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Airlines

American Airlines | AAL | Long at $13.34As the Great American Wealth Transfer happens, people are using that money to travel more (after all, few can afford to transfer that wealth into real estate). Airline data show passenger counts are increasing rapidly and with airfares expected to rise, this sector is likely to go through a long-awaited boom cycle. Those following me know I am heavily long in airlines, cruise lines, and travel companies. With today's dip, and the long-term historical moving average starting to show upward momentum, American Airlines NASDAQ:AAL is in a personal buy zone at $13.34. A further dip to $11.00 to close the daily price gaps is also where I will be adding more. Targets: $15.00 $18.00
NASDAQ:AALLong
by WorthlessViews
TRANSPORTATION! CRACK!!The transportation average breaking the first time warned us that things were not right back in July 2024. Today we are getting yet another CRACK WARNING! The TRUMP economy will be a disaster area if he doesn't change his ways quickly. Even then it may be too late. Trust in the government has eroded. Democracy and markets rely on TRUST! Trust can not be bought, or taken, it may only be lost! DANGER for bulls! last month I started to warn about Airlines (JETS) since then the results speak for themselves. Click like, follow subscribe for more!
NASDAQ:TRANShort
by RealMacro
2
JETS 7 Year ResistanceThis is a very simple chart to read. Airlines hitting a 7-year resistance trendline. Airlines are very capital-intensive and would greatly benefit from rate cuts. Despite inflation pricing power has not risen sufficiently even nominally. Oil has not helped their situation. We have seen many airlines go bankrupt, close shop, and reduce capacity. This indirectly helps the major airlines as the industry cleanses. A lot of talk of mergers and buyouts. For example, Frontier wants to merge with Spirit, Jetblue & United, and Southwest Pilot union seeking merger attorneys. Streamlining is always a good thing which is why JETS has risen as much as it has. However, this may be it according to the chart. The next move could be down from here. Airlines are very economically sensitive and a recession would hit them hard.
AMEX:JETS
by RealMacro
Sabre Corporation | SABR | Long at $3.00Sabre Corporation's NASDAQ:SABR earnings have slowly been improving since the pandemic and may be heading into profitability by 2025/2026. Disinterest in the stock may also be waning as the price creeps closer to my selected historical simple moving average (SMA, white and teal lines). Often, but not always, as the price nears this line, it jumps to make contact over a few weeks or months. Not to say that more volatility won't be ahead, but NASDAQ:SABR currently sits in a personal buy zone at $3.00. Target #1 = $4.00 Target #2 = $5.00 Target #3 = $6.70
NASDAQ:SABRLong
by WorthlessViews
JBLU Prediction: Q4 '24 Earnings Slide from Q1 '25 Guidance?It's my estimation that the market sentiment felt from AAL Q1 '25 guidance will ripple into JBLU's earnings report come JAN-28-25. While AAL beat earnings estimates (revenue up 4.6% / $0.86/share vs. $0.66/share expected), Q1 guidance was set at a loss of $-0.40/share vs. $-0.04/share. Investors I believe are expecting a much stronger output in 2025 from domestic carriers, and this was a horrible start to the year. AAL and JBLU's failed Northeast Alliance, a break up due to antitrust laws, has now caused both airlines to pay $2M in legal fees across several states. Looking at LuxAlgo's Support Resistance Signals MTF among additional indicators, I believe the underlying will touch below $7.50 after earnings are released.
NASDAQ:JBLUShort
by MFOTION1888
1
JetBlue Airways | JBLU | Long at $5.92JetBlue NASDAQ:JBLU - Earnings and revenue beat today, stock drops -26% by noon. 2025 Outlook: "For the first quarter of 2025, JetBlue expects its available seat miles (ASM) to decline 2% to 5% year-over-year, with revenue per ASM projected to range from a 0.5% decline to a 3.5% gain, while analysts had expected the metric to rise 5% year-over-year. JetBlue said it also expects cost per ASM to rise 8% to 10% in the first quarter. The airline also expects cost per ASM to rise 5% to 7% for the full fiscal year, with revenue per ASM projected to rise 3% to 6% compared to the metric staying flat in 2024." Travel is increasing rapidly from the pandemic lows and if oil continues to drop, airlines will continue to experience a boom. This outlook may be overly negative as "protection" while the company further moves toward profitability. My only concern is there is a price gap on the daily chart near $4.00 that is still open (and could be filled in the near future. But, from a technical analysis perspective, the bottom of my historical simple moving average line today is $5.90. It may bounce there, or shakeout shareholders for a while to test the $4 range. Regardless, JetBlue is a mid-level ranked airline that is, indeed, moving toward profitability - it may just take it getting through 2025 to gain investor confidence. Initial entry position started at $5.92. Target: $7.95
NASDAQ:JBLULong
by WorthlessViews
American Airlines | AAL | Long at $14.00Similar to my cruise line picks, I anticipate airlines to quite literally "take off" in the coming years as interest rates are lowered and people travel more. These two industries never quite recovered from the pandemic, but their time to do so is "likely" fast approaching. American Airlines NASDAQ:AAL has been consolidating near my selected long-term simple moving average (SMA) for several years. Many retail investors have been beaten up by the sudden up and (especially) down price movements, but this is where larger investors gather their shares. The fact NASDAQ:AAL did not make a new low in August 2024 is a hopeful sign from a technical analysis perspective. While the price may dip to close out the new lower price gaps, I think we are nearing the "take off" zone which will be a massive break through the long-term SMA. A confirmation that something bigger is brewing would be a price move into the $15s, dip down to the $12s, and the larger move up. Regardless of trying to predict bottoms, NASDAQ:AAL is in a personal buy zone at $14.00. Target #1 = $15.25 Target #2 = $16.55 Target #3 = $18.40 Target #4 = $27.00 (very long-term outlook...)
NASDAQ:AALLong
by WorthlessViews
$AAL Formation Analysis for American Airlines Group1. Bullish Flag Formation: The chart shows a strong upward move (flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase, where the price moves downward in a controlled and narrow channel (red trendline). The consolidation phase is marked by lower highs and lower lows, which aligns with a bullish flag pattern. This pattern suggests that the stock may break out upward, continuing the prior bullish trend. Key Levels: Breakout Point: Above $17.52 (resistance formed by the flag's upper red trendline). Confirmation: A strong breakout candle with high volume would confirm the pattern. Target: The height of the flagpole (~$2.50) can be added to the breakout point, projecting a target around $20.00. 2. Ascending Support: The green trendlines indicate ascending support levels, reinforcing a broader bullish trend. The price has consistently respected these trendlines, showing strength and buyers stepping in on dips. 3. Moving Average Support: The stock is trading above key moving averages (likely 8 EMA and 21 EMA), confirming a bullish bias. The 21 EMA (around $17.11) is providing dynamic support, with multiple recent bounces off this level. Potential Trade Setup: Bullish Scenario: Entry: Above $17.52 with confirmation of a breakout. Target: $18.50 (short-term) and $20.00 (based on the flagpole height projection). Stop Loss: Below $17.00 (to account for a failed breakout and loss of momentum). Bearish Scenario (if the pattern fails): Entry: Below $16.80, breaking the ascending green trendline and moving average support. Target: $16.47 (next key support level) and $15.50. Stop Loss: Above $17.35 to limit losses in case of a false breakdown. Conclusion: The chart currently shows a bullish flag pattern with potential for a breakout above $17.52, targeting higher levels. However, if the price fails to hold the ascending support or moving averages, a pullback to lower support levels is possible. Monitor for confirmation with volume to validate the breakout or breakdown.
NASDAQ:AALLong
by thedarkpooltrader
DAL... We have take offGood morning traders, If you have been following my predictions on DAL and UAL, well... WE HAVE TAKE OFF! OB has been tested, we could see a pullback testing the previous red candle but should be a decent flight from there on out. Some turbulence along the way, but shouldn't be big enough to knock this plane down. All previous areas have been tested and structurally it looks great. Hang on tight a bit more we are almost there. Keep UAL on your sights, this has much more traveling to do which means bigger profits as well. Hope you enjoy the rest of your day, and don't forget to follow for all my other predictions. Have a great rest of your week, happy trading & God Bless!
NYSE:DALLong
by Vic_Tech_Trader
Ready For TakeoffThis is a seriously long term idea on $DAL. It is very early in the idea, but I think the upward range expansion we recently saw in the 3 month bar can be acted on. If all goes smoothly, we could target around $100 for this stock. I think it is finally time. Finally time to own airlines. A good initial stop loss could be around 25 if you are comfortable giving the idea that much room. May the winds of millennials desiring unique life experiences carry us forward!
NYSE:DALLong
by redykhouse
Air Canada Analysis 10/18/24DISCLOSURE: As of 10/18/24 I have no open positions in Air Canada TSX: AC Air Canada is a Canadian airline who took a big hit during COVID and added a lot of debt to their business. Because of the unstable financial position the valuation is very low and could provide large returns in the event of a turnaround. The Debt Looking at the debt ratios the debt/equity looks very high, but the debt/asset ratio looks much better. Of course as all airlines do they use debt to buy their planes and other assets. However it is worth noting that the debt here is a problem. (Higher than competitors) For a long term buy and hold I would like to see much more cash on the balance sheet, but this is a turnaround play after all. If Air Canada's margins decrease to unprofitable they may be forced to sell assets to cover liabilities. Qualitative Looking at the qualitative metrics it is obvious that Air Canada took large losses in 2020 but has since recovered in terms of earnings, revenue, and margins. The stock price however has not recovered, this is likely due to the debt load they are stuck with now. From a long term perspective airlines are notoriously bad businesses struggling with debt, unprofitability, and an extremely competitive environment. This is why I only intend to hold this stock for a maximum of 3-5 years. Valuations The valuations are where things start to look up for this company. With a price/cash flow of 1.75 you would be getting your investment back in about 1 year 9 months. On the other hand if they lose money and are forced to sell assets the stock will likely remain flat or decline further. The way I view Air Canada is as an asymmetric bet. For example, I assigned some arbitrary values to my model where I see a 25% chance that they sell off assets. a 50% chance that earnings and margins remain stable and a 25% chance that earnings and margins increase In the worst case scenario the stock will likely fall another 25%-50% and in the best case scenario AC could be a 4x from current valuations. Of course the risk/reward I am assigning to these values is subjective and I highly suggest doing your own research to see how you feel about these outcomes. For me at current prices Air Canada TSX: AC is a buy. So long as you keep in mind the potential risks and dont be shocked if the 25% chance of the downside materializes. If you enjoyed this report I publish 2 times per week and offer consulting, portfolio analysis, and contract research. PM me if interested.
TSX:ACLong
by sihen999
2
Spirit Airlines | SAVE | Long at $2.80I'll be the contrarian. Spirit Airlines NYSE:SAVE has been beat to a pulp, but the company is still actively flying the high skies. While low-budget airlines have hit a rough patch as low-income consumers tighten their spending, the CFO recently was awarded almost $250k in options (a bullish sign). Plus, the next few years could be great for airlines as interest rates are lowered and travel increases as AI takes our jobs - what else is there to do with people's time and money?! So, while a "risky play", it is resting along my lowest selected simple moving average which (usually) spirs a rally. This may not come until the interest rate lowering anouncement (short interest is high with this one), but the price at $2.80 is currently in my personal buy zone. Target #1 = $4.00 Target #2 = $6.26
SLong
by WorthlessViews
1
Wake up the Spirit 1)Enhance Customer Experience with AI Implement AI-driven chatbots and virtual assistants to provide 24/7 customer support, handle common inquiries, and manage bookings. Use AI to personalize travel recommendations and offer tailored promotions based on customer preferences and behavior. AI can also be used to streamline the check-in process and provide real-time updates on flight status and delays. 2)Optimize Operations with Predictive Analytics Leverage predictive analytics to optimize flight schedules, maintenance, and staffing. This can help reduce delays, improve aircraft utilization, and ensure timely maintenance, thus enhancing overall efficiency and reducing costs. AI can also help in demand forecasting to better match supply with demand, reducing overbooking and underbooking issues. 3)Implement Dynamic Pricing Algorithms Adopt dynamic pricing strategies powered by AI to adjust ticket prices in real-time based on demand, competition, and other market conditions. This can help maximize revenue while remaining competitive in the market. AI-driven pricing models can also identify the optimal time to offer discounts or promotions to fill seats without undercutting profitability. 4)Focus on Sustainability Invest in fuel-efficient aircraft and explore sustainable aviation fuels to reduce the airline's carbon footprint. Implement AI to optimize flight routes for fuel efficiency. Engage customers by offering them options to offset their carbon emissions. Demonstrating a commitment to sustainability can enhance the airline's reputation and attract environmentally conscious travelers. 5)Create a Positive Work Culture Invest in training and development programs to empower employees and improve service quality. Foster a positive work environment where employees feel valued and motivated. Use AI to streamline internal processes, making it easier for employees to focus on delivering excellent customer service. Recognize and reward employees who go above and beyond, creating a culture of appreciation and support. Embracing Love in Business Love can be a transformative force in business. Encourage empathy and kindness in customer interactions. Show appreciation to loyal customers through personalized gestures and rewards. Build strong relationships with customers by listening to their feedback and continually improving based on their needs. By putting people first and cultivating a culture of love and respect, Spirit Airlines can foster loyalty and stand out in the competitive airline industry.
SLong
by TrojanBible
1
Capital A's Impressive Turnaround: Post-Pandemic Success StoryCapital A Berhad has not just bounced back post-pandemic but is soaring high above its regional competitors. The latest stock performance data tells an exciting story of resilience, innovation, and strategic brilliance. Let’s dive into how Capital A’s turnaround has translated into exceptional performance, not just in the skies and on the balance sheet, but in the financial markets as well. A Closer Look at the Numbers The chart below shows the stock performance of several major airlines in the region over recent months. Here are the airlines included: Capital A Berhad (MYX: CAPA) AirAsia X (AAX) IndiGo (INDIGO) Qantas Airways (QAN) Singapore Airlines (SIA) Cebu Pacific (CEB) VietJet Air (VJC) Capital A Leads the Pack Among these airlines, Capital A stands out with an impressive performance. Here’s what the chart reveals: Remarkable Growth: Capital A’s stock saw a significant rise, peaking around 36% before settling at approximately 28%. This growth is a testament to the company’s strong recovery and strategic initiatives post-pandemic. Stability Amidst Volatility: Unlike many of its competitors, Capital A has maintained a steady upward trend, showing resilience against market fluctuations. Outshining Peers: While AirAsia X also performed well initially, it didn’t sustain its momentum as effectively as Capital A. IndiGo showed a similar decline. This indicates that Capital A's strategies are yielding better investor confidence and stability. Regional Competitors: Airlines like Qantas, Singapore Airlines, and Cebu Pacific have seen moderate gains but haven’t matched Capital A’s impressive growth, hovering between 0% to 10%. Underperforming Rivals: VietJet Air displayed minimal gains or even losses, highlighting the challenges faced by some airlines in the current market environment. The Secrets Behind Capital A’s Success Several factors are driving Capital A’s stellar performance: Diversification and Innovation: Capital A has expanded beyond traditional airline operations into digital businesses and logistics. This diversification provides a buffer against market risks specific to the aviation sector. Efficient Cost Management: Known for its cost-efficient operations, Capital A continues to emphasize cost management, which supports its strong financial performance. Adaptive Strategies: The ability to swiftly adapt to changing market conditions, such as fluctuating fuel prices and varying travel demand, has been crucial. Strong Brand and Network: Capital A enjoys strong brand loyalty and recognition within the ASEAN region, bolstered by an extensive route network ensuring steady passenger traffic. Looking Ahead Capital A’s trajectory suggests a promising future if current strategies and market conditions remain favorable. However, potential challenges like economic downturns, regulatory changes, and geopolitical tensions could impact the aviation sector. Conclusion Capital A Berhad's post-pandemic turnaround is a remarkable success story. Its impressive stock performance against regional peers underscores the effectiveness of its business strategies and market positioning. As the aviation industry continues to recover, Capital A’s innovative approaches and adaptive strategies will likely keep it soaring high. This success extends beyond the cabin and balance sheet, making waves in the financial markets and offering a beacon of optimism for stakeholders and investors alike.
MYX:CAPITALA
by rossbrannigan
2