Alibaba (BABA) Update 12/20/2022
Stock may have shown a loss of momentum after it started an upward trend in October this year.
ALMA11
ALMA line is being tested and any confirmation at this line will likely drive the stock to re-test our 30-day-high price at 94/share. If it gets rejected, we may find this stock trading at 61-62 in the next few weeks. I will exit this stock in case of rejection happens.
Alibaba
Alibaba Analysis 19.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
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BABA | But the Fear | OversoldAlibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company operates through seven segments: China Commerce, International Commerce, Local Consumer Services, Cainiao, Cloud, Digital Media and Entertainment, and Innovation Initiatives and Others. It operates Taobao Marketplace, a social commerce platform; Tmall, a third-party online and mobile commerce platform for brands and retailers; Alimama, a monetization platform; 1688.com and Alibaba.com, which are online wholesale marketplaces; AliExpress, a retail marketplace; Lazada, Trendyol, and Daraz that are e-commerce platforms; Freshippo, a self-operated retail chain; and Tmall Global, an import e-commerce platform. The company also operates Taoxianda, an online-offline integration service for FMCG brands and third-party grocery retail partners; Cainiao Network logistic services platform; Ele.me, an on-demand delivery and local services platform; Koubei, a restaurant and local services guide platform; and Fliggy, an online travel platform. In addition, it offers pay-for-performance, in-feed, and display marketing services; and Taobao Ad Network and Exchange, a real-time online bidding marketing exchange. Further, the company provides elastic computing, storage, network, security, database and big data, and IoT services. Additionally, it operates Youku, an online video platform; Alibaba Pictures and other content platforms that provide online videos, films, live events, news feeds, literature, music, and others; Amap, a mobile digital map, navigation, and real-time traffic information app; DingTalk, a business efficiency mobile app; and Tmall Genie smart speaker. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.
Alibaba - China beneficiary Alibaba - Short Term - We look to Buy at 87.66 (stop at 79.09)
Broken out of the wedge formation to the upside. Broken out of the Head and Shoulders formation to the upside. Neckline support is 85.91. The formation has a measured move target of 113.48. Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 87.66, resulting in improved risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 113.48 and 120.70
Resistance: 94.84 / 104.85 / 120.70
Support: 87.60 / 79.86 / 75.88
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ALIBABA downtrend finally broken It has been a really rough year for Alibaba. It was straggling to get out of that 12 months downtrend. It is finally out of downtrend. There is a small resistance around $90 zone, once we break that, $103 will come so fast. I tried to make the chart so simple so everyone can understand. You are welcome to argue but pls be respectful. Enjoy
Alibaba Analysis 30.11.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
Alibaba Play with a Monsterjust made this chart to show you how it's easy to predict normal Strong Stocks in comparison with Cryptos.
Everything is just matter of time and patience, buy at the good time, and not be too greedy on your % returns.
Alibaba is a giant, it's very difficult to lose money for a long term investment..
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Trading Parts :
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Buy Zone : 210$ ish
Tp1 - 260$
Tp2 - 275$
Tp3 - 295$
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Happy Tr4Ding !
Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the BABA Alibaba Group Holding options chain ahead of earnings, i would buy the $85 strike price in the money Calls with
2022-12-16 expiration date for about
$3.79 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$BABA 2nd entry 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
1st Entry: $90
2nd Entry: $82.5
Take profit: $180
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
$BABA Sometimes the market gets it wrongYesterday was a typical knee jerk reaction to weekend news. Alibaba sold off to test $58 (-20%) early in the session, just to recover a bit and close at $63,15
I think the market got the fire sale on Chinese listed tech companies wrong
I'm expecting a short term bounce to close some gaps that was the result of this sale
Buy price $58,83
Target price is $69,50
Stop loss just below yesterday's LOD $58
BABA MOMENTUM POSITIVEWeekly Chart - BABA
I am taking an interest in BABA here. It has been in a steep correction for well over a year and appears to have made a bullish wedge. What really has my attention is not only the price breakout above but also the momentum break. I may leave myself a little room and time here but I personally may take a heavier interest if it stays this cheap or drags sideways.
These patterns are great for trading the spikes but there are no guarantees. It's not uncommon to see a large spike up (15-30%) only to correct and go nowhere for weeks or months. A breakout does not guarantee profit.. but for me the reward outweighs the risk in this zone.
Let's see what happens.
Did $BABA stock BOTTOM?My experience
I owned shares of Alibaba for the last 10 months. I started buying when it dropped to $140 in November 2021, and then I started averaging costing during the downtrend, my average price was around $110 and I completely closed my position at the beginning of July 2022 when it traded at $120. In conclusion, made a small 10% during this period, assuming a lot of risks, having money stuck in there creating an opportunity cost for other investments.
My first lesson here was "Never try to catch a falling knife" . I've read this quote many times, but I got pushed by the FOMO back in 2021, when I should have waited for some consolidation or lateral movements of the price, to show me some kind of demand at this level before jumping in.
I'm sharing my experience in this situation with the idea to help someone with making better investment decisions. The truth is, you must always learn from your own mistakes. But learning from others' mistakes will save you time, stress and money. However, this is where experience lays, funny isn't it?
Long-Term Forecast
Alibaba is a very interesting business model, with incredible growth in the past. I think that the chart reflects an evolution from a Growth Company to a Stable Company , that's why the P/E valuation went from 30x in the past to 15x nowadays. The market included the growth slowdown to its market cap.
Of course, there are many other risks related to Alibaba that also impacted its price during the last year. Some of them are:
- Uncertainty Risk is related to the political pressure between the USA and China.
- Delisting Risk from NYSE.
- Monopoly fines from China.
Changes in Chinese state policy regarding publicly traded enterprises , the warming of relations between the US and China, as well as current geopolitical developments where China is implied have created uncertainty for investors. This results in a negative impact on the price of the stock.
There are factors that could influence the Chinese government to be tolerant and lower the pressure on publicly traded enterprises, particularly if they choose to give a higher priority to stronger GDP development .
Taking everything into account, this could be a fantastic buying opportunity if China is becoming the next world's superpower. However, from my personal point of view, I would rather have companies like Alphabet, Amazon, Apple and Microsoft in my portfolio. I see better potential returns in them.
Short-Term Forecast
The price is showing consolidation in the zone between $80-$120, the lower part of the channel reflects a strong demand, which is easily spotted by the strong bounces that it has from there. You can also try to trade it by buying near the bottom of the lateral channel and selling it at the top.
$BABA released good quarterly earnings, beating expectations in sales and EPS. We should also take into account that when your revenue stays flat in an inflationary environment, probably your income from operations is going to decrease, and that's what happened here.
Bullish Scenario
If the momentum stays and the market breaks and maintains the $4300 level we can see a significant upside in this stock. Taking it to 120-160 dollars per share. Which in my humble opinion is less likely due to the market conditions and economic challenges that we are facing. The RECESSION is here, and the INFLATION has to go straight down from these levels to prevent a crash in the financial markets.
Bearish Scenario
If the INFLATION is unstoppable at these interest rates, the market is going to be severely punished. Less consumer demand due to the recession will impact companies' margins. Profit warnings from companies will accelerate the crash. If we find ourselves in this situation, get your cash ready, many investment opportunities will be out there waiting for us. In this case, I would adapt my strategy, and I could consider buying some $BABA at $60 for sure.
Alibaba is having strong buybacks from the management. The company has plenty of cash which is going to be used to reduce the outstanding amount of shares and to undertake investment projects. The Debt-Equity Ratio is around 15%, and the company has a healthy balance sheet. The Cloud Segment is getting bigger and it can also be a very important stream of income in the future for the firm. The company is actually trading at 10X Price / Cash Flow, which historically has meant that it is a good buy at this level. From a financial perspective, I think that $BABA is undervalued.
The above mentioned characteristics made me start buying the stock at $140, my mistake was that I didn't properly analyse the risks this investment had. Not everything is in the accounting books! Keep your eyes open!
I stand SHORT for the next 6-12 months and LONG for the next 3-5 years.
Don't forget, I'm a random guy on the internet that is just sharing his point of view. Do not take my reflections as financial advice.
$BABA Can Go Up Watch Out For A BreakoutTraders and Investors, Alibaba (BABA) has completed the typical bubble stock M formation and is now trying to gather orders for a bullish momentum. This stage happens when most investors fall into Despair or hopelessness.
The earnings report is expected, and we have a wedge pattern. If the price breaks above the pattern and we get a confirmation, this can go the first target of M patter which is around 160 but with an intermediate target of approx. 132.
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-Vik
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📌 DISCLAIMER
The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
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Alibaba Group Holding Analyze !!!BABA passed wave 5 in the Resistance Zone , and I expect that it will go DOWN to PRZ ( Price Reversal Zone ) & near the SMA 100 ( Daily Timeframe ) after breaking the Important Support Line .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence (RD-) between Price and MACD Indicator .
Alibaba Group Holding Analyze ( BABAUSD ) Timeframe 4H ⏰ ( Heikin Ashi )
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy , this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Alibaba Group Holding Analyze 🔄(Update)🔄!!!First, I have to back to my previous idea about Alibaba Group Holding. Do you remember it? 👇(it moved as I ✅expected✅).
BABA passed main wave B in the Resistance Zone, and I expect it to go DOWN to the end of main wave C that I showed in my chart.
Alibaba Group Holding Analyze (BABAUSD), Timeframe 4H⏰ (Heikin Ashi).
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Alibaba Group Holding Analyze 🔄(Update, 10/18/2022)🔄!!!First, I have to back to my previous idea about Alibaba Group Holding. Do you remember it? 👇(it moved as I ✅expected✅).
BABA completed main wave C in the support zone, and I expect it to go UP at least until the end of microwave 4 of main wave C(Resistance zone).
Alibaba Group Holding Analyze (BABAUSD), Timeframe 4H⏰ (Heikin Ashi).
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
$ACH china aluminum 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Entry: $9.62
Take Profit: $13 (+35%)
Stop Loss: $8.98 (-6.6%)
*Stop loss is automatic*
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney