TAO SWING LONG IDEA I know everyone is fearful in the crypto market right now.
People are scared to buy at these lows because they believe Bitcoin will likely continue to decline. And yes, that could happen. But guess what?
BTC is sitting on daily support.
BTC dominance hit 60% and is possibly forming lower highs (check my BTC DOM analysis).
The Fear Index is at 54—people are scared.
Funding rates are extremely negative.
Most assets' RSI levels are oversold (in a bull market!).
All these factors tell me it’s the perfect time to open swing long positions while everyone else is panicking and selling their coins at the lows.
Let’s take TAO as an example:
We’ve hit a key SR level.
The election swing lows have been raided.
A 4H bullish HTF shift has occurred—this is my confirmation.
Entry: $455
SL: $355 (closing daily below)
TP: ATH - $750
Good luck! And remember: buy when they’re scared, and sell when they’re greedy.
-AS ALWAYS, MANAGE YOUR RISK-
Altcoin
Ethereum’s Resilience Amid Justin Sun’s $143M ETH Sell-OffEthereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, faces a challenging period as Tron's Justin Sun continues his massive ETH sell-off. Despite these bearish signals, Ethereum has managed to hold a critical support zone, maintaining market confidence. Let’s delve into the technical and fundamental aspects of the current ETH landscape.
Justin Sun’s ETH Selling Spree: A Bearish Catalyst
Justin Sun, the founder of Tron, has been systematically reducing his Ethereum holdings. Recent blockchain analytics reveal that Sun sold 39,999 ETH (worth $143 million) via Lido Finance and EtherFi, subsequently depositing the proceeds into HTX.
Since November 10, Sun has offloaded a total of 108,919 ETH, valued at $400 million, at an average price of $3,674. With 42,904 ETH ($139 million) still in the process of unstaking, more selling pressure could loom on the horizon.
These actions have amplified concerns among investors, with Ethereum experiencing a 17% dip after failing to breach the $4,000 resistance level. Analysts predict further downside potential, with prices possibly dropping below $3,000 before any significant recovery.
Ethereum’s Technical Outlook
- Price: $3,347.81 (up 2.13% intraday)
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): 40.88, indicating weak momentum but improving from a recent low of 35.
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): Stable, suggesting buying pressure has not fully diminished.
Ethereum is currently trading in a consolidation zone, showing resilience despite external pressures. Immediate support lies near the one-month low of $3,100, a critical level for maintaining bullish sentiment.
Resistance Levels
- Key Resistance: $3,700 (short-term breakout zone).
- Ultimate Resistance: $4,000 (bullish threshold for a sustained rally).
Breaking above $3,700 could signal a bullish reversal, while a move past $4,000 would reinforce Ethereum’s upward trajectory.
Bearish Factors
- Whale Activity: Continued sell-offs by major holders like Justin Sun.
- Market Sentiment: Bearish outlook fueled by Ethereum’s inability to hold $3,500 support.
Bullish Indicators
- Resilient Buyers: Recent buyers remain in profit, offering support to the market.
- Volume Analysis: Despite low weekend trading volume, the market has shown signs of consolidation.
Market Sentiment and Outlook
Ethereum’s price action reflects a market grappling with external pressures and internal resilience. While Sun’s sell-off has intensified bearish sentiment, Ethereum has managed to stabilize above critical support zones.
Short-Term Prediction
- If selling pressure persists: Ethereum may test $3,000 support.
- If bullish momentum builds: Breaking $3,700 could lead to a retest of the $4,000 level.
Conclusion
Ethereum remains at a pivotal point. While whale sell-offs, particularly from Justin Sun, pose challenges, the technical outlook shows signs of stability and potential recovery. For traders, monitoring key levels—$3,000 for support and $3,700-$4,000 for resistance—is crucial in navigating this volatile phase.
As the crypto market matures, Ethereum’s ability to weather external pressures will define its long-term value proposition. Stay informed and prepared for both opportunities and risks ahead.
Ethereum to 10KMy estimate is that Ethereum will drop more in the short term along with the altcoin market as a whole, towards some form of a liquidity sweep of the lows (yellow, because it is the next support area) before reclaiming the macro range eq (green). If this happens, I'd expect a consolidation near the range highs (Red), otherwise if it becomes an expedited recovery then we straight push all time high (very possible). This is ESPECIALLY expedited if we recover the EQ faster than this chart suggests.
This is not a chart to display my time-prediction, but rather the structure of price I would predict on a macro scale which could easily be translated into a weekly timeframe.
Question is, how low can we get involved for? I think we are short on time for that, as this prediction would give us traders more time than likely warranted. Remembering, we could be due for weeks of consolidation, therefore I personally DCA every chance I get; dollar cost average.
If you compare this chart to, say, Bitcoin in 2016, the similarities are surreal. This is a macro (long time frame) consolidation before a major, major , expansion, in my opinion.
Trade safely, trade wisely.
Vatsik
ATMUSDT: Potential for Movement and Key Demand ZoneI believe that Fan tokens could experience some significant movement in the near future. The demand zone I’ve identified looks promising and could act as a strong support area for a potential price reversal.
With growing interest in these tokens and market conditions aligning, this could be a key opportunity to watch. I’m keeping an eye on this demand zone for a potential entry point if the price reacts positively here.
Key Points:
Fan Tokens: Anticipating a possible surge in activity.
Demand Zone: A strong support area where price could reverse.
Watch For Entry: Looking for a reaction at this zone before considering entries.
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I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
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I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
CAKE SWING LONG IDEAI know everyone is fearful in the crypto market right now.
People are scared to buy at these lows because they believe Bitcoin will likely continue to decline. And yes, that could happen. But guess what?
BTC is sitting on daily support.
BTC dominance hit 60% and is possibly forming lower highs (check my BTC DOM analysis).
The Fear Index is at 54—people are scared.
Funding rates are extremely negative.
Most assets' RSI levels are oversold (in a bull market!).
All these factors tell me it’s the perfect time to open swing long positions while everyone else is panicking and selling their coins at the lows.
All these factors tell me it’s the perfect time to open swing long positions while everyone else is panicking and selling their coins at the lows.
Let’s look CAKE as an example:
Cake has currently hit the monthly and weekly demand zones. It has rejected the weekly demand and broken the 4H structure.
We’ve seen strong upside movement following this, confirming the second leg of the higher high formation on the 4H timeframe.
TARGETS:
TP1: $3.41
TP2: $4.02
TP3: $4.50
SL: Below $2.05 (daily close)
TOTAL CRYPTO BULLRUN END Q1 2025The total crypto market capitalization appears to be nearing its peak, as we are now in the final stages of the larger-degree Wave 5. Within this wave, we anticipate a corrective move in the smaller subwave 4 before the final push in subwave 5. This final leg of the larger Wave 5 is projected to drive the market cap to at least $4.5 trillion.
TOTAL3 - Altcoin Season DelayedCryptos are currently in correction mode, which could be a good time to accumulate.
TOTAL3 has an interesting setup, with the next relevant support at 765B-800B, which was the previous high in March 2024, and coincides with the daily SMMA (red line).
If we see a positive reaction in this area, we could at least retest the bearish trend line we have formed in the last few days.
I will update this idea as the setup develops.
Bitcoin technical analysis + trade planThe chart shows a clear falling wedge formation. This is a bullish reversal pattern that suggests a potential upward breakout.
Price is nearing the wedge's apex, indicating that a breakout might be imminent.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
$88,671.83 (near-term critical support)
$86,000.00 (strong psychological support)
Resistance Levels:
$95,497.11 (short-term resistance near breakout zone)
$108,329.96 (target resistance post-breakout)
Indicators:
VWMC Cipher B Divergences:
Bullish divergence appears on the indicator, aligning with the falling wedge's bullish potential.
RSI:
RSI is below 30, indicating oversold conditions, which often precede a rebound.
Money Flow Index (MFI):
MFI is oversold, suggesting incoming buying pressure.
Stochastic Oscillator:
Stochastic is in the oversold region (<20), showing high potential for a bullish reversal.
Market Sentiment:
Given the oversold indicators and bullish pattern, the market is primed for a potential upside movement. However, confirmation of the breakout is critical.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Enter long near the wedge's lower boundary (~$90,000), with a tight stop loss below $88,000.
Conservative Entry:
Wait for a breakout above the wedge's resistance (~$96,000) and enter after confirmation with a retest of the breakout level.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place stop-loss below the nearest support level:
Aggressive traders: $87,500
Conservative traders: $92,000 (post-breakout retest failure)
Profit Targets:
First Target: $108,329.96 (major resistance level post-breakout)
Second Target: $114,000 (psychological level, based on historical price action)
Risk Management:
Risk no more than 1-2% of your portfolio per trade.
Use position sizing to balance risk-to-reward ratios (minimum 1:3).
Monitoring
Volume: Ensure the breakout is accompanied by increased volume.
Candle Structure: A solid close above $96,000 validates the move.
Invalidation:
If the price falls below $88,000, the wedge pattern is invalidated, signaling further downside.
Alternative Scenario (Bearish):
If Bitcoin breaks below $86,000, expect a test of lower levels. Potential targets include $82,000 and $78,000.
Bitcoin is poised for a significant move. The falling wedge, oversold indicators, and strong support levels suggest an imminent bullish breakout. However, patience for confirmation is key to minimizing risk and maximizing gains. Adjust your strategy dynamically based on market conditions.
RENDER SWING LONG OPPORTUNITY - CRYPTO MARKETPrice is reaching to Price is approaching the monthly demand zone, aligning with a massive bearish trendline originating from Spring 2024. Additionally, there’s confluence with a key Fibonacci level. I anticipate a bounce from this area, potentially leading to new highs or even all-time highs.
As always, wait for lower time frame confirmations before initiating the idea.
$USUAL Token Surge 267% After Listing: What’s Driving the Rally?The cryptocurrency market witnessed a standout performer in $USUAL, which surged 267% after its listing on major exchanges, including Binance. This Ethereum-based altcoin soared from $0.35 to a peak of $1.28 within hours, showcasing significant investor interest. Let’s delve into the fundamental and technical factors fueling this impressive performance.
About $USUAL
$USUAL powers the Usual Protocol, a decentralized fiat stablecoin issuer with a unique governance structure. It integrates three tokens into its ecosystem:
1. USD0: A stablecoin fully backed by short-term, liquid, and risk-free assets, ensuring composability and transparency in DeFi.
2. USD0++: A liquid staking token that distributes rewards in $USUAL.
3. $USUAL: A governance token directly tied to protocol revenue, granting ownership and decision-making rights to its holders.
This innovative structure aligns user incentives and drives adoption of USD0, making $USUAL pivotal to the ecosystem’s growth. Its intrinsic value, derived from real cash flows, positions it as a game-changer in the DeFi landscape.
Fundamental Highlights
Listing Impact: The token’s debut on Binance, Bitget, and other prominent exchanges significantly boosted liquidity and visibility, propelling its price to an all-time high of $1.29.
Market Activity: With a 195.60% increase in trading volume, totaling $1.64 billion in the last 24 hours, $USUAL has captured the market’s attention.
Market Cap & FDV: At $552 million, $USUAL ranks #183 on CoinGecko, with a fully diluted valuation of $571 million.
Technical Analysis
The daily chart of $USUAL depicts the formation of a symmetrical triangle, a pattern often associated with potential breakout scenarios. A breakout above the triangle’s resistance could initiate another rally, targeting higher highs and reaffirming bullish sentiment.
Immediate support lies near $0.80, reflecting investor confidence in this price zone.
While the RSI IS not overbought, $USUAL’s momentum indicates strong buying interest, bolstered by its fundamentals and ecosystem utility.
Future Potential
$USUAL’s unique proposition as a governance token tied to real cash flows, combined with its stablecoin backing and staking mechanisms, positions it for sustained growth. However, traders should remain cautious, as breakout patterns may also lead to short-term corrections.
Conclusion
The $USUAL token is making waves with its robust performance, driven by a strong listing impact and innovative ecosystem fundamentals. As the DeFi space evolves, $USUAL’s decentralized approach to stablecoin governance and intrinsic value alignment could redefine the sector. Investors and traders should watch for a breakout from the symmetrical triangle for further bullish momentum.
BTC Dominance Chart - BITCOIN DOMINANCEBTC Dominance is the most important chart to follow to understand whether the crypto market is in an altcoin or Bitcoin season.
"We had a great projection regarding the Bitcoin Dominance bearish shift around the 60% level, and it played out perfectly. I’ve linked that projection to this post for reference.
Currently, Bitcoin Dominance is testing the weekly supply zone as a bearish retest. This aligns with the premium side of the Fibonacci, adding to my conviction that we’re likely to see a bearish reversal from here, forming a lower high. This lower high could potentially trigger another leg down in dominance, setting the stage for a strong altcoin season.
I expect this shift to happen very soon.
Are You Scared About Altcoins? Huge Pump Ahead!Hello, Skyrexians!
Recently we focused on Bitcoin and Dominance analysis because it's much more important than analyzing any particular altcoin. Growth on altcoins cannot be counted a right prediction without Bitcoin Dominance drop. Today we are going to look in details on the wave 5 of CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D which we have already considered in our previous analysis on the higher time frame.
Today let's take a look at the daily time frame inside the global wave 5. It has pumped in November and it was just the wave 1, which has been finished with the red dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
This wave 2 has the ABC shape and finally it touched 0.61 Fibonacci. Now it's forming the green dot and if this signal will be confirmed with daily candle close our scenario is likely to be valid. OTHERS.D is going to print the wave C which has the target between 16% and 20%. This is huge potential gains for all altcoins you have.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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KASPA - Poised for an Upward Trajectory (TA+TRADE PLAN)Technical Analysis of KASPA (KAS/USDT)
Falling Wedge Pattern:
The chart indicates a classic falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation. The price is approaching the breakout point where resistance has converged with support, as marked on the chart.
The breakout above the resistance line suggests a potential upward trend.
Volume Analysis:
A spike in trading volume near the breakout area confirms increased interest and possible momentum shift.
Momentum Indicators:
VWMCipher B Divergences: Displays bullish divergence, supporting a potential price increase.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At ~27, indicating oversold conditions. This signals a potential upward price movement as the asset appears undervalued.
Arty Money Flow Index (MFI): At ~24, indicating an oversold condition with possible accumulation.
Stochastic Oscillator: Oversold levels at 32.5, crossing upwards, indicating a buy signal.
Potential Targets:
Short-Term Target: $0.14 (breakout confirmation).
Mid-Term Target: $0.18 (previous resistance level).
Long-Term Target: $0.22–$0.24 (major resistance zone from earlier trends).
Risk Level:
Support at ~$0.12. A breakdown below this level invalidates the bullish thesis, making this a critical stop-loss level.
Trading Plan
Entry Points:
Initial Buy Zone: Enter near the breakout point (~$0.128-$0.132) to capitalize on bullish momentum.
Confirmation Entry: Add to the position once price closes above $0.14 with strong volume.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop-loss slightly below $0.12 (e.g., $0.118) to limit downside risk if the breakout fails.
Profit-Taking Strategy:
First Take-Profit (TP1): At $0.14 (~10% gain) to secure initial profits.
Second Take-Profit (TP2): At $0.18 (approximately 40% gain from entry).
Final Target (TP3): $0.22-$0.24 for long-term holders seeking maximum gains.
Position Sizing:
Allocate 2–5% of your portfolio, depending on your risk tolerance. Keep capital reserved for potential averaging down if needed.
Trailing Stop:
Implement a trailing stop once the price exceeds $0.18 to lock in profits while allowing room for further upward movement.
Risk Management:
Maintain a Risk-Reward Ratio of at least 1:3. Adjust trade size to manage risk effectively.
Monitoring:
Regularly check volume trends, RSI levels, and significant market news affecting KASPA.
Be cautious of overall cryptocurrency market sentiment, as broader trends often impact altcoins.
This falling wedge setup, combined with oversold indicators and volume confirmation, suggests KASPA is primed for a bullish breakout. Stick to the trading plan and employ disciplined risk management to maximize returns while minimizing potential losses.