Is it time for industrials already? $ROKTechnology and Consumer Discretionary tend to lead the start of bull markets and Industrials should follow up.
The Industrials ETF AMEX:XLI is not outperforming the SP:SPX but, NYSE:ROK certainly is.
Maybe will be the sector's leader, is ranked #6 by IBD in its industry group ( AMEX:GAST ).
With higher lows and higher highs since June of 2022, Rockwell Automation is about to make new 52-week highs from a cup pattern. With the OBV already making new highs.
Will there be a handle? Maybe, it just had 4 weeks in a row closing higher. Let's wait and see.
I'd buy the breakout above $305 with a target sell at $350.
AI
Bitcoin Forecast Cloudy☁️ (Clear: 33.23 %)🌥️ Bitcoin Weather Forecast Analysis 🌥️
The current weather conditions in the Bitcoin world indicate a cloudy outlook. ☁️ Despite some positive indicators in the market, my confidence in a sunny forecast is only 0.33, which falls short of the baseline threshold of 0.864.
Looking at the Bitcoin chart index for the past hour, here are the key observations:
📈 Open: 25837
🔼 High: 25856
🔽 Low: 25754
💹 Volume: 11200
📉 Close: 25809
The exponential moving averages (EMAs) provide further insight into the market trends:
📈 ema9: 25861
📈 ema21: 25864
📈 ema50: 25894
📈 ema100: 26016
📈 ema200: 26172
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 46, indicating a neutral sentiment. The fast and slow stochastic indicators (fast_k, slow_k, slow_d) show readings of 42, 49, and 52, respectively. These values suggest a mixed market sentiment with no clear trend.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is currently at 0, indicating a balanced state between bullish and bearish signals.
In addition to the technical analysis, it's important to consider external factors. The market situation reveals that the SEC has filed lawsuits against major cryptocurrency exchanges, Binance and Coinbase. This development may introduce increased regulatory uncertainty, which could impact the overall market sentiment.
Considering all these factors, I believe the Bitcoin weather forecast for the near term is cloudy ☁️. However, please note that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and subject to rapid changes. It's important to monitor the market closely and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions.
Harmonic| Butterfly pattern with 200% potential profit. Good Day folks,
Amazing pattern on daily time frame will be triggered after breaking out entry price.
stay safe and trade wisely ;)
IBM trend Continuation IBM correcting from the downside and has begun to continue it's annual bullish trend.
Bullish Divergence on the 3Month chart indicating a huge bullish movement above $200 in the coming months ahead.
Oversold and market exhaustion on the downside showing bears are loosing momentum and bulls are entering the market
Bitcoin Forecast Cloudy☁️ (Clear: 62.86 %)🌥️ Bitcoin Weather Report 🌥️
Looking at the Bitcoin chart index for the past hour, we forecast cloudy weather ☁️. Our confidence in a sunny outlook is only 0.63, which falls short of our baseline threshold of 0.864.
Let's break down the analysis using emojis:
📉 Open: 25748
📈 High: 25769
📉 Low: 25721
💼 Volume: 5108
📉 Close: 25741
📈 EMA9: 25741
📈 EMA21: 25762
📈 EMA50: 25906
📈 EMA100: 26101
📈 EMA200: 26282
⚖️ RSI: 47
⚡ Fast_k: 55
⚡ Slow_k: 49
⚡ Slow_d: 48
📉 MACD: 27
Taking all these factors into account, we observe a mixed picture. The price fluctuated between the high and low range, but the closing price is slightly lower than the opening price. The exponential moving averages (EMAs) show a generally upward trend, indicating potential support for the price.
However, the relative strength index (RSI) stands at 47, suggesting a neutral sentiment. The fast and slow stochastic indicators also indicate a mild bearish bias. The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) confirms a downward momentum.
Adding to the forecast, we consider the market situation, which reports that the SEC has sued both Binance and Coinbase. This news could introduce uncertainty and potentially affect investor sentiment, leading to increased caution in the market.
Based on these factors, we anticipate cloudy weather in the Bitcoin world. This means that the market conditions might be characterized by some ambiguity and potential volatility. Investors are advised to exercise caution and closely monitor the developments in the market.
Remember, this analysis is not financial advice, and it's important to conduct thorough research and seek professional guidance before making any investment decisions. Stay informed and trade wisely! 🌦️💼💰
$NET On FireNYSE:NET is my biggest holding right now. I bought a starter just 3 trading days ago @ $62.90 and have added both yesterday and today for an average price of $65.59. As you can see on the volume bars below, there has been more buying than selling since earnings. I think any new entries or additions for me, need to see some consolidation. I am also a little wary of a potential double topping pattern. Overall, NYSE:NET has added about 76% from its most recent low. A large run indeed.
See my notes and additional thoughts on the chart. Ideas, not investing / trading advice.
Thanks for looking. Constructive comments welcome.
Bitcoin Forecast Cloudy☁️ (Clear: 0.0 %)🌥️ Bitcoin Weather Report 🌥️
Current Bitcoin weather conditions indicate cloudy skies ☁️ in the investment landscape. Based on the provided chart index for the past hour, it appears that the Bitcoin market may not experience the desired sunny weather ☀️ for investors.
Let's break down the analysis using emojis:
📈 Open: 26014
🔺 High: 26139
🔻 Low: 25912
💹 Volume: 35232
🔚 Close: 26051
The market opened at 26014, reaching a high of 26139 and a low of 25912. The trading volume stands at 35232, suggesting some activity in the market. However, the closing price settled at 26051, indicating a relatively neutral movement in the short term.
📉 Moving Averages:
- EMA9: 25815
- EMA21: 25864
- EMA50: 26200
- EMA100: 26535
- EMA200: 26794
The exponential moving averages (EMAs) provide insights into the trend. Here, the shorter-term EMAs (EMA9 and EMA21) are below the longer-term EMAs (EMA50, EMA100, and EMA200). This configuration suggests a potential bearish sentiment in the market.
📊 Technical Indicators:
- RSI: 55
- Fast K: 89
- Slow K: 76
- Slow D: 66
- MACD: -193
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a moderate level of buying pressure, while the stochastic oscillators (Fast K, Slow K, and Slow D) suggest a slightly overbought condition. However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) value of -193 reflects a negative momentum, indicating a possible bearish trend in the near term.
🌥️ Conclusion:
Considering the overall analysis and the confidence level being 0 (below the baseline of 0.864), the Bitcoin weather forecast in the investment world appears to be cloudy ☁️. This means caution might be advisable as market conditions do not indicate a clear bullish trend. As an investor, it is crucial to monitor future developments closely and adapt investment strategies accordingly.
Please note that cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and subject to rapid changes. It's essential to conduct thorough research and consult with financial professionals before making any investment decisions.
Bitcoin Forecast Sunny🌞 (Clear: 100.0 %)🌤️ Bitcoin Weather Forecast Analysis 🌤️
Based on the latest Bitcoin chart index for the past hour, I'm thrilled to report that the weather in the Bitcoin world is looking bright and sunny ☀️! With a confidence level of 1.0, which surpasses the baseline of 0.864, my forecast indicates favorable conditions for Bitcoin.
Let's delve into the details of the chart:
📈 Open: 25785
📈 High: 25810
📉 Low: 25740
📊 Volume: 7974
📉 Close: 25755
📈 EMA9: 25760
📉 EMA21: 25992
📉 EMA50: 26412
📉 EMA100: 26708
📉 EMA200: 26913
📉 RSI: 32
📈 Fast_k: 56
📉 Slow_k: 35
📉 Slow_d: 27
📉 MACD: -514
Despite a few indicators showing downward trends, such as EMA21, EMA50, EMA100, EMA200, and RSI, the overall outlook remains positive. The sunny weather symbolizes a potential upward movement in the Bitcoin market.
The Open and Close prices have remained relatively stable, suggesting a balance between buyers and sellers. Although the MACD is negative, indicating a bearish sentiment, the high Fast_k value hints at the potential for a positive turnaround in the near future.
It's important to note that weather forecasts can change, and the Bitcoin market can be unpredictable. As an investment chartist, it's crucial to monitor future developments closely. But for now, the Bitcoin world looks set for a sunny day! ☀️🚀
AI - MyMI Option Plays - $40 July Call OptionsWe just repositioned myself with some share purchases in the After-Hours on Friday and after watching the open this morning, we decided to purchase some CALL C3 AI INC CL A $40 EXP 07/21/23 as I expect this to retrace back at the $38 Dollar Price Level and form continuation in it's growth pattern setting it up for becoming a future power house for a stock!
The Art of Seeking Beta: Where Average Investors Beat the ProfsNasdaq 100 Index ( NASDAQ:NDX ), S&P Midcap ( SP:MID )
Since Jack Bogle created the first stock index fund in 1974, he has shown that passive investing in low-cost index mutual funds could beat active fund managers after cost.
These days, there are countless of stock indexes and thousands of index funds to choose from. Picking the right market index, which I term “Seeking Beta”, is quite challenging.
An average investor without stock-picking skill could still achieve impressive results. Which index he chooses would reflect his belief system and his overall assessment of the stock market. Investment returns could be vastly different.
I put together three hypothetical examples to illustrate the Art of Seeking Beta.
US investor Adam
• Had $10,000 in cash one year ago, and invested in a Nasdaq 100 index fund;
• Today his portfolio would have a market value of $11,574;
• One-year return is +15.74%, excluding transaction fees.
Chinese investor Bill
• Had 67,000 yuan in cash one year ago, and invested in a China SSE index fund;
• Today his portfolio would have a market value of 66,919 yuan;
• One-year return is -0.12%, excluding transaction fees.
Chinese investor Catherine
• Had 67,000 yuan in cash one year ago;
• She converted the fund into USD at an exchange rate of 6.70;
• She immediately invested the $10,000 proceed in a Nasdaq 100 index fund;
• Her portfolio would have a market value of $11,574 now;
• Today, she converts the USD back to yuan at an exchange rate of 7.10;
• Catherine now has 82,175 yuan;
• One-year return in yuan is +22.65%, excluding transaction fees.
For comparison, US hedge funds generated an average weighted return of 4.1% in the fourth quarter of 2022, up from -0.6% in the third quarter and -6.8% in the quarter before, according to Citco's data.
Adam could easily beat an average hedge fund. Catherine could rank among the Top-20 US hedge funds and the Top-5 Chinese hedge funds.
This case illustrates how non-professional investors could achieve impressive results with common sense decision making:
• One year ago, China’s economy was halted to a standstill amid strict Zero-Covid policy. It was not unreasonable for an investor to pick US over Chinese stock markets.
• The Fed started raising rates in March while China central bank cut rates; Interest rate parity dictates that Chinese Yuan would depreciate against the Dollar;
• For a retail investor, you only need to know that converting yuan deposit into dollar deposit would generate more interest income;
• Each Chinese citizen is allowed to exchange for $50,000 a year; A couple with $100,000 could do some serious investing in the US market.
• US stock market indexes seldom go down two years in a row; thus, after the Nasdaq experienced a 30% drawdown, investors could expect a rebound.
Implications in Today’s Market
You may say that looking back is 20/20 vision. But we can’t time travel back to repeat Catherine’s investing. What about looking ahead? Luckily, we are not blind-folded. Here is my observation:
The S&P 500 has risen 12.2% year-to-date. However, this growth is primarily due to the AI-fueled bubble by five mega-stocks: NASDAQ:NVDA (+174%), NASDAQ:AAPL (+47%), NASDAQ:AMZN (+46%), NASDAQ:GOOG (+42%), NASDAQ:MSFT (+39%).
After taking out these top-5 trillion-dollar companies, the remaining “S&P 495” has a meager return of under 3% YTD. The S&P Mid-Cap Index, which is the S&P 500 minus the top-100 stocks, has a year-to-date return of 2.74%.
If a fund manager comes up with a new S&P 495 ETF, I would seriously look into it. Meanwhile, for the art of seeking beta, S&P Midcap is not a bad choice.
Happy Trading.
Disclaimers
*The opinion above is my own. This is not a trading advice.
D-WAVE QUANTUM - QBTSHi Folks,
D-WAVE QUANTUM - QBTS
Let's follow the price movement. This configuration is one of my favorite, but we need to see a strong breakout accompanied with strong volumes.
But the config looks quite strong in this AI-Quantum sector which is the strongest since few weeks.
Keep your stop tight, sit on your gains.
Equal Weighted Nasdaq 100 Prepped to catch up with the Big CapsSo far it has been the big caps like Google, MSFT, AAPL, and NVDA that has carried the NASDAQ 100 up higher, but now we can see that the Equal Weighted NASDAQ 100 is getting ready to break through resistance after making a series of higher lows and it is likely going to target at least an 88.6% Fibonacci retrace. At this time, we may see the NASDAQ 100 itself trading at all-time highs.
IOT repeating a move from VEEV in 2017 Very BullishSince I have been using chatGPT, I have taken a very bullish approach to all things ai. This stock is one of the leading in its sector. While charting it I noticed it had the same Chart Pattern as VEEV in 2017. Which went from 17 - 50 in 8 months. So far this stock has spent 4 months under institutional control since it hit its low and started Accumulation. Its low is around $8.50 and looks like its following this pattern almost perfectly.... there are some efficiency differences but somehow gets all the moves still in there. Ill post the Chart here for you to see.
by iCantw84it
03.30.23
QQQ OUTLOOK 06/05 - 06/09QQQ crushed it again last week, testing a breakout above the channel we drew last week. Investors will look at Apple’s press conference at WWDC 2023 (Monday at 1:00PM EST). It’s safe to say that whichever way Apple moves, NASDAQ:QQQ will follow.
Technical Analysis: Although we got 2 candle bodies to close above the bullish channel, we still have yet to have a full candle body with wicks close above the trend line. I do think we will have some sort of consolidation this week.
Bulls will want to see price action continue above last week’s open at 352.71. Last week’s .618 retrace is around 350, so look to see if dips will be bought at fib retraces. To the upside, we can target the gap fill above from 356.78-359.93.
Bears will have control if we cannot hold a consolidation within last week’s price range. If we lose last week’s low of 346.51, another significant golden pocket retrace can be found around the monthly level at 338.19.
Upside Targets: 354.65 → 356.78 → 358.97 → 359.93 → 362.54 Extended: 364.57
Downside Targets: 352.46 → 350.72 → 349.65 → 348.54 → 346.51
If we lose last week’s low:
Extended: 344.57 → 341.31 → 339.60 → 338.19 → 336.67
Trend-Is-Your-Friend Bitcoin Daily Blue-Print (99.9% Accurate) Blueprint of Bitcoin on Daily.
Markets are going to have their liquidity drained from the markets. I will assume Bitcoin will follow the stock market. For now the trend is down.
Bitcoin got rejection off of the 50 Daily MA a few days ago, and a 13-Count sell signal as well with a 9-Count on the 4Hour that same day. (5/31-6/01)
Bitcoin got broken down from a rising wedge, with negative divergences (declining VOL on rising wedge pattern)
Bitcoin then formed a Head&Shoulders pattern, which we have broken down below the neckline, then making LowerHighs & LowerLows on daily.
I assume we will have a sell off for the next 4 months at least.
Goodluck, happytrading & #NFA
Continue to buy METAContinue to buy META as TikTok is likely to be banned from the Apple store! meaning new apple device will no longer have access to the app, nor will there be any updates.
In Addition, there are rumors, retailers have banned together to bypass Apple's tracking restriction by creating a customer influencer database tracking centered around META technology! this technology no longer relies on cookies but on AI on places you have visited and likely to visit.
Bitcoin Forecast Sunny🌞 (Clear: 100.0 %)🌞 Bitcoin Weather Report 🌞
In the bitcoin world, the weather forecast looks sunny ☀️ with a confidence level of 1.0, surpassing the baseline of 0.864. Let's dive into the analysis of the past hour's Bitcoin chart index:
Open: 27149
High: 27209
Low: 27149
Volume: 5294
Close: 27169
Moving Averages:
- EMA9: 27153
- EMA21: 27122
- EMA50: 27095
- EMA100: 27137
- EMA200: 27141
Technical Indicators:
- RSI: 55
- Fast %K: 60
- Slow %K: 61
- Slow %D: 65
- MACD: 62
Based on these indicators, the overall outlook is positive and sunny. The price has been relatively stable, with the opening and closing values close together. The moving averages, such as EMA9, EMA21, and EMA50, have been gradually rising, indicating a bullish trend.
Furthermore, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 55 suggests that the market is in a healthy state without being overbought or oversold. Both the fast and slow %K and %D indicate positive momentum, with values above 50.
The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) at 62 implies bullish momentum and a potential uptrend.
Considering all these factors, the forecast indicates that the bitcoin market is likely to experience sunny weather with a positive outlook for the near term. ☀️📈 However, it's essential to remember that the cryptocurrency market can be unpredictable, so it's always wise to stay updated and monitor any potential changes.
Happy investing! 🚀💰
Adobe key positioning for the future of A.I made graphics.TA: Looking at interest levels and daily RSI, taking a long here is sub-optimal and has risk of drawdown. However, fundamentals back upwards momentum. Buy and Hold strategy here might be wise. Pivot line may yield a double top (A.I boom -> Burst) or could initiate further upwards momentum to new ATH's in which case TP2 and TP3 are the interest levels.
Fundamentals:
Adobe is a global leader in software, known for its Creative Cloud suite, which includes industry-standard applications like Photoshop, Illustrator, and Premiere Pro. The company has made significant strides in integrating advanced AI technologies into its products and services, which has contributed to its impressive financial performance.
A significant recent innovation is the integration of Generative AI and Adobe Firefly into Photoshop, marking a new chapter in Adobe's history. This innovation allows creators to use their natural language to prompt Photoshop to create extraordinary images with Generative Fill, a feature powered by Adobe's Firefly, a family of creative generative AI models2.
Adobe is also committed to ensuring its AI technology is developed ethically, focusing on accountability, responsibility, and transparency. They are developing a compensation model for Adobe Stock contributors and are taking steps to prevent artists’ names from being used in Adobe’s generative AI actions2.
In terms of their competitive advantage, Adobe's significant graphics dataset is instrumental. Adobe Stock, for instance, has a landmark dataset containing more than two million assets. Adobe has leveraged this immense dataset to train its AI technology, Adobe Sensei, to effectively detect landmarks in images submitted to Adobe Stock. This capability has been crucial for identifying and categorizing images and addressing any potential intellectual property issues with them3.
The integration of AI in Adobe Photoshop is demonstrated by the Generative Fill feature, which is powered by Adobe Firefly. Firefly is a family of creative generative AI models that are infused into every selection feature in Photoshop, and allows users to add content, remove or replace parts of an image and extend the edges of an image using natural language prompts. Adobe Firefly, which launched six weeks prior to the announcement I found, had quickly become one of the most successful beta launches in Adobe's history, with beta users generating over 100 million assets to date1.
For Adobe Stock, the company uses Adobe Sensei, their artificial intelligence and machine learning technology, to detect landmarks in the hundreds of thousands of images submitted by Stock contributors every week. This helps in categorizing images and identifying any potential intellectual property issues. Adobe's landmark dataset contains more than two million assets and the process of training the model to detect landmarks initially took around 7-8 days on a single-GPU machine. By switching to a multi-GPU machine and employing parallel computing, they managed to reduce the training time by 80%, bringing it down to 1-2 days without any impact on model accuracy2.
Adobe has further enhanced the value of its graphics dataset by adopting advanced machine learning techniques. To improve the efficiency of their AI training processes, they've transitioned from a single-GPU machine to a parallel computing approach with multi-GPU machines, resulting in a dramatic 80% reduction in training time without sacrificing model accuracy3.
Adobe's significant graphics dataset and its innovative application of AI technologies, as demonstrated in the integration of Generative AI and Adobe Firefly into Photoshop, contribute to its competitive advantage in the industry.
Please note that this is a preliminary research paper and you should continue to do your own research (DYOR). Information about assets can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay updated with the most recent developments.
Notes on how I personally use my charts/NFA:
Each level L1-L3 and TP1-TP3 (Or S1-S3) has a deployment percentage. The idea is to flag these levels so I can buy 11% at L1 , 28% at L2 and if L3 deploy 61% of assigned dry powder. The same in reverse goes for TP. TP1: 61%, TP2:28% and TP3:11%. If chart pivots between TP's, in-between or in Between Sell levels these percentages are still respected. I like to use the trading range to accumulate by using this tactic.
Just my personal way of using this. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice.
FED Macro Situation Consideration:
All TP's are drawn within the context of a return to FED neutral policy. I do not expect these levels to be reached before tightening is over.
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE
I am not a financial advisor.
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Nvidia -> The Final ConsolidationHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that over the past 150 days Nvidia stock is actually up about 200% and is therefore definitely ready for a short term correction.
You can also see that we do have the next previous resistance zone which is now turned support exactly at the $325 area so I am now just waiting for Nvidia to actually retest this zone and then I do expect more continuation towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe you can see that Nvidia stock is currently stuck in between support and resistance - nothing too interesting for now, I am just waiting for a break below the previous support area at $375 and then I do expect Nvidia to fill the gap and retrace back to the $325 level.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
CRWD: Bullish setup points towards $240-270CRWD sits at the convergence of two mega trends: Cyber security and AI. Strong impulsive move off the low combined with a 3 wave pull back and subsequent break of the W1 high implies a low-risk entry point ahead of earnings. Ultimately expect CRWD to reach quadruple digits over the next few years.
Best AI stock for 2023 🤖 Recently, everyone is talking about AI.
So which companies to buy and is it worth it now?
At the moment, leader among commercial implementation of artificial intelligence is a non-public company OpenAi.
Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) has made a big contribution to development of OpenAi - therefore its a direct beneficiary of spread of GPT chat.
📱 The rest of Big Tech shares: NVDIA, Tesla, Meta - also have a direct participation in development and popularization of AI.
That is, now AI is about the growth of Big Tech shares, which have already grown by + 50+70% since the beginning of this year!
It's a lot.
For example, Apple is generally ~4-5% of its historical maximum 😱
In context of incoming data, we see that conditions in world's economies are destroying, which means that IT sector will not be able to pull market for a long time and will go into correction. Sp500 will also go down accordingly.
And this means that the hype around AI will soon cool down ♨️
But, we would like to highlight one company that will be interesting in the medium term.
She is engaged in development and training of AI.
➖ Of the minuses, the company has no profit.
Strongly overbought by P/S ~12 (up 200% YtD).
➕ The company has no debt.
There is a very promising direction.
There is a revenue of $266 million.
Huge stock volumes starting in 2023 📊
The next report will be June 1st.
If the company makes a profit, there is a chance to grow by +50%, but then the stock will fall.
❇️ Ticker: NYSE:AI
✳️ Buy limit orders: $25, $20, $17
📈 Growth potential: up to 200% by the end of the year.
📉 Downside potential: up minus 50% by the end of summer.
Write in the comments on what other assets you want to get an analysis 🔎
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