$BA historical support, BTFDId say this is worth the risk
As long as the company doesnt collapse.....
Might even get a bailout
Airlines
$DAL can fall in next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea.
Delta Air Lines attempted to reverse the trend yesterday. The attempt was failed.
Today stock opened lower than yesterday's close price and continue falling.
Despite oil prices falling, the general condition for this stock is shortable due to COVID-19 panic.
Profit from lower oil prices is not enough to cover losses from lower passenger traffic.
I suppose the price will be falling in the next days. So I opened a short position from $42.40;
stop-loss — $44,36 — over today's high;
Information about take-profits will be later.
Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision.
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You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy.
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American Airlines AAL ready to bounce yet?I've never traded airline stocks. I like AAL here though-seeing a potential broadening formation. I might consider a small position and set a target for that unfilled gap. Longer term, airline stocks appear cheap right now although I'm not ready to turn bullish on them yet. I'm just not that familiar with them.. but this looks like it has good potential.
Short UALWith the Coronavirus spreading and airlines taking a hit, UAL should fall as hard as BA if not harder, this broke our yearly support of $51.5 but closed above, we could see a bounce to $54.31 before heading lower to $45.5 then $40.5, below $49.5 will be my entry for swings.
BA heading lower??As the market continues to sell off and airlines take a hit due to travel restrictions, BA is looking good to hit yearly support around $213. This is a longshot but after selling off $20 on Friday and continued virus confirmations over the weekend, this is looking better and better.
R.I.P. BOEING AIRLINES, WEEKLY H & S, Previously Predicted 12/19I said it before and I will say it again, Boeing is dead, get the heck out! In December I noted that we had a huge potential head and shoulders on Boeing.
I've got my Fibonacci targets showing up at $236, $178, and $135. I would expect to see $236 by early next month, $178 by April- May and $135 within June-Aug.
THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
Aerovironment LowAVAV is currently trading at a major low range and their earnings is expected to be announced later at the end of the trading day today. With the stock up alrady 2% during the day there may be some strong optimism around the stock for the earnings report.
AALAmerican Airlines felt significant drop after flight cancellations and international travel decrease. Currently price is testing below annual lows and out of its previous trading range. MACD is attempting to gain some stability as the price levels attempt to find support in the massive sell off.
UAL headed to $40Seems like a wild call. But around May-June timeframe I firmly believe United will be around $40, if not sooner.
This covid-19 disease has pretty much stopped air travel. You might think you saw your airport with people in there and other anecdotal stories. But I know many
But I can tell you that business travel has been cut to almost zero. I know this is a once in a generation event for travel, and for the airlines, it may be worse than the financial crisis. Maybe not worse but different. And the numbers have not even shown up in the books as of yet.
I am hoping United bounces closer to $70 this week on false hope... and then I will place a very large short.
Best of luck trading.
Long term short campaign entry: $BAConsidering years of range-bound PA, awful financial situation and crumbling fundamentals, I'll be shorting this stock at POE. Price objective: $80.
AL Testing Final Support Level Above 200 MATrade Background:
Price has been in a downward trend since the start of this year. This is due to the market pricing in less demand in flying due to the corona virus. For this reason price has fallen to key support just above 200 MA. Look for a swing to the topside of the trend as market sentiment recovers. Cut loss if price consolidates below 200 MA.
Trade Idea:
Entry: 42.50 to 44.00
Stop loss: 42.00
Southwest Airlines working on a year long breakout pattern$LUV weekly
An old chart from 2019.
Seriously? A year long c&h breakout pattern?
This will get juicy and likely timed with bullish $BA news.
New ATH's likely.
Gorgeous.
JetBlue IdeaThe current fair value of the stock based on Buffets equation is just over $40 meaning there is a lot of room for the stock price to grow. Earnings was stong and price tested the new resistance of $20 and looks to be testing to make new highs currently. Looking for potential pullback or rejection of next level to enter in on a lower price.
Get out of crude exposure nowI believe that the NCOV virus (with an R0 of 2 and kill rate of 2-3%, incubation time of 1 week) threatens to spread worldwide AND SHUT DOWN WORLD AIR TRAFFIC and many countries may close off their borders. A single passenger jet flight consumes 36000 gallons of jet fuel, people will stop going to crowded areas and travel less, and trucks will stop running their normal routes. Even a few hundred flight routes being suspended would murder energy demand worldwide. Nothing short of a false flag event by the MIC can save the crude price, cut your losses or take profits now.
American Airlines: Buy opportunity on the 1W MA50 break out.AAL has completed 2 years since the January 2018 top. The downtrend since then has been non-stop and 1W even formed a Channel Down with the MA50 (blue line) acting as a Resistance and Lower High.
With 1W however turning neutral (RSI = 49.107, STOCH = 47.539, ADX = 14.260, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) after finding Support at 24.70 (has been holding since June 2016) and even making a Double Bottom there, and the RSI on a bullish divergence, we are expecting a strong bullish break out once the MA50 breaks.
We will buy on the break out and aim at the 1W MA200 (orange line).
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Finnair's support zone holding - BullishHello everyone! Time for free analysis! :)
Finnair has been downtrending for months now and by now we are able to trade the uptrend. In December Finnair was priced at 5.5€ and since then it has been uptrending. Support trendline has been strong and it has not been broken. When touched, it will go back up.
Today Finnair has been declining for 3.5%. Good opportunity to long.
Earlier in the chart I have analyzed Finnair's profit levels. (Unfortunately not in the picture).
The most common price channel on Finnair has been 6.87 to 7.515.
Here is what I suggest:
-Long Finnair.
First profit takeout: 0.236 fibo (6.410)
Second profit takeout: 6.820€
Third profit takeout: 7.15€
At best there is 18% upside.
Dark blue lines = low-point trendlines
Light blue = top-point trendlines
Feel free to leave comment! What do you think about Finnair's future?
Alaska Airlines 10 to 1 Risk to Reward TradeLow risk, high reward trade into Alaska Airlines. 2% risk for 20% reward using pitchfork analysis, moving averages, and time analysis.
Alaska Airlines looks ready to pop this weekAlaska is rated the second-best Airline, according to the Wall Street Journal. It is extremely undervalued, with a PEG ratio of about 0.5. News has been extremely positive for Alaska lately. In terms of technicals, Alaska looks to be right above a volume support and ready to bounce. Another way to play Alaska earnings is to diversify risk by buying the JETS ETF.
Even if it misses its earnings target this week-- and it has a history of beating rather than missing estimates-- it might get a bump from raising its dividend. Alaska was one of five companies named in a Barrons article today titled "Comcast, Valero, and 3 Other Companies Expected to Increase Their Dividends Next Week."
Options buyers have neglected Alaska, with most of the open options being puts, but that just means that the bullish fundamentals aren't priced in yet. I will go long on Alaska Monday morning.
AAL: terrible airline, good setup pre-earningsAmerican Airlines was recently rated one of the worst major airlines by the Wall Street Journal, and the news for the company overall hasn't been great. However, the technical setup looks fairly nice, with American near a support level and showing a long period of bullish divergence on the weekly RSI and MACD. It's got a 1.5% dividend yield and a really good valuation at 5.67 forward P/E.
AAL has earnings next week, and has generally tended to slightly beat analyst estimates over the last 8 quarters. An earnings beat for AAL could be the catalyst to send the stock into a new uptrend, especially if fuel prices continue to fall as the EIA predicts. Instead of playing AAL earnings, maybe consider diversifying your risk by buying the JETS ETF. Some other airlines, including Alaska Airlines, have similarly juicy setups and also report earnings this week.
Delta Airlines +12% - 90 Day StrategyBetween November 2012 and May 2014 Delta Airlines had a colossal run that took it from $9 to a staggering $42 dollars in a little bit under a 2-year period. Ever since, $Delta has continued to perform positively; well within the confines of a new channel that feels a lot like an extended ascending triangle maturing into its upcoming apex. This channel can be identified by the dotted lines in the chart. For 6 years now, $Delta’s behavior has been highly predictable much in thanks to market capitulation, quarterly earnings and a booming economy.
At this moment, I can identify a few factors that are making me confident to enter $Delta at its current price level with an initial target of $65.49 (or +11.17% of where it is now). Based on my trend analysis, I believe this price will be reached between the end of March and mid-April 2020.
Besides the trend analysis and tracing I’ve included in the chart, I’ve also corroborated my findings or projection with a confirmation breakout in the MACD on the weekly chart, as can be seen below as well as room for growth in the RSI before it reaches overbought territories.
Once my initial target has been met, a retracement to either the mid-channel support (yellow-dotted line) or the bottom of triangle can be expected. Re-entering at both of these levels is a good, smart way of averaging out your purchase costs before the next impulse begins.
Target: $65.49
U.S Dollar Based THYAO : LongWhen we look at the stock of Turkish Airlines (THYAO) on an US American Dollar based, we see that we are just above the support.
The stock has not been able to participate in the rally on the Turkish stock exchange for several weeks.
Today's U.S Dollar / Turkish Lira rate of sharp decline and the acceleration of the decline in Brent Crude Oil, I think we will make a nice opening and can head towards the target.
The analysis contains a valuable risk / reward ratio and may be less risky in the following parameters:
Risk/Reward Ratio : 1/ 2.5
Position Size : < %20 of Stock Portfolio and %1-%2 for Futures
Stop-Loss : 2.19
Target : 2.54
Regards.
JETS finally taking offAirline stocks have had a lot of bullish options interest for the last month or so, thanks to their attractive valuations (less than 10 P/E!) and strong earnings growth. However, the stocks have been unable to break out due to high fuel prices. With Iran conflict cooling and oil prices falling, the JETS ETF is finally gaining some momentum this week. Individual airline stocks such as JBLU and SAVE got upgrades yesterday, which should be good for the ETF's near-term performance.
Bullish call activity in Spirit AirlinesSpirit Airlines (SAVE) is bouncing from 50 RSI today and getting unusually bullish call option activity. With a P/E under 8 and the earnings outlook starting to turn upward, the discount airline looks like a great value at the current price. If the earnings picture continues to improve, we ought to see $55 per share in 2020.
