Alibabalong
Alibaba Stock Pattern Suggests Uptrend is Almost OverAlibaba Group, $BABA, is a Chinese multinational company specializing in e-commerce, retail, Internet, and technology. Here is what to focus on as we're expecting the earning release on 13th February 2020.
However, Alibaba stock is climbing to a new all-time high from a breakout that makes the bulls very excited about the future. But are they right to feel optimistic? That is the question we hope to answer with the help of the Elliott Wave Principle and the chart below.
Alibaba’s weekly chart reveals the entire price structure from the 2015 bottom at $57.07. As you can see, it is a textbook five-wave impulse, labeled 1-2-3-4-5. The sub-waves of wave 3 and 5 are also visible.
The market apparently took the guideline of alternation into account, too. Wave 2 was a sharp plunge, while wave 4 moved sideways in a triangle correction. Triangles precede the final wave of the larger sequence.
If this count is correct, the current rally must be wave 5. The theory postulates that a three-wave correction in the other direction follows every impulse. For BABA stock, this means we can expect a bearish reversal once wave 5 is over around $250.
The anticipated retracement has the potential to erase the entire fifth wave. A decline back to the support area of wave 4 or even lower is very likely. $130 a share seems like a reasonable target in the next couple of years.
The risk/reward ratio doesn’t look very favorable to the bulls with the stock around $213.
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Stock of the Week: Alibaba Group (BABA)Local breakout after bullish behavior suggest further advance
Wyckoff Story
Upsloping price structure of HHs and HLs and decreasing supply signature from Phase A to D suggest accumulation.
Breakout in Phase D out of the local Last Point of Support (LPS) suggests a possible breakout above $210 and a Major Sign of Strength to come.
Relative strength is improving.
Trading Target:
$148 count line + (21 boxes * 3 reversal * $2 box size) =$274
Pattern Confirmation: Breakout above $210
Pattern Failure: Close below $165
Happy Trading,
Roman
Alibaba Buy Opportunity Alibaba BABA stock has triggered long with with 200EMA as a support. At the moment as long as the stock hold above the 200EMA I will be comfortable with the trade till the Target hit.
You can enter now or wait for a retracement towards 170. Personally Im long from 166 levels from initial signal.
If this has a End Of Day close below the 200EMA and break that candlestick, I would come out early.
For the moment Target is 184 to 189
Stops - 159 or close below 200EMA
Ascending Triangle Forming - Breakout In MayWatching this ascending triangle and taking a long position here. Short term PT $194.16. After it reaches the first target, granted market conditions stay the same, I expect BABA to continue on to the last ATH at $211.70 over the next few months. Will be keeping an eye on this one.
Alibaba: 2 Month TargetAlibaba for the next week or so may have some small negative correlations due to concerns over trade in China and the recent effects tariffs and political decisions had on Asian markets. That being said, it is coming in on a strong for positive correlations when looking at a 2 month time period. An expectancy of a $150 price tag should occur within January and it seems to have strong stock potential for a very long term hold.
ALIBABA.....TURNING AROUND?As you can see Alibaba moved up on Wednesday just before the support at $164.20. Mainly because of the news that Alibaba launched an Amazon Prime-like concept called 88VIP.
The day before that it was announced that Kroger would partner up with Alibaba to sell their products in China. Such partnership wouldn't be only good for Kroger it would possibly generate more traffic for Alibaba which could result in more revenue in other departments of the E-commerce company.
Most eyes will be focused on the 23rd when the earnings release is due. With the last 4 reports beating estimates I'm fairly confident this one is no exception.
In my opinion Alibaba is set to return to it's previous high's with the "oversold" 10-day RSI in the back of my mind and the recent positive developments on the fundamental side.
First target is set at around $192.30 the second target would be close to $200.
I will follow up if the targets get hit or when it breaks support.
P.S. I'm not telling you what to do always cross-reference with your own analysis. I'm not responsible for your loss.
BABA: Buy Signal: Let me know what you all think? Hi All,
It's all in the chart.
I do not forsee BABA retracing back to 183, but who actually knows.
Always keep in mindThey could always be black SwanEvent
BABA looks to be on the uptrend. Buy Signal (5-07): Going Long.
Up Trend: Impulse. Down Trend: Correction.
All wave Patterns are impulse or correction.
Sideway: Except for moving horizontally.
Retracement: Price hit Support, Reversal Period,
Stop Loss: 60/40 Split.
Resistance: Price Falls below Previous Support Level .
Only trade when you see repeated price pattern.
Limit to roughly 15-20 trades per month 2/1.
Impulse & Correction: 50/50 Win or lost: lose $50 - Make $100
Hope this chart was helpful to you all. If you all have questions feel free to ask or comment in the comment section below.
Be sure to Follow me for future charts, like this post if it was helpful, and thank you all.
Happy trading People...
Alibaba drowning in bullish patternsBABA broke out yesterday of a big bullish pennant. Ater the breakout it formed another pennant on a small time frame. I entered some calls after the bullish breakout (didn't have time to update). Sold 4/5 of my calls on the way up and holding the rest for a breakout of the forming bullflag. Only trade after a breakout or, if you want to play it aggressively, on support.
Keep the NDX in mind. It's still trading in an upward channel but after a bearish breakout it can lower the whole market, including BABA.
The general conclusion remains bullish with caution.
Alibba worth more than Amazon (MarketCap) and Looking to buyTechnically it might have completed correction and will rise its price
- Comparing Alibaba and Amazon: Alibaba make twice than Amazon. Looking 5 years in the future, Alibaba has more opportunities than Amazon and now Amazon market-cap is about 1.5 times of Alibaba.
THE FUNDAMENTAL LONG PICTURE FOR ALIBABA (BABA)China’s economy is growing at a 6-7% annual rate and is on track to pass the United States as the largest economy in the world within the next decade or two. China’s middle class is made up of 1.3 billion individuals and those individuals are beginning to shop online a lot! In this scenario it only makes sense to own stock in the most dominant Chinese e-commerce company, Alibaba.
You have probably heard of Alibaba referred to as the Amazon (AMZN) of China. The similarities between Alibaba and Amazon don’t stop at online retail. Alibaba, like Amazon, also has a dominant and rapidly growing cloud computing business. In Q4, 2017 its cloud business grew by 104% YoY.
Aside from its already impressive e-commerce and cloud computing businesses, Alibaba also owns a portion of a rapidly growing fintech company called Ant Financial. We think Alibaba is well positioned for the next decade! The e-commerce, cloud computing, and the mobile payment industries should continue to see plenty of growth!
Alibaba’s stock is currently trading at forward-PE of 26. Analysts have forecasted a 5-year EPS growth rate of 29%, assigning Alibaba a PEG of 0.9.
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ALIBABA TA - Hold for longterm, buy on dip.Thinking it's time for a correction for Alibaba and this is what it may look like. In terms of MACRO, Jack Ma is brilliant, he knows what he's doing and the fact that Onchain built an email solution for Alibaba using blockchain, that right there makes me super bullish on NEO. The Chairman of Alibaba and the CEO of ONCHAIN/NEO think alike.