Alibaba - It Is So Predictable!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) just rejected a major resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
A couple of days ago Alibaba stock perfectly retested a major previous resistance level after rallying +45% just within a couple of weeks. We can first see more bearish movement and maybe even a retest of the trendline breakout level before Alibaba will continue its overall uptrend.
Levels to watch: $80, $110
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibabalong
ALIBABA Ready to Explode! Big Gains on the Horizon!Alibaba (BABA) Technical Analysis - 15-Minute Timeframe - Long Position Setup
Entry Price: $99.13
Stop Loss (SL): $97.32
Target Levels:
TP1: $101.36
TP2: $104.96
TP3: $108.57
TP4: $110.80
Market Context and Sentiment: Recent developments indicate strong institutional interest in Alibaba, as evidenced by prominent fund manager Zhang Kun making Alibaba a substantial holding in his portfolio. This investment has bolstered positive sentiment around Alibaba, further supported by strategic economic measures favoring leading tech stocks in China.
Technical Indicators:
Trend Direction: Positive momentum is observed with price action above the Risological Dotted Trendline, signaling a bullish bias.
Volume: Current volume at 16.04M aligns with the recent positive market sentiment, with average 30-day volume standing at 26.70M. This moderate volume increase reinforces the long setup validity.
Analysis and Outlook: This setup presents a well-defined long entry with clear stop loss and target levels. The bullish institutional interest provides a strong fundamental tailwind, which could drive price action towards initial and extended targets. Should the price break through TP1 at $101.36 with sustained volume, a continuation towards TP2 at $104.96 becomes likely, with potential progression to TP3 and TP4.
Conclusion: Alibaba's current price action and market sentiment create a favorable environment for a long position. Close monitoring is advised, particularly as price approaches each target, with adjustments as necessary to secure gains.
Alibaba - Finally The Trendline Breakout!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) finally broke above the bearish trendline:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Alibaba is breaking out and the breakout is not unexpected whatsoever. For a long time, Alibaba has been hugging the resistance trendline and finally managed to fulfil its destiny. This could very well be the bottom of the bear market and the start of something big: new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $115, $80
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba Stock Spike After Stimulus and Nvidia PartnershipAlibaba (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) saw its American depositary receipts surge by 5% in premarket trading on Tuesday following significant news of China’s central bank stimulus and a strategic partnership with Nvidia, pushing optimism for the e-commerce giant's growth prospects. The People's Bank of China (PBoC) slashed key interest rates and injected liquidity into the banking system, providing a broad boost to Chinese stocks, with Alibaba at the forefront.
The whole story
Alibaba (NYSE: NYSE:BABA ) has positioned itself as a global leader, especially with its recent strides in AI and cloud computing. The company’s partnership with Nvidia to enhance AI capabilities for Chinese EV makers like Li Auto, Great Wall Motor, and ZEEKR highlights its ambitions to dominate the rapidly evolving autonomous driving space. This partnership is seen as particularly strategic given U.S. sanctions that limit China’s access to advanced semiconductor chips. By integrating its large language models (LLMs) with Nvidia’s Drive AGX Orin platform, Alibaba seeks to power next-generation in-car AI technologies.
In addition, Alibaba’s continued AI expansion is bolstered by its release of over 100 open-source AI models. These tools democratize access to advanced AI technologies, benefiting small- to medium-sized businesses (SMBs) and helping them compete more effectively in the digital commerce space. Alibaba’s focus on AI not only positions it well in the global tech landscape but also diversifies its revenue streams beyond e-commerce.
Moreover, Alibaba’s strong shareholder yield is further evidenced by its aggressive stock buyback program. In a recent filing, Alibaba revealed that it had repurchased $275 million worth of stock in just one week, signaling management’s confidence in the company’s long-term value. A discounted cash flow (DCF) model indicates Alibaba is currently undervalued by nearly 40%, suggesting potential annual returns exceeding 15%, making it an attractive long-term investment.
Technical Analysis Outlook
From a technical standpoint, Alibaba’s stock is showcasing a classic bullish cup and handle pattern on the daily charts, indicating a possible continuation of the upward trend. The recent 5% surge in premarket trading further emphasizes this pattern, particularly as the handle formation has completed, setting the stage for a potential breakout.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 69, approaching the overbought region. While this could suggest a short-term cooling-off period, it also reinforces the strength of the current upward momentum. With Alibaba trading above all its major moving averages, the bullish momentum looks well-supported.
Additionally, as China’s economy receives stimulus support ahead of its National Day Holiday, investor sentiment remains positive. The People's Bank of China’s rate cuts aim to revive domestic growth, and Alibaba stands to benefit as one of China’s leading tech giants.
Conclusion:
Alibaba’s solid fundamentals, strategic partnerships, and promising technical indicators make it an attractive stock to watch. The confluence of bullish signals—strong buybacks, AI expansion, and macroeconomic tailwinds—suggests the potential for significant upside. Investors should keep an eye on the cup and handle breakout, as a move above resistance could trigger further gains, especially with the stock trading above key moving averages. With growing confidence in China’s economic stimulus measures and Alibaba’s strategic moves in the AI and EV space, the stock is well-positioned for continued growth.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: $100
- RSI: 69 (approaching overbought territory)
- Cup & Handle breakout confirmation level: Above $100
Alibaba’s forward-looking strategies and market sentiment hint at a prosperous run, making it a must-watch stock in the coming days.
Alibaba - The Bleeding Is OverNYSE:BABA dropped roughly -75% after it broke the long term trendline towards the downside back in 2021 before it found some strong support at a previous horizontal support level.
Click chart above to see detailed analysis 👆🏻
Bulls are still not giving up on Alibaba and after the strong retest and reversal of the all time low back in 2022, Alibaba managed to consolidate and stop the agressive downtrend. If Alibaba actually manages to break back above the confluence of resistance, this stock is actually back to a bullish market and we could see the beginning of a new uptrend and maybe even new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $81
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
$BABA | Allocation & Watchlist | Market Exec & Buy Stops |Technical Confluences:
- Price action has been consolidating between a Wedge pattern
- Price action is at a Demand Zone of all-time lows
- Price is starting to slowly break above the 200MA
- A break above the resistance trendline (been a good support/resistance TL) would be a significant move.
Fundamental Confluences:
- Considerably cheap valuations
- Still one of the largest e-commerce players, don't see it dropping it off anytime soon
- China's economy has been weakening and we are seeing efforts by the China government to help boost back the domestic economy. Potential for revenue boost.
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Putting in my first tranche of NYSE:BABA allocation for my Long-Term portfolio.
Gonna be holding this share for years and will continue adding position with Buy Stop orders.
Remember, DYOR.
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If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies.
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Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. DYOR.
Alibaba - Back to bearish (not)?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Alibaba .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
After Alibaba broke below the major support trendline in 2021 we saw a massive correction of -75% towards the downside. Alibaba was then retesting another major level, this time a previous support area which is at $60. So far Alibaba stock is still respecting the bearish trendline, but it is just a matter of time until we will see a bullish trading opportunity on this stock.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Alibaba Long Term Analysis. 1st Target 134, 2nd Target 308This is my Long Term Analysis _ "Alibaba".
Downtrend is Breakout in monthly time frame and retested. So, from now on, the market will move to a Bullish Trend. And 1st Target is 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement (134), 2nd Target is (308).
I want to help people to Make Profit all over the "World".
PDD Stock Jumps 6% Following Strong Q1 Earnings For Temu NASDAQ:PDD stock surged 6% on Thursday, following strong Q1 earnings for Temu parent company PDD Holdings ( NASDAQ:PDD ). Sales jumped 131% year-over-year for the March-ending quarter. On the stock market today, U.S.-listed NASDAQ:PDD stock is up 6% at 156.14 in higher than usual volume. NASDAQ:PDD Holdings includes China-focused e-commerce platform Pinduoduo and international discount retail platform Temu. Shares of NASDAQ:PDD surged nearly 80% in 2023, as Temu expanded rapidly in the U.S. and elsewhere.
Both Alibaba (BABA) and JD.com (JD) posted better-than-expected sales for their March quarters last week. The tech giants are PDD's main competitors in China. Analysts were mostly positive on PDD's Q1 results. Morningstar analyst Chelsey Tam upped the research firm's fair value estimate for PDD stock to by 8% to 230.
PDD Holdings beat first-quarter revenue estimates on Wednesday, powered by its international shopping site Temu and growing consumer interest in its Chinese discount e-commerce platform Pinduoduo. The company's revenue rose 131% to 86.81 billion yuan ($11.99 billion) in the first quarter, compared with analysts' average estimate of 75.66 billion yuan, based on LSEG data. PDD's shares were up 5.7% in pre-market trading.
Consumers in China have turned to less expensive shopping platforms such as Pinduoduo and Bytedance's Douyin at a time when a property sector downturn and rising local debt have weighed on the country's economic growth. NASDAQ:PDD 's co-CEO Chen Lei told analysts in a call following the company's earnings release that competition has been fierce in the first quarter, with consumers growing accustomed to making purchases from a variety of platforms, rather than defaulting to just one.
Technical Outlook
NASDAQ:PDD stock is up 6.14% as of the time of writing. NASDAQ:PDD stock appears to be overbought with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 76.78 which made it primed for a trend reversal. The stock's daily price chart depicts a double bottom that lasted for about 5 weeks before the uptrend.
Alibaba - Trading opportunity is finally there!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Alibaba .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Almost a decade ago Alibaba stock retested a strong support at the psychological $60 level and reversed significantly towards the upside. Just a couple of months ago Alibaba stock once again retested this support and created an anticipated reversal. If Alibaba stock actually manages to break above the current resistance trendline, we could maybe see a similar rally like we saw in 2015 and the following years.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Break down on technicals for Alibaba near historical lowsHi Guys. As always, heres a macro chart setup i've found to be a MUST WATCH, at the very least if not a potential long.
Analysis done on 1 week, indicating a macro analysis.
Alibaba (BABA), at current prices is roughly 75% from its blow off top in 2020.
Around October- November 2022, we tested support at the historical bottom and bounced to test the Resistance zone with a REJECTION.
Bringing us to our current price action where we have managed to maintain a HIGHER LOW.
This supports the idea that perhaps trend is shifting towards BABA wanting to move UP.
Notice also the Blue, Green and Purple Moving averages, Flattening out. This can be an indication that price is showing demand after moving averages moved down so much from the highs.
look for curve up in MA with crosses happening. This would be significantly supportive of probabilities we see Uptrend.
Essentially the order from top to bttom we want to see is:
1. Purple on top
2. Green next
3. Blue below that
4. Red below all
This is an indication of a Bull cycle. As you can see blatantly in previous history.
Notice also Volume which has been steadily increasing since 2019. Maintainence of Higher lows on Volume is also a good sign, that perhaps BABA may rally if we continue this volume trend.
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Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again.
Stay tuned for more updates on BABA in the near future.
If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again.
DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
Alibaba Stock Soars 7.56% After Strong JD.com ResultsAlibaba stock ( NYSE:BABA ) saw a 7.66% gain in afternoon trading on Thursday, thanks to a revenue beat from JD.com. Despite the slight revenue boost, Alibaba's earnings and revenue growth accelerated slightly from the prior quarter, up 13% and 2%, respectively. On an adjusted basis, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) earned $1.40 a share, down 10% year over year, while revenue edged higher by 1% to $30.7 billion. The company announced a two-part dividend, including an annual cash dividend of $1 per American depository share and a "one-time extraordinary cash dividend" of 66 cents per ADS, totaling $4 billion.
In late March, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) abandoned plans to list its logistics arm in Hong Kong, but the news did not lift Alibaba stock ( NYSE:BABA ) out of its downtrend. The cancellation of the listing poses more challenges to a restructuring plan announced last year by Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ), which would have split the e-commerce giant into six separate companies.
NYSE:BABA stock rallied sharply on February 6 after the company reported fiscal Q3 revenue of $36.7 billion, up 2% from the year-ago quarter and slightly above the $36.16 billion consensus. However, adjusted profit fell 4% to $2.67 a a share. Investors also liked the fact that Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) added $25 billion to its share buyback program through March 2027.
Alibaba stock ( NYSE:BABA ) plunged in mid-November despite reporting an 18% rise in quarterly profit and a 6% increase in revenue. The company surged on Jan. 23 on reports that co-founder Jack Ma and business associate Joe Tsai have been buying shares of NYSE:BABA stock in recent months. In September, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) came under selling pressure after outgoing CEO Daniel Zhang unexpectedly stepped down as head of the company's cloud business.
Alibaba stock ( NYSE:BABA ) surged above its 200-day moving average on July 7, following Chinese regulators fined the company's financial arm, Ant Group, just under $1 billion. In April 2021, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) was hit with a $2.8 billion fine in an anti-monopoly probe. However, after three years of regulatory scrutiny, optimism is building that Beijing is close to ending its crackdown on tech firms. In March 2023, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) announced plans to separate into six separate units, each with the ability to raise outside funding and even pursue an IPO. The company is likely to maintain its cloud/artificial intelligence business and giant e-commerce operations.
In April 2020, China regulators fined Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) $2.8 billion after an antimonopoly probe. At the time, it appeared that Alibaba stock ( NYSE:BABA ) was ready to break out of a downtrend but got turned away at its 50-day moving average. It tried to rally above the 50-day line again in late April but sellers knocked the stock lower again.
According to recent reports, Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is expected to earn $7.98 a share in fiscal year 2025, down 7% compared to fiscal 2024. For fiscal 2026, earnings are expected to rise 14% to $9.07 a share.
South Korea Signs Agreement With AliExpress on Product SafetySouth Korea's government has signed an agreement with Alibaba's, AliExpress, and PDD Holdings' to promote product safety. The agreement comes after heightened regulatory scrutiny of these Chinese e-commerce platforms, which have significantly expanded their user base in South Korea. Safety inspections on products sold on these platforms detected harmful substances, threatening consumer safety. The Korea Fair Trade Commission (KFTC) said that the agreement was necessary due to the increased scrutiny on consumer safety related to overseas online platforms.
Temu co-founder Qin Sun stated that the government will continue to strengthen monitoring to block the distribution of harmful products, such as overseas recall products, in Korea. AliExpress Korea's CEO Ray Zhang stated that the platform had stepped up consumer protection policies since March, including a customer hotline without language barriers and faster returns.
Under the agreement, the government will provide data and check whether harmful products have been blocked from sale by the platforms. The KFTC is also pursuing the passing of a Consumer Safety Act that will assign legally binding responsibility to platforms. This is the first time Temu has signed such a voluntary agreement anywhere in the world, although AliExpress has a history of signing such agreements with the European Union and Australia.
Technical Outlook
NYSE:BABA stock is up 5.5% on Monday's early trading session starting off on a clean slate. The stock has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 72 which is clearly overbought. Traders ought to be cautious of a trend reversal or correction to feel the upward gap formed
EU Probe Targets Alibaba's AliExpress Over Illegal Online GoodsAlibaba's AliExpress ( NYSE:BABA ) finds itself in the crosshairs of a European Commission probe following allegations of disseminating potentially illegal and pornographic materials. This investigation, conducted under the EU's Digital Services Act (DSA), marks the third such inquiry into tech platforms, signaling a heightened regulatory focus on online content moderation and consumer protection.
The Allegations Unveiled:
The European Commission's probe into AliExpress stems from concerns about the dissemination of illegal products, including fake medicines, non-compliant food items, and ineffective dietary supplements on the platform. Additionally, authorities are scrutinizing the presence of hidden links facilitating the sale of non-compliant products and the potential role of influencers in this process. While no definitive findings have been made, suspicions of non-compliance with regulatory standards prompt further investigation into AliExpress's practices.
Regulatory Scrutiny Intensifies:
AliExpress, designated as a very large online platform (VLOP) under the DSA, faces heightened scrutiny and potential penalties, including fines of up to 6% of its global annual turnover. The company asserts its commitment to compliance with applicable rules and regulations, emphasizing its collaboration with relevant authorities to ensure adherence to standards and the fulfillment of DSA requirements. However, the investigation underscores the broader challenges faced by tech companies in navigating regulatory frameworks and addressing concerns regarding illegal and harmful content online.
Wider Implications for Tech Giants:
Beyond AliExpress, the European Commission's inquiry extends to other tech giants, including Microsoft's Bing, Google Search, Meta Platforms' Facebook, Instagram, and Snapchat, as well as ByteDance's TikTok and Elon Musk's X. The focus on generative artificial intelligence content raises concerns about misinformation and fake news, prompting calls for robust risk assessments and mitigation measures from these companies. As regulatory pressure mounts, tech firms are compelled to demonstrate their commitment to safeguarding consumer interests and upholding democratic principles in the digital age.
The Road Ahead:
As the investigations unfold, tech companies face a pivotal moment in addressing regulatory concerns and shaping the future of online content moderation. Compliance with the DSA and other regulatory frameworks will be paramount, as authorities seek to ensure a safe and compliant online environment for users. The outcomes of these probes will not only impact individual companies but also set precedents for regulatory approaches to online content moderation and consumer protection globally.
Alibaba - Buy The DipHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Alibaba.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Starting in 2016 Alibaba created a pretty obvious higher timeframe bullish reversal which was followed by a crazy bullrun on Alibaba stock. In 2021 Alibaba broke below a major bullish trendline and dropped more than -70%. If we see another bullish reversal at the $65 level and a break above the trendline mentioned in the analysis, I am looking for bullish trading setups.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
Alibaba (BABA) -> This After -80%My name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Alibaba.
For me personally it was quite impressive that Alibaba stock dropped more than 80% after the massive 400% increase from 2015 to 2020.
Recently Alibaba stock retested and already rejected the previous all time low of 2015 and I think that it is just a matter of time until we will see a monthly bullish break of structure.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡