Alphabet
GOOG Alphabet Inc. Technical ReboundIf you haven`t sold GOOG at the top, when Ark Invest did:
Then you should know that a technical rebound refers to a recovery from a prior period of losses when technical signals indicate that the move was oversold.
In this case, the Relative Strength Index momentum indicator of GOOG is at 22.42.
Even though i am overall bearish on the economy, buying a strong financial instrument when the RSI is below 30, would make a case for a potential short term reversal.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Google | Looking For The Next TargetAlphabet Inc (Google) peaked in November 2021... With one last hurray in January 2022 that wicked higher.
The All Time High came in January this year but only by a wick as the weekly candle closed much lower.
We have a year long downtrend already.
Time does fly by when one is not paying attention.
We opened this chart out of curiosity.
Since the Nasdaq100 (NDX) index is set to crash, all these companies are likely to follow and the charts are matching this statement.
The good thing is that a bottom is getting closer and closer, maybe just another 6/7 months for these stocks but still too early for us to say.
The main support we are looking at is sitting at 72.38.
89.42 is the immediate support.
We see rejection after rejection each time Google closes above EMA10 and tries to move up.
No relief rally here, not even when the SPX and DJI had a relief for several months.
Will there be a relief now for Google?
Not likely, don't think so.
These stocks/companies have been growing for decades, the market moves in cycles.
We are bound to see additional bleeding before a return to sustained growth.
Around 68 is our mid-term target.
For the bottom... We will have another look at this chart in 3 months.
Namaste.
GOOG: Inverted Cup with Handle Google is playing out an inverted cup and handle with a conservative price target of $73-76. The price target should be lower, around $71.50, but I shaved a little off because there is some old support from the Jul-Oct 2020 period that should buoy the price, at least for a bit.
The daily EMA ribbon flipped bearish in April and since then a precipitous 38% downslide has ensued, the most recent retest of the daily EMA on Oct 24th yielded another crushing rejection. Price should be ready to run again to the downside as it recently slipped through a support/resistance line unrelated to the pattern around $89.40 and has since completed a pullback and been rejected.
FAANG Performance Jan 01, 2022 - Nov, 08 2022 FAANG Performance Jan 01, 2022 - Nov, 08 2022
Apple -23.36%
Alphabet -39.02%
Amazon -47.20%
Netflix -55.90%
Meta -71.50%
GOOGLE A very bullish 2023 and this chart shows why.Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) broke two weeks ago below its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since the March 2020 COVID crash. The next Support level is the 1W MA300 (red trend-line). Since its IPO, the stock has had very symmetric Cycles which with the help of the Sine Waves can show tops and bottoms for consistent sells and buys.
On this pattern, the price level is not as important as the timing. As you see even the latest (All Time) High was fairly accurately predicted by the Sine Waves. The next bottom is projected to be by the first week of January the latest. As a result, on a multi-year scale investment strategy, the time to buy Google comes closer and closer.
Based on the Fibonacci extension levels involved, every Cycle High is at least +0.5 Fib higher than the previous one (basically only one has been +0.5, the rest have been at least +1.0 Fib). As a result, the High of the next Cycle should be at least on the 4.5 Fibonacci extension, around $198.00!
Can 2023 be such a bullish year for the tech giant amidst the Bear Market of rising inflation?
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Google supported by weekly bullish div.Alphabet - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 103.66 (stop at 99.49)
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
Bullish divergence can be seen on the weekly chart (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher.
The RSI is trending higher.
103.47 has been pivotal.
A break of the recent high at 103.47 should result in a further move higher.
With signals for sentiment at oversold extremes, the dip could not be extended.
Our profit targets will be 114.49 and 118.49
Resistance: 103 / 106 / 112
Support: 100 / 98 / 96
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Aplhabet Targeting A Test of 74.00Technical & Trade View
Alphabet Inc (Google) Class A
Bias: Bullish Above Bearish below 92.54
Technicals
Intraday 86.85 is primary resistance
Primary pattern objective is 74.00
Acceptance below 83.00 next pattern confirmation
Acceptance above 92.54 opens a test of 98.65
20 Day VWAP bearish , 5 Day VWAP bearish
Reversal about to start in Google!At this juncture we can see a clear completed 5 waves structure for Google on the daily timeframe confirmed by a bullish divergence with the RSI.
It would be nice to see the prices fall between the $89-$91 area where we can find a cluster of fibonacci's ratios.
If prices manage to bounce back from this target or even slighter before, prices should at minimum travel to $113 level in a corrective manner. Even though, this might look exciting for bulls, it will only be a rally before resuming the downtrend that will push prices lower than the temporary low that Google will make soon.
Overall, I am expecting the bottom of Google to happen any time soon and a rally all the way up to $113 for the weeks to come.
ALPHABET (GOOGL) 1D - Can BIG TECH FALL more in next quarter ? Holle Traders and Investors,
You can see Q3 resuluts of Big tech companies reported during recent days. Despite Alphabet reported growth (small but important) market is pricing it as slow / negative.
CEO pointed out possible declines in revenue with potential crisis. Could the following months be critical for further decline ?
In my oppinion, Technical analysis shows it could be. But as usual it depends on the point of view of the observer and interpretation of TA.
So take it with a grain of salt. The stock could fall another 30+ %. As long as the market gives as unclear signal we can come up with a strategy where the price could be interesting for us to BUY.
I will watch long term supoorts around "Pre-Covid" prices + wait for RSI / MACD 1W convergce to chatch it as close to bottom as possible. Next 3 months could be very important.
Do Your own homework before buying any stock ;)
Trade and invest safe...
Alphabet - Earnings report sends shockwaves through the marketYesterday, Alphabet sent shockwaves through the stock market after the close when it published its earnings report for the third quarter. The revenue was up 6% from the year earlier, and earnings per share stood at 1.06 USD, missing analysts' estimates. This earnings report is yet another line to confirm our thesis about the market progressing into the second stage of the bear market, with companies warning about the slowdown and failing to deliver expectations.
We expect this trend to continue during the next earning season and slowly lead the market into the third phase of the bear market. The same view is supported by the fact that the FED is about to increase interest rates next week and further tighten economic conditions, making a primary trend reversal very unlikely.
Therefore, we believe the reality will soon creep back into the market, and those who were buying the dip in hopes of catching a bottom will fulfill our prophecy once they sell those shares back to the market. As a result, we expect Alphabet to continue lower with the rest of the stock market.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of the Alphabet stock. The yellow arrow points to the price retracement toward the 50-day SMA, representing a strong correction; the same retracement can be observed on the daily chart of Apple, Microsoft, General Motors, etc.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bullish. DM+ and DM- are also bullish. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish; however, the data does not reflect the drop after earnings. Therefore, we expect the daily time frame to turn bearish today.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 shows simple support and resistance levels for Alphabet stock on the daily graph.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are slightly bullish. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame is bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
GOOGLE- Correction Incomplete?Alphabet (Google) misses on earnings as YouTube shrinks; company will cut headcount growth by half in Q4
Alphabet shares dropped more than 7% in extended trading on Tuesday after the company reported weaker-than-expected earnings and revenue for the third quarter and said it would significantly decrease headcount growth.
Earnings per share (EPS): $1.06 vs. $1.25 expected, according to Refinitiv estimates.
Revenue: $69.09 billion vs. $70.58 billion expected, according to Refinitiv estimates.
YouTube advertising revenue: $7.07 billion vs $7.42 billion, according to StreetAccount estimates.
Google Cloud revenue: $6.9 billion vs $6.69 billion, according to StreetAccount estimates
Traffic acquisition costs (TAC): $11.83 vs $12.38, according to StreetAccount estimates
Revenue growth slowed to 6% from 41% a year earlier as the company contends with a continued downdraft in online ad spending. Other than one period early in the pandemic, it’s the weakest period for growth since 2013.
YouTube ad revenue slid about 2% to $7.07 billion from $7.21 billion a year ago. Analysts were expecting an increase of about 3%. Alphabet reported overall advertising revenue of $54.48 billion during the quarter, up slightly from the prior year.
Philipp Schindler, chief business officer for Google, said the company saw a pullback in spend on search ads from certain areas such as insurance, loans, mortgage and cryptocurrencies.
Chart:
99,82 was not checked which according to my analysis would had been a good entry to comfortaby go Long/Buy on such a Tech Giant.
84.58 also unchecked.. that would be the level i would be buying BIG
At this stage, my analysis is that the correction is NOT complete. The resistance at 110.98 will most likely reject the Bulls and that's alevel I would personally go short at.
Fundamentally this is one to hold on too, or Buy. I spend a lot of time on Youtube..which needs to get rid of all the scam ads and annoying ads. There are issues there that need to be fixed.
Concerns:
''Google also canceled the next generation of its Pixelbook laptop and cut funding to its Area 120 in-house incubator. And last month, Google said it would be shuttering its digital gaming service Stadia.''
It look to me as if the Giant called GOOGLE needs heads with more vision... Young fresh minds is the solution. Let's hope they can figure it out.
Extras:
''company will cut headcount growth by half in Q4''
They say investors like that approach and it might help the share recover today's losses . to me this is bad news, it shows they need to do better..employing more people means success, not failure.
Let's wee what happens..I will come back to this post in due time.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR
GOOG - Short PositionWhen looking at GOOG current underlying value and most recent price behaviour using a 2-hour range, investors can see inside bar formations. Underlying price movements of AAPL witnessed a loss of its initial gains in this instance, the inside bar formation suggest bareish continuation of momentum since most recent EMA dead cross.
Lateralized underlying price momentum was witnessed between 24/05/22 and 03/08/22. Fresh bullish crossovers occurred 4 times during this period, three dead crosses also occurred. This lateralized pattern saw underlying prices fall to as low as $100 and reach highs up to $120.
Bullish trends occurred after the fresh bullish EMA cross over witnessed on 03/08/22, underlying prices rising above 5%. When observing 50 and 100 day ranged EMA averages investors can see that on the 25/08/22 – 29/08/22 shorter 50-day EMA moving average crossed beneath the longer 100-day EMA moving average. This dead cross was followed by a strong down trend, underlying prices falling over 10%. Shorter 50-day EMA average dropped significantly bellow the longer 100-day EMA average.
Bullish momentum was rejected on 13/09/22. A hanging man, three bar formation can be witnessed indicating a weakness in preceding trend and an indecision with regards to the proposed top. Currently EMA moving average lines are not moving back towards one another, instead they are moving parallel with great difference between one another. Therefore, the down trend is more likely to continue.
Based on EMA moving averages, MACD and candlestick patterns and behaviour we are bareish in sentiment. We anticipate that the stock will fall further and have taken a short position as a result.
Google Alphabet Movement Prediction In this idea I show Google's movement as I see it playing out. I have been moving into different types of charts to challenge myself as I grow my skills. I have to say I think I will like charting stocks as they each are pretty unique and are in their own right a puzzle to solve. I see this movement as Google's struggle to figure out where they belong in an ever changing digital world as some of their products grow stagnant and are being outshined by such things as Amazon Web Services. If you agree throw me a like and follow me for more unique concepts and ideas that keep you in the gains.
Elliott Wave View: Alphabet (GOOGL) Likely See Further DownsideShort term Elliott Wave view on Alphabet (ticker: GOOGL) suggests the decline from 8.16.2022 peak is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse structure. Down from 8.16.2022 peak, wave ((1)) ended at 105.78 and rally in wave ((2)) ended at 111.62. Stock resumed lower in wave ((3)) towards 95.56 and rally in wave ((4)) ended at 102.93. Internal of wave ((4)) unfolded as an expanded flat Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((3)), wave (A) ended at 100.7, wave (B) ended at 95.12, and wave (C) ended at 102.93. This completed wave ((4)) as the 30 minutes chart below shows.
Wave ((5)) lower is in progress as a 5 waves impulse in lesser degree. The stock still needs to break below the previous low at 95.12 to rule out a double correction. Down from wave ((4)), wave 1 ended at 100.84, and rally in wave 2 ended at 102.67. Stock resumes lower in wave 3 towards 97.80, and rally in wave 4 ended at 99.27. Wave 5 lower ended at 97.01 which completed wave (1). Wave (2) rally ended at 99.25 as an expanded flat. Near term, as far as pivot at 102.93 high stays intact, expect the stock to extend lower.
Expecting a bounce back on Alphabet. GOOGFlat completed, now we are due for a bounce back, be it a dead cat bounce. Fib progression shows that there is still plenty of room (and time) for the market to show what it can do for the upside. Volatility flipped not too long ago on the 6 hourly also. Momentum uptrending for background.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.
$GOOG to $90Great opportunity for long term investing. The formation is bearish too. I think the fed is going to hike by 1%, not 0.75%. Most stocks will sink. 50% fibonacci ratio of logarithmic chart falls slightly below 61.8 ratio of regular chart.
GOOGL (Alphabet) to reach 112 by the end of AugustBackground
GOOGL has been trading in a channel between resistance level 119.68 and support between 105 and 102 since April 27th. On August 8th, GOOGL broke through the resistance level slightly before heading lower the next day, and it appeared that it was on it's way down to touch the support level for a 5th time in 3 months. But a surprise rally on August 10th sent the price towards the next resistance level of 122.85.
Analysis
While this appears to be a sustained rally, there have been 3 bearish key reversals in August. These are the first bearish reversals since May during which bullish reversals dominated (at least 6). This would indicate that a possible bearish move is imminent if the price bounces off the 122.85 resistance level in the next couple of trading sessions. The price could reach 112.50 by then end of the month.
What is a Key Reversal?
A bullish key reversal is when the price makes a new low, reverses, and closes near or on the high. A bearish key reversal is when the price makes a new high, reverses, and closes on or near the low.
Disclaimer: I could be completely wrong. I am not a financial advisor, and the above statements are not investment advice. My comments are only intended for educational purposes. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.
Alphabet heading to support? Alphabet
Short Term
We look to Buy at 106.02 (stop at 102.75)
Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Trading within the Channel formation. Previous support located at 106.00. There is ample scope for a move higher from this important support.
Our profit targets will be 113.59 and 118.25
Resistance: 119.00 / 125.00 / 142.00
Support: 108.00 / 106.00 / 100.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Alphabet | Fundamental Analysis | Long | MUST READ Alphabet stock is down about 16% over the past 12 months as investors worry about the macroeconomic problems of its core advertising business. Rising interest rates and a looming recession have also put pressure on the stock.
But that short-term factor aside, Alphabet stock looks historically cheap at 21 times projected earnings. For the foreseeable future, the company will continue to dominate the markets for search, digital advertising, streaming video, Web browsing, and mobile operating systems. Although its cloud business is smaller than that of Amazon or Microsoft, it may also continue to grow.
So selling Alphabet just because its advertising business is going through some tough quarters could be a mistake. Let's take a closer look at where the tech giant's stock could be headed a year from now.
In the second quarter of 2022, Alphabet generated 81 percent of its revenue from Google's advertising business, which includes its main search engine, ad network, and YouTube site.
"The Bears argue that this business will struggle in the face of rising inflation and slowing economic growth. Google's ad business growth has certainly declined over the past year, but it is still growing year over year (YOY).
In this segment, YouTube initially grew faster than Google's search and advertising business. However, YouTube's growth slowed in the first half of 2022 as it struggled to match the post-pandemic recovery in ad sales a year earlier.
When Google's ad business weakened at the start of the pandemic in the first half of 2020, the company relied heavily on Google Cloud growth, which was offset by lockdown trends and the growing use of cloud services.
Google Cloud continues to grow at a faster rate than the advertising business, but it is also losing momentum and is not growing much faster than its larger peers. Amazon, which leads the cloud race with Amazon Web Services (AWS), increased its cloud revenue 33% from a year ago to $19.7 billion in the most recent quarter. Microsoft's total cloud computing revenue, including its Azure cloud platform, rose 28% to $25 billion in the latest quarter.
This is troubling because Google Cloud is not yet a profitable company, and it may have to offer the lowest prices and aggressive promotions to keep up with Amazon and Microsoft. Simply put, it's not a solid crutch for Google to lean on if its advertising business ever stagnates - because an increased share of cloud revenue would likely result in lower overall operating margins.
Alphabet expects its advertising business to continue to face difficult comparisons with the recovery from the lock-in through 2022. The company also expects the growth rate of its cloud business to slow in the near term as macroeconomic factors will cause some customers to either spend less money or put off purchases.
Alphabet hasn't provided exact projections for the rest of the year, but during a recent conference call, CEO Sundar Pichai said the company will "slow down hiring and increase its focus." In other words, the company is preparing for a slowdown by cutting back on fat but expects total capital investment to increase in 2022.
In 2021, Alphabet's revenues and earnings were up 41% and 91%, respectively, as the company recovered from the pandemic. But this year, analysts expect the company's revenue to grow 13% and profits to fall 8% from this difficult period. In 2023, they expect revenue and profits to grow 12% and 16%, respectively -- assuming the current risk factors subside.
We should take these estimates with caution, but they indicate that Alphabet's slowdown is likely to be temporary, and its core businesses will continue to grow. Alphabet stock is unlikely to take off in the next 12 months - because at the moment it just seems reasonably valued, not undervalued - but it will definitely go up in the next few years.
Alphabet Inc-Bullish Swing The 20-day ranged Bollinger band presents a support or lower bound (red line) equal to $105. This is the price in which the stock closed at yesterday the 26/07/22. Before today the, the stock’s price was equal to the Bollinger’s 20-day ranged support level indicating a bullish correction before further bearish movements in line with the current macroeconomic environment. Since trading has opened today, we have witnessed a correction towards the Bollinger’s resistance landing just beneath the Bollinger’s middle bound (orange line).
Bullish movements are further supported by RSI and SMA indicators. The purple RSI is beginning to cross the yellow SMA suggesting bullish stock price movements. Furthermore, the MACD indicator presents the red MACD line also crossing its blue signal further supporting a bullish swing before further bearish movement.
In line with these signals, I anticipate the stock to beat the Bollinger’s middle bound and anticipate a strengthening buying trend. For this swing trade, I have set a strike price equal to $112. My target is bullish, I will sell before the end of the week at price greater than this strike.
$GOOGL we are still in a positive areaGOOGL is to keep on your portfolio.
we are very close to demand level at 105
AVWAP from covid low.
