When Will Altseason Start? When BTC reached 120k📈 One of the most common questions I get:
WHEN WILL ALTSEASON START?
Here’s the answer 👇
🔻 The real problem: memes drained all the liquidity.
The money that was supposed to go into fundamental projects in the summer of 2024.....got redirected into memes.
Yes, some people made money on that. But most retail traders?
They didn’t.
Of course, you can show profitable wallets. I also made money, but it was on insider information.
I think it would be perfect if Trump launched his token —
just like Argentina’s Libra — to show people one clear thing:
- Memes are dangerous.
-They suck liquidity and leave you with nothing but losses.
It’s a necessary wake-up call.
I didn’t want to say this, but maybe we need people to get burned by memes so they stop blindly throwing money at hype.
Some memes might still pump.
Yes, even some “fundamental memes” might outperform serious altcoins.
But in general?
The meme market is a trap. It's a money pit.
People think they’re great investors, but in reality — it’s a casino.
There’s no tech. No fundamentals.
I don't deny the “fundamental” memes may show growth more than other altcoins. I don't rule that out. But if we are talking about the general pool of memes, there is such a problem going on here that most people will lose money.
5% make money on memes, 95% lose.
I'm self-aware, and I'm in that 95%.
That's why I didn't invest in altcoins.
Development is dead ... for now. Nobody cares about building.
You can spend two years developing a serious product, burn through money, and try to improve the crypto space…
But most people don’t want that.
They want:
To buy pictures they like
As long as they look well-packaged.
That’s why we see so few good projects today —
everyone ran off to create memes.
But finally, we’ve reached a new stage:
People are starting to realize...
We need real, fundamental projects again.
Memes might still spike — especially near the end of the bull run.
But the market has finally started waking up.
⚠️ Yes, the market is broken.
But that’s exactly what we need — A bottom to bounce from.
Crypto’s future is bright.
The next 10 years — and even the end of this year — could look very strong.
But right now?
We’re not at the bottom in price.
We’re at the bottom in sentiment.
In faith. In energy.
This is a real turnaround.
From here, real projects will emerge with real audiences and real goals. That’s what will grow this industry—and this industry will shape the world.
Crypto moves fast.
All it takes is two green daily candles,and suddenly everyone screams:
“It’s back! New bull market!” Funny… but predictable.
Back to reality.
We’re at a point where liquidity is gone. People are out of funds.
Panic is setting in. “Cycles don’t work anymore,” they say.
People start selling to survive — for business, travel, life.
Even long-time holders are taking losses.
But when all the weak hands are gone, only the true holders will remain.
And who will move the market next?
Institutional investors
When the U.S. adopts Bitcoin as a reserve (which might already happen this May)... Other countries will follow.
Bitcoin will rally — and drag the market upward.
That’s when we’ll see:
The alt season will start only when Bitcoin is 120-130k.
Then profit taking and overflow into alts will start.
That’s when we’ll see:
-Institutional investors
-The Web2 audience
-Capital flowing into fundamentals, not memes
Because eventually, people will realize:
You don’t invest in memes.
You invest in utility. In value. In tech.
💥 Retail is the key.
The market needs mass participation.
Retail brings volume, and for that, we need:
Real news, Clear regulation, Trust and confidence
When that happens —people will believe again. And they’ll come running.
But then, like always...
Everyone will be convinced:
“Crypto is in permanent bull mode!”
Money will pour in. FOMO will take over…
...and then it ends.
The new bear market begins.
And I’ll be screaming about it — loud.
I do my best for you, EXCAVO.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ALT
ALT ( SPOT - INVEST )BINANCE:ALTUSDT
ALT / USDT
1D time frame
analysis tools
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SMC
FVG
Trend lines
Fibonacci
Support & resistance
MACD Cross
EMA Cross
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Golden Advices.
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* Please calculate your losses before any entry.
* Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you.
* No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey.
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Alt season Can start from this zone finally altcoins market cap reached at crucial support area, expecting successful retest from trendline, and this blue area, the question is why im expecting alt season from here, b,coz multi year symmetrical triangle got cleared, and market came for retest, healthy correction happens in markets often the time, and currently market testing crucial support area, successful retest with strong momentum can lead massive alt season from here
TIA | PERFECT Bottom??In the macro, it's clear that TIA has been in a downward trend for an extended period of time. This means, it's a great place to buy - because the bullish cycle is up next.
Trend based indicators are great to identify the immediate predominant pressure on the chart, in this case, bearish. A "Buy" signal in the weekly timeframe would be the first step in the right direction (reversal).
Trend Based Indicator:
Another key indicator to watch is the daily timeframe, when the price begins to trade ABOVE the moving averages - that's when you'll have the first confirmation of a bullish turn around.
Moving Averages:
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BINANCE:TIAUSDT
DOT - Strong bounce from the ultimate low ?Bounced each time for consequent gains around 3.75, so I expect the same now
placed a SL a bit wide, a good fuel could be the 2.0 update of Polkadot but didn hear any news about it to be honest
In the other hand, lower would means I'll quit this asset for a mid/long term hehe,
Cheers
NEAR - Bullish Movement Soon!NEAR has been overall bearish from both long-term and short-term perspectives, trading within the falling channel marked in red.
However, it is currently hovering around a support level, the lower trendline, and the key $3 round number, so we will be looking for longs on lower timeframes.
For the bulls to take over in the short term, a break above the last minor high at $3.025 is needed.
For the bulls to remain in control in the medium term, a break above the $3.65 major resistance is required.
Disclaimer:
This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any investment decisions.
SOL | Solana Drops 54% | WHERE TO NEXT?The recent ByBit hack seems to have sent the market into a downward spiral. But, if you look at it from a few weeks back, prices were already beginning to drop even before the news of the hack.
Solana follows Ethereum pretty closely, and considering the hard sell-off on ETH, SOL followed suit with a -26% drop over the past week.
This is quite a substantial correction, and considering the past 6 candles were red - it's likely that we can expect a bounce from next week, or at least a green candle. If we fail to bounce here, the short term is looking bleak for SOL:
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KUCOIN:SOLUSDT
GBPAUD (240) Bearish Alt-Bat Pattern Signals Potential ReversalPEPPERSTONE:GBPAUD
Setup Breakdown:
The recent completion of a bearish Alt-Bat pattern suggests a potential shift in market dynamics, signaling a possible downside move. While buyers previously maintained control, the emergence of this harmonic pattern indicates exhaustion. If selling pressure intensifies, the price could retrace towards key Fibonacci levels. A structured risk management approach involves maintaining a 1:2 risk-reward ratio, with stops placement above 2.0299 to accommodate potential retests of the monthly fractal resistance while minimizing exposure. Monitoring price action confirmation remains essential, as a failure to reject resistance could invalidate the setup.
🔹 Key Levels:
Pattern Completed at 2.0212
Target 1: 38.2% Fibonacci retracement @ 2.0000
Target 2: 61.8% Fibonacci retracement @ 1.9862
Stops: Above monthly fractal @ 2.0299
📊 Risk Management Play:
Apply a 1:2 R/R ratio (maximum 1:1)
Stops above 2.0299
[Upon reaching the first target, close half of the initial position size and adjust stops to breakeven .]
[At the second target, continue scaling out by closing another portion of the remaining position & activate a trailing stop or manually adjust stops to secure profits as the trade progresses.]
Safe Trades,
André Cardoso
💡 Risk Warning: Trading financial assets carries a high level of risk and may result in the loss of all your capital. Make sure to fully understand the risks involved before you start trading and carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. The data and information provided in this content do not constitute financial or investment advice and should not be considered as such. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and be aware of the risks associated with trading financial assets.
A bit of Hopium - FTX payouts tomorrow. What's next for the mark8 months to the assumed end of the cycle.
ETFs and everything else are already priced in. However, incoming money flows are not yet factored into the price of the cryptocurrency market. This creates a unique opportunity for those who can anticipate where liquidity will flow next.
I think you all have noticed that capital/liquidity from Bitcoin is not moving into altcoins — at least not yet. Bitcoin remains the "safe haven" for institutional investors, while altcoins remain underappreciated. But if ETFs for altcoins are approved, it will be a very different situation. The floodgates could open, and we might see unprecedented inflows into projects like Ethereum, Cardano, and even meme coins like Dogecoin.
FTX payouts are on February 18 — that's tomorrow.
This event is critical. Many creditors have been waiting for years to recover their funds. With Ethereum staking ETFs potentially approved in the second quarter, this could coincide with the next FTX payouts, creating a perfect storm of liquidity entering the market.
Let’s remember the 2020 FTX debt buybacks at $0.3 per dollar, then $0.4, and the last one I heard was at $0.8 per dollar. Someone had a lot of confidence that payouts would be made. And where do you think the $10–15 billion of capital will go? Most likely to altcoins, because Samuel Bankman-Fried was the king of altcoins.
There is an assumption that if something triggers the printing press or quantitative easing, but nobody believes in that now.
Central banks are tightening monetary policy, and inflation is slowly coming under control. However, the crypto market operates differently. It thrives on speculation, innovation, and adoption. All of the top altcoins will be priced significantly higher as new narratives emerge.
The challenge is to hold our portfolios! Volatility is inevitable, but patience will pay off.
If there is a correction in early March, here are the projects with potential ETFs:
ETH staking
LTC
ADA
DOGE
XLM
XRP
HBAR
This is in case there is a drop in March. Corrections are healthy for the market, allowing new buyers to enter at lower prices.
Spring can turn positive very quickly.
The best scenario is a green close of the February candle — momentum on Bitcoin. If BTC holds above key support levels, we could see a bullish Q2.
In the second half of March, we need to get in what we didn’t manage to get in the market, in case there is no drop in early March. Timing is crucial, but so is preparation.
Additional Catalysts to Watch For:
There are many catalysts that I don’t write about, but they could happen:
Introduction of Basic Income
Unexpected ETF bids: Regulatory approvals often come faster than expected.
Countries building reserves of BTC or other altcoins : Nations like El Salvador have already started adopting Bitcoin. Others may follow suit, especially as geopolitical tensions rise.
It’s going to be a super positive year. Stay positive.
The future is very clear, but for some reason, a lot of people are losing faith.
Prices go up — I’m sure of this scenario. Prices go down — I’m sure of this scenario. There’s no point in making a fuss when you know what’s ahead. I don’t know why people lose faith in their beliefs in the moment.
In a market like this, when it’s suddenly not obvious, it’s because you’re competing with a completely different category of players. Believing in your beliefs will be an advantage in this market, especially for people who are not big capital.
Stay strong and focused.
Best regards EXCAVO
That's the Way the Bitcoin TumblesWhy I Think the Sell-Off Isn’t Over Yet
Bitcoin is already in the middle of a sharp sell-off, but at least half the market seems convinced the worst is over and that a recovery is underway. I don’t see it that way. Bitcoin has been grinding sideways into the Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart, and now that it’s finally colliding with the basis lines, I think it’s about to plunge straight through them. This doesn’t look like a market that’s ready to bounce—it looks like one that’s about to take another leg down. Maybe I’m wrong, maybe I’m early, but in my experience, when people start celebrating too soon, things tend to get a whole lot worse.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
CRYPTOCAP:BTC
CME:MBT1!
CME:BTC1!
CRYPTO:MOBILEUSD
COINBASE:RNDRUSD
CRYPTO:SHPINGUSD
CRYPTO:FXUSD
CRYPTO:ALEOUSD
CRYPTO:HONEYUSD
COINBASE:ACSUSD
CRYPTO:ASMUSD
CRYPTO:BATUSD
CRYPTO:FILUSD
CRYPTO:VTHOUSD
CRYPTO:B3USD
As always, this is not investment advice, any trade you make is on you, because good golly Miss Molly, I got my own things to worry about.
AVAX | ALTS | Possible for BOUNCE HEREAVAX hasn't yet made a glorious ATH, but on the flip side - this means that there is great potential for upside, specifically from this support zone.
If we take a look at the percentage the price has previously bounces from this particular support level, it's quite significant - although it wasn't over night. This support zone is roughly between 20-22 and may be a great place for a swing.
Make sure you check out yesterday's update on LINK; also showing promise for another impulse wave up:
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BINANCE:AVAXUSDT
BTC.D - Bitcoin dominance about to fall hard ?Violet bars pattern is move from 4 years ago
as you can see its copying it right in term of time and price action, not exactly in term of price but proportionnal
those blue trendlines converging to the same point indicate btc.d might have made a local top
all of these above indicate that we are picking and alt season will start, with a big acceleration in 2 weeks when we go below 60%
you can expect bounce from there for bitcoin or 94k6 then we should be fine
target for btc dominance is just the fib
58%
55%
49%
45%
39%
as btc.d seems to react less to volatility this year, theres a chance we dont go to the lowest fibs
Cheers
ALT looks bearish for mid-term (1D)ALT appears to be in a large-degree bearish wave C. If it reaches the red zone, we can look for a sell/short position targeting lower levels.
The minimum time required for wave C to complete is marked by the vertical line on the chart. Keep in mind that this is the minimum duration—if the wave extends, it may take longer.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
FTX WILL REFUND IT CUSTOMERS.FTX will be refunding around 16 BILLION USD (in stables) back to its customers from tomorrow on which is overall a very good thing, why? because it is capital that could ENTER the market as customers receive it back in stables so their is no way that that money/liquidity can leave the market.
As this will happen it could cause a pump in FTX's token FTT.
FTT is ranging here at resistance trying to breakout and once a breakout comes it could pump a solid 60-150% (i would trade this in spot, not with leverage)
Be aware of your own risk management but it looks like a solid set up as this refund is a bullish thing.
Are you ready for ALT Season 2025? #ALTSZN20253 days before the potential start.
Previous alt seasons have started:
ALTSZN 1: February 14, 2017
ALTSZN 2: January 1, 2021
ALTSZN 3: February 14, 2025?
- 1 candle = 44D
- New 44D candle due to 3D
- Alt-season = 1 year after halving
Now, the altcoin season can begin.
We saw a retest of the BTC Dominance chart breakout.
After that, an unforgettable run began in 2020.
Best Regards EXCAVO
Write your portfolio in the comments.
"NO ALT SEASON!!" - OTHERS.D vs BTC.D - Is this time different? "No Alt Season!!" – OTHERS.D vs BTC.D: Is This Time Different?
While no one can say for certain whether history will repeat itself, one thing remains clear: it often rhymes.
During the previous cycle, we witnessed an altcoin capitulation around the same time (cycle-wise), and the prevailing sentiment online was "No alt season" or "Alts are dead."
This period of pain in the altcoin market presents a significant opportunity for those with little to no altcoin exposure.
While I am cautious i do not think this time is different, there are notable changes in the current market dynamics tho.
Many altcoins will continue to underperform even as the eventual BTC.D breakdown (alt season) unfolds. However, it’s important to note that most altcoins will not reach new highs, with only a select few likely to lead the market. As such, it's crucial to revise your strategy, moving away from holding onto outdated or underperforming assets, even if it’s difficult given the emotional attachment many of us have to certain coins. Understand that, in this cycle, there are simply too many coins for all of them to reach their all-time highs. Act strategically, and if you find value in this post, please consider following and supporting my account and leaving a boost on this post. Thank you.
SEI | ALTCOINS | +150% Bounce Zone TARGETSEI is an altcoin that bounces well from support zones and therefore excellent to trade as a swing trade.
You can confirm that SEI bounces from support zones by taking a look at this post I made in August last year, just before SEI increased 232%:
For the short term, there seems to be no clear indication of a turnaround, but the good news is that a better buy zone is approaching for the next impulse wave up - which could be a really big swing.
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BINANCE:SEIUSDT
"ANON at a Turning Point: Reversal or More Downside?"Current Trend Overview
The price has been in a clear downtrend with multiple Break of Structure (BOS) confirming bearish sentiment.
Change of Character (CHOCH) attempts indicate some reaction from buyers, but they have not yet succeeded in shifting momentum.
The red shaded area represents a bearish supply zone acting as resistance.
Upside Reversal Potential
The price is currently testing a discount zone (demand area) where buyers have stepped in before.
MACD Analysis:
The MACD line (blue) is crossing above the signal line (orange), indicating early bullish momentum.
The histogram is also turning less negative, which suggests a potential reversal.
If buyers can hold above the current support zone (around $7.80 - $8.00), then an upside move could develop.
Key Accumulation Zones (Buy Areas)
Strong Accumulation Area: $7.50 - $8.00 (Highlighted demand zone).
Aggressive Entries: Around $8.00, with stop-loss below $7.50.
Safer Accumulation: If price retests $7.50 - $7.60 again and confirms buying pressure.
Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: $7.80 - $8.00 (current demand zone).
Next Major Support: $7.50 (in case of a deeper correction).
Resistance Levels (Profit Targets):
First target: $9.00 - $9.50 (Equilibrium Zone).
Second target: $10.50 - $11.00 (Previous supply area & resistance).
Major Resistance: $12.00 - $12.50 (End of the downtrend structure).
Conclusion
The price is at a potential reversal zone, but confirmation is needed.
Ideal Strategy: Accumulate in the $7.50 - $8.00 range with targets at $9.00 - $10.50, while keeping a stop below $7.50.
Breakout Confirmation: If price breaks above $9.00 with volume, it increases the probability of a sustained uptrend.
ADA | ALTS | Good Buy or WEAKNESS?ADA is one of a few altcoins that have not yet made a new ATH, or trading close to its previous ATH.
Considering Cardano is one of the "older" crypto's , you'd expect it to behave like the rest of the titans. But instead, when overlayed with the Solana chart we see a disappointing comparison:
Regardless of this, ADA trades in a range within a fairly reasonable timeframe, meaning it is ideal for short term profits (range trading). ADA can easily do + or - 30% in two weeks, ideal for swing traders.
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BINANCE:ADAUSDT