Alstom
Buying Alstom at previous resistance.Alstom - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 22.22 (stop at 21.24)
Previous resistance at 22.00 now becomes support.
22.02 has been pivotal.
A lower correction is expected.
We look to buy dips.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Selling posted close to the previous high of 25.67.
The daily chart technicals suggests further downside before the uptrend returns.
Our profit targets will be 24.69 and 24.99
Resistance: 25.00 / 25.80 / 27.00
Support: 23.50 / 22.50 / 22.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Buying ALSTOM break of swing high.Alstom - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 22.51 (stop at 21.29)
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
22.42 has been pivotal.
The previous swing high is located at 22.37.
A break of resistance at 22.40 should lead to a more aggressive move higher towards 24.80.
Our outlook is bullish.
Prices have reacted from 16.04.
Our profit targets will be 25.49 and 25.99
Resistance: 22.40 / 24.00 / 24.80
Support: 21.00 / 19.80 / 19.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Alstom Long term ideaHere is a long term idea on Alstom EURONEXT:ALO a French multinational rolling stock manufacturer.
I will make a case why a long term view on the company is warranted from technical analysis with some commentary on its financials and business operation.
Technical
The weekly chart is presented here. It shows bullish momentum as indicate by my directional movement and cycle analysis indicators.
On the daily chart, the share price has already appreciated more than 10% from its recent low so out of an abundance of caution, investors with short timeframes might wait for better entry. Those a longer time horizon could continue to ride the trend up.
Financial
The company recently took over Bombardier Transportation and in the process took on significant debt. Net cash is also negative mainly as a result of consolidation of Bombardier's business. Admittedly their balance is a reason for concern and it is expected the business combination will take time to integrate. Nevertheless, over time, cost synergies and efficiency should improve.
Operations.
The Group has over EUR70bn in order backlog and a book to bill ratio above 1. At the current revenue run rate of about EUR7bn annually it will take over a decade to fulfill its current backlog ensuring healthy revenue generation in the years to come. The Group has major orders from all over the world for both rolling stock and signaling. In combination with Bombardier, it is competitive in all rolling stock markets from freight, trams, metro, suburban rail to high speed rail. Hydrogen trains is also being tested and could potentially replace diesel units in the future. Some notable orders include:
France - New RER , Grand Paris metro rolling stock, TGV M
US - Avelia Liberty (NE corridor)
Mexico Maya train
Egypt - line 1 upgrade
Germany DB Regio Coradia
India Dedicated freight corridor (DFCC)
I note that with the exception of the next generation TGV M and hydrogen trains, there is nothing in their backlog that Alstom has not produced in the past. This suggests that the company can continue to drive cost efficiencies and margin expansion.
Despite the pandemic, demand for mobility is still increasing. Many countries have only just started to build out its rail infrastructure. I expect Alstom to be able to fulfill a significant slice of this market in the foreseeable future.