BNB : NEW ATH !! What's NEXT FOR BNB ??BINANCE:BNBUSDT
Binance coin / BNB has recently made a new ATH 💥🚀 And the price doesn't seem to be ready to turn around just yet. How can we gauge the next possible targets AND retracements for BNB SHORT TERM?
1) Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Band Strategy is excellent to use on lower timeframes, especially when combined with Fibonacci zones. The yellow dot basis (20d Moving Averages) is a common zone to watch for retracements, as well as bounces. As long as the price is bullish, the basis will hold and act as support. The Fib lines up until the basis can be watches for bounce zones:
Notice that periods of contractions is followed by expansion - watch the upper red and purple lines for near term targets (price labels on the right).
2) Fibonacci
Trend based Fibonacci can be helpful to identify key zones that could likely act as resistance, for example:
If we can't close ABOVE the 2.618, we stand a risk to form a nasty M-Pattern, which could indicate the end of the bullish cycle.
3) Moving Averages
The price often corrects towards the moving averages in the daily timeframe. This could be a potential re-entry zone for a swing trade (not accumulation as the price is at the peak of the bullish cycle). Understand that you risk is HIGH if you're looking to buy here. If we lose the 50d (green trendline) that could mean the bullish cycle is coming to an end. You can see the bounce is slightly smaller every time it touches, indicating the end is potentially near:
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ALT
Let's hope ETHEREUM DOES NOT do THIS 😨BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Ethereum is looking bullish after a strong bounce and a successful retest of the support zone at 2800.
According to all Fibonacci logic, we SHOULD be hitting the 1.618 zone SOON. But we're not out of the woods just yet. There's a risk of a very bearish pattern forming IF we cannot close the daily ABOVE our previous resistance zone. This would form a nasty M-Pattern that could takes us back to 2800 and even lower.
Technical indicators are extremely bullish right now, but this does not guarantee that sellers aren't waiting for us around the corner at 4000.
Naturally, we can expect ETH to keep on following BTC closely over the next week. If Bitcoin makes another leg up, Ethereum will soon follow a day or two later.
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PEPE jump and hold? Elliott wave If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow!
All about the level.
It looks like a 3 wave move down, and up, atm.
Could count it to fit so other sideways variants.
But this would be the most dramatic.
All depends on if this is a Liq grab or continuation.
AERO, take off! Storm ahead. If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow!
Took off out of area of interest and headed up to the next area of interest for me.
Going to be watching HOW, the price action reacts around this level.
If the level breaks I need to see it hold above.
Arrows indicate the price action I want to see.
DOGE - $0.30 Next Target, Elliot Waves📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
Dogecoin was one of my TOP altcoins to watch for 2024. (Find the others here):
The DOGE fractal I've been following has played out extremely well, and so I will continue to follow this fractal:
Since we have now completed Elliot Wave 2-3, we are seeing the corrective phase of 3-4. This means we have yet another impulse wave upwards to look forward to after the correction is completed.
Fibonacci Ratio is useful to measure the target of a wave’s move within an Elliott Wave structure. Different waves in an Elliott Wave structure relates to one another with Fibonacci Ratio.
Fibonacci Ratio Relationship
• Wave 2 is 50%, 61.8%, 76.4%, or 85.4% of wave 1
• Wave 3 is 161.8%, 200%, 261.8%, or 323.6% of wave 1-2
• Wave 4 is 14.6%, 23.6%, or 38.2% of wave 3 but no more than 50%
• There are three different ways to measure wave 5. First, wave 5 is inverse 123.6 – 161.8% retracement of wave 4. Second, wave 5 is equal to wave 1. Third, wave 5 is 61.8% of wave 1-3
Therefore, if wave 3-4 does not retrace beyond wave 1 our next target price is around 0.33:
The GOOD NEWS though, is that this could very well be a small part of a MARO cycle. I've previously explained that Elliot Waves can be like branches of broccoli - each wave makes up a part of a smaller or bigger wave, including ABC corrective waves in each impulse wave, as demonstrated by the front page chart.
Previous DOGE idea where we first look at the fractal:
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT
BITCOIN CASH - To finally gain back some ground v #BTCBCH has been a one way trade since those heady post fork in 2017
But at this point time
there is an argument to be made in having a punt
u got a fairly low defined risk --- where u must exit and call it a loss
but there is upside potential , that suggests the risk may indeed be worth it.
Higher low ,
excellent pull back into a fib reload zone
gotta Risk it for the biscuit!
🔥 ALT Bullish Channel Signal: Patience!In this analysis I want to take a closer look at ALT and the bullish channel it appears to be trading in.
To maximize potential gains (and chances for a bullish reversal), I'm going to wait for the price to reach the bottom support. If BTC reverses in the near future it might be the case that the entry won't be hit, which is fine.
Entry is placed at 0.52 for now, but will be around the bottom support when it's reached.
ETH: BEGINNER FRIENDLY ✅ Methods for Predicting Ahead For those who have been following me here for the past three years, you'll know that I usually never miss an opportunity at a April Fool's prank. However, today's post is NOT one of them. Instead, I'm going to take a turn and do a post that may be of real value to many investors and speculators at this point in the market cycle.
We'll specifically use ETH for this example but these methods can be used across ALL MARKETS.
Understanding the crypto/stock/forex markets can feel like stepping into a vast ocean of numbers, trends, and predictions. As an investor, you might wonder which pricing information is truly crucial: is it the current price or the future selling price? Interestingly, many investors look beyond these immediate numbers and delve into historical pricing data to guide their decisions. But does recent pricing history actually provide reliable insight into future market movements?
Let's explore four perspectives on this topic and dive into the academic research supporting each viewpoint.
❕1. Momentum: Riding the Wave
Picture yourself on a surfboard catching a wave. Momentum in the stock market is somewhat similar - it's about riding the wave of market trends without fighting against them. Think of it as the market's way of saying, "Go with the flow!" Behavioral finance tells us that investors tend to flock towards rising stocks out of fear of missing out or driven by greed.
Academic studies, like the one by Narasimhan Jegadeesh and Sheridan Titman in 1993, suggest that stocks which have performed well in recent months are likely to continue outperforming in the short term. However, this momentum effect seems to reverse over longer periods, hinting at something called mean reversion.
❕2. Mean Reversion: Finding Balance
Experienced investors often preach the gospel of mean reversion - the idea that over time, markets tend to return to an average value. This phenomenon isn't limited to stocks; it can be observed in various economic indicators like GDP growth or interest rates. While some studies support mean reversion in certain datasets, it's not a universal truth. It might take years, even decades, for these subtle shifts to become apparent.
❕3. Wyckoff Method : Planning WAY ahead
The Wyckoff Method is a technical analysis approach to trading in financial markets, particularly stocks. Developed by Richard D. Wyckoff in the early 20th century, it focuses on understanding the intentions of large institutional players, such as smart money, through the analysis of price and volume.
The method emphasizes the principles of supply and demand dynamics, as well as market sentiment, to identify potential trends and trading opportunities. Traders using the Wyckoff Method typically study price charts, volume patterns, and market phases to make informed decisions about when to buy or sell securities. Overall, it aims to provide a framework for interpreting market activity and making more effective trading decisions.
ETH is clearly in profit release phase atm:
❕4. The Search for Value: Digging for Diamonds
Value investors are like treasure hunters scouring the market for undervalued gems. But this method also accounts for knowing when the price is over- or under valued at its current level.
Valuation Metrics include:
Market Capitalization (Market Cap): Compares a crypto's total value (price x circulating supply) to similar projects. A high Market Cap relative to peers might indicate overvaluation.
Network Value to Transaction (NVT) Ratio: Divides Market Cap by daily transaction volume. A high NVT suggests potential overvaluation, while a low NVT might hint at undervaluation.
Both ETH (436 at time of writing) and BTC (417 at time of writing) have a relatively high NVT ratio, which could be an indication of overvaluation.
❕Long-Term vs. Short-Term Investing:
Investors should consider their investment goals and time horizons when formulating strategies. Long-term investing typically involves buying and holding assets for an extended period, while short-term investing focuses on capitalizing on immediate market movements. Each approach has its advantages and risks, depending on individual circumstances and preferences.
The long and short of the matter here is buying low and selling high.
Two methods for TECHNICAL PRICE PREDICTION:
1) Fibonacci
Fibonacci can be helpful to speculate future price targets by using it on a macro scale:
2) Logarithmic Analysis
Find more information on ETH LOG here:
ALT Altimmune Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ALT Altimmune prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 9usd strike price at the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $2.22.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
ALT - Breakout from the resistance >|||<#ALT/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ The price of ALT is currently hovering around the resistance level, suggesting a potential breakout.
+ If the price manages to successfully breach the resistance level, it presents an opportunity to enter a long position.
+ I plan to initiate a long position once the breakout is confirmed.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 0.67159
Stop Loss: 0.5388
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Target 1: 0.7383
Target 2: 0.7950
Target 3: 0.8173
Target 4: 0.9928
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Timeframe: 4H
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading capital
Leverage: 5-10x
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
SOL - The FRACTAL you should WATCH📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
If you've been following me for a while, you'll know that SOLANA has been on the list of my top 20 altcoins to watch in 2024.
This particular fractal has played out extremely well, and we're about to move into the next phase of this fractal.
Here's the original post I made in January when I first starting watching this fractal:
From a technical indicator analysis, we can see that the price is still extremely bullish - but the RSI is running hot:
Note that this, again, confirms the need for a pullback/drop before considering the start of impulse wave 3 /pop.
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BINANCE:SOLUSDT COINBASE:SOLUSD
LINK - Swing Trade SPOT 📈📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
BTC had recently formed a new ATH, and we're a few weeks away from the BTC halving. I'm expecting corrections (highly overdue) across the markets up until the halving.
Chain-link still has huge upside potential:
But this post is specifically for the short term. I'm looking at a swing trade (spot) here because it is already a high-risk trade , and shorting when the macro is clearly bullish is VERY risky business .
Make sure you check out yesterday's update on BTC:
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COINBASE:LINKUSD BINANCE:LINKUSDT
Solana - IMPORTANT Support Zone will be TESTEDHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts
Solana is frequently trending due to steep fees of ETH. Even after a large increase, there is still great upside potential for the future. However, for the short term, a retets of a prominent support zone is likely after a near parabolic increase on SOL.
SOLUSDT is one of the altcoins I was watching for 2024 Altseason, as per previous posts in early January. ✅
👉 Technical Indicator SHORT TERM is overbought indicating a correction is overdue
👉 Support zone at $153 is critical to hold
👉 Daily candles need to keep closing ABOVE this zone to avoid a potential H&S pattern.
Overbought indicates a correction is overdue:
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KUCOIN:SOLUSDT
ADA - Be Ready for a SUDDEN PUMP📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
Fundamentally - I'm no fan of Cardano. In a certain sense it gives me XRP2.0 vibes, with the cult following community and all. Over-promise and under-deliver with youtube shillers is XRP style and raises red flags. Ultimately, I believe crypto is bigger than one person , and most definitely bigger than than one industry expert / founder. These are a few reasons as to why fundamentally, I'm not an ADA fan.
HOWEVER. As I've said many times before, any coin can and will be traded by whales. Herewith lies opportunity for retail traders, IF you manage to get a good entry. From a chart analysis, Cardano has broken out of accumulation phase by forming a clear bottom. We even start to see glimpses of a new bullish cycle starting as the price makes higher lows.
To the left from a weekly outlook, a wick to the purple 200d moving averages is possible. On the right, from a daily perspective, we'd like to see the turquoise 100d moving averages hold:
I believe it's possible for the price to continue increasing from here and I even believe a hard and sudden, random pump is possible (likely followed by a sudden dump). I'll be looking for increases 30% and 45% from here, as near term targets. Higher is possible, but I'll leave higher targets for a later post once we have actually achieved these price levels. You may need some patience though:
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KUCOIN:ADAUSDT COINBASE:ADAUSD
SHRAP is a AAA web3 game token on Avalanche. Nuff said. Shrapnel is a AAA web3 FPS building on an Avalanche subnet - Items and characters are NFTs, and they just launched $SHRAP, which will power the whole economy inside the game. They have industry veteran team (some of whom I've had the pleasure of interviewing) and they are based in the US, in Seattle. Oh yeah, and their version of "influencer marketing" is Arthur Hayes regularly shilling the project on twitter. I'm serious.
Since launch, SHRAP has been on an absolute tear. I'm doing some scalp trading, but will also be buying and holding spot because I believe this is just the beginning. The web3 gaming narrative is a strong one this cycle, and with EURONEXT:AVAX pumping to the moon, savvy traders will be buying the most promising projects on that chain. In that sense, SHRAP has both the gaming narrative and the alt L1 meta cycle working in its favor.
As for technicals, it seems to be printing a bull flag after briefly touching the .5 fib but getting bought right back up again. Bullish.
I've been following this project for over a year and all I can say is that I wish I trusted my own alpha. Time to put my money where my conviction is.
happy trades,
CD
HEART | HUMANS.AI Short Opportunity | +56% GAINHEART is looking a little dumpy on the 4HR chart and could breakdown lower. A descending triangle has formed for HEART, and if the resistance is broken, a trend reversal could lead us down to 0.15 .
If you enter a short position after ~-3% confirmed breakdown , then you could see a +56% gain if the pattern completes. I have also marked multiple support levels with dashed lines that may stop the pattern from breaking down all the way. These could be used as multiple take-profit levels on the way down.
It is crucial to wait for confirmation before entering a short or long position, or the pattern could be invalidated and you'll be at a loss.
DYOR and bring home those gains.
ETH - The ALTCOIN that CAN still x10🚀📉Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈
Ethereum has made an astonishing 6 consecutive green weekly candles. ETH is forever growing, with even more exiting developments on the horizon for this year. The Ethereum Foundation has announced the upcoming launch of the Dencun network upgrade on the Ethereum mainnet, following its successful activation on all testnets. Scheduled for March 13th , 2024, this upgrade mandates node operators and stakers to update their software.
With all of the development still happening mainly on ETH, I see a bright future for this altcoin as more adoption comes and market capitalization increases.
For the short term: From a technical indicator perspective and given how close we are to 4K, I think ETH increases a bit here before pullback, giving that often when we see "Overbought" in the weekly, there's usually a dip that follows the next weekly candle.
Make sure you check out this idea to get a better understanding of money-rotation between BTC and Alts:
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BITSTAMP:ETHUSD BINANCE:ETHUSDT
XTZ chasing ETHSOL stole all the hype among alt L1s early on this cycle, but I think XTZ will be a sleeper hit and it's already rallying hard, printing very bullish pattern on Weekly timeframe backed up by some nice increasing volume.
You might get more volatility from smaller caps, but we'll see some nice predictable advances from solid, established projects like Tezos.
As always, BTC is driving the car at this stage in the cycle.
Happy trades,
CD
🔥 ALTSEASON Nearly Here! Watch This Chart 🚨In this analysis I want to make an educated guess on when the next bull-market (read: altseason) will start using the Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) chart.
An uptrend in Bitcoin with a falling dominance would be the ideal case for alts.
As seen on the chart, the altseason previously started by a top in the BTC.D and a consecutive fall afterwards. My best guess would be that BTC.D will continue to rise until it hits the top diagonal resistance.
In other words, Bitcoin will likely outperform alts for the time being. Later, likely after the halving, alts will start outperforming Bitcoin for 6-12 months and lead to huge returns.
Share your thoughts 🙏
ADA Long Opportunity 30%+ BreakoutADA reaching the end of its falling wedge pattern and overdue for a break out. For weeks we have been downward consolidating and with strength back in the market and Ether setting up for a breakout as well I expect to see ADA breakout to last years highs. In December we touched the 0.67 - 0.68 range and I can see this set up putting us back there. Great Long opportunity if you have waited for an entry point.
ADA Long Opportunity 30%+ BreakoutADA reaching the end of its falling wedge pattern and overdue for a break out. For weeks we have been downward consolidating and with strength back in the market and Ether setting up for a breakout as well I expect to see ADA breakout to last years highs. In December we touched the 0.67 - 0.68 range and I can see this set up putting us back there. Great Long opportunity if you have waited for an entry point.