Feeder Cattle: Strong Buy Signal on potential Golden Cross.Feeder Cattle is coming off a strong Higher Low rebound early this month with 1D already on strong bullish technical action (RSI = 60.454, MACD = 0.850, Highs/Lows = 3.0514). Since this bullish sequence started on a strong August rebound on the 128.800 1W Support, it is more likely to see an extension towards the 161.000 1W Resistance.
A potential 1D Golden Cross formation in October should come as validation of this just as it has done twice already since 2017. We are long on GF with 155.000 - 161.000 as our Target Zone.
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Agriculture
Hard Red Winter Wheat: Medium term Sideways Signal.Hard Red Winter Wheat is trading within a Descending Triangle on 1M (RSI = 40.777, MACD = -11.870, Highs/Lows = -63.0357). This month has rebounded on the 382 1W Support marking the 3rd time it bounced on that level since May, practically making a technical Triple Bottom.
As seen on the chart it appears to be replicating the July 2018 - January 2019 pattern, when then price after a Lower High within the 1M Descending Triangle, it declined and consolidated before eventually making the bottom on the 382 1W Support.
As a result we have calculated a trading range within 382 - 417 that may last until late November. This can be a very profitable medium term scalp opportunity.
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Live Cattle: Strong long term Buy Opportunity.Live Cattle has hit this month the 94.300 1M Support, with the last time we saw these levels being in October 2016. The price appears to be trading within a long term Rectangle within 94.300 and the 130.500 - 134.525 Resistance Zone. The current 3 week rebound on the 1M Support makes LE an automatic long term buy opportunity. We are therefore long at the moment and having calculated all possible scenarios within this Rectangle, we concluded that profit should be taken within 116.500 - 127.500. Take advantage of this opportunity based on your won risk tolerance levels.
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Sugar: Buy Opportunity with an end-of-year horizon.Sugar has been trading within a 1M Channel Down for almost 1 full year (RSI = 40.519, MACD = -0.770, Highs/Lows = -0.1543). It is close to pricing a Lower Low, turning the current levels into a buy opportunity. Our Target Zone is 11.65 - 11.90.
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Corn to make a Head and Shoulders Pattern? Bullish Agriculture!I have been trading the agricultural commodities much more lately. On a long term approach (investing) I am bullish agricultural because I see food supplies diminishing due to weather. Just this Spring and Summer, crop yields did not produce as much as before and according to information on Martin Armstrong's blog, farmers planted crops late in the East due to a lingering winter. I expect these weather uncertainties to keep occurring.
Soil in the west is also diminishing. This can easily be remedied through things such as Zinc and other things like phosphate etc but don't want to get too scientific here.
What this means is that in the future we will likely transition to indoor/greenhouse farming.
Another bullish aspect is China. If you follow my work, I have said the only reason China would come to make a trade deal/truce is if their credit problem worsens, and if their food issue worsens. China has been hit hard with the swine flu and the army virus and the government is subsidizing food prices, especially pork. This could be a more short term/intermediate term catalyst.
Onto the charts. A good confluence for Corn. We hit a major support/flip zone at around the 3.45 zone.
You can see the downtrend with its lower highs and lower lows. They are well defined. Remember, by definition once a lower high swing is broken and we stop making new lower lows, the downtrend is now nullified. We either range or begin an uptrend.
We can see the lower high swing at 3.60 was broken and also retested. Buyers are coming on here.
On the daily we are now awaiting our first HIGHER LOW swing in a possible new uptrend which we could have here. This would make a head and shoulders pattern and the confirmed higher low swing once we break above the neckline at the 3.70 zone.
Overall this is looking good. We could see a move up to the 4.00 level.
Soybeans Fake out?Like what I am seeing here on Soybeans. We have a fake out indicated by the long wick at a very big support zone which can also be seen on the longer term charts.
This interests me because of the long downtrend with multiple waves we have been in. You can also say we have created a double top too. Waiting for a break of the lower high swing and also a flip zone at 8.51. Will provide more context and confluence for out trade.
Many will be inclined to stay away due to the US-China trade war. However, China NEEDS food. They have had their pig population decimated due to the flu and the government is subsidizing pork prices. They do have a food problem and even though tariffs may be implemented, China requires food. Brazil and Russia may be the agricultural winners here.
Wait...I didn't have any CORN!Corn on the 4 hour chart looking interesting. A potential head and shoulders can occur. We have a left shoulder and we also have a head. Potentially making a right shoulder here.
Other confluences to increase our probabilities is the fact that the reversal is occurring at a support/flip zone at the 3.56 zone. Keep an eye on this. I don't trade agricultural commodities much, but I recently added corn, soybeans and wheat to my trading list.
Let us await for the right shoulder and higher low confirmation with a break above 3.70.
Corn bottomed?Corn bounced right off the range I mentioned on my last idea, Aggressive traders might go long here but it's probably best to wait for MACD signal and further strength. Seasonally corn is Not bullish at this time of the year, so it's best to be careful with longs
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Coffee: Boom. Roasted!This is an excerpt from the Parallax Weekly premium report originally published July 15, 2019.
"The net-positioning in coffee has surged, and the percentile metric is not suggesting it’s extremely overdone even though the one-year z-score is well above 2.
The problem now is that coffee prices have declined from $116 to $106 with net-longs still in charge. There is uncertainty surrounding frost that effected the Brazilian crop. Contingent on crop damage estimates, record production expectations into 2020 and price/net-positioning divergences, the bearish case for coffee @ 96 is created."
GROW Double BottomDowntrend over last few weeks may be over as todays bullish engulfing shows signs of reversal. Watch for break of 0.35 to confirm bull break from falling wedge. Close above 0.35 would also be a hammer on the weekly chart. Good buy right now with strong support at 0.30, price target at recent tops of 0.51, potentially higher with any good news releases.
Upcoming catalysts include new contract signings, approval for use of technology on cannabis and more agro-industrial partnerships.
CT1! Long (via. BAL)Cotton futures are currently caught in 2 separate bullish descending wedge patterns on positive divergences. There was one instance where the divergence did not play out, however this divergence was only visible on the RSI (August 2018) which is why we look for both. Coincidentally, assuming we have reached a bottom in the price of cotton futures, please appreciate the fact of how well the Fibonacci retracement levels overlap with the resistances above. Another interesting point to highlight is that if you take the measured move of both falling wedge patterns, and add that height to the potential breakout zone, then both distances happen to fall into the same area of resistance. That level of resistance at ~75.15 will be the final target for cotton futures over the duration of this year. For this trade, we will use BAL, a cotton ETN. A suggested stop would be at 36.28 (5% down) for a potential of 20% upside gain.
CORN LongCORN has broken out of a bullish descending wedge pattern to the upside, entered a bearish rising wedge, broken down and back-tested the previous resistance level before bouncing back. There are positive divergences on the charts which suggest a much longer up trend in play. These positive divergences can also be seen on the weekly and monthly charts of CORN which also firm up the thesis of a new long term uptrend. When measuring the height of the wedge pattern and adding it to the breakout point, the anticipated price coincides with a former support/resistance level.
Lean Hogs: 3 tier long term buy opportunity.Lean Hogs have been trading sideways since late 2015 and on the monthly chart is best illustrated by the neutral monthly chart (RSI = 51.940, Williams = -47.019, CCI = 34.8246, Highs/Lows = 0.000).
On 1D the MA200 works as a pivot attracting the price always after an annual High or Low. The price is currently trading above so we are expecting a sharp decline below this MA200 consolidation belt and towards the previous 2 lows which now represent a 3 tier buy opportunity: 55.100, 48.000 and 41.000.
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Corn/USD Bounce UpLooks bullish.. looking forward a retracement into +- 4 $ or emas line after it's challenging the resistance at $ 4.28
Indicator looks bullish, volume is rising rapidly.
DMI : +DMI is rising and -DMI is dropping hard creating a huge range between them, bullish also DMX is rising too.. bullish momentum is increasing
Macd : buy histogram is higher than the previous high.. bullish sign so far.
Volume MA is rising
Feeder Cattle: Long term Buy opportunity.GF is trading on a 1W Ascending Triangle that is near the 139.225 Support and Higher Low zone (RSI = 46.649, MACD = -0.700, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). This creates ideal conditions for a long term buy towards 159.500.
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Cyclical sell pattern on Coffee. Long term short opportunity.This is a pattern that is being repeated over and over again though the decades. Coffee reaches a peak within 280 - 340 on a parabolic rise, then starts to decline less aggressively on Lower Highs, and bottoms within 42.00 - 50.45. That's Coffee's market cycle and since 1974 we've had three, currently being near the end of the third, as we are just before the final aggressive bearish leg
For those who are willing to short the market, there is a roughly 45% profit opportunity on a 2 year horizon until it bottom near 50.45 again.
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DBA looking bullishWe like the agriculture sector here with the one of the if not the largest flooding in history for the Midwest. The chart is extremely oversold on weekly and monthly time frame, the daily pattern has a lot of potential and the fundamental could be changing quickly with this flooding (more rain coming and melted snow from up north not arrived yet).
Soybeans: Sell opportunity towards the 0.5 Fibonacci.The price reversed the previous bullish sentiment on 1D and is currently neutral (RSI = 48.853, ADX = 28.377, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). The next long term direction should come after a lower test of (at least) the 0.500 Fibonacci retracement level. With 4H already on Lower Highs (Highs/Lows = -0.0750, B/BP = -1.5520) we have a TP = 8.637.
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CO2 GRO Inc. Blue Sky Breakout!Update to my previous analysis on GROW. I've been following GROW for over a year now, and sp had been stuck in the 0.10-0.30 range. With a close above 0.40 the breakout from previous trading range is evident. Highest share price since their CO2 startup took over, so we are looking at a blue sky breakout. Sustained bullish volume, with good support being built on the way up.
Lot's of catalysts coming up for this company, financials end of April with $1.5 mill in cash from warrants in late fall. Aggressive expansion with many new contracts being signed, projected $10mill revenue run rate by end of 2019. Market cap only $27mill. Still an early stage start up with great potential, time ot get in is now.
BULLISH DIVERGENCE MAY CORN two cases of clear bullish divergence here on the 60 min chart. new contract low was made during the last session.
I expect some short covering into the beginning of the week, a bounce off the lows signaled by the bullish divergence is possible. I could also see some further pressure occur until the bounce materializes
Everything here is purely my opinion, and in no way advice or recommendations on making trades. I may or may not hold positions in the instruments I analyze.
CO2 Gro Inc. Breaks Year Long Trend Line BullishAscending triangle formed over January and February, bear trap with bull break on the 25th. Short term price target 0.35-0.40. Close above 0.30 signals new uptrend, as support is building above trendline formed since January 2018, lots of catalysts up coming make this a good entry point on a very bullish chart.
Fundamental analysis leads to price target of 0.83 going into 2020 with predicted revenue run rate of 10mil/year.
2019 Revenue: 10,000,000
70% Margin: 7,000,000
Overhead: -1,000,000
Op inc: 6,000,000
30% tax: -1,800,000
Net inc: 4,200,000
Shs diluted: 76,111,860
Eps: $0.055
P/e: 15
Shs value: $0.83