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Airlines

American Airlines | AAL | Long at $14.00Similar to my cruise line picks, I anticipate airlines to quite literally "take off" in the coming years as interest rates are lowered and people travel more. These two industries never quite recovered from the pandemic, but their time to do so is "likely" fast approaching. American Airlines NASDAQ:AAL has been consolidating near my selected long-term simple moving average (SMA) for several years. Many retail investors have been beaten up by the sudden up and (especially) down price movements, but this is where larger investors gather their shares. The fact NASDAQ:AAL did not make a new low in August 2024 is a hopeful sign from a technical analysis perspective. While the price may dip to close out the new lower price gaps, I think we are nearing the "take off" zone which will be a massive break through the long-term SMA. A confirmation that something bigger is brewing would be a price move into the $15s, dip down to the $12s, and the larger move up. Regardless of trying to predict bottoms, NASDAQ:AAL is in a personal buy zone at $14.00. Target #1 = $15.25 Target #2 = $16.55 Target #3 = $18.40 Target #4 = $27.00 (very long-term outlook...)
NASDAQ:AALLong
by WorthlessViews
DAL... We have take offGood morning traders, If you have been following my predictions on DAL and UAL, well... WE HAVE TAKE OFF! OB has been tested, we could see a pullback testing the previous red candle but should be a decent flight from there on out. Some turbulence along the way, but shouldn't be big enough to knock this plane down. All previous areas have been tested and structurally it looks great. Hang on tight a bit more we are almost there. Keep UAL on your sights, this has much more traveling to do which means bigger profits as well. Hope you enjoy the rest of your day, and don't forget to follow for all my other predictions. Have a great rest of your week, happy trading & God Bless!
NYSE:DALLong
by Vic_Tech_Trader
Ready For TakeoffThis is a seriously long term idea on $DAL. It is very early in the idea, but I think the upward range expansion we recently saw in the 3 month bar can be acted on. If all goes smoothly, we could target around $100 for this stock. I think it is finally time. Finally time to own airlines. A good initial stop loss could be around 25 if you are comfortable giving the idea that much room. May the winds of millennials desiring unique life experiences carry us forward!
NYSE:DALLong
by redykhouse
Air Canada Analysis 10/18/24DISCLOSURE: As of 10/18/24 I have no open positions in Air Canada TSX: AC Air Canada is a Canadian airline who took a big hit during COVID and added a lot of debt to their business. Because of the unstable financial position the valuation is very low and could provide large returns in the event of a turnaround. The Debt Looking at the debt ratios the debt/equity looks very high, but the debt/asset ratio looks much better. Of course as all airlines do they use debt to buy their planes and other assets. However it is worth noting that the debt here is a problem. (Higher than competitors) For a long term buy and hold I would like to see much more cash on the balance sheet, but this is a turnaround play after all. If Air Canada's margins decrease to unprofitable they may be forced to sell assets to cover liabilities. Qualitative Looking at the qualitative metrics it is obvious that Air Canada took large losses in 2020 but has since recovered in terms of earnings, revenue, and margins. The stock price however has not recovered, this is likely due to the debt load they are stuck with now. From a long term perspective airlines are notoriously bad businesses struggling with debt, unprofitability, and an extremely competitive environment. This is why I only intend to hold this stock for a maximum of 3-5 years. Valuations The valuations are where things start to look up for this company. With a price/cash flow of 1.75 you would be getting your investment back in about 1 year 9 months. On the other hand if they lose money and are forced to sell assets the stock will likely remain flat or decline further. The way I view Air Canada is as an asymmetric bet. For example, I assigned some arbitrary values to my model where I see a 25% chance that they sell off assets. a 50% chance that earnings and margins remain stable and a 25% chance that earnings and margins increase In the worst case scenario the stock will likely fall another 25%-50% and in the best case scenario AC could be a 4x from current valuations. Of course the risk/reward I am assigning to these values is subjective and I highly suggest doing your own research to see how you feel about these outcomes. For me at current prices Air Canada TSX: AC is a buy. So long as you keep in mind the potential risks and dont be shocked if the 25% chance of the downside materializes. If you enjoyed this report I publish 2 times per week and offer consulting, portfolio analysis, and contract research. PM me if interested.
TSX:ACLong
by sihen999
2
Spirit Airlines | SAVE | Long at $2.80I'll be the contrarian. Spirit Airlines NYSE:SAVE has been beat to a pulp, but the company is still actively flying the high skies. While low-budget airlines have hit a rough patch as low-income consumers tighten their spending, the CFO recently was awarded almost $250k in options (a bullish sign). Plus, the next few years could be great for airlines as interest rates are lowered and travel increases as AI takes our jobs - what else is there to do with people's time and money?! So, while a "risky play", it is resting along my lowest selected simple moving average which (usually) spirs a rally. This may not come until the interest rate lowering anouncement (short interest is high with this one), but the price at $2.80 is currently in my personal buy zone. Target #1 = $4.00 Target #2 = $6.26
SLong
by WorthlessViews
1
Sabre Corporation | SABR | Long at $3.00Sabre Corporation's NASDAQ:SABR earnings have slowly been improving since the pandemic and may be heading into profitability by 2025/2026. Disinterest in the stock may also be waning as the price creeps closer to my selected historical simple moving average (SMA, white and teal lines). Often, but not always, as the price nears this line, it jumps to make contact over a few weeks or months. Not to say that more volatility won't be ahead, but NASDAQ:SABR currently sits in a personal buy zone at $3.00. Target #1 = $4.00 Target #2 = $5.00 Target #3 = $6.70
NASDAQ:SABRLong
by WorthlessViews
Wake up the Spirit 1)Enhance Customer Experience with AI Implement AI-driven chatbots and virtual assistants to provide 24/7 customer support, handle common inquiries, and manage bookings. Use AI to personalize travel recommendations and offer tailored promotions based on customer preferences and behavior. AI can also be used to streamline the check-in process and provide real-time updates on flight status and delays. 2)Optimize Operations with Predictive Analytics Leverage predictive analytics to optimize flight schedules, maintenance, and staffing. This can help reduce delays, improve aircraft utilization, and ensure timely maintenance, thus enhancing overall efficiency and reducing costs. AI can also help in demand forecasting to better match supply with demand, reducing overbooking and underbooking issues. 3)Implement Dynamic Pricing Algorithms Adopt dynamic pricing strategies powered by AI to adjust ticket prices in real-time based on demand, competition, and other market conditions. This can help maximize revenue while remaining competitive in the market. AI-driven pricing models can also identify the optimal time to offer discounts or promotions to fill seats without undercutting profitability. 4)Focus on Sustainability Invest in fuel-efficient aircraft and explore sustainable aviation fuels to reduce the airline's carbon footprint. Implement AI to optimize flight routes for fuel efficiency. Engage customers by offering them options to offset their carbon emissions. Demonstrating a commitment to sustainability can enhance the airline's reputation and attract environmentally conscious travelers. 5)Create a Positive Work Culture Invest in training and development programs to empower employees and improve service quality. Foster a positive work environment where employees feel valued and motivated. Use AI to streamline internal processes, making it easier for employees to focus on delivering excellent customer service. Recognize and reward employees who go above and beyond, creating a culture of appreciation and support. Embracing Love in Business Love can be a transformative force in business. Encourage empathy and kindness in customer interactions. Show appreciation to loyal customers through personalized gestures and rewards. Build strong relationships with customers by listening to their feedback and continually improving based on their needs. By putting people first and cultivating a culture of love and respect, Spirit Airlines can foster loyalty and stand out in the competitive airline industry.
SLong
by TrojanBible
1
Capital A's Impressive Turnaround: Post-Pandemic Success StoryCapital A Berhad has not just bounced back post-pandemic but is soaring high above its regional competitors. The latest stock performance data tells an exciting story of resilience, innovation, and strategic brilliance. Let’s dive into how Capital A’s turnaround has translated into exceptional performance, not just in the skies and on the balance sheet, but in the financial markets as well. A Closer Look at the Numbers The chart below shows the stock performance of several major airlines in the region over recent months. Here are the airlines included: Capital A Berhad (MYX: CAPA) AirAsia X (AAX) IndiGo (INDIGO) Qantas Airways (QAN) Singapore Airlines (SIA) Cebu Pacific (CEB) VietJet Air (VJC) Capital A Leads the Pack Among these airlines, Capital A stands out with an impressive performance. Here’s what the chart reveals: Remarkable Growth: Capital A’s stock saw a significant rise, peaking around 36% before settling at approximately 28%. This growth is a testament to the company’s strong recovery and strategic initiatives post-pandemic. Stability Amidst Volatility: Unlike many of its competitors, Capital A has maintained a steady upward trend, showing resilience against market fluctuations. Outshining Peers: While AirAsia X also performed well initially, it didn’t sustain its momentum as effectively as Capital A. IndiGo showed a similar decline. This indicates that Capital A's strategies are yielding better investor confidence and stability. Regional Competitors: Airlines like Qantas, Singapore Airlines, and Cebu Pacific have seen moderate gains but haven’t matched Capital A’s impressive growth, hovering between 0% to 10%. Underperforming Rivals: VietJet Air displayed minimal gains or even losses, highlighting the challenges faced by some airlines in the current market environment. The Secrets Behind Capital A’s Success Several factors are driving Capital A’s stellar performance: Diversification and Innovation: Capital A has expanded beyond traditional airline operations into digital businesses and logistics. This diversification provides a buffer against market risks specific to the aviation sector. Efficient Cost Management: Known for its cost-efficient operations, Capital A continues to emphasize cost management, which supports its strong financial performance. Adaptive Strategies: The ability to swiftly adapt to changing market conditions, such as fluctuating fuel prices and varying travel demand, has been crucial. Strong Brand and Network: Capital A enjoys strong brand loyalty and recognition within the ASEAN region, bolstered by an extensive route network ensuring steady passenger traffic. Looking Ahead Capital A’s trajectory suggests a promising future if current strategies and market conditions remain favorable. However, potential challenges like economic downturns, regulatory changes, and geopolitical tensions could impact the aviation sector. Conclusion Capital A Berhad's post-pandemic turnaround is a remarkable success story. Its impressive stock performance against regional peers underscores the effectiveness of its business strategies and market positioning. As the aviation industry continues to recover, Capital A’s innovative approaches and adaptive strategies will likely keep it soaring high. This success extends beyond the cabin and balance sheet, making waves in the financial markets and offering a beacon of optimism for stakeholders and investors alike.
MYX:CAPITALA
by rossbrannigan
2
Delta vs Spirit vs America AirlinesFirst idea post so still figuring out these controls but here we go... Airlines can be very sticky and annoying stocks that go through very odd cycles. But the fundamentals of the companies can be even weirder since the operate in a highly regulated market that was supposedly de regulated. I was considering going long spirit since the merger breakdown has occurred. But as I was looking deeper into the company to see if a long trade could be justified I found something very interesting that might make a better trade. My original idea for going long spirit despite the rising debt on a year over year basis is that they still use some of the most desirable aircraft on the market a mix of narrow body a320 neo variants that airbus cannot make enough of and some kind of buyout or asset based valuation would make sense for the airline. Basically looking at the value of the airline the same way jet blue did but also adding the value of its west coast gates along with its aircraft value and plethora of A320 trained pilots. I started looking at other airlines and financials to see if it would make sense compared to other airlines. I think I found a trade that makes more sense but is based more on fundamental math of the company than a gut feeling like with spirit. Tell me what you guys think NASDAQ:AAL and NYSE:DAL 2 of the largest US airlines have both been beaten down by the pandemic and increased gas prices. Spirit was not able to come back to positive margin in the last few reports but AAL and DAL have. Except DAL is trading at a PE ratio of between 5 and 6.5 while American is near 13.5 yet they have a margin of less than 5 % while Deltas margin is closing to 13%. Still doing research to see what can explain this huge difference in PE and margin between the 2 companies. Do you think Delta is a good play with this observation??
NYSE:DALLong
by archernomad
1
JBLU Bullish after JetBlue - Spirit merger was BlockedJetBlue's $3.8 billion buyout of Spirit Airlines was blocked by a judge, citing a threat to competition! After the news, SAVE went down, while JBLU surged from $4.54 to $5.45! However, today it continued the 6 month downtrend and closed at $4.68. This might seem like business as usual on Wall Street, except for the presence of some aggressive blocks of calls with strike prices of $6 and $7 on JetBlue's options chain, across multiple expiration dates! The most commonly chosen expiration date was February 16, following the earnings release. This leads me to believe that we might witness excellent results from the upcoming earnings report. JBLU was trading at $9.45 just 6 months ago. Its decline was not due to fundamentals but rather on the potential buyout of SAVE. Now that the deal is off the table, I expect JBLU to rise back up. I'm extremely bullish on JBLU ahead of earnings!
NASDAQ:JBLULong
by TopgOptions
2
RiskMastery's Red Flag Stocks - DAL EditionWelcome to RiskMastery's Red Flag Stocks - Stocks with bearish potential . In this edition, we'll be looking at NYSE:DAL ... I believe this code is at a point of potential volatility. If price can hold below $38.47 ... Bearish potential may be unlocked. My key downside targets include: - $34.04 (Conservative) - $30.19 (Medium) - $25.33 (Aggressive) If however price breaks above $41.28 ... Bullish potential may be unlocked. (My key risk targets - C, M,& A - are as noted on the chart) Enjoy, and I look forward to being of further service into the future. If you'd like to connect, feel free to reach out and comment below. Mr RM | Risk Mastery Disclaimer: This post is intended for educational purposes only - Publicly available RiskMastery information & content is not intended to be financial advice in any shape or form. Please do your own research and seek advice from a licensed professional before acting on any of the information contained within this post. This post is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell or hold any positions in any financial instrument. All demonstrated trades are merely incidental to the educational training RiskMastery aims to provide. You are solely responsible for your own investment and trading decisions, of which should be made only according to your own opinion, knowledge and experience. You should not rely on any of the information contained on this site or contained in any RiskMastery material on any website or platform. You assume the sole risk of any trade or investment you elect to make. RiskMastery and affiliates shall not be liable to you for any monetary losses or any other damages incurred directly or indirectly, from your use, reliance or reference of RiskMastery materials, content and educational information. Thank you for your understanding and cooperation - We look forward to working with you into the future to navigate the fine line of trading and investment success.
NYSE:DALShort
by Bullfinder-official
RiskMastery's Red Flag Stocks - AAL EditionWelcome to RiskMastery's Red Flag Stocks - Stocks with bearish potential . In this edition, we'll be looking at NASDAQ:AAL ... I believe this code is at a point of potential volatility. If price can hold below $13.21 ... Bearish potential may be unlocked. My key downside targets include: - $11.61 (Conservative) - $10.52 (Medium) - $9.40 (Aggressive) If however price breaks above $14.34 ... Bullish potential may be unlocked. (My key risk targets - C, M,& A - are as noted on the chart) Enjoy, and I look forward to being of further service into the future. If you'd like to connect, feel free to reach out and/or comment below. Mr RM | Risk Mastery Disclaimer: This post is intended for educational purposes only - Publicly available RiskMastery information & content is not intended to be financial advice in any shape or form. Please do your own research and seek advice from a licensed professional before acting on any of the information contained within this post. This post is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell or hold any positions in any financial instrument. All demonstrated trades are merely incidental to the educational training RiskMastery aims to provide. You are solely responsible for your own investment and trading decisions, of which should be made only according to your own opinion, knowledge and experience. You should not rely on any of the information contained on this site or contained in any RiskMastery material on any website or platform. You assume the sole risk of any trade or investment you elect to make. RiskMastery and affiliates shall not be liable to you for any monetary losses or any other damages incurred directly or indirectly, from your use, reliance or reference of RiskMastery materials, content and educational information. Thank you for your understanding and cooperation - We look forward to working with you into the future to navigate the fine line of trading and investment success.
NASDAQ:AALShort
by Bullfinder-official
1