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BAIDU’S Q4 2024 Earnings drop today Review Q3BAIDU’S Q3 2024 PERFORMANCE—AI GROWTH VS. AD WOES (1/9) Good morning, Tradingview Fam! Baidu’s latest financials are 📈🔍. Q3 2024 revenue hit ¥33.6B ($4.7B USD), but the story’s in the details: AI’s soaring, ads are slipping. Let’s dive into BIDU’s numbers and outlook! 🚀 (2/9) – REVENUE & EARNINGS SNAPSHOT • Total Revenue: ¥33.6B ($4.7B USD) • Baidu Core: ¥26.5B ($3.7B USD), +4% YoY 💥 • Cloud Revenue: Strong growth (exact figures vary) ☁️ • Q3 EPS: ¥19.2 ($2.67 USD), missed ¥19.62 est. • Non-GAAP Net Income: ¥7.6B (~$1.06B USD) Next up: Feb 18 earnings, est. $1.78 EPS, $4.56B revenue (-7.4% YoY). (3/9) – BIG MOVES IN AI & AUTONOMOUS TECH • Baidu World 2024: Unveiled iRAG & Miaoda AI tools 🤖 • ERNIE API: 1.5B daily calls, up 30x YoY 📈 • Lidar Deal: $200-300M with Hesai for Yichi 06 robotaxis 🚗 AI and autonomy are stealing the show—growth engines revving up! (4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN • Market Cap: $31.36B (Feb 2025) 🌍 • Trailing P/E: 10.56x, Forward P/E: 10.5x—cheap vs. Alphabet or Tencent 📊 • Lags GOOG in search/ad scale but leads Chinese peers (JD, PDD) in AI diversification At 3x EV/EBITDA, is BIDU undervalued? X posts think so! (5/9) – RISKS ON THE RADAR • Ad revenue: Squeezed by Tencent, ByteDance competition 📉 • AI costs: Big R&D spend, profits TBD 🤔 • China regs: Unpredictable hurdles loom 🏛️ • Economy: Slowdown could hit ad & cloud growth • U.S.-China tension: Weighs on sentiment ⚠️ (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • King of China’s search market, mobile ecosystem thriving 🔍 • ERNIE Bot: 430M users, 770k enterprise apps 🌟 • Apollo Go: Leading autonomous driving, $162.6B robotaxi market by 2025 🚦 Baidu’s got serious firepower! (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: Ad margins shrinking, AI not yet cashing in 💸 • Opportunities: AI cloud expansion, robotaxi scale-up, China stimulus upside 🌍 Can Baidu turn its tech bets into gold? Time will tell! (8/9) – What’s BIDU’s 2025 vibe? 1️⃣ Bullish—AI and autonomy will drive a breakout. 2️⃣ Neutral—Growth potential, but risks balance it out. 3️⃣ Bearish—Ads and regs will drag it down. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY Baidu’s Q3 shows a tale of two trends: AI and autonomy surging, ads under pressure 🌍. With a low valuation and big tech bets, BIDU’s at a crossroads. Will innovation outpace the risks? Earnings drop today—stay tuned for the next chapter! 💪
NASDAQ:BIDULong
by DCAChampion
2
CHINA’S TECH SURGE—AI HYPE, HOT MONEY, AND LINGERING DOUBTSCHINA’S TECH SURGE—AI HYPE, HOT MONEY, AND LINGERING DOUBTS (1/9) Big News: China’s tech sector is on fire 🔥📈 in 2025, driven by AI breakthroughs and a softer regulatory vibe from Beijing. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index is up 13% YTD, outpacing the S&P 500 (+4%). Is this a tech golden age or a speculative bubble? Let’s break it down! 🚀 (2/9) – STOCKS IN FOCUS • Alibaba: +50% (Hong Kong) 💥 • Xiaomi: +35% 📱 • Baidu: +30% 🔍 • BYD: +25% 🚗 The Hang Seng Tech Index has soared 30% since mid-January, hitting a 3-year high 🎉. Trading volumes are through the roof! (3/9) – WHY THE SURGE? • DeepSeek’s cost-effective AI model sparks global buzz 🤖 • Alibaba’s AI partnership with Apple + Jack Ma’s reappearance with Xi Jinping 🇨🇳 • Beijing hints at easing its tech crackdown, boosting investor confidence 💸 (4/9) – ‘HOT MONEY’ DRIVING THE RALLY • Speculative capital—“hot money”—from hedge funds and retail traders fuels the boom 💨 • Trading volumes spike, but big institutional investors (pension funds, etc.) stay cautious 🧐 • Analysts warn: Momentum, not fundamentals, is driving this rally 📉 (5/9) – AI BREAKTHROUGHS: REAL OR HYPE? • DeepSeek’s AI model hailed as a game-changer, but details are thin 🤔 • Social media buzz calls it a “bull market” for Chinese tech 🐂 • Critics say it’s more sentiment than substance—China’s history of overpromising looms large ⚠️ (6/9) – REGULATORY REPRIEVE OR TEMPORARY TRUCE? • Xi Jinping meets tech leaders, signaling a thaw after years of crackdowns 🏛️ • Investors scour photos for clues—Alibaba and Tencent back in favor? 📸 • Skeptics question if it’s a genuine shift or a short-term tactic to prop up the economy 😬 (7/9) – RISKS VS. REWARDS • Risks: Geopolitical tensions, trade tariffs, and competition from Western tech (e.g., Nvidia’s $589B drop) 🌍 • Rewards: If AI delivers and Beijing stays supportive, Chinese tech could dominate globally 🌟 • The rally’s fate hinges on sustainability—will the gains stick? 🤝 (8/9) – Will China’s tech surge last? 1️⃣ Yes—AI and policy shifts will fuel a new golden age. 2️⃣ Maybe—Short-term gains, but long-term doubts remain. 3️⃣ No—Speculative bubble will burst soon. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY China’s tech rally is a wild ride 🌍—AI hype, “hot money,” and a regulatory truce are driving stocks sky-high. But with big investors on the sidelines and risks aplenty, it’s a fragile boom. Will Beijing and AI deliver, or is this another fleeting frenzy? Stay tuned! 💪
TVC:HSILong
by DCAChampion
$AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI AMD (ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES) – DATA CENTER DOMINANCE & AI POTENTIAL (1/7) Q4 2024 Revenue landed between $7.65B–$7.7B, beating estimates (~$7.53B). That’s a year-over-year jump fueled by Data Center sales skyrocketing +69% to $3.9B—now over half of AMD’s total revenue! Let’s dive in. 🚀 (2/7) – EARNINGS BEAT • Q4 2024 EPS: ~$1.09 (a hair above consensus $1.08–$1.09) • Operating cash flow up +240% YoY—huge liquidity boost 💰 • Despite the beats, stock dipped -2% post-earnings—profit-taking or a sign of sky-high expectations? 🤔 (3/7) – GUIDANCE & MOMENTUM • Q1 2025 sales guidance: $7.1B (~above $7.0B estimates) • Indicates continued growth, with AMD’s pivot to AI & data center paying off 💡 • Investors weigh: Are expectations now too lofty? (4/7) – SECTOR COMPARISON • AMD’s data center surge outpaces Intel in growth & profitability • Trails NVIDIA in AI infrastructure domination, but could be undervalued if the market’s underestimating AMD’s AI diversification potential ⚙️ • Future gains might hinge on capturing more hyperscaler demand 🔗 (5/7) – RISK FACTORS • NVIDIA: Still the top AI chip supplier—AMD must fight for share • Semiconductors are cyclical: macro downturn = potential demand drop 📉 • TSMC reliance → supply chain or geopolitical hiccups • The -2% stock drop post-earnings suggests the bar is set high (6/7) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: Data Center revenue up 69% → half of total rev 🌐 Diversified portfolio, not just PC chips Strong cash flow fueling R&D Weaknesses: Lags NVIDIA in AI adoption Post-earnings stock dip hints at market skepticism Opportunities: AI expansions beyond GPU domination Partnerships / acquisitions → deeper AI capabilities 🤖 Emerging markets (auto, IoT, etc.) for chip technology Threats: Fierce competition (NVIDIA, Intel) Economic slowdowns Regulatory or supply chain bumps ⚠️ (7/7) – Is AMD a prime AI contender or overshadowed by NVIDIA? 1️⃣ Bullish—Data center momentum will fuel AI growth 🚀 2️⃣ Neutral—Solid performance, but needs bigger AI share 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—NVIDIA leads, AMD can’t catch up 🐻 Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by DCAChampion
1
INTEL ($INTC) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION?INTEL ( NASDAQ:INTC ) – BOUNCING BACK OR STUCK IN TRANSITION? (1/9) Q4 2024 revenue beat forecasts at $14.3B (vs. $13.8B est.), up 7% from Q3 but still -7% YoY—highlighting Intel’s ups and downs. Looking ahead? Q1 2025 guidance points to $11.7-$12.7B in revenue and break-even EPS, hinting continued headwinds. Let’s dive in! 🔎 (2/9) – EARNINGS SNAPSHOT • Q4 non-GAAP EPS: $0.13 (beat by $0.01), down sharply from $0.54 a year ago • GAAP earnings hurt by $15.9B in impairment + $2.8B restructuring charges • Gross margin set to drop from 42.1% to 36% next quarter—Ouch! (3/9) – SIGNIFICANT FINANCIAL EVENTS • Exploring AI chip partnership w/ TSMC: Could bolster Intel’s AI presence • Targeting SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:10B in cost cuts by 2025, citing big strides in Q3 2024 • Foundry services sees $4.5B revenue in Q4, improved operating loss due to EUV wafer mix—positive sign ⚙️ (4/9) – CONTEXT & CHALLENGES • 2024 free cash flow: - $15.1B (vs. +$21.4B in 2020)—hurts liquidity 💸 • Declining YoY revenue + margin pressure reflect stiff competition & big CapEx • Intel pivoting to AI & foundry services, but near-term growth remains sluggish (5/9) – SECTOR COMPARISON • Forward P/E ~16, trailing P/E ~72.50 = low profitability vs. AMD/NVIDIA’s sky-high multiples • P/B ~1.06, P/S ~1.5-2 → Intel looks “cheap” compared to peers (e.g., NVIDIA P/S ~20+!) • Stock’s -51.67% over the last year, underperforming the semiconductor sector (+96.5%) 😬 (6/9) – UNDERVALUATION OR VALUE TRAP? • Analysts’ intrinsic value: ~$19.37-$31.27 vs. current ~$20.97 → near fair value or slightly undervalued 🤔 • But big risks: negative cash flow, competitive drubbing from AMD/NVIDIA, repeated delays… • The market’s discount might be warranted given Intel’s execution hurdles (7/9) – KEY RISKS • Competitive Pressures: AMD & NVIDIA dominating AI/data center 💻 • Execution Delays: Roadmap slips for Panther Lake (2H 2025) & Clearwater Forest (2026) • Financial Strain: High CapEx, negative FCF, suspended dividend in 2024 🚧 • Macro & Geopolitics: Trade tensions (esp. in China) + economic headwinds (8/9) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: Established brand, PC/server CPU leader Foundry expansion, AI PC push Cost cuts boosting operational efficiency Weaknesses: Market share losses, negative FCF Delays in product launches, high CapEx Complex design + manufacturing model Opportunities: AI & foundry growth via TSMC tie-ups Government support (CHIPS Act) Undervaluation if turnaround succeeds Threats: Fierce competition ( NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:NVDA ) Regulatory & trade risks (China) Rapid AI market evolution leaving Intel behind (9/9) Is Intel the next big turnaround story or a sinking ship? 1️⃣ Massive comeback—AI + foundry = unstoppable! 2️⃣ Meh—They’ll recover somewhat, but not lead the pack 3️⃣ Doom—Delays, negative FCF, stiff competition… pass Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by DCAChampion
AppLovin (APP) AnalysisCompany Overview: AppLovin NASDAQ:APP is a mobile marketing leader, providing developers with tools for user acquisition, ad optimization, and analytics. The company also benefits from its owned apps, such as Monopoly GO!, which contribute 30% of its revenue. Key Catalysts: AI-Driven Revenue Expansion 🤖 AI plays a pivotal role in AppLovin’s success, driving 80% of its revenue growth. This AI advantage helps optimize user engagement and ad targeting, boosting overall platform efficiency. Mobile Gaming Growth 🎮 The mobile gaming industry is projected to grow at an 8% annual rate through 2027, positioning AppLovin to benefit as a key player in game monetization and marketing solutions. E-Commerce Ad Expansion 🛒 AppLovin’s new e-commerce ad pilot could generate FWB:30M -$50M in Q4 2024, with a self-service platform launch in mid-2025 targeting the $200B+ global e-commerce ad market. Analyst Confidence 📊 Oppenheimer has reiterated its Outperform rating, with a $480 price target, citing AppLovin’s earnings potential, robust ad revenue streams, and growing monetization avenues. Investment Outlook: Bullish Case: We are bullish on APP above the $380.00-$400.00 range, supported by AI adoption, ad growth, and entry into e-commerce advertising. Upside Potential: Our price target is $650.00-$670.00, reflecting AppLovin’s potential to expand its revenue base across multiple high-growth sectors. 📢 AppLovin—Driving Innovation in Mobile Advertising and Game Monetization. #AppMarketing #AI #MobileGaming
NASDAQ:APPLong
by Richtv_official
China stocks ready to go? #DeepSeek another reason..This is a chart of the benchmark index for Hong Kong - HK50 It's up on Monday, while Nvidia is down 10+% If funds are flowing out of Nvidia - China (home of DeepSeek) could be one place they end up. The Hang Seng is a perfect example of how long a trend can take to reverse. How many times would traders have tried to go long this index only to see it slump right back towards the bottom? Now while this trend reversal might be delayed further - and might fail altogether - we think there is enough evidence to suggest a reversal is happening. The price is above a rising weekly 30 week SMA A long term trendline has broken Crucially - the price made a double bottom pattern around 15,000 DAILY CHART On the daily chart we see the strong surge in buying interest from September has given way to a long multi-month correction. We are looking for a breakout above the down trendline to demonstrate the correction has finished and a new up-leg is beginning. The final confirmation would come from a break of resistance (not drawn) from the November and December highs at 21,350. Should the price turn lower and make a new fractal low under 19,650 then we’ll have to wait a bit longer for the Hang Seng trend reversal. But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think? Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
PEPPERSTONE:HK50Long
by jasperlawler
$Meta and U.S equity Bull Run Almost Finished? Was just having a little fun before bed and brainstorming on the NASDAQ:META chart. Our darling as of late. I love trying to find similarities and patterns between macro swings and cycles. Human psychology and business cycles have a way of repeating themselves pretty often. As they say, history doesn't repeat, but it rhymes. This recent melt up reminds a lot of the price action NASDAQ:META saw in 2021-2022. RSI overbought both times, currently approaching the 2.618 fib when connecting them to major high and low points. Decreasing volume on the moves up. There's a lot of other data to support a bear market may be on the horizon: Weak housing data/stocks (I do see some outlier stocks in the housing sector). The yield curve un-inversion which typically precedes major bear markets 6-12 months after un-inversion. The dollar seems to want to keep going higher. However it has shown a lot of weakness here lately which could help fuel the rest of the bull market. The unwinding of the Japanese Yen carry trade has seemed to play a big factor in U.S equities as of late. Every time the BOJ hikes interest rates, a lot of U.S. equities see pretty sizable bearish volatility shortly after. Being the darling that NASDAQ:META has become, once this trend line breaks it will be a signal that everyone should be taking note of in my opinion. I think the risk of a bear market increases dramatically. Maybe we get a shallow or 2022 style bear market next year and continue to make one last lag into new highs in 2027. Here are some ideas that could support that theory: China seems to be coming out of a depression-style bear market and is beginning to inject liquidity into their economy. This could help give U.S. equities a little more juice to run higher for longer chips could make a major comeback and fuel SPY/QQQ higher for longer. Names like Google, Tesla and Amazon can continue to show strength and we could see a rotation into them. Maybe we get some more significant quantum breakthroughs with the help of AI. These are things to keep in mind, but I think the probabilities of this this bull market we've enjoyed since 2008 is A LOT closer to the end than the beginning. I base most of my sentiment off the 18.6 year real estate/land cycle theory that I have been following since 2022. I also give a lot of credibility to U.S. yield curve un-inversions sending shockwaves through the global economic system. What do you guys and gals think?
NASDAQ:META
by ChazzyFreshh
Confessions from the Desk: Nvidia is Up, I Am NotIt’s Friday, the sun is shining, and Nvidia is up. Unfortunately, I am not. Nvidia sits smugly at $137.19, while my $140 call is officially DOA—dead on arrival, with no chance of resuscitation. I’d like to say I’m surprised, but at this point, it feels like the market is just personally messing with me. To add insult to injury, my carefully curated basket of stocks has been bouncing around like a drunk day trader on margin. One minute, I think I’m up; the next, I’m refreshing my portfolio like a gambler waiting for a miracle. Spoiler alert: the miracle never comes. Meanwhile, Nvidia has been making big boy moves—cutting its stake in Arm Holdings, taking a bite out of China’s WeRide, and ghosting Serve Robotics and SoundHound AI like a bad Tinder date. The result? Stocks are moving, headlines are flashing, and somewhere in a penthouse office, a hedge fund manager is smirking at my pain. Let’s break it down: Nvidia dumps 44% of Arm Holdings – Apparently, even they have commitment issues. Exited Serve Robotics & SoundHound AI – Serve was rolling along nicely until, well... it wasn’t. SoundHound AI got the boot, too, and its shares fell 25%. Ouch. Pumped 1.7 million shares into WeRide – WeRide stock shot up 76%. That’s cool, but guess who doesn’t own WeRide? This guy. Also bet on AI cloud firm Nebius – Stock rose 8%. Lovely. Again, not in my portfolio. Now, as Nvidia makes its AI master moves, I sit here staring at my screen, watching Serve Robotics—one of my few February winners—go completely sideways. That’s right, folks. Nvidia’s got a plan, but my portfolio? It’s just vibing. But hey, it’s Friday, the sun is out, and at least I don’t own SoundHound AI. Small wins, right? Happy Friday
NASDAQ:SERV
by TwoBULLISH
3
APPLE ($AAPL) – Q1 FY25 EARNINGS & WHAT’S NEXT APPLE ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) – Q1 FY25 EARNINGS & WHAT’S NEXT (1/8) Revenue: $124.3B (+4% YoY) – A new all-time record! Services soared +14% to $26.3B, offsetting a slight dip in iPhone sales. Let’s see how Apple’s holding up. 🍎📈 (2/8) – EARNINGS BEAT • EPS: $2.40 (beat by $0.06) • Gross margin: 46.9%, topping estimates 🔥 • Despite China sales dropping 11% to $18.51B, Apple still racked up big gains elsewhere 🌏 (3/8) – SECTOR SNAPSHOT • Market cap $3.5T+, P/E ~30 • Some call it pricey vs. tech peers, but brand strength + services + potential AI expansions = possible undervaluation 🤔 • Compares favorably to Microsoft, Samsung, etc., given stable product + services synergy 🌐 (4/8) – RISKS TO WATCH • Geopolitical: China manufacturing & sales reliance → Trade tensions? Tariffs? 🏭 • Innovation Pace: Competitors could leapfrog Apple in AI or other emerging tech 💡 • Regulatory: Antitrust cases (App Store) could pinch profitability ⚖️ • Economy: Premium pricing in downturn—brand loyalty helps, but can’t ignore recession effects 💸 (5/8) – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: Legendary brand loyalty & huge install base Growing services revenue (+14%!) Massive cash reserves for R&D & buybacks Weaknesses: Heavy dependence on iPhone sales China manufacturing concentration Opportunities: AI, AR/VR expansions (Vision Pro, maybe more) Emerging markets → untapped smartphone penetration 🌍 Services sector continuing to expand ⚡ Threats: Fierce competition (especially in China) 🦖 Trade tensions & supply chain hiccups 🌐 Shifts in consumer tech tastes or new disruptors (6/8) – CHINA SALES DENT • China down 11%—that’s a chunk given its importance • Local giants (Xiaomi, Huawei) are snapping at Apple’s heels 🦾 • Will Vision Pro + AI upgrades woo Chinese consumers back? 🤔 (7/8) – Is Apple undervalued at a $3.5T market cap & P/E of 30? 1️⃣ Bullish—Brand power + AI = unstoppable 🍀 2️⃣ Neutral—Solid, but watch those China risks 🔍 3️⃣ Bearish—Too expensive, competition’s rising 🐻 Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by DCAChampion
1
Arista Into EarningsANET is still suffering from the NVDA sell off (I would argue completely irrational panic). It's currently ranging right in the middle of major support and major resistance. So it's tricky because we're so far above support, but also lots of room to recover losses. My bet into earnings is Arista breaks above resistance at $141. Arista is trading just under 20X revenue and they have amazing profit margins and sustained growth. The broader Nasdaq Computer Index IXCO is very close to breaking out of this long range it's been so it seems like a fair bet that ANET jumps to the upside along with everything else. Good Luck!
NYSE:ANETLong
by bwy
7
FRESHWORKS ($FRSH): DRIVING AI-POWERED GROWTH IN SaaSFRESHWORKS ( NASDAQ:FRSH ): DRIVING AI-POWERED GROWTH IN SaaS 1/7 Revenue Growth: Freshworks just posted $194.6M in Q4 2024 (+22% YoY), with full-year revenue hitting $ 720M (+21% YoY)! ⚡️ Growth is fueled by new customer wins and the rising AI demand in customer service, sales, and IT solutions. 2/7 – EARNINGS BEAT • Non-GAAP EPS: $0.14 (beat by $0.04) 💰 • Operating profit for FY2024 doubled to $ 99M from $ 44.5M in 2023 🔥 • FY2025 guidance: Revenue $ 809M–$ 821M (12–14% YoY growth) 🚀 3/7 – CASH FLOW & PROFITABILITY • Free Cash Flow margin at 21% in Q4—showing major profitability strides 💸 • Shifting from less profitable past to a more robust, scalable business model 🏆 4/7 – SECTOR SNAPSHOT • Competes with Salesforce, HubSpot, Zendesk in the SaaS arena 🌐 • Enterprise Value to Revenue ratio is on the lower end—could be undervalued given its growth 📈 • Mid-market & SMB focus → niche advantage vs. pricier enterprise solutions 5/7 – RISK FACTORS • Market Competition: Big fish (Salesforce) + fresh entrants (Zendesk) 🏦 • Customer Acquisition: High marketing costs, must maintain ROI 🤝 • Economic Sensitivity: Downturn = possible budget cuts on software 💼 • Tech Shifts: Rapid AI innovation—no resting on laurels! 🤖 6/7 – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: • Strong AI-driven revenue growth • Wide product portfolio (sales, IT, support, etc.) • Growing customer base & retention ✅ Weaknesses: • Less profitable historically (though improving) • Revenue heavily reliant on core products 😬 Opportunities: • Expand into untapped global markets • Double down on AI for new revenue streams 🌍 Threats: • Market saturation & intense competition 🏁 • Data privacy regs could disrupt operations ⚖️ 7/7 Freshworks: undervalued gem or just another SaaS player? 1️⃣ Bullish—AI + mid-market niche = unstoppable! 🏅 2️⃣ Neutral—Need more proof of profitability 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—Competition & economy hold it back 🐻 Vote below! 🗳️👇
NASDAQ:FRSHLong
by DCAChampion
2
UPSTART ($UPST): AI-DRIVEN LENDING ON THE RISEUPSTART ( NASDAQ:UPST ): AI-DRIVEN LENDING ON THE RISE 1/8 – REVENUE & EARNINGS BLAST • Q4 2024 revenue: $219M (+56% YoY) 🔥 • Powered by a 68% jump in loan originations 💸 • EPS: $0.26, beating estimates by $0.30 (analysts expected -$0.04) 🚀 • Positive Adj. EBITDA—Upstart’s inching closer to sustained profitability 🏆 2/8 – BIG FINANCIAL EVENTS • Strong focus on AI model innovation + expanding funding supply 🤖 • Management bullish on earnings call—AI improvements = growth catalyst 🚀 • Renowned for bridging lenders & borrowers via advanced, automated credit assessments 🌐 3/8 – SECTOR COMPARISON • Some valuation measures say overvalued (e.g., GF Value ~$28 vs. market ~$65) 🧐 • Outpacing fintech peers like SoFi, PayPal, Ally in revenue growth 📈 • Profitability & multiples (P/E, P/S) lag behind due to recent net losses 😬 • Unique AI-lending angle may justify a premium—if it pays off 💡 4/8 – RISK ASSESSMENT • Partner Dependence: A few big lenders = high exposure ⚠️ • Economic Sensitivity: Loan defaults rise if consumer conditions worsen 🌪️ • Regulatory Hurdles: Shifting financial rules could dent operations 🏛️ • Credit Risk: Holding loans on the balance sheet—watch out in downturns 💥 5/8 – SWOT HIGHLIGHTS Strengths: • Advanced AI for credit analysis 🤖 • High automation in approvals ⚡️ • Scalable via partner expansions 🌍 Weaknesses: • Limited operating history ⏳ • Recent financial losses 📉 • Reliance on key partners 🤝 Opportunities: • New loan products (auto, HELOC, etc.) 🚗🏠 • Expanding digital lending market 🌐 • Gaining market share as AI evolves 🔬 Threats: • Fierce fintech competition 🏁 • Possible regulatory changes ⚖️ • Macro headwinds affecting credit demand 🌩️ 6/8 – UN/UNDERVALUATION DEBATE • Some see big future potential → undervalued by growth prospects 💹 • Others worry about multiples & an over-reliance on economic upswings 😬 • Recovery depends on broader economic rebound & strong risk management 🏦 7/8 Is Upstart a gem or a risk? 1️⃣ Bullish—AI lending will transform fintech 🏅 2️⃣ Cautiously Optimistic—Need more stability 🤔 3️⃣ Bearish—Valuation & macro risks are too high 🚫 Vote below! 🗳️👇 8/8 – STRATEGY WATCH • Keep tabs on new loan products & partnerships 🛠️ • Monitor economic indicators (defaults, credit demand) impacting revenue 💼 • Regulatory shifts can either boost or bury AI-lending advantage ⚠️
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by DCAChampion
1
$AMD position trade idea LONG TERM weekly/monthlyNASDAQ:AMD has been weak for awhile on the weekly chart, but nothing lasts forever. This is a long position trade idea I have for myself, with the thesis that, long term, NASDAQ:AMD is reaching for $360ish over the next couple of years, based on fib projections from back when the bull market started years ago. NASDAQ:AMD briefly touched a premium zone months ago (red shaded area), and with the current weakness NASDAQ:AMD has been pulling back and just reached a short term discount zone around $109 (green shaded area). My expectation is that NASDAQ:AMD might drop a bit more into this zone, perhaps sweep under the lows at $93.12, reach a couple of projected targets for the short interest (that I have marked in red and orange lines), and then find support and bounce aggressively from there. This is all based on a pattern I frequently see where when a chart reaches the premium zone near the end of a move, it often pauses just shy of the target and feigns a reversal, falling back into the short term discount zone, often sweeping a low, and then aggressively pushing for the target that was intended all along. This serves to wash out any short term holders and deny them the full target, while offering good prices to the long term holders to reaccumulate before reaching their target. Seek professional investment advice elsewhere, this is not trading or investment advice, this is my own observations and how I intend to approach NASDAQ:AMD in this current price area. I will not be blindly buying anything and I always manage my risk in case I'm wrong.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by easycators
5
STOCKS | AI | Amazon, Meta & MSFTPeople who are saying that AI is just a bubble are missing the big picture. Huge tech companies are pouring serious money into it, which shows they believe AI is here to stay. We're talking massive investments – like over $320 billion in AI infrastructure by 2025, according to the Financial Times. Amazon is planning over $100 billion in capital expenditures in 2025, mainly focused on AI infrastructure. This could be huge not only for NASDAQ:AMZN as a whole but also for the AI industry. Alphabet is also throwing in around $75 billion this year to boost its AI capabilities. These kinds of investments from the top players make it clear: they know you have to spend big to win in the AI game and clearly there is a race going on, especially after the release of DeepSeekAI. American companies don't want to be left behind, and it's likely that they will pour money into integrating AI to improve their business operation - with the ultimate aim to improve profit - which is great for stock prices. How they make money from AI might change over time, but the overall direction is obvious – AI is changing everything and driving innovation. According to Statista, the global AI market is predicted to reach around $826 billion by 2030. That kind of growth tells you AI is going to be a major force in just about every industry. And therefore I believe that all the companies making major investment in AI will also see exponential growth over the next 5 years - meaning it may be a longer term game play. _______________ NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:META
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by CryptoCheck-
2
$SMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCESMCI (SUPER MICRO COMPUTER): AI-DRIVEN GROWTH AMID GOVERNANCE WOES 1/8 Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) just revealed prelim Q2 FY2025 sales of $5.6–5.7B (+54% YoY), riding AI’s wave. But delayed filings & margin pressure spark caution. Let’s dig in! 💻⚡️ 2/8 – REVENUE & EARNINGS SNAPSHOT • Q2 sales: $5.7B (vs. $5.9B est.), EPS: ~$0.59 (est. $0.64) • Full-year outlook trimmed to $23.5–25B (was $26–30B) • Non-GAAP gross margin: ~11.9%; operating margin: ~7.9%—still under pressure 🏭 3/8 – KEY FINANCIAL EVENTS • $700M in 2.25% convertible senior notes → fueling AI server growth • Filing delays (10-K, 10-Qs) → must meet Feb 25, 2025 to avoid Nasdaq delisting • New auditor BDO checks the books—no fraud found, but concerns linger about governance 🧐 4/8 – GOVERNANCE & INVESTIGATIONS • Ongoing SEC & DOJ probes after Hindenburg’s short-seller report • CEO says they’ll meet filing deadline, but trust is still shaky • Market watchers: “No fraud found” is good, but the uncertainty stings 🤔 5/8 – SECTOR CONTEXT • Competes with Dell ( NYSE:DELL ), HPE ( NYSE:HPE )—both see AI demand, but SMCI more focused • SMCI trades at ~11x 2025 earnings (vs. Dell at 15x, HPE at 12x) • Could be undervalued—but only if governance issues don’t overshadow the AI growth story 🚀 6/8 – RISKS • Margin Pressure: R&D + product mix + potential GPU shipment delays (Nvidia Blackwell) • Debt Load: Total debt now ~$1.9B, plus $700M in convertible notes • Regulatory Overhang: Missing that Feb 25 deadline = serious delisting risk ⚠️ 7/8 Is SMCI worth the gamble? 1️⃣ Bullish—AI potential outweighs the risks 2️⃣ Neutral—Need clarity on filings & margins 3️⃣ Bearish—Governance red flags trump growth Vote below! 🗳️👇 8/8 – STRATEGIC OUTLOOK • 70%+ revenue from AI platforms → big edge if servers remain hot • Partnerships w/ Nvidia & push into liquid-cooled data centers • Delaying or messing up compliance could sabotage all that potential 🌐
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by DCAChampion
1
NVIDIA Price Rebalance to 132$You most likely already know that most retail traders lose money. With the fear of new cost efficient AI news most people shorted NVIDIA. Whatever the name of the AI and whichever the country it is and however efficient it is, it will still run on hardware and as of now NVIDIA is the biggest hardware maker. This is the chance to buy since price did not go down in a healthy price action. We expect a recovery to equilibrium of the inefficient drop of price at 132$ Please comment any questions you have. Happy and safe trading!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradeConfirmed
4
iotex is best depin projectIoTeX (IOTX) has recently garnered significant attention in the cryptocurrency market, particularly following a substantial $50 million investment from a consortium of venture capital firms. This infusion of capital is poised to accelerate the growth and adoption of Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks (DePIN), positioning IoTeX for a promising future. citeturn0search14 **Strategic Investments and Partnerships** The recent $50 million funding round, led by prominent investors such as Borderless Capital and Amber Group, underscores the confidence in IoTeX's vision and technological capabilities. These strategic partnerships are expected to enhance IoTeX's infrastructure and expand its ecosystem, fostering increased adoption and utility of the IOTX token. citeturn0search2 **Market Performance and Future Projections** As of now, IOTX is trading at approximately $0.0201, with a 24-hour trading volume of around $9.49 million. The token has experienced a slight decline of 1.68% in the past day. Looking ahead, various analyses offer optimistic projections for IOTX. For instance, CoinCodex forecasts that IoTeX could reach a high of $0.2922 by 2025, representing a potential increase of over 1,350% from its current price. citeturn0search1 Similarly, DigitalCoinPrice anticipates that IOTX may reach $0.068 by 2025 and $0.16 by 2030, indicating sustained growth over the long term. The substantial venture capital investment, coupled with strategic partnerships and favorable market projections, suggests a promising trajectory for IoTeX. As the platform continues to develop and expand its DePIN initiatives, the value of IOTX is well-positioned for significant appreciation in the coming years. *Note: This analysis is based on information available as of February 10, 2025. Investors are advised to conduct their own research and consider market dynamics before making investment decisions.*
Long
by mehdikebrititrader
Shopify (SHOP) AnalysisCompany Overview: Shopify NYSE:SHOP is a leading e-commerce platform that continues to grow by expanding into AI-driven solutions and fulfillment services, aiming to optimize merchant growth. Shopify is positioning itself as a major player in the e-commerce ecosystem, particularly with Shopify Plus, which is gaining momentum among large retailers. Key Catalysts: AI-Powered Tools for Merchants 🤖 Shopify is integrating AI-driven solutions to enhance marketing, inventory management, and checkout optimization, which improves merchant retention and adoption. Enterprise Growth 📈 Shopify Plus is experiencing strong adoption among larger retailers, helping diversify revenue and reduce the company's reliance on small businesses. This supports more stable growth. Long-Term E-commerce Growth 🌐 With e-commerce projected to grow at a 9.5% CAGR through 2030, Shopify holds a 10% market share in the U.S., positioning it for long-term growth in an expanding digital marketplace. Financial Strength 💰 Free cash flow margin rose to 19%, underscoring Shopify’s robust financial health and ability to reinvest in future growth initiatives. Investment Outlook: Bullish Case: We are bullish on SHOP above the $102.00-$105.00 range, driven by AI expansion, growing enterprise adoption, and strong cash flow. Upside Potential: Our price target is $170.00-$172.00, reflecting the company’s dominance in e-commerce and its ongoing innovations. 📢 Shopify—Shaping the Future of E-Commerce and AI. #Ecommerce #AIExpansion #SHOP
NYSE:SHOPLong
by Richtv_official