ALB
ALB Priming For Another Leg Up?ALB(Alien Base) has been on the move over the last week, looks like its thinking about taking another leg up here, check it out only 29mil MC so there is plenty of upside potential, it's a native DEX on the Base Chain! Active Community, come chat in discord!
alienbase.xyz
Investing in Albemarle (ALB): A Strategic OpportunityAlbemarle (ALB) stock has been decimated recently, but this presents a prime opportunity for savvy investors.
If you, like me, believe in the future of lithium and electric vehicles, ALB is a stock you cannot afford to overlook.
As a leading lithium producer, Albemarle is integral to the EV revolution. The stock is a key component in many ETFs focused on batteries and lithium, alongside giants like Tesla, BYD, Panasonic, and Samsung.
With the growing demand for EVs, Albemarle's pivotal role in the supply chain ensures it is well-positioned for substantial long-term growth. Invest in ALB now to capitalize on the future of sustainable transportation.
Trading at 65% below estimate of its fair value
Earnings are forecast to grow 55% per year
Albemarle Corp - ALB end of correctionAlbemarle Corp has been in an Elliott steep ABC correction all the way down from ATH 335 and might have bottomed at 106 forming a cypher like pattern with:
AB = .5 of XA,
C extended 1.18 of XA &
CD retraced .798 of XC, while this is a minor deviation from a classic cypher .786 (due to a wild wick of a red candle on a day when they announced shareholder dilution) What I don’t really like is ATH C point which should be at least 1.272 of XA.
Would consider it to be a correction, and not a major downtrend coz out of ABC wave set, Wc has retraced not more than 1.618 of Wa i.e. length is 186 vs 126, hence – it’s a correction and per cypher pattern it should end as the stock observed several minor swings from 106-110 lows to resistance levels of 130-140.
110-112 recently was a demand zone being an upper band of earlier demand zone 90-112 (Sep’20 – Oct’20 candles)
To prove the cypher end of CD retracement I looked more broadly at ALB monthly chart. Over decades history it retraced twice: Apr’09 at fibo .854 and Mar’20 (pandemic) .764 meaning historically the stock gives up 75-85 per cent of preceding growth
As of March 24 point D also stands at 80 per cent retracement
Tactically it is trading within a downward channel. I would consider long once it breaks the resistance line (the upper green line) with a target first somewhere 194
ALB Albemarle Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ALB Albemarle Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 110usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-2-16,
for a premium of approximately $3.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Probably it`s the last dip before the reversal.
9/28/22 ALBAlbemarle Corporation ( NYSE:ALB )
Sector: Process Industries (Chemicals: Specialty)
Market Capitalization: $31.587B
Current Price: $277.95
Breakout price: $297.50
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $275.50-$250.30
Price Target: $364.40-$369.30 (3rd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 152-162d (3rd)
Contract of Interest: $ALB 3/17/23 320c
Trade price as of publish date: $32.20/contract
$ALB Short IdeaALB big gap up before ER has me suspect... also technically it looks like FEB price action is still in a downward channel, and now there is a juicy gap below :)
I like the R/R on a short before ER's move.
Small size, picked up a few puts. Can also do bear spreads for less risk exposure.
5/18/22 ALBAlbemarle Corporation ( NYSE:ALB )
Sector: Process Industries (Chemicals: Specialty)
Market Capitalization: $27.636B
Current Price: $235.98
Breakout price: $243.05
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $231.20-$210.80
Price Target: $263.40-$265.50 (1st), $288.00-$291.50 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 86-90d (1st), 159-166d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $ALB 9/16/22 250c, $ALB 12/16/22
Trade price as of publish date: $22.20/contract, $31.05/contract
Albemarle - Swing trade opportunityToday, an opening gap appeared on the daily chart of Albemarle; as a result, this offers an opportunity for a simple trade setup. We are currently bearish on Albemarle and expect a complete retracement of the opening gap. Therefore, we would like to set a price target for Alb at 198.44 USD.
Illustration 1.01
Albemarle opened up almost 7%.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI and Stochastic turned bullish. DM+ and DM- performed bullish crossover. However, we think these are false bullish signals. We conclude this from a low ADX value. The daily time frame is deceptive.
Illustration 1.02
The picture above shows the short-trade setup.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bearish. DM+ and DM- perform whipsaws, and ADX contains a low value. That indicates the presence of a very weak trend. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Albemarle (ALB) Is Currently At 205; Wait For Retracement At 215Last week I suggested shorting Albemarle (ALB) if it pushed through the many levels of support and closed below 215 in price.
Technical analysis in the form of chart patterns like descending triangles, double tops, multiple downward spikes, an increase in volume on the uptrend, and the Fibonacci retracement along with a close below a long-term upward trendline suggested that it was poised to fall.
We couldn’t for sure confirm that it was in a downtrend because it had not yet been established with the 1-2-3 method.
There was also a large head and shoulders pattern that was not confirmed. However, closing at 211 (price) on the 24th of January confirmed this pattern.
Your profits would have been massive if you had jumped in short 215 as I suggested and placed a tight stop just above one of my resistance levels (between 216 and 219). A bailout when the price reached its floor of 196, anything between 4.5 and a 9 to 1.
Take into consideration that all the confluence pointed to a massive drop, and in these situations, I like to keep my stop-loss tight to maximize profit-taking. It is risky, and there is a chance you may get stopped out, but that occurs with every trade. I was spot on in this scenario, and a 9 to 1 win is a pretty sweet deal.
Now, if you missed the trade and are kicking yourself (and you should be), don’t worry because the retracement is in progress. Using the Fibonacci retracement again, we can see that the 38% level is at 215, exactly right up against all those resistance (former support levels) levels.
It is highly unlikely that Albemarle (ALB) is going to recover from this price drop in the next couple of days.
We can now be on the lookout for a symmetrical triangle (created by the new low at 196) and a possible channel establishing the downtrend further.
If you are brave enough, you can put in a limit at 215 and place your stop-loss at 216. If prices drops to 196, your profits will be 19 to 1. Remember that besides having all the resistance at 215, 215 is a round number where many traders are possibly holding their position. This means that price will most likely find it difficult to move higher.
This also means that the price may not hit 215 because of the number of traders who have shorted there, so it's better to get in at 214.
A healthier (and smarter) trade would be to put your limit in at the Fibonacci retracement level of 38% (price 215) and put your stop-loss above the 50% Fibonacci level (price 221). This will give you ample stoppage room and space for the trade to breathe when it attempts to retrace to its highs.
This will prove difficult because of all the resistance in its way, though. Take into consideration that price may push to the Fibonacci 50% or 62% levels because of the channel forming before the drop continues.
Look To Short Albemarle (ALB) Stock If Price Falls Below 215CAPITALCOM:ALBES
Daily Timeframe Position
Albemarle (ALB) may be nearing the end of its uptrend since late March 2020. A long-term Trend Line from the valley in March moves upward against corresponding valleys signifying the uptrend (weekly timeframe). For the first time price has now dropped and closed below the trendline. Although it has closed below the Trend Line, and that may signal that it is not in an uptrend anymore, we have not yet confirmed that it is in a downtrend. To decipher this, we use the 1-2-3 trend change method.
1 - This is where the price has closed below the trendline
2 - There is a retracement and a retest of the high that fails
3 - A close below the closest valley to the breakout (However, this has not happened yet). If the price pushes past 215 and closes, then this is another signal that a downtrend is impending
Another short signal is the Double Top that has formed, which is compounded by strong selling (as you can see by the long shadows of the candles at the price range of 244). This Double Top has also been confirmed as we have a close below the valley between the two peaks (shown with the white dot).
Yet another signal is the Fibonacci retracement that shows a pullback at 50%.
We can see that price is hovering at a number of Support regions, including a Descending Triangle and Support at 215, which incidentally is also a round number. There is also Support Line formed for 215 from a smaller descending triangle to the left between September and October.
If the price breaks 215, we can most probably expect a sharp drop until resistance is reached at 185 provided by the Support line of the Broadening Formation. 185 is also coincidentally 15% away from the breakout price.
Placing your entry at 214 (past Support at 215) and taking profits at 185 will give you a 5.5 to 1, which is not bad at all. This is only if you place your stop relatively close to the Support that is keeping this price afloat, say at approximately 216/17. Consider taking profits rather at 194 just before the tiny bit of price congestion that appears in that Broadening Formation to the left. Price will most probably stall here and start to retrace, but you will be guaranteed a 3.5 to 1 . If done correctly, you can get out at this point, wait for the Fibonacci retracement at 62%, and short again if you see price is dropping further. If you are thinking of riding the downtrend, then placing your Stop loss at the 62% retracement from the valley peak when it starts to retrace is your best bet.
10/31/21 ALBAlbemarle Corporation ( NYSE:ALB )
Sector: Process Industries (Chemicals: Specialty)
Current Price: $250.51
Breakout price trigger: $252.00
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $242.00-$230.00
Price Target: $276.00-$279.00 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 19-22d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $ALB 12/17/21 290c
Trade price as of publish date: $3.50/contract
SLI - Standard LithiumOpened half-sized position on strong move over two important pivots. No earnings as of yet which would normally be a red flag, but strong volume patterns all over this lithium company's stock make it difficult to ignore. Other lithium stocks ($ALB $LAC) showing strength & look like they're ready to break out of bases. $SLI displaying relative strength within its group by breaking out ahead of these other lithium stocks.
Stop loss below Monday's low.
Technical analysis update: ALB (27th May 2021)ALB broke out of its triangle pattern. It prierced above upper bound which is bullish sign. RSI, MACD and Stochastics are also bullish. Our short term price target is 180 USD per share. Our medium price target is 200 USD per share.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.