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Alibaba

$BABA Still waiting!BABA ended the week strong with heavy call volume near Friday's close. Since last time I charted BABA, it dipped into my buy zone near the fib level and bounced fast. Notice how it bounced off the Oct VWAP from last year. Also notice how the weekly high is the 21 EMA, which is telling of this swing. Without an active sequence, it will be hard to tell as of right now if this is the bottom. It wouldn't surprise me if BABA went even lower to test last year's price range between 165-190, and I would be wary of going long here still. I will continue to watch BABA, hoping that it can show strong indication that a bounce is in on a strong Fib level and bouncing off the lower VWAP. So far the monthly low continues to be 204, right at the Fib level. Below 204, we can consider it a short term correction looking for lower prices.
NYSE:BABALong
by Modus777
BABA, Forming This Massive Descending-Triangle, Likely Breakout!Hello Traders Investors And Community, Welcome to this analysis about Alibaba in which I will look at the 12-hour timeframe perspectives. Since the Alibaba founder, Jack Ma moved into isolation because of a government critical speech the stock developed an exceptional downtrend with bearish alignments mainly reaching the 205 level. Now as there came news the founder still active and operating on the company this can also lead to potential positive developments on the fundamental sight of things matching with the technical factors I detected recently, therefore I am looking at all the important levels and likely destinies we should consider with the stock in the current structure and upcoming movements. Structural Developments: As when looking at my chart now we can watch there how Alibaba has formed this massive descending-triangle-formation with the coherent wave-count within and the waves A to C already completed. Such a triangle-formation is known to produce a substantial bullish reversal with further continuations and an increase in volatility to the upside. Recently Alibaba already formed this initial spike of bullishness to the upside within the triangle testing the upper boundary of the triangle-formation and also the 100- as well as the 65-EMA lying there, above these EMAs Alibaba will form a sustainable bullishness as the previous resistance gets support. Upcoming Perspectives: As Alibaba already formed all these strong initial terms in the structure it is likely that the triangle completes with a bullish breakout in the next times which will finally happen with the close above the upper boundary. It is seldom seen that such a structural triangle invalidates to the downside nevertheless it is important to keep patient till the triangle finally completes. Mainly the upcoming breakout can be traded either aggressively with immediate entry or conservative with an entry after confirmation, although the aggressive entry is also possible the conservative one will be much smarter. It will be an interesting development ahead. In this manner, thank you for watching my analysis about Alibaba and the current descending-triangle-formation forming that has the potential for a bullish breakout, will be great when you support it with a like and follow or comment, great contentment for everybody supporting, all the best! Information is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.
NYSE:BABA
by VincePrince
8
sleeping giant $BABA is about to wake *This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management* Recap: My team has been following Alibaba for the past few months. We originally entered $BABA on 5/27/21 at $207 per share. There is no denying the massive oversell of BABA. After correcting from its 52-week high of $319.32 $BABA now sits at just $214.22 per share. $BABA is a GREAT stock going forward and we absolutely believe that it will be trading in the $300 range before October. Today my team has placed a buy order on $BABA at $220. We believe that if $BABA reaches $220 it will continue to push forward and have a short-term rally up to around $238 which was our original target. If price reaches $238 we will trim and wait for another opportunity to average up before $BABA pushes to our first take profit at $265. If you fail to plan...you plan to fail. We're long. FIRST ENTRY: $207 BUY ORDER: $220 TAKE PROFIT: $265 STOP LOSS: $203 If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
NYSE:BABALong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
5
Best Deep-Value Large-cap Growth play - Alibaba (BABA)Macro Reasons -China has a population of 1.3billion VS US's 0.33 Billion, about 4x more -Rising Chinese middle class with a growing disposable income -It is estimated that China's GDP is set to overtake the US in 5-8 years Fundamentals Reasons -With 56% of the e-commerce market share in China and a growing e-commerce pie, Alibaba is poised for greater growth in 5-10years -Supported by Cainiao logistics to enable efficient e-commerce delivery and Alipay to complete its transactions/funding for their merchants, it forms Alibaba's iron triangle to capture a large market share in the e-commerce related space. -Dominant Cloud player at 40% market share, this segment just turned profitable recently and will contribute to its growth strongly like Amazon's AWS (30% margins) Valuation FCF: 26Bil USD per year i.e 9.6 USD per share (2.711 Billion shares outstanding) 20X multiple(Bottom valuation) : 192 USD per share 25X multiple(Bottom valuation) : 240 USD per share Net Cash of 20 USD per share (462bil RMB Cash - 115bil RMB Debt = 347 RMB Net Cash = 54bil USD net Cash ) Fair Value at current conditions = 212 USD per share (20X FCF) - 260 USD per share (25X FCF) FCF 10 years later: 9.6 USD *4.04 (15% CAGR for 10 yrs) = 38.78 USD per share 20X multiple (10% discount rate - 5% perp growth): 775 USD per share +20USD net cash =795 USD per share 795/215 (Current share price 14th June 2021) = 3.70X in 10 years* i.e 14% CAGR *Very conservative estimate of 15% CAGR FCF & terminal multiple of 20X, also assuming all FCF are re-invested in other biz and not distributed via dividends/ buybacks Technicals Seems like it is at its bottom after a 30% slump in its share price, touching a very strong upward sloping support line indicating the bottom is near. Incidentally, it corresponds with the bottom valuation of 212 USD per share (20X FCF + net cash). Addressing Risks Risks of VIE structure & CCP risk are unfounded, one can easily exchange its ADR for the equivalent HK shares at the ratio of 1ADR:8 HK shares and Alibaba is too big to fail for the CCP. The recent USD2.8 Billion fine on BABA is only 4% of revenue and not as dramatic as the 30% slump in BABA's recent valuation (from $310 to $211 per share). Also, the CCP has recently approved Ant Group’s new license to operate Chongqing Ant Consumer Finance, in which it has a 50 per cent stake. This indicates that the CCP doesn't want to tear down Alibaba but rather work towards a more successful China together.
NYSE:BABALong
by FIRE_CAPITAL_SG
1
BABA on a key area. Bullish breakout or bearish continuation?Today we will share a daily view of the $BABA chart. Main aspects we can see here: -The price is facing an ascending trendline. -The previous level converges with a support/resistance zone working since 2018. -The current bearish trend can be defined as a descending Wedge pattern (if the price keeps moving between the structure lines, of course.) If I'm interested in bullish movements only. What can you wait for before trading? -A clear scenario for a bullish continuation movement would be a breakout of the structure followed by a corrective movement (like the circle you can see on the chart. Of course, take it as a model to replicate). IF that happens, we will be setting pending orders above the structure (green horizontal line), and we aim for a target on the next resistance zone 268 - 274 -Risk and time. -We will be risking 1% of our capital on this setup. Meaning that if the price executes our order and then goes straight to our stop loss, we will be losing 1% of our capital at that level. Then, if we aim to a risk-reward ratio of 2, we will be making 2% of our capital in the best scenario. If the order is executed, we expect a resolution between 15 to 30 days. Thanks for reading! Feel free to share your view in the comment box.
NYSE:BABA
by ThinkingAntsOk
2
$AAPL $NFLX $BABA $HD I OptionsSwing WatchlistHD 2H I HD is currently breaking out of this bullish formation with strength. Looking for a break above $313 with a $320 target next week. AAPL 1D I Held the bullish uptrend established back in September. Unusual options activity was bullish and they bet on a retest of $128 this upcoming week. NFLX 1H I Trading within a bull flag, we are looking for a break this week give unusual options activity betting on the $495-$500 calls for 06/18. BABA 1D I Massive falling wedge pattern which could break to the upside before earnings on 08/19. The Chinese giant is more than 30% down from ATH levels. However, there is some sense of renewed hope in the company as US investor Charlie Munger recently disclosed a sizable stake in the company.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by optionsswing
Is $BABA taking one last nap?*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management* My team remains confident in the long-term success of $BABA (unless fined to death by China), but is it ready? My team isn't too confident in the short-term price action of $BABA. We believe that the e-commerce giant needs one more push down before finally being ready to hit our long-term target of $260. In the meanwhile we're setting a sell order for $BABA at $206 and selling down to $190. Although our short-term confidence in $BABA is poor our original buy entry at $207 will remain (view previous posts for more info). These buy entries have a trailing stop loss of $208 to avoid taking any losses on the trade before our sell order activates. If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
NYSE:BABAShort
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
2
$JD Shop made in china online and retail try the climbMarketmiracle advisor today gave an input signal for a LONG position in the title $JD The company is basically an online and retail big store widely spread and known throughout China. Through its online store it is also trying to target abroad by providing the portal in various languages. I checked on some of my reference sites the situation and position of analysts according to which the company currently has a discounted price compared to the fair price. Considering this I wanted then deepen the graph in search of a possible confirmation for the signal realizing that the title has suffered a powerful retracement from its recent historical highs and that now, in front of excellent macro data has quickly bent towards the ascent. According to the combination of the two analyses above I expect a confirmation of the signal of Marketmiracle but you know, in the market the devil can always put his finger on it. This idea is based on the signal generated by the Marketmiracle advisor whose link you can find by scrolling at the bottom of this page.
NASDAQ:JDLong
by MarketMiracleAdvisor
1
$BABA June Update*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management* My team is still up from our previous $BABA entry at $207 per share. The stock now sits at $219. Our stop loss is also now set at $208 (above our entry), but clearly our long confidence in $BABA has increased, and so has our price target. Our first take profit has increased from $238 to $260. If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
NYSE:BABALong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
ALIBABA :DETAILED FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS - LONG TECHNICAL SETUP ⭐️Alibaba stock has been in a downtrend for some time, even though the company continues to post solid earnings and sales growth. Alibaba stock has come under increased regulatory scrutiny in the last couple of months. BABA stock climbed to its 50-day moving average at the beginning of this week, but is this stock worth buying now? Alibaba shares fell May 13 after the company missed fourth-quarter earnings forecasts, but revenue growth expedited for the fourth straight quarter, rising 77% to $28.6 billion. Previously, sellers dropped Alibaba stock on Nov. 3 after the IPO of Ant Group, Alibaba's $34.5 billion fintech unit, was suspended in Shanghai and Hong Kong. The decision to suspend the IPO came after Shanghai Exchange officials said the exchange would suspend the listing due to the company's inability to meet conditions amid regulatory changes. Sellers pounced on Alibaba stock again on Nov. 5 after the company reported earnings and missed sales. BABA shares plummeted another 8% on Nov. 10 after Chinese regulators stated new outline antitrust rules for Chinese online platforms such as Alibaba and JD.com, among others. Alibaba's third-quarter earnings report in February showed another quarter of strong bottom-line and top-line growth. Adjusted earnings rose 30% to $3.38 per share. Revenue growth accelerated for the third consecutive quarter, rising 46% to $33.87 billion. The company's cloud computing revenue grew 50% year over year to $2.47 billion. "Our cloud computing business continues to expand market leadership and is showing strong growth, reflecting the enormous potential of China's nascent cloud computing market as well as our multi-year investment in technology," Alibaba CEO Daniel Zhang said in a press release. China's e-commerce market is valued at $2.1 trillion and is the largest in the world. Its compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is expected to be 12.4% and reach $3 trillion by 2024. Alibaba is a great way to bet on this opportunity because its dominant market share in consumer-to-consumer (B2C) e-commerce is about 50%. That compares to JD.com and Pinduoduo's B2C shares of 27% and 13%, respectively. A day after the earnings report, Alibaba shares dropped 3.5% on Feb. 3 after the company's fintech unit, Ant Group, reached an agreement with Chinese regulators to restructure and become a financial holding company. Ant Group operates a suite of financial products, including Alipay, China's widely used digital wallet. It's hard to find a company with a more impressive growth record than Alibaba. Over five years, the company's annual revenue growth rate was 29% and its sales growth rate was 46%. Expectations were high for Alibaba's annual Singles Day event in November, the largest shopping day in China. The company did not disappoint, with sales nearly doubling from a year earlier to $74 billion. The company managed to maintain its growth mode despite a slowdown in its core e-commerce business. Alibaba's business in China is a lot like Amazon's business in the United States. Alibaba's cloud computing business is showing strong growth, as is Amazon's thriving Web services business. Alibaba is anticipated to make $9.93 per share in the current fiscal year 2022, unchanged from 2021. In 2023, however, it is expected to grow faster, 28% to $12.69. Alibaba's subsidiaries Taobao and Tmall use third-party business models. Instead of buying inventory and retailing to consumers, they operate marketplaces that host and promote other companies' online sales for a fee. This strategy helps save operating costs and provides Alibaba with significantly higher margins than its closest competitor JD.com, which uses a first-party business model. In 2020, Alibaba's operating profit margin was 13%, much higher than JD.com's operating profit margin, which was just 1.7% during the same period. But Alibaba is not limited to e-commerce. The company is also looking to transform retail with a concept known as "New Retail," which includes digitizing the personal shopping experience. Alibaba has executed this strategy through its Freshippo grocery store chain, which offers advanced features such as digital price tags, robotic food transportation, and robotic waiters. The company also spent $3.6 billion to acquire a majority stake in the Sun Art hypermarket retail chain to expand its physical presence. With such a huge market share, Alibaba attracted the attention of Chinese antitrust authorities, who fined it $2.8 billion for allegedly restricting competition and encroaching on the business of its merchants. The company imposed a " choose one" requirement that prohibited some customers from working with other e-commerce platforms. Company executives agreed with the fine and said they planned to enforce the requirements in the future. It's not that clear whether compliance will have a long-term impact on Alibaba's operating results (the fine, which is only 12% of 2020 net income, probably won't). But given Alibaba's high growth rate and its low valuation, any potential weakness looks justified.
NYSE:BABALong
by FOREXN1
15
Is the Sleeping Giant ready? *This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management* My team has been following Alibaba for the past few months. We have an original entry of $207, with a short term target of $238. There is no denying the massive oversell of BABA. It's a GREAT stock going forward and we absolutely believe that it will be trading in the $300 range before October. So is the sleeping giant ready? My team wants new traders to understand that timing the market is impossible every time, so instead we're more focused on risk management. This is why our stop loss is at the $203 range. If it goes past that price range expect BABA to correct down to $188-191 per share. However, we're expecting the giant to have a short term rally up to $238. Please follow us @Simplyshowmethemoney in order to stay up to date with our current trade topics and trends. Feel free to comment and let us know your thoughts.
NYSE:BABALong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
1
BABA - Ready To Launch 🚀-As of Wednesday, Alibaba is down nearly 33% from its late October peak despite showing robust growth rates. -The company suffered one of its worst earnings in Q1, with solid performance eclipsed by a hefty Chinese fine. -From behind a cloud of negative headlines, Alibaba continues to shine as a fast-growing, profitable company with China’s backing. -The most recent blow was its Q1 earnings report, in which the company reported a roughly $800 million loss, its first-ever as a public company. -BABA is substantially undervalued and the threats to its success are exaggerated. Our Opinion: BABA is oversold but with the given economic volatility and tech sector crash, a safe entry zone can be seen at around $195.
NYSE:BABALong
by caldooninvestment
13
1st Series of STOCKS Buying Areas!Hi followers and other TradingView users, My 600th post in TradingView and I need your help (activity) to start a new series. I would like to do something similar with stocks as I do with altcoins. "Don't put your eggs in one basket." - the old saying but pretty important to achieve financial freedom. Considering that, let's find together some investment opportunities which can start to work for you as fast as possible - properly made technical analysis allows it to do! I would like to know FIVE of your favorite stocks, criteria to get into the list: * Name FIVE (max. nr.) of your favorite stocks, full name, and ticker. For example, Apple (AAPL), Tesla (TSLA)...or just ticker, the ticker is a must-have! * Click the LIKE button of this post. * Click the follow the get the update as fast as possible. TOP10 most mentioned stocks get analyzed. I will point out some possible breakout opportunities to buy the strength and corrections to watch. Pointing out some lower levels where your alerts should be set! I know that the bigger part of my followers has more interest in cryptocurrency but still, try to name your stocks to get into the list, and let's find buying areas for them. If you look at my related ideas (below of this post), then over the years I have posted quite a lot of stock charts and the success rate of these ideas has been amazingly high! So, quite an easy task to you, name five of your favorite stocks and you get the investment areas for free, areas that put your money to work for you as fast as possible! Stay healthy, Vaido
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by VaidoVeek
80