AI
Buy the Dip: TEM is a Resilient AI Healthcare Pick for 2025Tempus AI NASDAQ:TEM is presenting a compelling investment opportunity as we move into 2025. This health tech company, focused on leveraging AI for precision medicine, has weathered a recent downturn and is showing strong signs of recovery. After a 4 week correction that presented a chance to buy at a discount, TEM has finally shown the ability to rally.
This recovery makes it a particularly interesting prospect for several reasons:
1. AI's Continued Rise: The field of artificial intelligence is advancing at breakneck speed, and Tempus is at the forefront of applying these advancements to healthcare. Their work in areas like genomic sequencing and data analysis for personalized treatment plans positions them exceptionally well to capitalize on this megatrend.
2. Weathering the Political Storm: Tempus's core business is less vulnerable to possible tariffs that may be introduced by incoming President Trump. Healthcare, particularly innovative approaches to disease treatment, remains a critical sector regardless of the political landscape. Furthermore, Tempus' customers being mostly internal U.S. customers provides further resilience in the face of possible tariffs.
3. Technical Rebound: As the attached chart illustrates, TEM is in the midst of a technical bounce back. The recent price action suggests that the sell-off may be overdone, and the stock is finding support at current levels. The upward sloping support and resistance lines indicate a potential 40-80% gain if TEM can continue to show resilience in the face of selling pressure. The stock currently trades below it's 20 day EMA, but the recent rally shows that it could potentially find support along this average before continuing to trend upwards.
In Conclusion:
Tempus AI offers a unique combination of growth potential in a rapidly expanding sector, resilience to potential political headwinds, and a technically attractive entry point. While all investments carry risk, TEM's current profile suggests it's a stock worth serious consideration for gaining exposure to the intersection of AI and healthcare in 2025, especially at these highly discounted prices.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Remember,
Patience is Paramount.
META’S Q4 2024—$META RIDES AI AND ADS TO VICTORYMETA’S Q4 2024— NASDAQ:META RIDES AI AND ADS TO VICTORY
(1/9)
Good evening, Tradingview! Meta’s Q4 2024 earnings landed—$48.4B revenue, up 21% YoY, topping estimates 📈🔥. A 16.5% stock rally seals the deal. Let’s unravel NASDAQ:META ’s big win! 🚀
(2/9) – AD & AI POWER
• Q4 Revenue: $48.4B, 21% jump from last year 💥
• Profits: Nearly $21B—up 49%—efficiency shines 📊
• Ad Surge: Biggest driver, fueling the cash flow
AI’s humming, ads are king—Meta’s on fire!
(3/9) – KEY WINS
• AI Spend: $60B+ lined up for ‘25 🌍
• Users: 3.35B daily logins—record crowd 🚗
• Meta AI: 700M monthly fans—AI’s buzzing 🌟
Stock’s tearing up the charts—hot streak alert!
(4/9) – SECTOR SMACKDOWN
• Forward P/E: ~28x, leaner than Amazon’s 33x
• Ad Game: 21% growth beats Google’s 12% 📈
• User Pull: Social king—rivals can’t touch it
NASDAQ:META ’s a growth beast—hidden value or hype? 🌍
(5/9) – RISKS ON THE HORIZON
• Regs: EU and U.S. eyeing fines—trouble brews? 🏛️
• AI Bet: $60B spend—payoff’s a question ⚠️
• Saturation: 3.35B users tough to top 📉
High stakes in this tech showdown!
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Ad Muscle: $46.8B in Q4—ad king rules 🌟
• AI Edge: 700M Meta AI users—future’s here 🔍
• Cash Pile: $52B free flow in ‘24 🚦
NASDAQ:META ’s flexing serious firepower!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Metaverse burns SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B , AI costs stack 💸
• Opportunities: Threads hits 100M+, AI ads shine 🌍
Can NASDAQ:META spin risks into wins?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:META ’s Q4 rocks—what’s the vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI and ads keep it roaring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth’s cool, risks hover.
3️⃣ Bearish—Big spends clip its wings.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Meta’s Q4 dazzles—$48.4B revenue, $21B profit, AI soaring 🌍🪙. 28x P/E vs. peers, but growth’s electric. Regs and AI costs loom—gem or gamble?
APPLOVIN’S Q4 2024—$APP BLASTS OFF WITH AI-AD SURGEAPPLOVIN’S Q4 2024— NASDAQ:APP BLASTS OFF WITH AI-AD SURGE
(1/9)
Good evening, Tradingview! AppLovin’s Q4 2024 earnings hit—$1.37B revenue, up 44% YoY, crushing $1.26B estimates 📈🔥. AI-powered AXON drives a 37% stock pop. Let’s unpack NASDAQ:APP ’s monster quarter! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS
• Q4 Revenue: $1.37B, +44% YoY ($953.3M Q4 ‘23) 💥
• Ad Revenue: $999.5M, +73% YoY
• Apps Revenue: $373.3M, -1% YoY 📊
• EPS: $1.73, beats $1.24 est.
• Net Income: $599.2M, +248% YoY
(3/9) – BIG MOVES
• Stock Surge: +37% post-earnings (Feb 13) 🌍
• Buybacks: $2.1B retired 25.7M shares in ‘24 🚗
• Debt Play: $3.55B notes issued Nov ‘24 💸
• Q1 ‘25 Guide: $1.355-1.385B, tops $1.32B est.
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• Market Cap: $175B (Feb 13) 🌟
• Trailing P/E: 116 vs. TTD (50), META (33)
• Growth: 44% YoY beats TTD (26%), META (19%)
• 1Y Stock: +1,000%, 2Y: +3,000%
Premium price, growth screams value!
(5/9) – RISKS TO FLAG
• Valuation: 116 P/E—high stakes, no misses 📉
• Debt: $3.51B vs. $567.6M cash—leverage looms ⚠️
• AI Rivals: Google, Meta eye AXON’s turf 🏛️
• Regs & Economy: Ad spend cuts lurk
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• Growth: 44% revenue, $599M profit soars 🌟
• Margins: 62% EBITDA, $2.1B FCF in ‘24 🔍
• AXON: 73% ad surge—AI’s the champ 🚦
NASDAQ:APP ’s a profit powerhouse!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Apps dip (-1%), $3.51B debt 💸
• Opportunities: E-commerce ads, AI edge, acquisitions 🌍
Can NASDAQ:APP turn risks into riches?
(8/9) – NASDAQ:APP ’s Q4 stuns—where’s it headed?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI keeps it soaring.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth holds, risks balance.
3️⃣ Bearish—Valuation bites back.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
AppLovin’s Q4 dazzles—$1.37B revenue, $599M profit, stock blazing 🌍🪙. High P/E, but AI growth shines. Debt and rivals loom—gem or peak?
Is there a single soul out there who haven't profited on this?100 Million shares volume
Continuous buying on every dip
Multiple Buy Alerts sent out with explanation on why to buy and hold and which price to aim for into end of day
Is there a single soul out there on this planet who haven't made a profit on NASDAQ:JTAI today?
If you're the one you need help with trading! This one was way too easy, DM me asap to help you!
Nasdaq and Next Major SupportThe Nasdaq Composite is about to break above what will be it's next major support. When this happens stocks usually fly quite high. Please remember that it will likely want to hit back into this support at some point. So when you get big gains after this happens, do not enter new positions, just ride them. You also might want to trim some off and wait for the pullback into support before adding new positions.
As always, good luck!
AMD Longterm Idea...So it's been in the falling wedge on the weekly, If you go back in the chart every time a wedge breakouts and goes on its next run. we have multiple confluences of support giving AMD A fuel tank full of gas ready to ignite. watch this breakout on the weekly and retest resistance as support to see the next run.
BAIDU’S Q4 2024 Earnings drop today Review Q3BAIDU’S Q3 2024 PERFORMANCE—AI GROWTH VS. AD WOES
(1/9)
Good morning, Tradingview Fam! Baidu’s latest financials are 📈🔍. Q3 2024 revenue hit ¥33.6B ($4.7B USD), but the story’s in the details: AI’s soaring, ads are slipping. Let’s dive into BIDU’s numbers and outlook! 🚀
(2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Total Revenue: ¥33.6B ($4.7B USD)
• Baidu Core: ¥26.5B ($3.7B USD), +4% YoY 💥
• Cloud Revenue: Strong growth (exact figures vary) ☁️
• Q3 EPS: ¥19.2 ($2.67 USD), missed ¥19.62 est.
• Non-GAAP Net Income: ¥7.6B (~$1.06B USD)
Next up: Feb 18 earnings, est. $1.78 EPS, $4.56B revenue (-7.4% YoY).
(3/9) – BIG MOVES IN AI & AUTONOMOUS TECH
• Baidu World 2024: Unveiled iRAG & Miaoda AI tools 🤖
• ERNIE API: 1.5B daily calls, up 30x YoY 📈
• Lidar Deal: $200-300M with Hesai for Yichi 06 robotaxis 🚗
AI and autonomy are stealing the show—growth engines revving up!
(4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN
• Market Cap: $31.36B (Feb 2025) 🌍
• Trailing P/E: 10.56x, Forward P/E: 10.5x—cheap vs. Alphabet or Tencent 📊
• Lags GOOG in search/ad scale but leads Chinese peers (JD, PDD) in AI diversification
At 3x EV/EBITDA, is BIDU undervalued? X posts think so!
(5/9) – RISKS ON THE RADAR
• Ad revenue: Squeezed by Tencent, ByteDance competition 📉
• AI costs: Big R&D spend, profits TBD 🤔
• China regs: Unpredictable hurdles loom 🏛️
• Economy: Slowdown could hit ad & cloud growth
• U.S.-China tension: Weighs on sentiment ⚠️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS
• King of China’s search market, mobile ecosystem thriving 🔍
• ERNIE Bot: 430M users, 770k enterprise apps 🌟
• Apollo Go: Leading autonomous driving, $162.6B robotaxi market by 2025 🚦
Baidu’s got serious firepower!
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES
• Weaknesses: Ad margins shrinking, AI not yet cashing in 💸
• Opportunities: AI cloud expansion, robotaxi scale-up, China stimulus upside 🌍
Can Baidu turn its tech bets into gold? Time will tell!
(8/9) – What’s BIDU’s 2025 vibe?
1️⃣ Bullish—AI and autonomy will drive a breakout.
2️⃣ Neutral—Growth potential, but risks balance it out.
3️⃣ Bearish—Ads and regs will drag it down.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
Baidu’s Q3 shows a tale of two trends: AI and autonomy surging, ads under pressure 🌍. With a low valuation and big tech bets, BIDU’s at a crossroads. Will innovation outpace the risks? Earnings drop today—stay tuned for the next chapter! 💪
CHINA’S TECH SURGE—AI HYPE, HOT MONEY, AND LINGERING DOUBTSCHINA’S TECH SURGE—AI HYPE, HOT MONEY, AND LINGERING DOUBTS
(1/9)
Big News: China’s tech sector is on fire 🔥📈 in 2025, driven by AI breakthroughs and a softer regulatory vibe from Beijing. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index is up 13% YTD, outpacing the S&P 500 (+4%). Is this a tech golden age or a speculative bubble? Let’s break it down! 🚀
(2/9) – STOCKS IN FOCUS
• Alibaba: +50% (Hong Kong) 💥
• Xiaomi: +35% 📱
• Baidu: +30% 🔍
• BYD: +25% 🚗
The Hang Seng Tech Index has soared 30% since mid-January, hitting a 3-year high 🎉. Trading volumes are through the roof!
(3/9) – WHY THE SURGE?
• DeepSeek’s cost-effective AI model sparks global buzz 🤖
• Alibaba’s AI partnership with Apple + Jack Ma’s reappearance with Xi Jinping 🇨🇳
• Beijing hints at easing its tech crackdown, boosting investor confidence 💸
(4/9) – ‘HOT MONEY’ DRIVING THE RALLY
• Speculative capital—“hot money”—from hedge funds and retail traders fuels the boom 💨
• Trading volumes spike, but big institutional investors (pension funds, etc.) stay cautious 🧐
• Analysts warn: Momentum, not fundamentals, is driving this rally 📉
(5/9) – AI BREAKTHROUGHS: REAL OR HYPE?
• DeepSeek’s AI model hailed as a game-changer, but details are thin 🤔
• Social media buzz calls it a “bull market” for Chinese tech 🐂
• Critics say it’s more sentiment than substance—China’s history of overpromising looms large ⚠️
(6/9) – REGULATORY REPRIEVE OR TEMPORARY TRUCE?
• Xi Jinping meets tech leaders, signaling a thaw after years of crackdowns 🏛️
• Investors scour photos for clues—Alibaba and Tencent back in favor? 📸
• Skeptics question if it’s a genuine shift or a short-term tactic to prop up the economy 😬
(7/9) – RISKS VS. REWARDS
• Risks: Geopolitical tensions, trade tariffs, and competition from Western tech (e.g., Nvidia’s $589B drop) 🌍
• Rewards: If AI delivers and Beijing stays supportive, Chinese tech could dominate globally 🌟
• The rally’s fate hinges on sustainability—will the gains stick? 🤝
(8/9) – Will China’s tech surge last?
1️⃣ Yes—AI and policy shifts will fuel a new golden age.
2️⃣ Maybe—Short-term gains, but long-term doubts remain.
3️⃣ No—Speculative bubble will burst soon.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
China’s tech rally is a wild ride 🌍—AI hype, “hot money,” and a regulatory truce are driving stocks sky-high. But with big investors on the sidelines and risks aplenty, it’s a fragile boom. Will Beijing and AI deliver, or is this another fleeting frenzy? Stay tuned! 💪
$AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI POTENTIAL
(1/7)
Q4 2024 Revenue landed between $7.65B–$7.7B, beating estimates (~$7.53B). That’s a year-over-year jump fueled by Data Center sales skyrocketing +69% to $3.9B—now over half of AMD’s total revenue! Let’s dive in. 🚀
(2/7) – EARNINGS BEAT
• Q4 2024 EPS: ~$1.09 (a hair above consensus $1.08–$1.09)
• Operating cash flow up +240% YoY—huge liquidity boost 💰
• Despite the beats, stock dipped -2% post-earnings—profit-taking or a sign of sky-high expectations? 🤔
(3/7) – GUIDANCE & MOMENTUM
• Q1 2025 sales guidance: $7.1B (~above $7.0B estimates)
• Indicates continued growth, with AMD’s pivot to AI & data center paying off 💡
• Investors weigh: Are expectations now too lofty?
(4/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• AMD’s data center surge outpaces Intel in growth & profitability
• Trails NVIDIA in AI infrastructure domination, but could be undervalued if the market’s underestimating AMD’s AI diversification potential ⚙️
• Future gains might hinge on capturing more hyperscaler demand 🔗
(5/7) – RISK FACTORS
• NVIDIA: Still the top AI chip supplier—AMD must fight for share
• Semiconductors are cyclical: macro downturn = potential demand drop 📉
• TSMC reliance → supply chain or geopolitical hiccups
• The -2% stock drop post-earnings suggests the bar is set high
(6/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Data Center revenue up 69% → half of total rev 🌐
Diversified portfolio, not just PC chips
Strong cash flow fueling R&D
Weaknesses:
Lags NVIDIA in AI adoption
Post-earnings stock dip hints at market skepticism
Opportunities:
AI expansions beyond GPU domination
Partnerships / acquisitions → deeper AI capabilities 🤖
Emerging markets (auto, IoT, etc.) for chip technology
Threats:
Fierce competition (NVIDIA, Intel)
Economic slowdowns
Regulatory or supply chain bumps ⚠️
(7/7) – Is AMD a prime AI contender or overshadowed by NVIDIA?
1️⃣ Bullish—Data center momentum will fuel AI growth 🚀
2️⃣ Neutral—Solid performance, but needs bigger AI share 🤔
3️⃣ Bearish—NVIDIA leads, AMD can’t catch up 🐻
Vote below! 🗳️👇
INTEL ($INTC) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?INTEL ( NASDAQ:INTC ) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?
(1/9)
Q4 2024 revenue beat forecasts at $14.3B (vs. $13.8B est.), up 7% from Q3 but still -7% YoY—highlighting Intel’s ups and downs. Looking ahead? Q1 2025 guidance points to $11.7-$12.7B in revenue and break-even EPS, hinting continued headwinds. Let’s dive in! 🔎
(2/9) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT
• Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.13 (beat by $0.01), down sharply from $0.54 a year ago
• GAAP earnings hurt by $15.9B in impairment + $2.8B restructuring charges
• Gross margin set to drop from 42.1% to 36% next quarter—Ouch!
(3/9) – SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL EVENTS
• Exploring AI chip partnership w/ TSMC: Could bolster Intel’s AI presence
• Targeting SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:10B in cost cuts by 2025, citing big strides in Q3 2024
• Foundry services sees $4.5B revenue in Q4, improved operating loss due to EUV wafer mix—positive sign ⚙️
(4/9) – CONTEXT & CHALLENGES
• 2024 free cash flow: - $15.1B (vs. +$21.4B in 2020)—hurts liquidity 💸
• Declining YoY revenue + margin pressure reflect stiff competition & big CapEx
• Intel pivoting to AI & foundry services, but near-term growth remains sluggish
(5/9) – SECTOR COMPARISON
• Forward P/E ~16, trailing P/E ~72.50 = low profitability vs. AMD/NVIDIA’s sky-high multiples
• P/B ~1.06, P/S ~1.5-2 → Intel looks “cheap” compared to peers (e.g., NVIDIA P/S ~20+!)
• Stock’s -51.67% over the last year, underperforming the semiconductor sector (+96.5%) 😬
(6/9) – UNDERVALUATION OR VALUE TRAP?
• Analysts’ intrinsic value: ~$19.37-$31.27 vs. current ~$20.97 → near fair value or slightly undervalued 🤔
• But big risks: negative cash flow, competitive drubbing from AMD/NVIDIA, repeated delays…
• The market’s discount might be warranted given Intel’s execution hurdles
(7/9) – KEY RISKS
• Competitive Pressures: AMD & NVIDIA dominating AI/data center 💻
• Execution Delays: Roadmap slips for Panther Lake (2H 2025) & Clearwater Forest (2026)
• Financial Strain: High CapEx, negative FCF, suspended dividend in 2024 🚧
• Macro & Geopolitics: Trade tensions (esp. in China) + economic headwinds
(8/9) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS
Strengths:
Established brand, PC/server CPU leader
Foundry expansion, AI PC push
Cost cuts boosting operational efficiency
Weaknesses:
Market share losses, negative FCF
Delays in product launches, high CapEx
Complex design + manufacturing model
Opportunities:
AI & foundry growth via TSMC tie-ups
Government support (CHIPS Act)
Undervaluation if turnaround succeeds
Threats:
Fierce competition ( NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:NVDA )
Regulatory & trade risks (China)
Rapid AI market evolution leaving Intel behind
(9/9) Is Intel the next big turnaround story or a sinking ship?
1️⃣ Massive comeback—AI + foundry = unstoppable!
2️⃣ Meh—They’ll recover somewhat, but not lead the pack
3️⃣ Doom—Delays, negative FCF, stiff competition… pass
Vote below! 🗳️👇
AppLovin (APP) AnalysisCompany Overview:
AppLovin NASDAQ:APP is a mobile marketing leader, providing developers with tools for user acquisition, ad optimization, and analytics. The company also benefits from its owned apps, such as Monopoly GO!, which contribute 30% of its revenue.
Key Catalysts:
AI-Driven Revenue Expansion 🤖
AI plays a pivotal role in AppLovin’s success, driving 80% of its revenue growth. This AI advantage helps optimize user engagement and ad targeting, boosting overall platform efficiency.
Mobile Gaming Growth 🎮
The mobile gaming industry is projected to grow at an 8% annual rate through 2027, positioning AppLovin to benefit as a key player in game monetization and marketing solutions.
E-Commerce Ad Expansion 🛒
AppLovin’s new e-commerce ad pilot could generate FWB:30M -$50M in Q4 2024, with a self-service platform launch in mid-2025 targeting the $200B+ global e-commerce ad market.
Analyst Confidence 📊
Oppenheimer has reiterated its Outperform rating, with a $480 price target, citing AppLovin’s earnings potential, robust ad revenue streams, and growing monetization avenues.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on APP above the $380.00-$400.00 range, supported by AI adoption, ad growth, and entry into e-commerce advertising.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $650.00-$670.00, reflecting AppLovin’s potential to expand its revenue base across multiple high-growth sectors.
📢 AppLovin—Driving Innovation in Mobile Advertising and Game Monetization. #AppMarketing #AI #MobileGaming
OTTO. AI agent.Soon (early Q1), wen Hybrid going live on Mainnet - BIST:OTTO will have several use cases, which in turn will have bullish factors for price increases. It is necessary to break resistance for the price returns to the trading levels of a week ago. Minimum growth will be about 50%
China stocks ready to go? #DeepSeek another reason..This is a chart of the benchmark index for Hong Kong - HK50
It's up on Monday, while Nvidia is down 10+%
If funds are flowing out of Nvidia - China (home of DeepSeek) could be one place they end up.
The Hang Seng is a perfect example of how long a trend can take to reverse.
How many times would traders have tried to go long this index only to see it slump right back towards the bottom?
Now while this trend reversal might be delayed further - and might fail altogether - we think there is enough evidence to suggest a reversal is happening.
The price is above a rising weekly 30 week SMA
A long term trendline has broken
Crucially - the price made a double bottom pattern around 15,000
DAILY CHART
On the daily chart we see the strong surge in buying interest from September has given way to a long multi-month correction.
We are looking for a breakout above the down trendline to demonstrate the correction has finished and a new up-leg is beginning.
The final confirmation would come from a break of resistance (not drawn) from the November and December highs at 21,350.
Should the price turn lower and make a new fractal low under 19,650 then we’ll have to wait a bit longer for the Hang Seng trend reversal.
But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Time to buy Solanahello friends
Well, I must say that it is very difficult to predict the route, but we can buy step by step.
Here, the price has fallen, and now it is on an important support. If the support is broken, we can buy lower support with capital management and move forward with it.
*Trade safely with us*
$Meta and U.S equity Bull Run Almost Finished? Was just having a little fun before bed and brainstorming on the NASDAQ:META chart. Our darling as of late. I love trying to find similarities and patterns between macro swings and cycles. Human psychology and business cycles have a way of repeating themselves pretty often. As they say, history doesn't repeat, but it rhymes.
This recent melt up reminds a lot of the price action NASDAQ:META saw in 2021-2022. RSI overbought both times, currently approaching the 2.618 fib when connecting them to major high and low points. Decreasing volume on the moves up.
There's a lot of other data to support a bear market may be on the horizon:
Weak housing data/stocks (I do see some outlier stocks in the housing sector).
The yield curve un-inversion which typically precedes major bear markets 6-12 months after un-inversion.
The dollar seems to want to keep going higher. However it has shown a lot of weakness here lately which could help fuel the rest of the bull market.
The unwinding of the Japanese Yen carry trade has seemed to play a big factor in U.S equities as of late. Every time the BOJ hikes interest rates, a lot of U.S. equities see pretty sizable bearish volatility shortly after.
Being the darling that NASDAQ:META has become, once this trend line breaks it will be a signal that everyone should be taking note of in my opinion. I think the risk of a bear market increases dramatically. Maybe we get a shallow or 2022 style bear market next year and continue to make one last lag into new highs in 2027.
Here are some ideas that could support that theory:
China seems to be coming out of a depression-style bear market and is beginning to inject liquidity into their economy. This could help give U.S. equities a little more juice to run higher for longer
chips could make a major comeback and fuel SPY/QQQ higher for longer.
Names like Google, Tesla and Amazon can continue to show strength and we could see a rotation into them.
Maybe we get some more significant quantum breakthroughs with the help of AI.
These are things to keep in mind, but I think the probabilities of this this bull market we've enjoyed since 2008 is A LOT closer to the end than the beginning.
I base most of my sentiment off the 18.6 year real estate/land cycle theory that I have been following since 2022. I also give a lot of credibility to U.S. yield curve un-inversions sending shockwaves through the global economic system.
What do you guys and gals think?
Confessions from the Desk: Nvidia is Up, I Am NotIt’s Friday, the sun is shining, and Nvidia is up. Unfortunately, I am not.
Nvidia sits smugly at $137.19, while my $140 call is officially DOA—dead on arrival, with no chance of resuscitation. I’d like to say I’m surprised, but at this point, it feels like the market is just personally messing with me.
To add insult to injury, my carefully curated basket of stocks has been bouncing around like a drunk day trader on margin. One minute, I think I’m up; the next, I’m refreshing my portfolio like a gambler waiting for a miracle. Spoiler alert: the miracle never comes.
Meanwhile, Nvidia has been making big boy moves—cutting its stake in Arm Holdings, taking a bite out of China’s WeRide, and ghosting Serve Robotics and SoundHound AI like a bad Tinder date. The result? Stocks are moving, headlines are flashing, and somewhere in a penthouse office, a hedge fund manager is smirking at my pain.
Let’s break it down:
Nvidia dumps 44% of Arm Holdings – Apparently, even they have commitment issues.
Exited Serve Robotics & SoundHound AI – Serve was rolling along nicely until, well... it wasn’t. SoundHound AI got the boot, too, and its shares fell 25%. Ouch.
Pumped 1.7 million shares into WeRide – WeRide stock shot up 76%. That’s cool, but guess who doesn’t own WeRide? This guy.
Also bet on AI cloud firm Nebius – Stock rose 8%. Lovely. Again, not in my portfolio.
Now, as Nvidia makes its AI master moves, I sit here staring at my screen, watching Serve Robotics—one of my few February winners—go completely sideways. That’s right, folks. Nvidia’s got a plan, but my portfolio? It’s just vibing.
But hey, it’s Friday, the sun is out, and at least I don’t own SoundHound AI. Small wins, right?
Happy Friday