V Hits New All-Time HighVisa had a velocity run that took the stock to a new all-time high recently. The run concluded with Professional Traders taking profits quickly.
Alltimehigh
Short Bonds on Retest w/ Concurrent SPY rallyTL;DR short bonds for the week until FOMC decision 6/19/19 with no more upside pressure, consolidating at current level with volume. SPY is 70 points off of high and is aiming to test that resistance a 3rd time in this year.
Fundamentally: SPY is about to reach all time highs, with some more support as a fed rate cut is predicted (bringing hope in the short term). While a China Trade deal is still uncertain, Trump seems determined to make one at G20 end of this month. It seems the market has taken a hopeful turn leading up to the meeting and do not have hard economic data to trade off of this week of 6/10/19. 6/19/19 is an FOMC decision, however, where interest rate may be cut sending bond prices higher. Bonds and Equities could both rise on this news.
Technicals: 10yr reached the same highs experienced nearly a year ago with volume as stocks were sliding. Now they have reached the zone without going down to test any of the broken resistance levels as supports and bulls are failing to drive it further. The point-of-control shows significant "gravity" (market profile) down at the ~124'28 level which it could go as low as to test.
R:R: Local High 127'16 (Stop Loss), Profit Target 124'28, resulting in ~4:1 reward.
INGN Selling Short Earns Higher Profits FasterThe Inogen Inc. chart shows that it takes much longer to reach a Peak new All-Time High. However, a Topping Formation or Business Bear Downtrend occurs much faster. There is triple or quadruple the points profit in half the time when selling short a stock as compared to buying it going long in the market. This stock is now at a support level and is no longer a viable sell short candidate.
Estimated Tothemoon Model. $150K in 2022Welcome to advanced Tothemoon analysis!
Well I did something) The estimated Tothemoon model.
This is an example of how you can use the fundamental Bitcoin metrics along with simple proportions and drawings. And without any H&S, gartleys and butterflies. Okay, I'll tell you briefly what I've done.
Used tools:
1) Cost per Transaction ( $/Tx , miners revenue divided by the number of transactions)
2) The blue line represents Bitcoin's ATH price
3) The black line represents ATH $/Tx mapped to the corresponding price on the chart
4) Bitcoin Halvings (the dates are shifted because the time scale doesn't contain such dates)
I made several conclusions that may seem obvious, but still:
ATHs of the $/Tx and price happened at the same time .
$/Tx starts to decrease after a new ATH price was reached.
A new $/Tx peak will happen in the middle of 2022 .
The ATH-to-ATH price movement can give about 600% . Each new ATH-to-ATH gain is approximately one-third of the previous gain.
The price starts to grow up after each halving .
The price crosses its ATH levels after each halving .
So, we cannot be sure that the previous ATH of $20K will be reached before the 3rd halving will happen.
The periods that are needed to pass ATH levels after each halving look like an arithmetic progression. For the 1st halving it was about 4 months , for the 2nd - 8 months . Thus, for the 3rd it can be 12 months .
The 3rd halving's growth will be 900-1000% approximately.
We can expect approximately a 2-year growth after the 3rd halving.
According to the model the price can drop again in the nearest months of 2019 .
And then it will continue to approach the ATH $/Tx level. There can play positive news about Bakkt and ETFs.
Bitcoin will reach $100K in 3 years.
The estimated target at the end of the 3rd halving cycle is $150K .
You can see all of this on the chart.
Good luck and Happy Trading!
NEW discovery?!ETH is currently at $266 as of speaking.. As usual i was studying charts when i realized.. i spotted an Perfect Adam and EVE right before the all time high..
Did somebody spot this and just buy in??
Remember.. This was right before the 2017 ALL-TIME high!!!
What do you guys think??
Peace!!
Bitcoin Next All-Time High Price and % Rate of ReturnBitcoin - % Return & Future Peak High
Each market cycles rate of return has been 20% or 1/5 of the previous cycle return from bottom to new peak high
With cycle bottom at $3148, this next market cycle could give 2300% returns based on historical data with a Bitcoin high at $78,500
Sony: Weekly 3-drive pattern completed at ATHSony completes a 3-Drive formation into the last ALL TIME HIGH from 2007. Can it get any better with the PS4 getting long in the tooth and smartphone shipments slowing down?
Also check out the massive SSR level set at 5,400 first set in 2006 which holds till today.
Bitcoin Shorts approaching all time highs againAs the price of Bitcoin continues to grind higher the Bitcoin Shorts are also climbing higher and may soon reach into the all time highs again. Somebody is seriously wrong, who is it? Me? You? Us? Them? Stay tuned...….
Below is a look at the current short positions.
PAYX: Strong earnings report above a completed double bottomPAYX had a strong earnings report and continues to climb upward slowly making new all-time highs. The completed double, aka W, bottom is a short-term bottom formation that provides moderate to strong support if more profit-taking occurs.
MCD: Pre earnings run at new all-time highMCD has a pre earnings run underway. It has broken out of a long-term trading range to a new all-time high. The technical indicators are diverging from the price action, indicating the rising risk of a retracement due to profit-taking.
FAST: Steep rise, overextended indicators = profit-taking riskFAST moved out of its sideways pattern and gapped, then ran up to a new all-time high. The stock is at risk of profit-taking due to the angle of ascent of the price action and the overextended technical indicator patterns.
ADTN: Bottom completionADTN broke through moderate resistance to confirm a completion of its short-term bottom formation. ADTN has a previous all-time high of approximately $47.00. Profit-taking is likely as it nears the resistance from the lows of the prior sideways pattern above the current price.
$SPY - Weekly Chart Analysis Heading Into Easter Long Weekend$SPY - with its consistent grind for the month of April, we have finally found ourselves approaching ATH (All time highs) from back in October 18'. All indicators illustrating market breadth is exhausted and due for a pullback. With earnings and volatility arising in the majority of S&P names, we will be mindful of both directions the market can take. For healthy longs, we would like to see a slight pullback to $285-$290 level of consolidation to let the market catch it's breath and overbought sentiment.
Main focus for day trades have been day 2 continuation plays off highly correlated news-based plays moving irrelevant to the market conditions. Other focus setups have been on the earnings reports and pre-market gappers that also tend to more irrelevant to the market conditions.
Still keeping a mindful approach to how the $SPY is acting in conjunction with my watch-list. On gap up days, market tends to give less opportunities at the open and for longs. Key is to be patient, let the pullback/dip take place and base out, then look to attack the healthy long setups that have bullish support from the overall market.
If we do hit doomsday mode where media and major names start to tank during earnings season, will look to focus my watch-list on the inverse ETF's (UVXY, TVIX) as they are my bread and butter during volatile market dips.
Have a great long-weekend everyone and I will see you all Monday!
CHKP: Intermittent Dark Pool accumulation and Pro TradersCHKP is one of the few stocks that has breached its previous all-time high, corrected mildly and then resumed the uptrend to new higher highs. The stock has a mixture of retail traders, pro traders and mild Dark Pool accumulation at times. The momentum will stall intermittently with profit taking from professionals.
MSCI: Steady momentum gains on Dark Pool and Pro Trader actionMSCI has been moving with steady momentum gains after periods of resting days. The stock is now at another new all-time high. The pattern is indicative of steady Dark Pool and pro trader activity.
$SPY - Daily Chart Extreme Overbought & Parabolic Snapback Setup$SPY - our $283 level of resistance finally broke over with the market busting over and gapping up this week. Spy currently sitting at $288.26 at time of post. Highs of market are at $293.85. 7th green day in a row, constant gap ups making it hard to get day trades with market breadth sucked out before market opens. In individual names, I have been take about 30% less trades than normal. Longs my hold time is about 1/2 of what it was a few months ago. Always have to adapt and find the trend with market conditions.
$SPY - expecting a pullback sooner than later with stochastics now at 90.17. Market is due for a breather and pullback to at least 9ema, otherwise other notable level is $283 area again (for tap off support).
Have a great weekend coming up!
CSCO: Steep rise to new all-time high poised to shift sidewaysCSCO is one of the very few Dow 30 components at a NEW all-time high. CSCO is riding on new technology in 5G and other areas. The gains are slowed down by some selling but the steep angle
of ascent has continued. The stock is poised to shift sideways ahead of its earnings report date.
SGRO Long This week I will be keeping an eye on the UK based REIT SGRO, their main business is managing industrial storage units, the stock is within 3% of its all time highs and is consolidating nicely around the 662 level. The consolidation has been a bit all over the place for my liking and that skews the entry a little bit as I like to clear all previous highs with my entry to avoid running into previous resistance but the spike on the first of march would make the entry too high from the level. that being side the price is bunching up nicely under the level and on the weekly scale an inside weekly doji gives me the feeling that we could see some action within next weeks trading. My improvised entry would be 663.2 as this clears the attempt on the 30th of January but if you want a clear margin of safety in the trade then 6666.3 would be the stop entry. This stock is a relatively low beta at 0.76 (yahoo finance) which I think could help it out given the weakness lately in the FTSE 100, I hope you liked this idea, if you did be sure to comment what you like if not then that's welcome too.
Happy trading.
Joe
The Bottom Is InI developed an indicator, the Saracino Bitcoin Momentum Index (SBMX). On the monthly chart it has been a reliable indicator of a bottom in the past bear markets and right now it is giving a bottom signal for 2018/2019 bear market.
I officially call the bottom.
All time high is nearBNB is very near all time high and moving there with huge bullish momentum. If and When price cross last level of resistance (if it will ever resist), there will be no more pressure from above. Everyone buying will be in profit, kust like with bitcoin before it went down. It might not land on the Moon, but potential is really unlimited and unrevealed, until we really see it clearly fall. No one can say how far BNB will grow, but according to Fibonacci possible levels will be at these areas 325 - 375 - 425 - 525.
When everyone screams recession; run the other way!You've heard it so many times "greedy when others are fearful", but fear takes hold and sways your judgement.
What are the common sense clues?
The talking heads are trying to "call" the recession before it happens simply for an "I told you so" moment, but where were they before 2008 and earlier?
Why can't we make some serious profits after 10 years of an absolute garbage economy?
Headlines for the past two years have been all about Elon's gaffs
Very few called the recent FANG "crash"
All of the technicals are moving in the right direction
Fundamentals are easy... when EVERYONE is calling for a recession, we know the opposite will unfold
FINALLY: Show me an historical All Time High back to the great depression, then show me breaking that ATH, finding support, and it not creating a new bull run. The trend is your friend and stocks are in full bull mode with no signs of reversal.
-racethehair
