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Alltimehigh

USDJPY / Consolidation with Potential for Bullish ContinuationMarket Consolidation and Key Levels: The price has broken the all-time high and stabilized above it. As long as it trades above 159.820, it will remain in the bullish zone, targeting 161.800. Bullish Scenario: For the bullish trend to persist, the price must stabilize above 159.820, with an aim towards a target of 161.800. Bearish Scenario: A downtrend will be confirmed if the price stabilizes below 159.820, potentially reaching 159.110. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 159.820 - Resistance Levels: 160.500, 161.300, 161.850 - Support Levels: 159.220, 158.800, 157.980 Summary: The market is currently in a consolidation phase between 159.820 and 158.800. A break above 159.820 signals a bullish continuation towards 161.700, while stability below 158.800 indicates a potential decline to 157.970. In summary, the key level to watch is 159.820. A move above this level confirms bullish momentum, while a drop below 158.800 suggests further downside potential. Previous idea:
Long
by SroshMayi
Options Blueprint Series: All-Time High Christmas Tree SpreadIntroduction As Nasdaq futures continue to show bullish momentum, traders are eyeing the potential for a new all-time high. With market conditions favoring upward movements, leveraging options strategies that maximize upside potential becomes crucial. One such strategy is the Christmas Tree Spread, traditionally used to limit risk while maintaining profit potential. However, in this article, we will explore a modified version where all strikes are Out-Of-The-Money (OTM), creating a setup that profit to the upside no matter how high Nasdaq goes. This approach aligns perfectly with the optimistic outlook for Nasdaq futures and sets the stage for potential gains. Strategy Overview The Christmas Tree Spread is a versatile options strategy that can be tailored to suit various market conditions. Traditionally, when using calls, it involves buying one call at a lower strike price and selling three calls at higher strike prices and buying two more calls at even higher strike prices, creating a balanced risk-reward profile. In this modified version, we adjust the strikes to all be Out-Of-The-Money (OTM), enhancing the bullish nature of the strategy. For this setup, while Nasdaq Futures are trading at 19,982.75, we select the following strike prices for Nasdaq futures options with an expiration date of September 2024: Buy one 20000 call Sell three 21500 calls Buy two 21750 calls By choosing these strikes, we position ourselves to benefit from any substantial upward movement in Nasdaq futures. All strikes being OTM ensures that the breakeven point is set above the current price, effectively betting on a new all-time high for Nasdaq. This configuration guarantees profit to the upside, regardless of how high Nasdaq futures rise. Strategy Rationale The rationale behind selecting an all OTM strike setup for the Christmas Tree Spread lies in the current bullish outlook for Nasdaq futures. As markets exhibit strong upward trends, the potential for Nasdaq to achieve new all-time highs becomes increasingly plausible. This strategy aims to capitalize on such a possible bullish scenario. Why OTM Strikes? Lower Cost: OTM options are generally cheaper, reducing the initial cost of setting up the spread. Increased Profit Potential: Since all strikes are set above the current market price, the profit potential is maximized for any substantial upward movement. Risk Mitigation: The structure of the spread inherently limits risk, as losses are capped while allowing for upside gains. Breakeven Point: The breakeven point for this modified Christmas Tree Spread is calculated based on the premiums paid and received for the options. Given the strikes selected (20000, 21500, and 21750), the breakeven point is above the current E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures price (20,465.62), aligning with the expectation of a new all-time high. Detailed Setup and Example Trade Setup Details: Buy one 20000: This is the lower strike option, purchased to gain exposure to significant upside potential. Sell three 21500 calls: These are the middle strike options, sold to offset the cost of the purchased call and to create a spread. Buy two 21750 calls: These are the higher strike options, purchased to cap the potential loss from the sold calls and complete the spread. Premiums Involved: Assuming the following hypothetical premiums: 20000 call: 683.38 points 21500 calls: 145.42 each (436.26 total for three) 21750 calls: 109.25 each (218.5 total for two) Net Cost: Total cost of buying calls: 683.38 (20000 call) + 218.5 (21750 calls) = 901.88 Total premium received from selling calls: 436.26 (21500 calls) Net cost: 901.88 – 436.26 = 465.62 Risk Profile and Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Maximum Risk: The maximum risk is limited to the net cost of the trade, which is 465.62 points. Maximum Reward: The maximum reward would take place at 21500 on expiration and is 1034.39 points. The structure ensures 534.39 points of profit as the index potentially climbs higher. Breakeven Point: The breakeven point is the initial cost added to the lower strike price, which is 20000 + 465.62= 20,465.62. Trade Scenario: To illustrate, let's consider the potential outcomes at expiration in September 2024: If Nasdaq is below 20000: All options expire worthless, and the net loss is the initial cost: 465.61 points. If Nasdaq is at 21500: The 20000 call gains 1500, the 21500 calls expire worthless, and the 21750 calls expire worthless. Net gain = 1500 - initial cost = 1034.39 points. If Nasdaq is at or above 21750: The 20000 call gains 1500, two of the 21500 calls each lose 250, and the 21750 calls expire worthless. Net gain = $1500 - 750 (total loss from sold calls) – 465.61 (initial cost) = 534.39 points. Risk Management Risk management is a crucial aspect of any trading strategy, especially when dealing with options. For the modified Christmas Tree Spread strategy on E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures options, several risk management techniques can be employed to ensure that potential losses are minimized and profits are protected. Use of Stop-Loss Orders: Stop-Loss: Implementing stop-loss orders can help limit losses if the market does not move as expected. Setting a stop-loss at a certain percentage below the purchase price can automatically exit the position, reducing the risk of holding losing trades. Hedging Techniques: Protective Puts: Purchasing protective puts can provide additional downside protection if the market moves significantly against the position. This can be considered if there are signs of a strong bearish reversal. Spreading Risk: Diversifying the strike prices or expiration dates can spread the risk and reduce the impact of a single adverse market movement. However, this needs to be balanced with the strategy's intent and market conditions. Avoiding Undefined Risk Exposure: Capped Risk: The strategy inherently caps risk by buying the 21750 calls, which limits the maximum loss from the sold 21500 calls. Ensuring that all components of the strategy are correctly implemented and monitored helps avoid unexpected risks. Regular Monitoring: Regularly reviewing the position and market conditions ensures that the strategy remains aligned with the trader’s expectations and risk tolerance. Adjustments can be made as necessary to manage exposure. By incorporating these risk management techniques, traders can enhance the robustness of the modified Christmas Tree Spread strategy, ensuring that potential losses are minimized while maximizing the chances of achieving the desired profit. Application with Micro E-mini Nasdaq Options The modified Christmas Tree Spread strategy can also be effectively applied to Micro E-mini Nasdaq futures options. Micro E-mini options offer the same strategic benefits but with smaller contract sizes (10 times less), making them more accessible for traders with smaller accounts or those looking to manage risk more precisely. Advantages of Using Micro E-mini Options: Lower Capital Requirement: The smaller contract size of Micro E-mini options means a lower initial cost, making it easier for more traders to participate. Fine-Tuned Risk Management: Smaller positions allow for more precise control over risk, as traders can scale in and out of positions more easily. Similar Profit Potential: While the absolute profit may be smaller compared to standard E-mini options, the percentage returns can be similar, providing an effective way to capture upside movements in E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures. Comparison of Standard E-mini vs. Micro E-mini Options: Standard E-mini options have larger contract sizes and are typically used by traders with more significant capital to invest. In contrast, Micro E-mini options offer smaller contract sizes, making them ideal for traders with smaller accounts or those who prefer to manage risk more precisely. Both options provide the same strategic advantages but cater to different levels of investment and risk management needs. Using Micro E-mini Nasdaq futures options provides traders with the same strategic advantage of capturing significant upside potential while managing risk effectively, aligning well with the bullish market outlook for E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures. Conclusion The modified Christmas Tree Spread strategy offers a robust and flexible approach to capitalizing on the bullish momentum of E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures. By strategically placing all strikes Out-Of-The-Money and targeting a new all-time high, this setup ensures profit potential to the upside, no matter how high Nasdaq climbs. With proper risk management and precise execution, traders can maximize their gains while minimizing risks. Whether using standard E-mini options or Micro E-mini options, this strategy provides a powerful tool for navigating the current market conditions and positioning for future growth. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME_MINI:NQU2024Education
by traddictiv
SWING IDEA - CARBORUNDUM UNIVERSALCarborundum Universal , a renowned conglomerate in the industrial sector, presents a compelling swing trade opportunity. Reasons are listed below : A bullish Marubozu candle on the weekly timeframe signals strong buying pressure and potential upward momentum. The stock is breaking out of a consolidation phase lasting over a year, indicating a significant shift in market sentiment and potential for sustained movement. Finding support at the 0.382 Fibonacci level strengthens the bullish case, providing a solid foundation for potential upward movement. The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the weekly chart acts as additional support, reinforcing the bullish bias. The stock is attempting to breach its all-time high, signaling strong upward momentum and potential for further gains. Notable increase in trading volumes reflects heightened market interest and potential accumulation by investors, adding confirmation to the bullish thesis. Target - 1405 // 1475 // 1650 Stoploss - weekly close below 1085 Disclaimer : Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:CARBORUNIVLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
20 Microns LTD have Broken All Time High With Very Good VolumeKey Activities • 20 Microns invests in research & development to develop innovative products & processes that can be used in various industries Key Products. White Pigment Opacifier Synthetic Aluminium Silicate High Performance Opacifier Flash Calcined Clay Matting Agent Polyethylene Wax Organo Clays Calcium Carbonate • Natural Baryte • Natural Talc • Natural Mica • Natural Silica • Calcined Kaolin • The company works with close proximity with its customers to provide customized solutions based on their specific requirements Key Resources • Mines • Technology & R&D prowess • Human Resources • Trusted Brand Image Cost Structure • Raw material cost is ~50% of the revenue • Other major costs are power & fuel, freight & logistics accounts Revenue Generation • Revenue is generated from sale of industrial minerals, specialty chemicals and branded products. • The company also generates revenue from sale of its products outside India. • The company has formed strategic alliances and joint ventures with global players, which help to expand its business and generate revenue from new markets. Revenue from Operations - ₹ 921.40 mn EBITDA - ₹ 106.10 mn EBITDA Margins – 11.52% PAT - ₹ 32.40 mn PAT Margins – 3.52% Financial Performance Comparison FY24 v/s FY23: Consolidated revenue from operations increased by 10.80% and stood at ₹7,774.93 Mn in FY24 from ₹7,016.87 Mn in FY23. This growth was led by addition of new customer and through enhancing our core offerings through several strategies, such as expanding distribution channels and launching new products. EBIDTA increased by 22.63% from ₹857.36 Mn in FY23 to ₹1,051.34 Mn in FY24 margins improved from 13.52% in FY24 to 12.22% in FY23. PAT during the year stood at ₹561.60 Mn in FY24 compared to ₹419.62 Mn in FY23 with margins improving to 7.22% from 5.98%.
NSE:20MICRONSLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
1
SWING IDEA - PRESTIGE ESTATESPrestige Estates , a leading Indian real estate developer, is showing a compelling opportunity for a swing trade. Reasons are listed below : Breakthrough of Resistance Zone : The 1350-1400 range had been a significant resistance zone, but the price recently broke through and achieved a weekly close above it, indicating a strong upward momentum. 0.5 Fibonacci Bounce : The price retraced to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and subsequently bounced back, suggesting this level is acting as strong support, reinforcing the potential for continued bullish movement. Breakout from Consolidation Phase : The stock has broken out of a 4-month consolidation phase, signaling that it could be entering a new upward trend. Bullish Marubozu Candle on Weekly Timeframe : Last week's marubozu candle (with minimal shadows) indicates strong buying pressure and supports the case for continued bullish momentum. Trading Above 50 and 200 EMA on Weekly Timeframe : Prestige Estates is trading above both the 50-week and 200-week exponential moving averages, which is a robust signal of a prevailing uptrend. Trading at All-Time High : The stock is currently trading at its all-time high, indicating strong bullish sentiment. However, traders should watch for potential pullbacks or resistance at this level. Target - 1650 // 1800 // 1900 Stoploss - weekly close below 1300 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:PRESTIGELong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/20/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 20241.25 - PR Low: 20227.50 - NZ Spread: 30.75 Key economic calendar events 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 11:00 | Crude Oil Inventories ATH march continues through rollover week Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 248.72 - Volume: 91 - Open Int: 229 - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20383 - Mid: 19246 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by mv3trader5
AMD - Trading opportunity is almost there!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at AMD . -------- Explanation of my video analysis: The stock chart of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is looking quite interesting at the moment: A couple of months ago AMD broke out of a major symmetrical triangle formation, creating another rally of roughly +100%. But at the moment AMD also already corrected roughly -40% and is approaching a major confluence of support at the $125 level from which we could see another bullish reversal and rally. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by basictradingtv
4
NIFTY DAILY - 10/6/2024Nifty opens with gap up and made All Time High which 23411 but didn’t sustain the upper level and made days that is 23227 level. Nifty gave closing down by -30 points which is around -0.13%. Index has formed a red body candle with long upper shadow which indicates participants were selling from higher level. Currently RSI is trading at 58. Nifty is not able to sustain above 23300 level so, further 23396 will work as resistance level with support of 23007 level. Bank Nifty levels Support – 49547 Resistance – 49974 Today’s Advance Decline ratio of NIFTY50 Advance - 27 Decline - 23 FII Buy + 2572.38 crores DII Buy + 2764.64crores. ⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio. ✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅ Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁 Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NSE:NIFTY
by radha_23
Dow Jones - All time high and 20% rally?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Dow Jones . -------- Explanation of my video analysis: For more than a decade, the Dow Jones has been trading in a rising channel formation. We had the first retest of support and resistance back in 2011 and ever since this was a massively profitable channel pattern. With the recent breakout above the $35.000 resistance level, the Dow Jones clearly looks like the next target is once again the upper resistance of the channel. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
DJ:DJILong
by basictradingtv
7
BJP Election Jeete ya Haare BIKAJI FOODS ki Mithai to Banti hai Company has delivered good profit growth of 39.5% CAGR over last 5 years Delivered overall volume growth of 14.3% and value growth of 33% in Q4 YoY EBITDA margin expanded by 244 bps in FY 24 over FY 23. This was led by gross margin expansion by 329 bps due to favourable material prices along with better product mix and realisation. In Q4 FY PLI income has been recorded amounting to INR 930.5 millions (for FY 20-21, FY 21-22 and FY 22-23) as all commitments have been fulfilled. Going forward this will be recorded on accrual basis quarter on quarter. Total committed investment was done by 31 March 2024 as per committed timelines. Realised amount of INR 484 millions for FY 2021-22 and FY 2022-23 in two tranches from Government. Since commitment is completed, from this year onwards started booking PLI income in books of account under “other operating revenue” as per accrual concept of accounting. In current year booked income in books pertaining to FY 2021-22, FY 2022-23 and FY 2023-24. Going forward same will be booked quarter on quarter basis. Bikaji Foods International Ltd (previously Shivdeep Industries Limited) was founded in 1986 as a partnership concern and was converted to a limited company in October 1995. The erstwhile firm used to sell its product under the name of Haldiram, and from 1993 onwards, the company established the BIKAJI brand for its products. The company is engaged in the manufacturing and processing of bhujia, papad, namkeens, cookies, snacks and sweets, among other products. It also exports to more than 35 countries and contributes approximately 5% of sales. The company has ISO: 9001:2015 and ISO 22000:2005 certified manufacturing facilities in Bichhwal, Bikaner. Bikaji Foods International Limited is one of India's largest fast-moving consumer goods ("FMCG") brands. The company's product range includes six principal categories: bhujia, namkeen, packaged sweets, papad, western snacks as well as other snacks which primarily include gift packs (assortment), frozen food, mathri range, and cookies.
NSE:BIKAJILong
by iism-ExpertTrading
Ethereum - $5.000 retest soon?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Ethereum . -------- Explanation of my video analysis: By connecting the significant highs from 2018 and 2021 and the significant lows from 2019 and 2022 you can see that Ethereum is clearly trading in a rising channel formation. Furthermore Ethereum is approaching the previous all time high which is roughly at the $4.500 area but even then the path of least resistance is certainly higher. Eventually I do expect a retest of the $5.000 level. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by basictradingtv
1
TRIL Showing Again Bullish Mood at All Time High ZoneCompany has reduced debt. Company has delivered good profit growth of 57.2% CAGR over last 5 years Most preferred Indian Brand, known for manufacturing High Voltage Transformers viz. 220 kV 400 kV, 765 kV, 1200 kV indigenously ❑ Expertise in designing and manufacturing transformers from 5kV up to 1,200kV voltage class transformers and from 0.5MVA to 500MVA capacity; thereby having presence across the value chain ❑ Manufactures entire range of transformers viz. Power, Distribution, Furnace, Rectifier Transformers & Shunt Reactors, creating a unique positioning for itself in the transformer industry ❑ Supported by backward integrated manufacturing facilities housed in Gujarat ❑ International presence in 25+ countries New Order Received during the year ₹ 2,050 crore Order from Solar Power Plants: ❑ Received order for Solar Power Plants for 4 nos. 250 MVA 2x33 kV/400 kV from a reputed EPC Company ❑ Received order for 8 nos. 315 MVA 2x33/400 kV from a Maharatna PSU Order from Private Sector Industry: ❑ Received maiden order for 400 kV Single Phase Generator transformers of 6 nos. 210 MVA from a steel plant Order from Metro Projects/ Railways: ❑ Received order for Delhi Metro (DMRC) and Chennai Metro Projects Order from Central Power Utility: ❑ Received order for 72 nos. Transformers & Reactors from a leading Central Power Utility in India ❑ Received order for 2 nos. 250 MVA ICT from one of the PPP model Company ❑ Received order of 4 nos. 60 MVA Traction Power Transformer (Scott Connected) ❑ Received an order of 220 MVA EAF transformer for Exports to be used in steel melting application, it is second biggest rating in the world. Unit to be export in Q1FY25. Other Achievements: ❑ Successfully tested the most stringent Dynamic Short Circuit test on multiple transformers of various voltage ratings. With this company has crossed a commendable milestone of successful Dynamic short circuit test on a record 150 plus transformers in last two decades. ❑ Technology for 765 kV class shunt reactors has been fully absorbed Q4FY24 revenue ₹ 500 crore; FY24 revenue ₹ 1,273 crore ❑ Q4FY24 EBIDTA ₹ 65 crore; FY24 EBIDTA ₹ 129 crore ❑ Q4FY24 EBIDTA margin 12.9%; FY24 EBIDTA margin 10.0% ❑ Revenue improvement due to faster execution of major orders, better production planning, improved receivables, internal control systems, etc. ❑ Export Contribution as a % of Revenue 11% ❑ Average monthly collection from customers during H2FY24 was Rs.144 crore which indicates stringent internal controls systems in place. ❑ Tailwind to continue & company expects much higher profit margins in years to come. “
TLong
by iism-ExpertTrading