American Airlines | AAL | Long at $14.00Similar to my cruise line picks, I anticipate airlines to quite literally "take off" in the coming years as interest rates are lowered and people travel more. These two industries never quite recovered from the pandemic, but their time to do so is "likely" fast approaching.
American Airlines NASDAQ:AAL has been consolidating near my selected long-term simple moving average (SMA) for several years. Many retail investors have been beaten up by the sudden up and (especially) down price movements, but this is where larger investors gather their shares. The fact NASDAQ:AAL did not make a new low in August 2024 is a hopeful sign from a technical analysis perspective. While the price may dip to close out the new lower price gaps, I think we are nearing the "take off" zone which will be a massive break through the long-term SMA. A confirmation that something bigger is brewing would be a price move into the $15s, dip down to the $12s, and the larger move up. Regardless of trying to predict bottoms, NASDAQ:AAL is in a personal buy zone at $14.00.
Target #1 = $15.25
Target #2 = $16.55
Target #3 = $18.40
Target #4 = $27.00 (very long-term outlook...)
Airline
Sabre Corporation | SABR | Long at $3.00Sabre Corporation's NASDAQ:SABR earnings have slowly been improving since the pandemic and may be heading into profitability by 2025/2026. Disinterest in the stock may also be waning as the price creeps closer to my selected historical simple moving average (SMA, white and teal lines). Often, but not always, as the price nears this line, it jumps to make contact over a few weeks or months. Not to say that more volatility won't be ahead, but NASDAQ:SABR currently sits in a personal buy zone at $3.00.
Target #1 = $4.00
Target #2 = $5.00
Target #3 = $6.70
LUV Weekly Chart Showing Heavy DemandSouthwest Airlines has been going through some turbulence with recent flight rearrangement issues, but for the most part has smoothened out all issues regarding flights. Air Travel Demand is still thriving and growing exponentially, respectively.
Southwest is a leader among a few others in Airline Stocks as they have High-Quality Management & Great Financial Strategy (e.g. Fuel hedging)
The stock has performed quite poorly since its post-COVID peak of $65 and has retreated nearly 50% while remaining a sound financial base. Southwest has been hovering around this major demand zone at the $30 area. As highlighted in green, this demand zone has repeatedly pushed LUV back up higher, and on this weekly chart, we can see a triple bottom starting to push back higher from this $31 level.
This weekly chart prevails a strong Risk/Reward towards Southwest as a swing-trade or LT investment.
Southwest has remained a fundamentally strong & sound company as they are the first American Airline Co. to reinstate their dividend. EPS projections are very optimistic for the next several years as demand increases & costs decrease. It would also be likely to see a rotation into the travel / Airlines sector as it has been quite low and non-volatile thru the past half year. Recent PT cuts lead me to believe Funds could be loading up
Conclusion: LONG NYSE:LUV through commons
Option Play: Credit-Spread : Jan 19, '24 Puts $30-$27.5p
Sustainable Aviation Fuels (SAFs)Honeywell plays a large role in the future technology being implemented in aviation. Specifically now with their push for Sustainable Aviation Fuels. Seeing a greater push from consumers and organizations for more sustainable practices in doing business, the US government is expected to launch more programs to incentivize the use of sustainable fuels. The mix of the two factors may lead to a great opportunity for growth as demand starts to pick up in the coming years.
BA - Wedge TighteningBA has been stuck in this channel for the start of the year. Price action has been tight as the movement has been very range bound.
As time continues to move on through the next quarter there may be an event that pushes price to break out of this sideways ranging movement. Near the middle of February we started to see price start to test ranges which could signal a potential reaction. Price showed to thin out near the price of 220 as the bulls ran thin and bears took over.
Looking to see how price continues to play within the range and potentially move out.
Decaying IV and stagnant marketsThe airlines have been pretty quiet lately with the year being primarily sideways trending and relatively unchanged.
Although earnings have been well the IV has remained low all year long. With potential to the upside remaining plausible there is not currently a push of buyers entering new positions.
Remaining neutral with a slight negative bias for the next few weeks based on current market conditions
Jet2 part of the dart group family, neutral/long jet2 is in my list of safe stocks, i like this stock for the long term, good fundamentals and technicals. support of around £7.65 since 2018. Im long on this for the long term, phil messon ceo is a forward thinking and customer focused. one for the retirement portfolio, short term expected to hit support again before hitting ath again next year,
United Airlines Preparing For Take-OffLooks like United Airlines (UAL) is preparing for a long run.
1 Hr shows significant oversold.
Still way below pre-Covid prices and reported a 450% increase in Holiday bookings.
This is a no brainer.
Price target around $75 - 80
Potential 60% gain!
Patience is Key!
Contracting IVR and Channel formation The start of September IVR picked up and we can see a series of red candles within that same time range. Now as IVR settles back down to its stable range then there should be less dramatic movement in the stock price.
Should price continue within the current range then being able to play with price between the two values would be a manageable trade with appropriate trade execution.
BA 2 Possible OutcomesAs much as Boeing sucks the company should remain bullish especially once an official rotation begins into aircrafts / travel.
This one is personally one of the tickers I rarely will ever trade and is nearly a no trade stock for me as it's irrational af . I believe the lvls to buy commons at are 194 , 160 .
Scooping up at these prices are amazing , 160 is only possible due to gap fill that may be there due to poor ER or even good ER .. who knows the stock does whatever it wants.
Expect 300 - 400 + in the long term for BA easily. Buy it, forget it.
JETS ETF - coming off the base Nice clean break of the base - travel sector looks to be gaining some momentum back. Loaded up some calls with a few short term targets between the mid 20s. Weekly looks good too.
The U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) provides investors access to the global airline industry, including airline operators and manufacturers from all over the world.
Technical analysis update: Lufthansa AG (28th July 2021)In 2020 airlines around the globe experienced one of the worst years in their history due to pandemic crisis and worldwide restrictions on travel and freedom of movement. This had detrimental impact on airlines around the world. Story is no different for Lufthansa AG. Last year German government bailed out Lufthansa AG with 9 billion euros. Subsequently German government gained 20% stake in the company which is supposed to be temporary until LHA gets back on its feet. As part of the bailout deal German government is not allowed to interfere in daily operations of Lufthansa AG. German government having 20% stake in the company suggests relatively lower risk associated with this investement as opposed to other airline investments where no government is involved with the company. Company's stock declined since December 2017 until September 2020 when it reached low of 6.848 EUR per share. Since then price reversed and started to make higher highs and higher troughs. Within last two months divergence between price and RSI became observable. In addition to that RSI, MACD and Stochastics turned bullish. Though, ADX contains low value suggesting that weak or no trend is present. Despite that we think LHA is poised to move higher eventually. In the short term we expect company to move sideways and struggle but in the long term we expect LHA to perform well. We would like to set our long term price target for LHA to 12 euros per share.
Divergence between price and RSI:
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
Potential Long on JetBLue JBLURecognizing multiple Technical confluences for a potential move long on JBLU
1. We see price following the trend that existed prior to Covid
2. The 100 EMA has dipped below the 200 EMA (sign price may be reversing current trend.)
3. Price has entered a significant Demand Zone
4. Price is respecting the trend lines since the Covid dip
5. The RSI is displaying possible divergence.
6. The MACD is below 30. (Sign price is oversold).
Negative Confluences:
1. OUR OBV line is showing a decline in buying volume.
2. Price is still outside the lower, longer (pre-Covid) trend zone.
Fundamental Analysis:
1. Earnings expected first week of August. (Price typically declines into earnings).
2. Earnings report for 2nd quarter includes months prior to economic opening. (Earnings may be lower.)
3. Operating Income negative year over year
4. Gross profit change from previous years same quarter show significant loss
5. Economic reports show record travel numbers from July 4th
6. Economy nearly fully opened since roughly June
7. JBLU to start flights from NY to UK in August.
BA Should Hold Support Here BA Current Price $237 Price Target $280
BA $240c 7/9 ($181,2% till breakeven) (Outstanding)
Boeing Shares fell sharply on Friday after yet again another plane issue that caused a cargo ship to land in the ocean. Only two people were on board the plane and both have no significant injuries.I think BA will be able to move past this issue and continue to receive more orders and be a beneficiary of the reopening. After the holiday weekend Im expecting big travel numbers which should help a travel stock like BA. Technically on the chart we have a firm support level around $235. We should hold that level and trade up to $245 in the short term.
ANZANZ is filling up the gap created back on 10 November 2020. Following a downtrend from 1.850 news coming up in 4 days. Sellers in control now, huge selling volume. The support line at 1.435 which sitting at this moment, if can't hold the next support is 1.330 then major support at 1.20. Hopefully, we can see an up trend form here. Not financial advice, Do your own research. Happy Trading.