XRP: SEC vs Ripple Case Closed -(Don't Get Your Hopes Up Though)The 4 Year war is over for the worlds most hated altcoin.
Judge Analysa Torres has ordered Ripple to pay $125 million in civil penalties and cease any further violations of securities laws, concluding the outstretched legal case against Ripple. This penalty is favorable for Ripple, given that the SEC had originally claimed a $2 billion fine.
Considering the XRP army is still fairly strong thanks to paid youtubers and Twitter/X shillers, I'm expecting a short term volatility and wicky price action similar to what happened the previous time Ripple announced an SEC victory.
Noteworthy that XRP has ALREADY gone through a pre-emptive pump, increasing nearly 50% BEFORE the official announcement, likely due to insider trading as is typical with these kinds of things.
The previous 24-hours saw a trading volume of around $1.68 billion, indicating that whales are moving and the biggest action is likely already over. The market capitalization of the altcoin is currently $29.5 billion, which is ridiculous considering there is no actual usecase for the alt after 12 years.
To be completely objective - this COULD change, IF Ripple could come up with an actual usecase for XRP that somehow burns the enormous supply . Unfortunately, up until this point, it has been used by the board members as a liquidity pool to fund their actual company (Ripple). I don't think it would be wise to trust them considering they have shown their true colors and misused the once promising coin as well as the community.
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BINANCE:XRPUSD CRYPTOCAP:XRP
ALT
SEI - Best BUY BACK Zones ApproachingSEI is an altcoin that I have high hopes for.
Unfortunately, SEI hasn't yet bottomed out and is still trading in a bearish trend, making lower highs and lower lows whilst the RSI is under 50 (THREE Bearish Signs, Short to Near term).
However, we have reason to believe that the end of the bearish cycle may be very close - and now it is time for re-accumulation. This is my favorite part of any cycle, since this is where you prepare for the next bullish impulse wave up and make sure that you don't miss the rally and/or get left behind.
I'm watching three zones for potential re-accumulation. Watch to see where the best places are to buy SEI.
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BINANCE:SEIUSDT
ALTS that will SURVIVE 2024 - and BEYONDIn today's post I'd like to invite you to add the alts YOU think will survive, and why. Add in the comment section!
Incase you missed yesterdays post...
I remember the good 'ol days, when the amount of options you had was limited to one hand.
First there was Bitcoin. Then came ETH, LTC, XRP and BCH (Bitcoin Cash). And a few other's later came like Bitcoin Gold and CRV. But oh man, were those the days. Crypto felt oddly "safer" back then, despite mt gox and pyramid schemes running rampant. Because today - the enemy is actually in the camp...
New alts are being released every hour (probably more) and it's just the one airdrop to the next rug. Lot's of progress has been made in this space which is blockchain, but we're still not really seeing the original promise of Bitcoin being fulfilled (fast and affordable cross border payments, ) amongst others.
Today, it has become close to impossible to separate the crop from the cream in terms of coin accumulation. If you bought BTC two years ago, or ETH, or LTC - you'd currently be in profit. However, some alts don't even exist for a month after release date never the less a year or more.
So let's talk about which altcoins I believe have a future FOR SURE. Remember that this is a highly debatable point; but I am going to point out the few that I believe will survive (at least past year and possibly beyond).
👉1) Bitcoin
Bitcoin is not an altcoin, it is the original crypto. The KING. The first commandment and promise of a fair, open and transparent future on the blockchain. BTC's price may be overvalued occasionally, but it will always have the benefit of being first. And with so many institutional investors, I think it's a safe play for the foreseeable future.
👉 2) Ethereum
King of the alts, first of it's kind. Ethereum is the world's first smart contract platforms which remains the most popular choice among developers even today. Following Bitcoin's decentralized concept, Ethereum has become a leader in smart contract platforms and dApps. Eth is here to stay.
👉 3) Solana
Competitor now to Ethereum, SOL has previously surpassed ETH (not in price). With over 95 million transactions daily, Solana has become the fastest blockchain and recently surpassed Ethereum in Total Economic Value. Many devs prefer Solana, and I believe it will stick around for the foreseeable future.
👉4) Dogecoin
I hate how dependent Doge is on Elon Musk. But, for some reason, Mr Musk has a fascination with Doge and has promised many times to include it as a payment option on X (formerly Twitter). Even though it seems like a pie in the sky, something like that would significantly increase the value of Doge. I don't see it as a "forever" coin, but definitely on the list.
I think a key point to note here, is that back then, they (the founders) were doing something revolutionary. They were and are the titans of the industry. Today, anyone with GPT can create a functioning alt that "serves a purpose" or has "fundamental use case" in some way. It's true that AI is revolutionary, and I am very bullish on the concept of AI and the promise of automation for human kind. But this far, it hasn't been profitable, yet.
OpenAI makes losses and cryptoai is just leveraging off the larger AI, or the concept thereof... Sure, there are privately trained models, but at the current moment it takes a tremendous amount of resources (time, money, physical space) to do DL or Machine Learning, which if OpenAI cant make profitable... then neither can the cryptoai created by john, steve and bob.
10 Other ALTS that will probably make it past this year:
1) Shiba Inu (because people love it)
2) XRP (because many can't let go)
3) Cardano (because it has a cult following)
4) BNB (Binance supporters maybe?)
5) Chainlink (because oddly enough it's survived for this long)
You wouldn't catch me dead holding those 5, but still - I do believe they will survive for some time still.
Now, coins that I will actually buy and hold:
6) Kaspa (potentially a revolutionary alt)
7) Render (potentially an ai winner)
8) Monero (still the best privacy coin)
9) Sei (potentially a revolutionary alt)
10) Aave (still the best for borrowing and lending)
Don't miss the message here - you can still TRADE altcoins. There are good trading opportunities
and setups even for the worst alts. I know this because we trade them daily. But this post is not about trading opportunities - it's about the future, potentially the far future. Who will likely survive and why. Alts that may be worth accumulating an that probably won't rug in a month's time.
I hope you can take it for what it is intended to be!
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ENA in an impulse?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Looks like an impulse may be coming in here.
Want to see a break of the low then a reversal back above it for at least a retrace of the larger degree.
LL first for this idea.
If it breaks up before breaking .256 will have to reconsider.
Trade Safe!
Trade Clarity!
TOTAL3 - Total Altcoin marketcap | Headed in the right direction
Altcoin marketcap is currently trading inside the channel and it's been inside the channel since 2024 with market cap reaching the peak in first quarter of 2024
Currently the marketcap is around the resistance line and expected to break out from the resistance zone.
we can expect a clear bullish confirmation after the price breaks the $750B barrier.
By the end of 2024 i'm expecting the altcoin marketcap to reach 1T
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GreenCrypto
My thoughts are giving me no peace with this ideaMy opinion is that the alt season will be very powerful like in 2017. But it will be so sudden. That no one will understand at first what happened. Why do I think so? I believe that Bitcoin will not grow any more. But in order for there to be fomo on the market, it is necessary to make people buy and buy again. It is necessary for big money. There are more details in my position, which I will attach below
DOGE - 120% Increase FIB Target (⊙_⊙)Dogecoin is looking bullish here for a couple of reasons:
1) Chart Pattern
Inverse Head and Shoulders in the Daily
2) Technical Indicator
"BUY" flash in the weekly
3) Trendline Analysis
Higher lows, consistently
If you've been following, you'll know I've been looking at a multi-month playout where we can expect another impulse wave up in Bitcoin as well as for altcoins, naturally. A few days ago I made a post on why I believe the corrective phase is over, and why we're likely in the beginning of the new impulse wave up. 👇
It's important to note that this impulse wave is potentially another multi month playout . But with patience, and courage, it can be a rewarding upcoming few months.
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KUCOIN:DOGEUSDT
OPUSDT - Altcoin with GOOD UPSIDE Potential (Wyckoff)Using the Wyckoff Method has always been my go-to strategy when looking for buy's. The theory behind it is that basically the market goes up, down, sideways, and up again etc. You can dive into more detail by taking a look at volume and trendlines, but for today's analysis we'll keep it simple and focus on the good upside potential for OP.
The above clearly shows an excellent Elliot Wave Theory playout - 5 impulse waves up and the following three corrective waves - indicating the bottom is close.
The above is classic Wyckoff Method Theory together with the emotions at each phase. OP, according to the above, is very close to bottoming out - in other words, a great place for accumulation. During the previous phase, the price increased over 400% over the course of a few months. If you have the patience, it can be a great increase.
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BINANCE:OPUSDT
ALTUSDT.1DThe ALT/USDT chart analysis presents a detailed view of the current market scenario, emphasizing various technical indicators and their implications on the potential market movements. Here's a thorough examination of the displayed data:
Trend Analysis:
The chart exhibits a general downtrend with the price currently at $0.1556, a slight increase by 1.43% from the previous session. The descending resistance line delineated on the chart suggests continued bearish sentiment, restricting any bullish momentum from sustaining.
Support and Resistance Levels:
R1 at $0.1161: This initial resistance level suggests a near-term target for any bullish reversal.
R2 at $0.3048 and R3 at $0.4534: These represent more substantial resistance levels, providing potential future targets should the price momentum shift significantly to the bullish side.
Key Support (S1) at $0.1161: Coinciding with R1, this level acts as a critical pivot area. Its role as both support and resistance emphasizes its importance in upcoming sessions.
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI at 28.31 indicates an oversold market condition. Typically, this suggests that the market might be due for a reversal or at least a temporary relief rally as sellers might have exhausted their momentum, and buyers could start to see value.
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):
The MACD line is marginally below the signal line and very close to zero in the histogram. This configuration implies weak momentum with a bearish bias but also suggests that the market is not experiencing strong downward pressure at the moment.
Volume Analysis:
While specific volume data isn't shown, volume is a critical factor in confirming any potential trend reversals or continuations. A pickup in volume alongside a price rise could confirm a bullish reversal, whereas low volume may indicate lack of conviction in the move.
Strategic Trading Advice:
Considering the oversold RSI and the current pricing near a critical support/resistance level (S1/R1 at $0.1161), traders might look for signs of stabilization or a bullish reversal pattern before entering long positions. If entering trades based on this level, setting tight stop-losses just below S1 could help manage risk, especially if the downtrend resumes.
If the price begins to rise, approaching R2, the strategy could shift towards capturing gains at higher resistance levels, particularly if accompanied by increasing volume, indicating a stronger bullish sentiment.
In conclusion, the ALT/USDT pair shows potential for a bullish reversal given the oversold conditions and the critical pivot at $0.1161. However, traders should remain cautious and look for confirmation in price action and volume to support any trading decisions. Always consider the broader market context and adjust strategies dynamically as conditions evolve.
XRP - Increase Possible after THIS LEVELXRP - it's possible that the bottom may be near, and we're going to use a technical indicator to look for the bottom.
It should be noted that I am NOT a fan of XRP BUT, I understand tat all coins are tradable despite whether or not I like them.
So let's dive into the SIGNS of the times:
Looking at the RSI below the chart, historically XRP bottoms are close when the RSI hit's the yellow line (34). It could trade lower for a few ore weeks to come, but ultimately this low RSI signals the bottom is either in or close.
It is also worth noting that the M-Pattern should be finished playing out, or close to finished:
Either way, if you MUST trade XRP, buy low and sell high. Bag holders gets burnt!
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BINANCE:XRPUSDT
SHIB Flashing a SELL (⊙_⊙)I've been bearish on SHIB since the failed pennant pattern:
We just got a "SELL" alert from the technical indicator in the weekly timeframe. The higher the timeframe, the more significant the pattern / alert.
Watch the BTC on what w need to see after a "SELL" alert to consider this situation turning ack to the upside:
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BINANCE:SHIBUSDT
ETH/BTC ratio signalizes 'Alt Season' soonMany see this ETH/BTC price ratio as the ignition for the Alt Season
Price is flerting with a long multi-year resistence, since 2021! A strong break out here will signal the so waited Alt Season, but first there must be a retest of the lowest purple line, the Beam Band bottom line
Also here, we are still waiting for a local bottom blue tag from Hodlfire indicator
As another indicator to watch is the bottom panel indicator, the Detornator C, as it is still red, almost crossing the zero line
So... 3 points of confirmation of Alt Season:
1- Retest of bottom Beam Band line
2- Hodlfire buy tag
3- Detonator C above zero line
What is interesting here, is that the upper Beam Band coincides with the target of the Cup & Handle formation when ETH/BTC price will reach a staggering 0.735 ETH for each BTC! If this ratio would be today, ETH price would be 45k!
Time will tell!
Solana - TWO Bearish IndicationsSolana has lost a longstanding trendline that acted as support since October 2023. The price has been unable to bounce back, and we're seeing a steep decline as bears are outweighing buyers:
A Technical Indicator (which I use mainly to determine trend swings from a macro perspective) has just flashed SELL in the weekly timeframe. Now based on previous instances, this took us MUCH lower. These alerts happen in real time when a certain conglomeration of parameters are met (based on Strength, Trend, Averages, Real Time) and so naturally, the higher the timeframe the better the result:
The only way we will be safeguarded against a steep incoming drop, is if the price can reclaim the green trendline in the Weekly Timeframe. From a candlestick analysis perspective, seeing Three White Soldiers in the daily could be a step in the right direction ( which is UP ).
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COINBASE:SOLUSD
BTC dominance is about to be rejected from the cycle topBTC Price Perspective:
As of now, the dominance of Bitcoin (BTC) in the crypto market is quite close to the cycle top at 56%. Based on previous trends and current market observations, I am anticipating this to reach around the 57-58% mark before experiencing a rejection, much like the last two cycles we've seen.
In the first cycle, BTC dominance was at its peak around 96%. Following this, it experienced a significant crash to 35% in 2017. Interestingly, it was during this period that BTC hit its all-time high price for that specific cycle.
In the subsequent cycle, a similar pattern was observed. The peak dominance for BTC was around 73%, and this was followed by a sharp fall back to 38% in 2021. This was the period when BTC reached a new all-time high.
ALT Coin Perspective:
Given these patterns and the cyclical nature of the crypto market, we expect to see a similar trend in this current cycle as well. We predict that BTC dominance will touch around 58%, before crashing back to the 40% range in 2025.
Furthermore, based on these projections and market analysis, we anticipate that BTC will hit a new all-time high in 2025. This is indeed positive news for altcoins. Historical data shows that whenever BTC dominance takes a hit, the alt season comes into play.
Therefore, with the 2025 bull run's alt season yet to start, we believe this presents a favorable opportunity to invest in altcoins.
Invest in ALTs now and HODL
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BTC/Bitcoin - 62K Before 72K ? Ascending Triangle PatternIt seems that BTC is forming an ascending triangle pattern. The price is currently moving towards the support zone, around 62K. If this support remains intact, we can anticipate the next target for the price to be in the 71K to 72K zone.
Considering the expected bull market after the recent bitcoin halving, it's highly probable that the support will hold, causing the price to rebound from the support zone.
If the support from the ascending triangle breaks, we could see the bitcoin price drop to the 60K zone.
We'll see how this develops. Stay tuned for more updates.
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What's next for altcoins ? TOTAL3 analysisAt present, the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 , which excludes the Bitcoin and Ethereum Marketcap, is navigating through a critical phase. 'total3' has now come into contact with its short-term support level, a zone that has repeatedly demonstrated its strength and sturdiness, having successfully held up multiple times in the past.
This support zone is of paramount importance for the performance of alt-coins. In order for these alt-coins to see an uptick in their values, this support needs to prove its strength once again and hold firm. Moreover, the total market cap needs to experience a bounce back from its current position in the 600B zone. If these conditions are met, it could potentially lead to a significant price boost for the major alt-coins in the market.
However, there's always the possibility that this support fails to hold up. In such a scenario, the ensuing support is situated around the 500B mark, which is also a robust support level. Should the total market cap hit this support level, we can anticipate a bounce back. But it's crucial to note that if this support level is indeed tested, it could lead to a considerable number of alt-coins losing their value.
As of now, it remains to be seen which of these scenarios will play out. Personally, I am hoping for a rebound from the current support around the 600B mark, as it would bode well for the state of the market and the alt-coins in particular.
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