$HBAR Wave 4 finishing soon?CRYPTOCAP:HBAR Hedera appears to have completed wave 4 with the test of the High Volume Node support at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement.
Wave 5 has an expected target of the High Volume Node resistance at $0.4 before a larger retracement in wave 2 aligning with my summer pump august / September dump view.
Analysis is invalidated below $0.1933 at the 0.5 Fib retracement and will be updated to a wave 2 instead of 4.
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Alt-season
$FET local ending Diagonal and wave 2 near completion?NYSE:FET was rejected for the 4th time at the daily 200EMA! Each time the probability of a breakout increases.
I have adjusted the High Volume Nodes for accuracy.
Locally Fetch appears to have completed a motif wave up with an ending diagonal for wave 5. Wave 2 is expected to find support at the daily pivot and .618 Fibonacci retracement before attempting a breakout of the daily 200EMA once more.
A move below wave II will invalidate this analysis.
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$ETH Hit Our Targets and was rejectedCRYPTOCAP:ETH hit our signal take profit target at $3820 and was rejected at the High Volume Node EQ to the penny.
That appears to have completed wave 3 of this motif wave. Wave 4 has an expected target of the R2 daily pivot and 0.236-0.382 Fibonacci retracement, $3260 before continuing to the upside in wave 5 with a target of the all time high.
This aligns with my views of a significant pullback at the end of August and September which is typical after a summer rally.
No divergences yet in daily RSI.
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$AAVE Daily Hidden Bullish divergence?CRYPTOCAP:AAVE and alts begin their retracement Wednesday but is this a long term top or just local? Im betting we have a higher to go this summer..
Hidden daily bullish divergence is printing on RSI at the daily pivot and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement which should all act as strong support provided BTC doesn't dump.
The 'alt-coin golden pocket' Fibonacci retracement 0.786 sits at the descending daily 200EMA and High Volume Node support offering a secondary target for reversal and continued upside.
Losing this and closing below would flip me bearish until a new bullish signal emerges.
Safe trading.
$DOGE Flipping to Bullish Structure!CRYPTOCAP:DOGE is coming to life after a second test of the weekly 200EMA as support and about to make a higher high, cementing in that higher low and flipping the macro structure bullish!
If the count is correct wave 3 of (III) should be powerful! The weekly pivot should put up a challenge as the first resistance before the High Volume Node at $0.45
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$AVAX Ready to breakout!CRYPTOCAP:AVAX looks ready to pop.
High Volume Node resistance and daily 200EMA is clear and now support. We don't want to see price rejected and moving back below this area.
The R5 daily pivot is my first partial take profit $35-36 followed by the major resistance High Volume Node at $48
Daily RSI is overbought with unconfirmed bearish divergence so watch out for this but should be good to run in the mean time. BTC permitting...
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$XRP All time high! Time to sell or...?CRYPTOCAP:XRP appear to have completed wave 3 with a poke above all time high, typically this os behaviour of a wave 5.
The daily R5 pivot point has been breached so there is a significant chance of a decent pullback now but I wouldn't bet against the trend!
Wave 4 could be shallow, targeting the previous all time high, High Volume Node with waver 5 completing near $4.
Daily RSI is overbought but no bearish divergence yet which will likely emerge during wave 5.
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$HBAR Pull Back Started, What is the target?CRYPTOCAP:HBAR doing extremely well, the R5 daily pivot point has been hit and a pull back should be expected before continuation!
It appears wave 3 is now complete and wav4 i expected to pull back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement which adds confluence to the High Volume Node in the same place at $0.22 our previous take profit #2 target.
Daily RSI is overbought but no bearish divergence yet! Price behaviour can often pop above the swing high just made to trap new buyers before dumping hard! Watch out for that, that would be the bearish divergence print also.
The next take profit is $0.39
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$HBAR Weekly Pivot Time...In classic CRYPTOCAP:HBAR fashion what a powerful move this week! Moves like this leave me skeptical of continuation straight away as you often get a pretty decent pullback afterwards before the next leg up. However how many times have you seen a move like this that completely unwinds weeks later and goes lower?
Wave (3) looks truly underway after wave (2) tested the High Volume Node and 'Golden Pocket' 0.50.618 Fibonacci retracement as support on weekly bullish divergence from the RSI.
The weekly pivot is now resistance and it already proving itself. If price continues the all time high is next resistance and price has a weekly R5 pivot target of $1.2 while the Fibonacci extension targets have a minimum of $5.2..
Analysis is invalidated below $0.12
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$AAVE Macro outlook Grinding the PathCRYPTOCAP:AAVE continues to grind higher poking above the swing high which was rejected to test the weekly pivot and .382 Fibonacci retracement as support successfully. This was a shallow wave 2 so I am expecting a big thrust up in wave 3. However, the alternative count could suggest a wave is only completing now with wave 2 actually being wave (4) of 1, this would be the case if price falls back below $171.
Weekly RSI is still bullish with plenty of room to rise ahead of it. It printed a weekly bullish divergence at the wave II low and major support high volume node.
AAVE is definitely one too watch this cycle.
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$XRP Macro Tiangle Final Thrust ContinuationCRYPTOCAP:XRP completed a macro triangle pattern last year. Triangles proceed a terminal motif wave which already completed a wave 3.
Wave (3) of (5) is underway with a terminal target around $5.7 after price broke out of the pennant / wedge pattern.
Weekly RSI confirmed bullish divergence.
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$SUI Wave 3 to Continue with a Strong Weekly CloseCRYPTOCAP:SUI printed a great weekly candle that will be closing today above the weekly pivot point with RSI trying to flip bullishly.
Price found support at 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node.
Wave 4 penetrated wave 1 which we potentially have a ending or leading diagonal Elliot Wave count limiting the potential upside with my current terminal target being around $10-13. Wave 4 could also actually be another wave 2 which would give us ridiculous targets but this is my preferred count for now.
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$HBAR Shooting Up in Wave 3CRYPTOCAP:HBAR is flying off the High Volume Node and 0.5 Fibonacci retracement with Elliot wave 3 characteristics keeping the count alive.
Price is testing the weekly pivot point which should act as resistance for the time being but a break straight through will demonstrate a very bullish trend. Traders should be cautious about entering here.
RSI confirmed a weekly bullish divergence
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$ETH clear for an impulsive move to $3600?CRYPTOCAP:ETH has slowly but surely cleared resistance, with just the swing high to tackle which will activate another trade signal in my Trade Signals Substack.
Major support High Volume Node, daily pivot and daily 200 EMA proved tough support and demand continues to come in.
ETFs had an astonishing amount of inflows yesterday at $200M+
Analysis is invalidated below $2100
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$HBAR Resistance at daily 200EMA!CRYPTOCAP:HBAR analysis continues to play out but should consolidate for a while before moving to the next target at $0.22.
This area should be tough resistance as its the daily 200EMA and major High Volume Node resistance and R1 daily pivot.
The CRYPTOCAP:HBAR signal has now hit take profit #1 from my Trade Signals Substack posted last week.
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$SUI Big Breakout Happening?CRYPTOCAP:SUI is smashing above triple resistance: a major High Volume Node , daily 200EMA and the daily pivot. The signal I posted in my trading signals Substack is now live, and the HBAR one is about to hit take profit 1.
Target for this rally remains $4.2 High Volume Node near the swing high.
Analysis is invalidated below the daily pivot at $2.8
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$XRP Bias Change: Bullish Elliot Wave CountCRYPTOCAP:XRP is breaking out the descending resistance causing me to take another look at my WXYXZ corrective Eliot Wave count expecting lower. I have adjusted the count to WXY and a 1-2 new motif wave with a target of $3.8
Price is well above the daily 200EMA and daily pivot after testing both as support including the High Volume Node. Closing above the descending resistance today will be a bullish signal but a retest of that resistance as support before continuing onwards its what to look out for.
Analysis is invalidated below $1.8
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$SUI Gearing Up to Break Triple Resistance?CRYPTOCAP:SUI is consolidating under resistance which often leads to a breakthrough but can take some time.
Price is sat above the daily pivot after breaking the downward trend resistance, but still under the daily 200 EMA and High Volume Node resistance. A pop above $3.09 swing high would be a bullish signal to long towards a first target of $4.2 High Volume Node.
Analysis is invalidated with a move below $2.7, leaving heavy resistance still ahead.
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$FET Ready for the next move up?NYSE:FET looks ready for the next move up with a similar analysis to many other alts I have shared.
It is breaking out of descending resistance after testing the .618 Fibonacci retracement and High Volume Node (HVN) as support. Price broke above the daily pivot and is now swinging below, a recovery above the local swing high will be a bullish signal to go long with a wave 3 target of the R3 daily pivot and major resistance HVN at $1.13.
Analysis is invalidated below $0.54
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$AAVE Going Through a Major Bullish Trend Shift!CRYPTOCAP:AAVE continues to outperform on pumps and retracements this cycle after being beaten down for many years!
Price consolidated below the weekly pivot and found support, only retracing to the .618 Fibs.
Wave 3 of iii pf a new Elliot Motif Wave looks well underway with the next price target being the R1 weekly pivot High Volume Node at $448.
Long term outlooks is very bullish for AAVE with a terminal target of the R5 weekly pivot £1155
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Bitcoin Dominance Ascending Channel and Altseason (1W Log)CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has been in a clean uptrend inside an ascending channel for over 2 years.
• The midline has consistently acted as a magnet, but BTC.D has recently detached from it and might be headed for another retest of the upper boundary.
• Unless major macro catalysts intervene, I expect no notable changes until the 72-73% key area, the same zone that triggered 2021's altseason.
Regarding altseason, this cycle isn't like previous ones. With millions of tokens today, dilution is real, and a full-blown altseason where everything pumps seems unlikely.
Instead, I expect selective rotation into quality projects, and that might actually make it easier to find real outperformance.