Decaying IV and stagnant marketsThe airlines have been pretty quiet lately with the year being primarily sideways trending and relatively unchanged.
Although earnings have been well the IV has remained low all year long. With potential to the upside remaining plausible there is not currently a push of buyers entering new positions.
Remaining neutral with a slight negative bias for the next few weeks based on current market conditions
Airlines
AAL American Airlines Options Ahead Of EarningsI you haven`t bought my last call on AAL:
the you should know that Looking at the AAL American Airlines options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $16 strike price Puts with
2023-1-27 expiration date for about
$0.36 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
DAL Delta Air Lines Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought DAL at my last call:
then you should know that looking at the DAL Delta Air Lines options chain ahead of earnings, I would buy the $35 strike price in the money Calls with
2023-1-20 expiration date for about
$1.79 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
MESA | Great Long Entry | AirlinesMesa Air Group, Inc. operates as the holding company for Mesa Airlines, Inc. that provides regional air carrier services under capacity purchase agreements with the American Airlines and the United Airlines. It also engages in leasing aircrafts to third parties. As of September 30, 2021, the company operated a fleet of 167 aircraft, which include 153 owned aircrafts and 14 leased aircrafts with approximately 507 daily departures to 129 cities in the United States and Mexico. Mesa Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1982 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
BA Simple Chart AnalysisBA - Resistance 195 & 229 area. Support 172 area. Red chip does appear aggressive here. Since China had already open their border, individual can look into it.
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
HA | About to Take Flight | LONGHawaiian Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, Hawaiian Airlines, Inc., engages in the scheduled air transportation of passengers and cargo. The company provides daily services on North America routes between the State of Hawai'i and Long Beach, Los Angeles, Oakland, Sacramento, San Diego, San Francisco, and San Jose, California; Las Vegas, Nevada; Seattle, Washington; Portland, Oregon; Phoenix, Arizona; and New York City, New York. It also offers scheduled service between the State of Hawai'i and Austin, Texas; Boston, Massachusetts; Orlando, Florida; and Pago Pago, American Samoa. In addition, the company provides daily service on its Neighbor Island routes among the four major islands of the State of Hawai'i. Further, it offers scheduled service on its international routes between the State of Hawai'i and Tokyo (Narita), Japan, Osaka, Japan; Sydney, Australia; Papeete, Tahiti; and Seoul, South Korea, as well as operates various ad hoc charters. Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. distributes its tickets through various distribution channels, including its website hawaiianairlines.com primarily for North America and Neighbor Island routes, as well as through travel agencies and wholesale distributors for its international routes. As of December 31, 2021, the company's fleet consisted of 19 Boeing 717-200 aircraft for the Neighbor Island routes; 24 Airbus A330-200 aircraft; and 18 Airbus A321neo for the North America and international routes. Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1929 and is headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii.
Airbus to stop flying?Airbus - 30d expiry - We look to Sell at 110.96 (stop at 116.02)
Price action continued to range between key support & resistance (90 - 112) and we expect this to continue.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
The previous high is located at 111.04.
Our profit targets will be 98.16 and 93.16
Resistance: 112.00 / 116.00 / 119.00
Support: 105.50 / 102.50 / 100.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
BA - Long idea followed by huge retracement.Daily consolidating in a bull flag for wave 4. We will likely see new highs on this name, followed by a big pullback soon.
179.32 breakout level with a target of 183 187 where we can see some fresh pool of sellers showing up and pushing the price down back into 150s.
American Airlines Group flying up to $16.93 Inv Head and Shoulders has formed on Daily chart
We are just waiting for the breakout which will send the price to Target $16.93
With the bull market across the board with investors moving their money back to stocks and out of crypto, we are seeing global upside to come for stocks.
UNITED AIRLINES up by +8% post earnings but Resistance Zone loomThe United Airlines Holdings (UAL) has risen so far by +8.05% intra day following the much higher than expecting earnings yesterday (EPS 2.81 against 2.24 forecast). By doing so, the price is about to hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since June 08 2022. Despite this impressive one day rise, we can't turn bullish long-term on United just yet as despite the 1D MA200, the price just to overcome the Lower Highs Zone of the March 18 2021 trend-line.
Apart from that, the 1D RSI just entered into the Resistance Zone, which since March 2021, has formed all Lower Highs. Technically we should be expecting a pull-back to at least the 1D MA50 and then see how long-term buyers may react. If that doesn't happen and the earnings push the price further, we consider buying long-term only if the March 2021 Lower Highs trend-line breaks.
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Air Liquide drops should attract buyers.Air Liquide - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 115.12 (stop at 111.78)
The primary trend remains bullish.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
Support is located at 115 and should stem dips to this area.
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Our profit targets will be 123.88 and 126.88
Resistance: 120 / 125 / 130
Support: 115 / 110 / 105
Weekly perspective
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Smart Money Concepts in action - 30% profit, runningGood Day.
In principle, Smart Money Concepts/Order Block Strategies/Wyckoff (to name just a few), aim to do one thing - identify where Banks & Financial Institutions are stacking their buy or sell orders, anticipate Retail Trader stops being liquidated, and jump on board to ride the wave with the Smart Money.
OTB (On The Beach) is a UK-based travel operator, a sector that's been beat-down heavily in recent weeks - and recently re-visiting its Covid Lows. Perfect opportunity for Smart Money to manipulate the market, trap sellers and liquidate early buyers who sold off in fear.
BFI's do this every week - rinse and repeat.
Our Strategy anticipates the 'washout', and enters on c.50% fib of the Spring.
Let me know what you think of the trade set-up above - we anticipate holding on for a good deal longer, for a 2-3X return.
Best,
Figuring Out Finance
Mr. Wonderful KnewThis idea is a study of the top 4 US Airlines compared to inflation rates.
I still vividly remember the day I decided to learn about markets and economics.
It was the Friday after markets closed on January 29th, 2021 and Kevin O’Leary (Mr. Wonderful) was on CNBC debating the so called reddit short squeeze of gamestop with MA Sec of State William Galvin.
With Mr. Wonderful as a template I followed his investment ideas. In March of 2021, O’Leary was on CNBC again, this time explaining why investors should be short airlines.
That was at the Head in this head and shoulder pattern forming on US airlines.
O’Leary was shorting Airlines because he believes the office and business paradigm shifted to virtual so seamlessly during covid that in the future, businesses will not justify flying to see clients for business meetings when everything can be done virtual saving all the costs.
His short idea was coming during extreme Quantitative Easing from the FED and Airlines were rallying with every other equity in the markets.
But in the end he was right. Since March 2021 to the neckline of my ideas H&S, US airlines are down 45% in 1 year.
So why is inflation such a strong indication of what airline prices will do?
Because ~50% of Americans will stop paying for air travel as the first cost saving measure in hard economic times.
Inflation has been trending higher for over 15 years in a diverging pattern towards the 100Y trend of 3.52 inflation year over year.
My speculative outlook on airlines is short for the foreseeable future until inflation makes it down to the feds target of 2%.
Expect economy airlines like LUV to perform better than the other traditional airlines during this time as passengers look for the best deals.
If you like this idea, hit the boost and bookmark the idea for future updates. I plan to add my options strategies for the short and provide monthly CPI updates
Airbus slowly approaching crucial support.Airbus - Intraday - We look to Buy at 90.51 (stop at 88.38)
Weekly pivot is at 88.96.
Weekly pivot is at 88.91.
Bespoke support is located at 90.00.
Dips continue to attract buyers.
We look to buy dips.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Our profit targets will be 96.66 and 97.56
Resistance: 95.00 / 97.00 / 100.00
Support: 90.00 / 89.00 / 88.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Airbus slowly approaching crucial resistance.Airbus - Intraday - We look to Sell at 110.91 (stop at 113.51)
112.00 continues to hold back the bulls.
Daily signals are mildly bearish.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
Bespoke resistance is located at 112.00.
Resistance could prove difficult to breakdown.
The previous swing high is located at 111.04.
Our profit targets will be 104.31 and 102.31
Resistance: 102.00 / 107.00 / 112.00
Support: 99.00 / 94.00 / 90.00
Daily chart
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
JET2 1HOUR LSE UK chart looking ok for swing trades, support and resistance lines drawn. apply stop losses to your trades, good risk management.
jet 2 is great long term stock to hold, but if your want to trade it, they're is plenty opportunities to make money, with good trade setups.
Previous Close 882. 40
Open 895.80
Bid 880.20 x N/A
Ask 883.80 x N/A
Day's Range 874.60 - 910.00
52 Week Range 739.55 - 1,434.19
Volume 101,634
Avg . Volume 663,853
Jet2 has a market capitalization of UK£1.96b,
March 2022, Jet2 had UK £991.7m of debt, up from UK £756.2m a year ago.
balance sheet data, we can see that Jet2 had liabilities of UK£1.68b due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£1.42b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£2.23b and UK£185.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling UK£682.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Jet2 Chart LSE 1D LSE:JET2
chart looking ok for swing trades, support and resistance lines drawn. apply stop losses to your trades, good risk management.
jet 2 is great long term stock to hold, but if your want to trade it, they're is plenty opportunities to make money, with good trade setups.
long at 865.5, stop loss at 846.4 ,take profit at 998.6
Previous Close 882.40
Open 895.80
Bid 880.20 x N/A
Ask 883.80 x N/A
Day's Range 874.60 - 910.00
52 Week Range 739.55 - 1,434.19
Volume 101,634
Avg. Volume 663,853
Jet2 has a market capitalization of UK£1.96b,
March 2022, Jet2 had UK £991.7m of debt, up from UK £756.2m a year ago.
balance sheet data, we can see that Jet2 had liabilities of UK£1.68b due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£1.42b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£2.23b and UK£185.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling UK£682.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.