Alibaba Healthcare Units Prepares for Next Battle in HealthcareAffected heavily by recent technological advancements, the sector may soon attract Chinese regulators' attention.
Background
2021 turned out to become a positive year for China's healthcare industry, where the gigantic demand stems from the aging population, growing individual wealth, and – more importantly – the COVID-19 crisis' aftermath. The market has grown consistently; in 2020, the growth rate slumped to 7.2% due to the massive lockdowns, although it is expected to rise back to 17.6% in 2021 with a total market size of CNY 8.7 trillion. Despite this, the market remains relatively undeveloped – since 2016, the Chinese authorities have been working on creating a CNY 16 trillion healthcare ecosystem by 2030.
Online healthcare is in the limelight
The pandemic challenged people's sense of well-being and facilitated their desire and determination to become more active and engaged in managing their health, which also boosted the need for remote medical consultations and online medicine sales. According to Deloitte, the portion of consumers who have used virtual visits rose from 15% to 19% from 2019 to early 2020, then jumped to 28% in April 2020. In fact, consumers plan to continue using the – 80% of the Deloitte survey respondents are likely to keep using other online services even post COVID-19.
Jessica Tan, co-CEO of Ping An Group, once said that around 20% to 25% of healthcare services in China could be moved to the online space. This will present new opportunities to the most competitive businesses in this field. Among these, JD Health (6618:HK) and Alibaba Health (0241:HK) are two tech giant-backed companies that have ridden this surging wave quite well.
Alibaba (BABA:NASDAQ) is deemed to be the first explorer among Chinese tech giants, having joined the game as early as 1998 by founding Alibaba Health (0241:HK). In fact, it is the first Chinese Internet-healthcare company to go public on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Alibaba Health is primarily engaged in the pharmaceutical direct sales business, the pharmaceutical e-commerce platform business, medical and healthcare services platforms and digital infrastructure business and related services, though it wants to take off the 'e-pharmacy' tag for long.
How does Alibaba compare in the healthcare endeavors?
Financial Performance
Alibaba Health finally became fully profitable in its fiscal 2021, when the revenue reached CNY 15.52 billion Among four major businesses, medicine remains the main contributor to its revenue, amounting to CNY 13.21 billion, or about 85% of the total revenue. The rest is contributed by pharmaceutical e-commerce platform business, the medical health service business and digital infrastructure business, with revenues of CNY 1.96 billion, CNY 284 million and CNY 53 million respectively. Benefiting from the improving cost control ability and the emerging economies of scale, the overall expenses of Alibaba Health are far less than that of JD Health for every comparable fiscal year.
BABA's backing is the ace card of Alibaba Health
As the healthcare business arm of Alibaba Group, the natural traffic comes with related brand benefits; Alibaba Health's core pharmaceutical direct sales and e-commerce platform businesses are thus boosted to a great extent. Three specific edges are worth mentioning.
First, brand power drives growth. In 2021, Alibaba has grown its brand value by 32% year-on-year to USD 201.86 billion, with a 2nd ranking domestically and 7th ranking globally. As one of the most valuable brands, consumers are more likely to pay a value premium for the products with this recognizable name, or for the creditability it owns. This is indeed what is going on with Alibaba Health. For the 12 months ended March 31, 2021, the revenue from drugs generated from the pharmaceutical direct sales business under the brand of 'Alibaba Health' increased by 86.1% year-on-year, accounting for 64.8% of the revenue of the business. And the number of annual active users of the direct online stores in the reporting period reached a record high of 81 million.
Second, synergistic benefits of Alibaba's ecosystem. The synergy effect is most difficult or even impossible to be imitated by competitors. When looking back at Alibaba's business scope, we could see it has already laid out a lot – Alipay's insurance services and 'Future Hospital' plan, O2O medicine delivery service on takeaway platform and hospital-specialized modules on DingTalk – most major businesses owned by Alibaba have medical-related s. With continuous investment in these business-to-consumer marketplace made by the Group, Alibaba Health is able to enhance health awareness and acquire new customers at relatively low acquisition costs, which lays a strong foundation for future growth. As of March 31, 2021, the number of annual active users had exceeded 280 million on Tmall's Pharmaceutical Platform while Alipay's healthcare channel as a whole reached over 520 million annual active users for the fiscal year.
Third, empowerment of big data. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of Alibaba with deep roots in the Internet, Alibaba Health's capabilities and resources are naturally geared towards leveraging the prowess of the Internet, big data and Cloud computing. To further boost its digital infrastructure business, for example, tracking platform 'Ma Shang Fang Xin' and digital health business, Alibaba Health has been working closely with Alibaba Cloud to lead the healthcare area. In addition, it also focuses on digital infrastructure. Based on the Group's internal AI, big data, payment and IT capabilities, Alibaba Health is working on exploring the construction of intelligent medical systems, such as AI-assisted diagnostic decision-making, remote imaging platforms and blockchain data security solutions in major hospitals and regions.
Future in the mist
The future won't be easy for both Alibaba Health and JD Health, as the competition is intensifying. Except for the 'peer pressure,' some inherent problems exist in the essence of most healthcare services – those are mainly related to professionalism, trust and quality.
It is partly because of the particularity of healthcare services and pharmaceutical drugs along with the recent market chaos, the government has tightened supervision increasingly, more than ever before. Rory Green, a China economist at TS Lombard, said that the healthcare sector is the only one not hit by regulatory scrutiny yet but is particularly vulnerable, which may possibly make it the next target.
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Alibaba
BABAWith monthly - weekly - daily momentum all in oversold territory, BABA is currently sitting just above a crucial support on the weekly chart.
I will be expecting a bounce and spending some time in the highlighted area for a while..
I'm on the long side as it has more probability in my point of view and last weeks close was a gravestone doji. I think we are finding the bottom finally to neutralize the trend.
Peace..
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#WISH Still moving inside the falling wedge. I am LONG!Hi All, my main 3 take-outs from this analysis are the following:
1- RSI and MACD showing bullish divergence in the daily chart
2- Price action is moving inside a falling wedge and I would expect a rebounce from these price levels today or tomorrow the latest, in order to see a recovering and a possible breakout of the falling wedge at around mid-January
3- Shrt term target is 9.40$ to close the daily gap, while my medium long term target is 15$
Not a financial advice, just personal opinion. Do your own due diligence and good luck!
#BABA Possible another 10% drp to re-test historical trendlineHi All, my main 3 take-outs from this analysis are the following:
1- RSI in the weekly chart is in oversold territory with divergence vs prices
2- Price might re-test the historical trendline at around 100$, which is a 10-13% additional drop from current levels
3- Possible support at 100$ is also a psichological support level (rund number)
Not a financial advice, just personal opinion. Do your own due diligence and good luck!
$BABA Alibaba building this potentially bullish Inverse H&S..Alibaba has been basing in the form of a bottoming reverse head & Shoulders formation. if this plays out as per the textbook we have a target in the region of $216. Keep a close eye and watch for a close above the neckline to confirm the pattern.
AliBaba Poised to loose more ground. BABAWe are still zigzaging on this one. Momentum in the negative, crashing through resistances. I suppose it's only fair given the stellar impulse we have seen earlier.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe!
BABA - New Year's sales should help The company's stock prices are in a steep peak. But the business and its performance are good. The latest report plunged the stock price to nearly five-year lows, which is excessive in my opinion. New Year's sales could be good, which will inspire investors and allow the stock to bounce quite well.
#BABA Alibaba peaking its head under the previous weekly lowAlibaba has peaked its head under the 2018 weekly swing low which is concerning. However on the positive, there does seem to be some degree of bullish divergence with the RSI not making a new low.. so there is potential for a bounce, but bulls will really want the weekly candle to close back above $130 to have some sort of comfort.