AVAX | ALTS | Possible for BOUNCE HEREAVAX hasn't yet made a glorious ATH, but on the flip side - this means that there is great potential for upside, specifically from this support zone.
If we take a look at the percentage the price has previously bounces from this particular support level, it's quite significant - although it wasn't over night. This support zone is roughly between 20-22 and may be a great place for a swing.
Make sure you check out yesterday's update on LINK; also showing promise for another impulse wave up:
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BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
ALT
BTC.D - Bitcoin dominance about to fall hard ?Violet bars pattern is move from 4 years ago
as you can see its copying it right in term of time and price action, not exactly in term of price but proportionnal
those blue trendlines converging to the same point indicate btc.d might have made a local top
all of these above indicate that we are picking and alt season will start, with a big acceleration in 2 weeks when we go below 60%
you can expect bounce from there for bitcoin or 94k6 then we should be fine
target for btc dominance is just the fib
58%
55%
49%
45%
39%
as btc.d seems to react less to volatility this year, theres a chance we dont go to the lowest fibs
Cheers
ALT looks bearish for mid-term (1D)ALT appears to be in a large-degree bearish wave C. If it reaches the red zone, we can look for a sell/short position targeting lower levels.
The minimum time required for wave C to complete is marked by the vertical line on the chart. Keep in mind that this is the minimum duration—if the wave extends, it may take longer.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
FTX WILL REFUND IT CUSTOMERS.FTX will be refunding around 16 BILLION USD (in stables) back to its customers from tomorrow on which is overall a very good thing, why? because it is capital that could ENTER the market as customers receive it back in stables so their is no way that that money/liquidity can leave the market.
As this will happen it could cause a pump in FTX's token FTT.
FTT is ranging here at resistance trying to breakout and once a breakout comes it could pump a solid 60-150% (i would trade this in spot, not with leverage)
Be aware of your own risk management but it looks like a solid set up as this refund is a bullish thing.
A bit of Hopium - FTX payouts tomorrow. What's next for the mark8 months to the assumed end of the cycle.
ETFs and everything else are already priced in. However, incoming money flows are not yet factored into the price of the cryptocurrency market. This creates a unique opportunity for those who can anticipate where liquidity will flow next.
I think you all have noticed that capital/liquidity from Bitcoin is not moving into altcoins — at least not yet. Bitcoin remains the "safe haven" for institutional investors, while altcoins remain underappreciated. But if ETFs for altcoins are approved, it will be a very different situation. The floodgates could open, and we might see unprecedented inflows into projects like Ethereum, Cardano, and even meme coins like Dogecoin.
FTX payouts are on February 18 — that's tomorrow.
This event is critical. Many creditors have been waiting for years to recover their funds. With Ethereum staking ETFs potentially approved in the second quarter, this could coincide with the next FTX payouts, creating a perfect storm of liquidity entering the market.
Let’s remember the 2020 FTX debt buybacks at $0.3 per dollar, then $0.4, and the last one I heard was at $0.8 per dollar. Someone had a lot of confidence that payouts would be made. And where do you think the $10–15 billion of capital will go? Most likely to altcoins, because Samuel Bankman-Fried was the king of altcoins.
There is an assumption that if something triggers the printing press or quantitative easing, but nobody believes in that now.
Central banks are tightening monetary policy, and inflation is slowly coming under control. However, the crypto market operates differently. It thrives on speculation, innovation, and adoption. All of the top altcoins will be priced significantly higher as new narratives emerge.
The challenge is to hold our portfolios! Volatility is inevitable, but patience will pay off.
If there is a correction in early March, here are the projects with potential ETFs:
ETH staking
LTC
ADA
DOGE
XLM
XRP
HBAR
This is in case there is a drop in March. Corrections are healthy for the market, allowing new buyers to enter at lower prices.
Spring can turn positive very quickly.
The best scenario is a green close of the February candle — momentum on Bitcoin. If BTC holds above key support levels, we could see a bullish Q2.
In the second half of March, we need to get in what we didn’t manage to get in the market, in case there is no drop in early March. Timing is crucial, but so is preparation.
Additional Catalysts to Watch For:
There are many catalysts that I don’t write about, but they could happen:
Introduction of Basic Income
Unexpected ETF bids: Regulatory approvals often come faster than expected.
Countries building reserves of BTC or other altcoins : Nations like El Salvador have already started adopting Bitcoin. Others may follow suit, especially as geopolitical tensions rise.
It’s going to be a super positive year. Stay positive.
The future is very clear, but for some reason, a lot of people are losing faith.
Prices go up — I’m sure of this scenario. Prices go down — I’m sure of this scenario. There’s no point in making a fuss when you know what’s ahead. I don’t know why people lose faith in their beliefs in the moment.
In a market like this, when it’s suddenly not obvious, it’s because you’re competing with a completely different category of players. Believing in your beliefs will be an advantage in this market, especially for people who are not big capital.
Stay strong and focused.
Best regards EXCAVO
Are you ready for ALT Season 2025? #ALTSZN20253 days before the potential start.
Previous alt seasons have started:
ALTSZN 1: February 14, 2017
ALTSZN 2: January 1, 2021
ALTSZN 3: February 14, 2025?
- 1 candle = 44D
- New 44D candle due to 3D
- Alt-season = 1 year after halving
Now, the altcoin season can begin.
We saw a retest of the BTC Dominance chart breakout.
After that, an unforgettable run began in 2020.
Best Regards EXCAVO
Write your portfolio in the comments.
"NO ALT SEASON!!" - OTHERS.D vs BTC.D - Is this time different? "No Alt Season!!" – OTHERS.D vs BTC.D: Is This Time Different?
While no one can say for certain whether history will repeat itself, one thing remains clear: it often rhymes.
During the previous cycle, we witnessed an altcoin capitulation around the same time (cycle-wise), and the prevailing sentiment online was "No alt season" or "Alts are dead."
This period of pain in the altcoin market presents a significant opportunity for those with little to no altcoin exposure.
While I am cautious i do not think this time is different, there are notable changes in the current market dynamics tho.
Many altcoins will continue to underperform even as the eventual BTC.D breakdown (alt season) unfolds. However, it’s important to note that most altcoins will not reach new highs, with only a select few likely to lead the market. As such, it's crucial to revise your strategy, moving away from holding onto outdated or underperforming assets, even if it’s difficult given the emotional attachment many of us have to certain coins. Understand that, in this cycle, there are simply too many coins for all of them to reach their all-time highs. Act strategically, and if you find value in this post, please consider following and supporting my account and leaving a boost on this post. Thank you.
SEI | ALTCOINS | +150% Bounce Zone TARGETSEI is an altcoin that bounces well from support zones and therefore excellent to trade as a swing trade.
You can confirm that SEI bounces from support zones by taking a look at this post I made in August last year, just before SEI increased 232%:
For the short term, there seems to be no clear indication of a turnaround, but the good news is that a better buy zone is approaching for the next impulse wave up - which could be a really big swing.
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BINANCE:SEIUSDT
"ANON at a Turning Point: Reversal or More Downside?"Current Trend Overview
The price has been in a clear downtrend with multiple Break of Structure (BOS) confirming bearish sentiment.
Change of Character (CHOCH) attempts indicate some reaction from buyers, but they have not yet succeeded in shifting momentum.
The red shaded area represents a bearish supply zone acting as resistance.
Upside Reversal Potential
The price is currently testing a discount zone (demand area) where buyers have stepped in before.
MACD Analysis:
The MACD line (blue) is crossing above the signal line (orange), indicating early bullish momentum.
The histogram is also turning less negative, which suggests a potential reversal.
If buyers can hold above the current support zone (around $7.80 - $8.00), then an upside move could develop.
Key Accumulation Zones (Buy Areas)
Strong Accumulation Area: $7.50 - $8.00 (Highlighted demand zone).
Aggressive Entries: Around $8.00, with stop-loss below $7.50.
Safer Accumulation: If price retests $7.50 - $7.60 again and confirms buying pressure.
Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: $7.80 - $8.00 (current demand zone).
Next Major Support: $7.50 (in case of a deeper correction).
Resistance Levels (Profit Targets):
First target: $9.00 - $9.50 (Equilibrium Zone).
Second target: $10.50 - $11.00 (Previous supply area & resistance).
Major Resistance: $12.00 - $12.50 (End of the downtrend structure).
Conclusion
The price is at a potential reversal zone, but confirmation is needed.
Ideal Strategy: Accumulate in the $7.50 - $8.00 range with targets at $9.00 - $10.50, while keeping a stop below $7.50.
Breakout Confirmation: If price breaks above $9.00 with volume, it increases the probability of a sustained uptrend.
ADA | ALTS | Good Buy or WEAKNESS?ADA is one of a few altcoins that have not yet made a new ATH, or trading close to its previous ATH.
Considering Cardano is one of the "older" crypto's , you'd expect it to behave like the rest of the titans. But instead, when overlayed with the Solana chart we see a disappointing comparison:
Regardless of this, ADA trades in a range within a fairly reasonable timeframe, meaning it is ideal for short term profits (range trading). ADA can easily do + or - 30% in two weeks, ideal for swing traders.
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BINANCE:ADAUSDT
ALT/USD – Key Technical UpdateRecent Price Action:
ALT has seen a significant decline, with bulls looking for support amid intensified bearish pressure. The recent drop highlights vulnerability, but key support levels below could provide a foundation for recovery.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
$0.08500: Immediate support zone where bulls are attempting to stabilize.
$0.07810: A prior swing low with historical buying interest.
$0.07150, $0.07000, $0.06650: Critical levels marking past swing lows. A deeper move into these zones could attract aggressive buying, especially near $0.06650, aligning with August 5th’s swing low.
Resistance Levels:
$0.08790: Near-term resistance likely to cap immediate recovery efforts, with confluence from recent bearish gaps.
$0.11131: A stronger resistance zone near January 17th’s swing high, which aligns with prior bearish momentum.
Market Dynamics:
Token Unlock Impact:
The upcoming Saturday token unlock is expected to increase supply, potentially exacerbating downside pressure in the short term. However, following the release, the market could stabilize, setting the stage for a relief rally as bearish momentum wanes.
Bearish Gaps:
Resistance from daily bearish gaps adds confluence near $0.08790 and $0.11131, making these levels critical to monitor during any rally.
Outlook:
Bullish Scenario:
A successful defense of $0.08500 or a deeper dip into the $0.07150–$0.06650 range, followed by strong buying momentum, could lead to a relief rally. Clearing $0.08790 would open the door to a move toward $0.11131 or higher.
Bearish Scenario:
A sustained break below $0.06650 would invalidate key supports, exposing ALT to further downside risks, with no clear structural floor below.
Conclusion:
The focus remains on $0.08500 as the immediate support zone, while Saturday's token unlock is likely to influence price action significantly. A relief rally may emerge post-unlock, targeting $0.08790 and possibly $0.11131 if the bearish gaps are filled. For now, caution is advised as the market navigates increased supply pressure.
Is This the Most Perfect Bollinger Band Breakout Ever?I’ve been keeping an eye on XCN/USDC, and this latest move is something else. After a sharp drop that looked like a liquidity grab, we’ve seen a stunning recovery and breakout above the upper Bollinger Band. Could this be the start of something huge?
This kind of setup has the potential to keep running, and I wouldn’t be surprised if we see new highs soon. Is this the strongest bounce we’ve seen in weeks, or do you think there’s more consolidation ahead?
Drop your thoughts, follow, and share for more insights like this. Let’s see where this takes us!
BNB | ALTCOINS | BNB Still BULLISH - Here's WHYIt can be concerning to see the price lose 5%-10% in the daily timeframe. However, this is not uncommon during a bullish cycle.
In this quick update, I explain why the price is still very evidently in a bullish cycel, despite corrections in the daily.
BTC and ETH update, find it here:
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BINANCE:BNBUSDT
Altcoin Season 2025The 2025 alt season promises to be one of the most significant events in the history of the cryptocurrency market.
This is because I expect the end of this cycle at the end of this year. Euphoria is needed at the End of the Cycle.
Investors should carefully analyze project fundamentals, avoid excessive risk during the euphoria stage and consider long-term trends. The key to success will be portfolio diversification and timely profit-taking. A careful study of the phases of the alt-season and trends will help to maximize its opportunities.
This is what I will talk about in this post.
Phases of the alt season
An analysis of past alt-seasons shows that they consist of several key phases:
1. Accumulation: This phase begins after a prolonged bear market when prices stabilize at low levels. Investors and funds gradually accumulate promising altcoins, focusing on projects with strong fundamentals. Volatility at this stage is minimal, and trading volumes are low, which creates ideal conditions for forming a base before future growth.
2. Initial momentum: In this phase, the altcoin market shows signs of revitalization. The catalyst can be positive news, a technological breakthrough, or a macroeconomic factor such as the rise of Bitcoin. Trading volumes increased, and the first altcoins began to outperform bitcoin in growth. These are usually large projects such as Ethereum or Binance Coin.
3- Euphoria: The most dynamic and volatile phase. During this phase, mass attention shifts to altcoins. Trading volumes reach peak levels, and the prices of some tokens grow tenfold in a short period. Investors rush into high-risk projects, including new and little-known altcoins. Hype, such as DeFi, NFT, or metavolutions, have started to play an important role. However, this phase is accompanied by a high level of speculation, often leading to market overheating.
4. Culmination: In this phase, a slowdown occurs. The market becomes overheated,and many investors lock in profits, causing the first significant corrections. Low-capitalization altcoins begin to lose popularity,and liquidity is reallocated to more stable assets.
5. Correction: The final phase is when the market returns to realistic levels. Prices of most altcoins fall sharply and trading volumes decline. Investors who entered the late stages of euphoria recorded losses. However, real-value projects are identified at this stage, maintaining their positions and preparing for the next cycle.
Sectors and trends for the 2025 alt season
The 2025 alt-season is expected to be centered around the following sectors:
1. Decentralized Finance (DeFi): Projects related to financial services automation will continue to lead the way. Interest in protocols with unique yield and security mechanisms is expected to grow. Especially related to stablecoins
2 Real Asset Tokenization: The trend of linking cryptocurrencies to real assets such as real estate or precious metals will intensify. This trend will attract institutional investors. They are already in, but new players will come in to give the industry a boost
3. Artificial Intelligence and Blockchain: The integration of AI into blockchain will open new perspectives for automation, data analysis and improving user experience. Just like AI agents are doing now
5. Metaviews and GemiFi: The development of metaviews will continue to attract millions of users. Gaming will move to the next level, offering enhanced functionality such as smart contracts and game integration. But for a large number of players and a large number of transactions, a suitable blockchain is needed.
Conclusion
I didn't specifically talk about any projects because each project is unique with its own community, structure, etc.
With this post I wanted to give you an understanding to continue your analysis and determine what phase and niche your token is in.
If you want to shill your altcoin, do it in the comments.
Best regards EXCAVO
TIA (Celestia) Main trend. Maximum targets of the cycle. XXL+10XLogo of rhymes. Time frame 3 days. Everything is shown and described on the price chart of this pre-planned super hype, to earn super profits out of nothing.
"Collected" (principle and scheme of deception) for 7 rounds of financing (the principle of the "access pyramid") - $ 156.5 million. This is the principle of super pumping and listing on exchanges for super huge profits of almost all hype assets since 2020.
Under the logic of the chart, as a rule, they pull under the general trend of the market cycle by another + 800-1000%. According to the chart, the average price between accumulation and distribution of the cycle is usually 500-800%. The main thing is to keep the logic of the chart under the general market cycle (for constant small, imperceptible sales). Such assets are constantly sold in trend, which is logical, there is no difference between 50x -100x - 1000X.
No matter how funny and illogical it may sound, while the “whales” are selling, you can be in the asset and be safe. When sales stop, that is, there is no interest in maintaining the hype, the prospects of the legend and the liquidity of the asset for sales, - a sharp (hack, break-in, or other fiction - justification for "closing the project") or slow death (the asset loses major players and demand / supply is given into the hands of “the majority of those waiting for XXX, who will never be”), that is, depreciation and scam.
The previous legend of prospects does not matter, as the focus of attention of the crowd shifts to other freshly created similar assets and marketing to attract “fresh blood” of new stupid money. All new assets are created, and most importantly advertising, at the expense of profits from the previous ones, only on a large scale. This is a disguised Ponzi scheme, which everyone agrees with, as they are sure that they will not be “the last”.
Linear for clarity.
Local game.
RENDER analysis...hello friends
This currency, which is from the Solana ecosystem, experienced a correction of about 70% after the pump and was able to continue its growth again with the formation of a bottom.
Now, due to the good growth it has had, it is expected that it will be able to break the ceiling and reach the specified goals.
We have specified the purchase points for you.
Capital management must be followed.
Be successful and profitable.
MUBI Looking for Reversal Here!MUBI is approaching the falling wedge, and with the RSI showing potential to sustain its momentum, I anticipate the chart to follow this trajectory. If it doesn't play out as expected, I'll reassess and update accordingly. Wishing everyone the best of luck this altseason!
Bitcoin technical analysis + trade planThe chart shows a clear falling wedge formation. This is a bullish reversal pattern that suggests a potential upward breakout.
Price is nearing the wedge's apex, indicating that a breakout might be imminent.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
$88,671.83 (near-term critical support)
$86,000.00 (strong psychological support)
Resistance Levels:
$95,497.11 (short-term resistance near breakout zone)
$108,329.96 (target resistance post-breakout)
Indicators:
VWMC Cipher B Divergences:
Bullish divergence appears on the indicator, aligning with the falling wedge's bullish potential.
RSI:
RSI is below 30, indicating oversold conditions, which often precede a rebound.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
MFI is oversold, suggesting incoming buying pressure.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Stochastic is in the oversold region (<20), showing high potential for a bullish reversal.
Market Sentiment:
Given the oversold indicators and bullish pattern, the market is primed for a potential upside movement. However, confirmation of the breakout is critical.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Enter long near the wedge's lower boundary (~$90,000), with a tight stop loss below $88,000.
Conservative Entry:
Wait for a breakout above the wedge's resistance (~$96,000) and enter after confirmation with a retest of the breakout level.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place stop-loss below the nearest support level:
Aggressive traders: $87,500
Conservative traders: $92,000 (post-breakout retest failure)
Profit Targets:
First Target: $108,329.96 (major resistance level post-breakout)
Second Target: $114,000 (psychological level, based on historical price action)
Risk Management:
Risk no more than 1-2% of your portfolio per trade.
Use position sizing to balance risk-to-reward ratios (minimum 1:3).
Monitoring
Volume: Ensure the breakout is accompanied by increased volume.
Candle Structure: A solid close above $96,000 validates the move.
Invalidation:
If the price falls below $88,000, the wedge pattern is invalidated, signaling further downside.
Alternative Scenario (Bearish):
If Bitcoin breaks below $86,000, expect a test of lower levels. Potential targets include $82,000 and $78,000.
Bitcoin is poised for a significant move. The falling wedge, oversold indicators, and strong support levels suggest an imminent bullish breakout. However, patience for confirmation is key to minimizing risk and maximizing gains. Adjust your strategy dynamically based on market conditions.
KASPA - Poised for an Upward Trajectory (TA+TRADE PLAN)Technical Analysis of KASPA (KAS/USDT)
Falling Wedge Pattern:
The chart indicates a classic falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation. The price is approaching the breakout point where resistance has converged with support, as marked on the chart.
The breakout above the resistance line suggests a potential upward trend.
Volume Analysis:
A spike in trading volume near the breakout area confirms increased interest and possible momentum shift.
Momentum Indicators:
VWMCipher B Divergences: Displays bullish divergence, supporting a potential price increase.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At ~27, indicating oversold conditions. This signals a potential upward price movement as the asset appears undervalued.
Arty Money Flow Index (MFI): At ~24, indicating an oversold condition with possible accumulation.
Stochastic Oscillator: Oversold levels at 32.5, crossing upwards, indicating a buy signal.
Potential Targets:
Short-Term Target: $0.14 (breakout confirmation).
Mid-Term Target: $0.18 (previous resistance level).
Long-Term Target: $0.22–$0.24 (major resistance zone from earlier trends).
Risk Level:
Support at ~$0.12. A breakdown below this level invalidates the bullish thesis, making this a critical stop-loss level.
Trading Plan
Entry Points:
Initial Buy Zone: Enter near the breakout point (~$0.128-$0.132) to capitalize on bullish momentum.
Confirmation Entry: Add to the position once price closes above $0.14 with strong volume.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop-loss slightly below $0.12 (e.g., $0.118) to limit downside risk if the breakout fails.
Profit-Taking Strategy:
First Take-Profit (TP1): At $0.14 (~10% gain) to secure initial profits.
Second Take-Profit (TP2): At $0.18 (approximately 40% gain from entry).
Final Target (TP3): $0.22-$0.24 for long-term holders seeking maximum gains.
Position Sizing:
Allocate 2–5% of your portfolio, depending on your risk tolerance. Keep capital reserved for potential averaging down if needed.
Trailing Stop:
Implement a trailing stop once the price exceeds $0.18 to lock in profits while allowing room for further upward movement.
Risk Management:
Maintain a Risk-Reward Ratio of at least 1:3. Adjust trade size to manage risk effectively.
Monitoring:
Regularly check volume trends, RSI levels, and significant market news affecting KASPA.
Be cautious of overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, as broader trends often impact altcoins.
This falling wedge setup, combined with oversold indicators and volume confirmation, suggests KASPA is primed for a bullish breakout. Stick to the trading plan and employ disciplined risk management to maximize returns while minimizing potential losses.
SOL | ALTCOINS | Does Solana Have One More Push?Solana has barely just made a new ATH, and it's likely at the end of the correction after trading red for 3 weeks consecutively.
It's likely that once ETH has made a new ATH, Solana will be soon to follow. More on that topic here:
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT