Algotrading
I win THESE setups 80% of the time. (Short) (HORIZON)Another breakout pattern happening on the chart, amidst speculation about the Fed raising interest rates. The swing high we saw today, Is most likely at an end, New York just closed and price peaked at a resistance / supply level. Generally speaking, higher US interest rates mean "stronger" Dollar in Forex. When paired with the struggling Euro, it most likely indicates that a bearish trend is going to continue long term. That doesn't really matter as much in the grand scheme of this trade, because it's not unlikely that this fan pattern will end after price regresses back to the mean, the reason that I mention the fundamental aspects is that this might be a good long term short opportunity, given the current market conditions. AND upswing we saw today could be evidence of institutional traders taking advantage of this news to eliminate competitors and create even better short's for themselves. The long move today, on the back of this economic news, could be taken, in a way, as confirmation of the move to the downside long term. However, I never trade news on its own, so take that however you'd like.
If you aren't familiar already, I've been developing an EURUSD specific algorithm called " Horizon " that's been performing consistently well on the 5 and 10 minute period. The higher resolution (lower time frame) helps the algorithm find high quality setups, but also reduces the trade history of this strategy. Every week new trades are added, and old trades are removed. On the 10 minute, the total trade history is just 3 months (40-50 trades). In that three months this strategy has averaged 140%-170% ROI, 58%-69% Win Rate, 3-4:1 RR, and 7-9% Max drawback, using 1.7% of equity per trade.
Horizon has now completed 4 live trades to date, of which it won 3, and has taken around 80 pips net. Horizon has also entered a short position in confluence with the fundamental indicators I mentioned earlier. This is the 5th trade of the forward test of this algorithm, and I like this trade not just because the bot said so, but because I think the long term trend agrees, and the breakout pattern I keep posting about is also at play here. (see below)
ALGO - Nice level to shortReasons to take short:
⭐️ BTC rose a lot, pullback is needed
⭐️ Slowly squeezing to the level
⭐️ Impulse was too sharp
⭐️ No power to update local high
⭐️ Volume left the coin
⭐️ 40 ATR
⭐️ Under VWAP
Will enter when price squeezes to the level on 5m timeframe, the base will form and the tape will get faster.
If you don't understand the previous sentence, just use swing stop-loss 3-5%
Fix profit by parts:
1% - 1/3
2% - 1/3, stoploss to breakeven
What's left, hold to the maximum
What do you think of this idea? What is your opinion? Share it in the comments📄🖌
If you like the idea, please give it a like. This is the best "Thank you!" for the author 😊
P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profit in parts. Withdraw profits in fiat and reward yourself and your loved ones
GBPNZD short is a go 📉GBPNZD alert has just presented.
Reversal trade identified and entered.
Trade is moving already.
Working 20M timeframe.
Trade details can be found on the chart in red label.
Trade box is tracking the trade.
Fancy knowing how I identified this trade you know what to do.
Thanks for looking
Darren🙌
53 pip profit + Horizon wins yet again! + New Horizon tradeIf these ranges lasted forever, I wouldn't mind at all.
I took 53 pips this morning long, this was something I posted 2 times about last night and this morning, so check those out for a more in depth look at the signals that lead to that move. It's really important in this market to be in before the move happens, you miss out on a lot of money, and your exposure almost triples when you chase the market. Remember that.
Horizon took 76 pip profit today from last Friday. That's nearly 50 pips net, since the beginning of this range. It took a 60 pip loss after being up almost 80 pips on Thursday. It couldn't find a valid exit, which is annoying considering that this strategy could have produced over 140 pips in profit last week. Trust me I've played with trailing stops and static profit targets with this strategy and they just don't work nearly as well as just letting trades run and waiting for a strong exit signal. Trade number 3 was the worst loss Horizon has taken to date, I mentioned earlier that Horizon assesses stop losses on bar close and not in real time, so the strategy is exposed adversely to large break out candles like the one in the picture below. This is a risk that I'm willing to accept though because A. Horizon mitigates that risk using multiple confirmation protocols and B. the RR is 3-4 times the losses. This strategy is designed to take 30-50 pips on average, with occasional 100-200 pip trend. As things stand, Horizon's average loss is only about 20-30 pips. Plus Horizon's wining 6-7/10 at this point so it's all good! Plus I'm adding some logic this week that I'm hoping will boost performance even further. So far it's 2/3 and currently 30 pips up on it's 4th live trade. That said if I DID find a better alternative to this stop loss strategy, I would more than likely cut my max draw down in half. It's sitting at about 8-9 right now, which I would love to get down to about 5% using the same risk. Horizon's current exposure is 1.7% per trade because of the draw down rules that FTMO and other prop firms put in place. With my own capital, I could easily raise that to 2-3%, I don't really want to though (yes I do)
Horizon , like I mentioned has pyramided a short trade which has been as high as 35 pips profit, so far, so this one's looking like a winner as well.
Overall that's 150 pips taken between me and the machine in the last 4-5 days, so very happy, and I'm praying for even further success in the coming weeks. I'll link each post so you can audit my trades. I post these trades well before the moves actually happen.
100 pip gap just above us! When support finally broke @ 1.035-1.04 the Euro nose dived harder than an Al Qaeda pilot. I think its safe to say that structure has broken since then, and it looks like we could see that gap in resistance targeted this week. Horizon , my automated strategy, is currently in long as well. That gap needs filling, and I'm going to be the one to do it 🦸😎💪. Good luck this week!
Forward Testing: 'Horizon" trading strategy! Short
This strategy is hard to post because it's market specific and relies on high resolution charts like the 5 and 10-minute. That said, Horizon has been able to turn well over a 150% profit in just 3 months trading EUR/USD . Risk is just 2% of account balance and the max draw down is just under 9%! Growth is very consistent! This strategy is currently in short @ 1.024. Stop loss is set at 23 pips , but this strategy only evaluates stops after the close of the candle. This method actually allows Horizon to run tighter stops, but exposes the strategy to disproportionate losses. On average though this strategy still maintains a solid 3:1 RR and a win rate just shy of 60% . I'll be really pleased if this continues into the next few months of forward testing.
I included a screenshot of the strategy tester data and uploaded it below. The numbers look promising.
ibb.co
$ALGO spot buy 17th of JulyBought some $ALGO at $0.326 for inside my spot bag, the white line stands for the MA 50 which crossed the black line what stands for the MA 200, which means a bullish segment could come in the future. This is the first time on the 4HTF since 24th of March. Also the white cups are a conformation of higher highs/lows which means a uptrend. The green levels are matched to the VWAP bars on the side. After TP1 and TP2 I re-evaluate my plan for $ALGO.
Really appreciate some feedback and tips.
Can ALGO overtake ETH by EOY?This is a simple setup for algorand position relative to BTC, ETH and USD
It appears that ALGO is now threatening ETH, as we are hovering dangerously close to upper channel.
With regards to BTC, we are also in the same position.
If Algorand receives any additional catalysts from events, we could see a strong relief rally.
Based on Inverse Prices action in USD, ALGO attempted 4 times to go bellow 30c and could not break through, indicating a very solid demand upon investors, that know the future and fundamentals of Algorand.
Therefore, unless the world is heading into WW3, a new Mega Pandemic, 30c is going to hold and by August we should all be looking at 40c+
I am very interested in the ETH/ALGO as it shows a strong possibilty of ALGO breakout from a long bear channel. It still not going to start a bull, but after that drop it just might..
Fun times ahead regardless,
**LEGENDS**
BLUE = Bear/Resistance || Yellow = Bull/ Support
Lines: Fractal dates are moments of interest, where price and time collide to create oscillation.
the chart for possible scenarios of price actions - use zoom and scroll for better view.~
/*This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only.*/
Feel free to request: your coin to be analyzed! Please keep those Stop losses in place or mind!
Thank you, and stay strong my fellow CryptoPunks!
Future belongs to the brave, and crypto is the future.
_Ajion
ALGORAND or ALGO-RUN ?Not looking great at the moment as the market is taking a huge beating.
Good news here is the massive Resistance at 0.3173
It allows us to look for short entries.
Remember: you shouldn't be trading if the chart makes no sense.
This is a 4h chart but the levels are drawn carefully from 'far far away'..they are strong
Support turns resistance and vice versa. We give you the best levels, it's up to you how to use them right (or how to use them at all).
DYOR, maybe trading is not for you.
One Love,
the FXPROFESSOR
EURUSD UpdateI mentioned earlier that I missed my entry this morning, but this is how my trade would be progressing. This is the "trend mode" setup to my automated strategy I'm working on, I rely on the alligator as well as a slow and fast ma with dynamic profit targets (in pips) projected below the fast average. Entry comes when price is within 20 pips of the jaw line. In short positions take profit automatically if price closes the above the fast ma or if price touches the lowest profit target. This looks like yet another 60-70 pip win, which would have made close to 200 on the week. This strategy is really promising.
EURUSD Continuation Set UpThis is the third iteration of this pattern, and it looks too obvious, which actually makes me nervous. I don't like that the Gator is crossing the slow MA, I like to see it below the MA, because that's usually my last line of defense for my short setups. I overslept this morning and missed my entry, but it'll still be interesting to see what happens today, looks like a valid move.
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