BA Gap Fill SetupBA 65m: Acute analysis potential gap fill to upside contingent on auction acceptance. Positive ER from UAL, expanded partnership with Invictus Games this morning, and ER next week catalysts for participants// 215.55 is a KL to be watched as it is where auction failure has occurred five times YTD// KLs 206.80, 208.77, 208.94, 210.13, 211.50, 212.56, 215.55// Beta 1.43, ATR 5.72, IV: 34.09%// Price at time of publish: 210.65
Airlines
American Airlines Group: The Best Stock to Buy Right Now?The pandemic hit the airline industry hard, with many companies filing for bankruptcy or struggling to stay afloat. However, one company that has managed to weather the storm is American Airlines. Despite facing unprecedented challenges, American Airlines (NASDAQ: AAL) has survived and emerged stronger than ever before. So if you’re looking for a smart investment opportunity in these uncertain times, read on to discover why investing in American Airlines could pay off big time!
A new and strong weekly demand imbalance trading at $12.85 per share took control last week, in April 2023. The strength of the impulse is important. This is a long-term investment opportunity for American Airlines (NASDAQ: AAL) stock.
JET2 PLC ORD GBP 4H LSE AVIATION SECTORJET2 PERFORMING WELL OVERALL SINCE THE COVID CRASH, STRUGGLED TO BREAK PAST THE 3 YEAR RESISTANCE OF APPROX 1403 ON A NUMBER OF OCCASSIONS, RISING WEDGES TEND TO BREAK TO THE DOWNSIDE 68% OF THE TIME,
FUNDAMENTALS ARE BRILLIANT ON THIS ONE. NEW TRAINING CENTRE AND AIRCRAFTS PURCHASES.
Jet2 Plc Market Data
TIDM JET2
Ticker Code JET2.L
ISIN GB00B1722W11
Currency GBX
Issue Country GB
Sector Ticker NMX2770
Year End 31-Mar-2022
Shares in Issue 215m
Market Cap. £2,802m
Market Size 2,000
PE Ratio -8.878
Earnings -147.00
Dividend 3.00
Yield 0.230%
# of Trades 700
Vol Sold 219,018
Vol Bought 96,967
52 Week High 1,394.50
52 Week High Date 08-Mar-2023
52 Week Low 637.40
52 Week Low Date 13-Oct-2022
JET2 Fundamentals
Standard IFRS IFRS IFRS IFRS IFRS
Millions Millions Millions Millions Millions
Income Statement 30 Mar '22 31 Mar '21 30 Mar '21 31 Mar '20 30 Mar '20
Revenue 1,231.70 395.40 395.40 3,584.70 3,584.70
Operating Profit / Loss (323.90) (336.10) (336.10) 184.60 184.60
Net Interest (66.00) (34.60) (34.60) (37.60) (37.60)
Pre Tax Profit (388.80) (369.90) (369.90) 147.70 147.70
Post Tax Profit (315.40) (299.50) (299.50) 111.60 111.60
Profit for the Period (315.40) (271.20) (271.20) 116.00 116.00
Equity Holders of Parent Company (315.40) (271.20) (271.20) 116.00 116.00
Minority Interests n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a
Continuing EPS
Earnings per Share (Basic) (147.00p) (151.20p) (166.90p) 77.90p 77.90p
Earnings per Share (Diluted) (147.00p) (166.90p) (166.90p) 74.80p 74.80p
Earnings per Share (Adjusted) (147.00p) (166.90p) (166.90p) 75.00p 75.00p
Continuing and Discontinued EPS
Earnings per Share (Basic) (147.00p) (151.20p) (166.90p) 77.90p 77.90p
Earnings per Share (Diluted) (147.00p) (151.20p) (166.90p) 77.80p 77.80p
Earnings per Share (Adjusted) (147.00p) (151.20p) (166.90p) 77.90p 77.90p
Dividend per Share n/a n/a n/a 3.00p 3.00p
Millions Millions Millions Millions Millions
Balance Sheet 30 Mar '22 31 Mar '21 30 Mar '21 31 Mar '20 30 Mar '20
United Airlines (UAL): Buy the DipUnited Airlines (UAL) stock recently dipped over 20% as a result of poor guidance for Q1. The company over estimated for Q1. However, United is positive for Q2 based on bookings. So, if they were to lower guidance for Q2 and the rest of the year, I would say the sell off might be justified. However, that is not the case. UAL's EPS projections remain $10 to $12 for the full year. So, this is a buying opportunity in my opinion.
The technical perspective shows the stock near an oversold condition on the daily chart RSI. The price could dip further to the next support level in the $30s, but it might find a bottom around the current level in the low $40s. Check out my link below for a full article.
$UAL Riding the Turbulence$UAL stock dropped due to Q1 cost and downtime headwinds, but airlines expect strong demand and Q2 profitability.
I'm opening 1/3 call position, adding 2 more times if weakness continues:
Strike: $45.
Exp: 6/16/23 or later
Cost: $3.60 per contract
The cost per contract could be lower based on market movements tomorrow. I plan to swing my first 1/3 $UAL call position through #FOMC and will update on this position going forward to the point of sale.
Decaying IV and stagnant marketsThe airlines have been pretty quiet lately with the year being primarily sideways trending and relatively unchanged.
Although earnings have been well the IV has remained low all year long. With potential to the upside remaining plausible there is not currently a push of buyers entering new positions.
Remaining neutral with a slight negative bias for the next few weeks based on current market conditions
AAL American Airlines Options Ahead Of EarningsI you haven`t bought my last call on AAL:
the you should know that Looking at the AAL American Airlines options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $16 strike price Puts with
2023-1-27 expiration date for about
$0.36 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
DAL Delta Air Lines Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought DAL at my last call:
then you should know that looking at the DAL Delta Air Lines options chain ahead of earnings, I would buy the $35 strike price in the money Calls with
2023-1-20 expiration date for about
$1.79 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
MESA | Great Long Entry | AirlinesMesa Air Group, Inc. operates as the holding company for Mesa Airlines, Inc. that provides regional air carrier services under capacity purchase agreements with the American Airlines and the United Airlines. It also engages in leasing aircrafts to third parties. As of September 30, 2021, the company operated a fleet of 167 aircraft, which include 153 owned aircrafts and 14 leased aircrafts with approximately 507 daily departures to 129 cities in the United States and Mexico. Mesa Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
BA Simple Chart AnalysisBA - Resistance 195 & 229 area. Support 172 area. Red chip does appear aggressive here. Since China had already open their border, individual can look into it.
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
HA | About to Take Flight | LONGHawaiian Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, Hawaiian Airlines, Inc., engages in the scheduled air transportation of passengers and cargo. The company provides daily services on North America routes between the State of Hawai'i and Long Beach, Los Angeles, Oakland, Sacramento, San Diego, San Francisco, and San Jose, California; Las Vegas, Nevada; Seattle, Washington; Portland, Oregon; Phoenix, Arizona; and New York City, New York. It also offers scheduled service between the State of Hawai'i and Austin, Texas; Boston, Massachusetts; Orlando, Florida; and Pago Pago, American Samoa. In addition, the company provides daily service on its Neighbor Island routes among the four major islands of the State of Hawai'i. Further, it offers scheduled service on its international routes between the State of Hawai'i and Tokyo (Narita), Japan, Osaka, Japan; Sydney, Australia; Papeete, Tahiti; and Seoul, South Korea, as well as operates various ad hoc charters. Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. distributes its tickets through various distribution channels, including its website hawaiianairlines.com primarily for North America and Neighbor Island routes, as well as through travel agencies and wholesale distributors for its international routes. As of December 31, 2021, the company's fleet consisted of 19 Boeing 717-200 aircraft for the Neighbor Island routes; 24 Airbus A330-200 aircraft; and 18 Airbus A321neo for the North America and international routes. Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii.
Airbus to stop flying?Airbus - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 110.96 (stop at 116.02)
Price action continued to range between key support & resistance (90 - 112) and we expect this to continue.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
The previous high is located at 111.04.
Our profit targets will be 98.16 and 93.16
Resistance: 112.00 / 116.00 / 119.00
Support: 105.50 / 102.50 / 100.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
BA - Long idea followed by huge retracement.Daily consolidating in a bull flag for wave 4. We will likely see new highs on this name, followed by a big pullback soon.
179.32 breakout level with a target of 183 187 where we can see some fresh pool of sellers showing up and pushing the price down back into 150s.
American Airlines Group flying up to $16.93 Inv Head and Shoulders has formed on Daily chart
We are just waiting for the breakout which will send the price to Target $16.93
With the bull market across the board with investors moving their money back to stocks and out of crypto, we are seeing global upside to come for stocks.
UNITED AIRLINES up by +8% post earnings but Resistance Zone loomThe United Airlines Holdings (UAL) has risen so far by +8.05% intra day following the much higher than expecting earnings yesterday (EPS 2.81 against 2.24 forecast). By doing so, the price is about to hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since June 08 2022. Despite this impressive one day rise, we can't turn bullish long-term on United just yet as despite the 1D MA200, the price just to overcome the Lower Highs Zone of the March 18 2021 trend-line.
Apart from that, the 1D RSI just entered into the Resistance Zone, which since March 2021, has formed all Lower Highs. Technically we should be expecting a pull-back to at least the 1D MA50 and then see how long-term buyers may react. If that doesn't happen and the earnings push the price further, we consider buying long-term only if the March 2021 Lower Highs trend-line breaks.
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Air Liquide drops should attract buyers.Air Liquide - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 115.12 (stop at 111.78)
The primary trend remains bullish.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
Support is located at 115 and should stem dips to this area.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Our profit targets will be 123.88 and 126.88
Resistance: 120 / 125 / 130
Support: 115 / 110 / 105
Weekly perspective
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Smart Money Concepts in action - 30% profit, runningGood Day.
In principle, Smart Money Concepts/Order Block Strategies/Wyckoff (to name just a few), aim to do one thing - identify where Banks & Financial Institutions are stacking their buy or sell orders, anticipate Retail Trader stops being liquidated, and jump on board to ride the wave with the Smart Money.
OTB (On The Beach) is a UK-based travel operator, a sector that's been beat-down heavily in recent weeks - and recently re-visiting its Covid Lows. Perfect opportunity for Smart Money to manipulate the market, trap sellers and liquidate early buyers who sold off in fear.
BFI's do this every week - rinse and repeat.
Our Strategy anticipates the 'washout', and enters on c.50% fib of the Spring.
Let me know what you think of the trade set-up above - we anticipate holding on for a good deal longer, for a 2-3X return.
Best,
Figuring Out Finance