***
- The outlook for 2022/23 U.S. wheat this month is for lower supplies , domestic use, exports, and stocks.
Supplies are reduced on lower 2022/23 production.
Reductions in both harvested area and yield.
Production only minimally higher than last year
Partially offsetting the production decline are higher projected imports. This would be the lowest U.S. wheat exports since 1971/72
Projected ending stocks are lowered
***WORLD***
The global wheat outlook for 2022/23 wheat is for reduced supplies , consumption, trade, and stocks.
reduced production for the United States and Argentina more than offsetting higher EU production although world production remains at a record
Global consumption is reduced on lower food, seed, and industrial use more than offsetting higher feed and residual use.
World trade is lowered on reduced exports by the United States and Argentina more than offsetting higher EU exports.
Projected 2022/23 ending stocks are lowered mostly on a reduction for the United States.
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum
Type: Bullish Momentum
Resistance: 706.50
Pivot: 661.40
Support: 698.50
Preferred case: Corn prices have been rising since September 28, 2022. The price is above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. Price hit and bounced off the second support level at 680.4, which contains the 50%, 38.2%, and 61.8% Fibonacci lines, overnight. Price has now closed above the first support level at 698.50, which contains two 100% Fibonacci lines and one 0% Fibonacci line. If the bullish momentum continues, price may return to the first resistance level at 706.50, where the -27.2% and -20% Fibonacci lines are located.
Alternative scenario: Price may revert to the second support level at 680.50.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Coffee long trend continuationHi Everyone!✋🏽
The Monthly zone may stop the price, but the long trend continuation has been formed on the weekly and the daily, so price is heading towards the target zones.
ANYWAY, a lot of Qs about the direction of the price. But it doesn't matter. WE JUST REACT!
Happy trading! ⚪️⚫️
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thanks for reading my analysis!🤘🏽
Remember that trading is a risky business.
SIZE your TRADES according to your risk aversion!
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Please remember to support the idea with a BOOST or COMMENT
with your highly appreciated opinion!
SOYBEAN short scenarioHi Everyone!✋🏽
Soybean is technically in a downtrend. The first target that is the last daily low, where the correction of the short impulse wave has started. Can be reached until the validity zone stands the pressure from the buyers.
ANYWAY, a lot of Qs about the direction of the price. But it doesn't matter. WE JUST REACT!
Trade safe! ⚪️⚫️
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thanks for reading my analysis!🤘🏽
Remember that trading is a risky business.
SIZE your TRADES according to your risk aversion!
Please remember to support the idea with a BOOST or COMMENT
with your highly appreciated opinion!
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 698.4
Pivot: 661.40
Support: 680.40
Preferred case: Since September 28, 2022, corn prices have been rising. The price is above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating that the market is bullish. The price moved strongly upwards, approaching the first resistance level at 698.4, which contains two 100% Fibonacci lines. Price then bounced off it and closed below the first resistance level. If this retracement continues, price will fall towards the first support level at 680.4, which contains the 50%, 38.2%, and 61.8% Fibonacci lines.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up retest the 1st resistance before heading down towards the first support level.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum
Type: Bullish Momentum
Resistance: 696.25
Pivot: 661.40
Support: 680.50
Corn prices have been climbing since September 28, 2022. The price is above the Ichimoku cloud, which adds to the market's bullish bias. The price is currently consolidating along the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci lines, which correspond to the first support level at 680.4. Corn has been rising with a strong bullish trend since last Friday. Corn is now trading at 688.4. If the bullish momentum continues, price will go towards the first resistance level at 696.2, which contains the 0% Fibonacci line and two of the 100% Fibonacci lines.
Alternative scenario: Price may retest the first support and go to the pivot at 661.4, which contains the 100% Fibonacci line and the last swing low.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 680.50
Pivot: 661.40
Support: 669.50
Preferred Case: Corn fell below the first resistance level at 680.50, where the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci lines are placed. If the bearish trend continues, price could reach the first support level at 669.4, which is nearby the 78.6% Fibonacci line.
Alternative scenario: Price may retrace back up to the first resistance level at 680.4.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum
Type: Bullish Momentum
Resistance: 698.00
Pivot: 661.40
Support: 661.50
Preferred Case: Corn has been rising since September 28, 2022. The price is above the ichimoku cloud, adding to the bullish market bias. Price is currently consolidating along the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci lines, which mark the first support level at 680.4. If the bullish momentum continues, price may move towards the first resistance level at 698.0, which contains two 100% Fibonacci lines.
Alternative scenario: Price may break through the first support and continue to fall towards 661.4, the pivot point and previous swing low.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Wednesday is decision day - spx bonds wheat gold dxy btcSPX is bullish over 3750, bonds I can't tell what is going on there but under 125 would be bad for bulls, Wheat, looks good still in channel, Gold also looks good although the dollar may rally again to 116, BTC could drop hard but it would be a buy for me. GOod luck
Commodity Wheat idea (05/10/2022)wheat
Completion of wave y of the compound binary wave, and completion of wave b at prices 945 We expect wheat to decline in the coming period after ending the correction pattern as we explained, and we expect a decline as prices are less than the decisive point 945, which is the crucial point. Important, a point for the next period and the beginning of the wave retreat
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum
Type: Bullish Momentum
Resistance: 698.00
Pivot: 661.40
Support: 661.50
Preferred Case: Corn has been on a bullish trend since September 28, 2022. Price is above the ichimoku cloud, which denotes a bullish market, adding to this confluence. Price reversed course through the first support level at 680.4, which is marked by the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci lines. Expect price to continue moving upwards approaching the first barrier at 698.0, which is where two of the 100% Fibonacci lines are situated, if this bullish momentum persists.
Alternative scenario: The first support, at 680.4, may be where corn reverses back down. Price may then continue to fall toward the pivot point and prior swing low at 661.4 from there.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.