BTC.D Capitulation Liquidation candle. Bitcoin's price hovers around $97,000 on Wednesday, following a 3.5% drop the day before. David Sacks, President Trump’s crypto czar, has announced plans to assess a Bitcoin Reserve. Meanwhile, traders on the Bitcoin CME are adopting a cautious stance, advising investors to steer clear of leverage at all costs. As uncertainty and volatility rise in the wake of Trump’s supportive crypto regulations, the potential for a Bitcoin reserve is emerging, yet the market remains turbulent due to tariffs and broader economic challenges.
Additionally, Bitcoin is bracing for fluctuations as FTX prepares to start repaying creditors on February 18. The beleaguered exchange, which filed for bankruptcy in November 2022 with debts estimated at $11.2 billion, is set to disburse payouts that could reach up to $16.5 billion. To facilitate this, FTX is actively selling assets and investments in tech companies. This development is pivotal for those impacted by the FTX collapse, sparking significant interest within the cryptocurrency community.
In 2018 and 2019, the BTC.D chart faced rejections from the 60% resistance zone during the bearish years that followed the explosive bull run of 2017.
Now, we find ourselves in a different scenario, with a retest happening in a bull run year post-halvening. While it’s too early to declare the end of the rally, the usual indicators for a BTC bull peak have yet to signal a positive trend.
From a technical standpoint, BTC.D has the potential to climb to 63.84% and possibly reach as high as 72.5%. This development could spell great news for Bitcoin while casting a shadow over the altcoin market.
This shift might be driven by consistent demand from ETFs and institutional investors for Bitcoin, leaving altcoins in the dust until later in the year.
However, some speculators believe that the recent liquidations over the weekend may have drained enough leverage, allowing altcoins to begin their recovery and, at long last, outshine Bitcoin. We await the unfolding drama with eager anticipation.
Altcoins
$LOFI Set for a 100% Surge Amidst Sui Blockchain’s Rapid GrowthSui Blockchain’s Meteoric Rise and Its Impact on $LOFI
The Sui blockchain has emerged as one of the most promising Layer-1 networks in 2024, earning the nickname “Solana Killer” due to its rapid adoption and superior transaction speeds. With a unique object-centric data model and the efficiency of the Move programming language, Sui is designed to handle large-scale decentralized applications seamlessly. The chain has outpaced major projects like Litecoin ( CRYPTOCAP:LTC ), Aptos ( AMEX:APT ), Chainlink ( CRYPTOCAP:LINK ), Cardano ( CRYPTOCAP:ADA ), and Polkadot ( CRYPTOCAP:DOT ), making it a major force in the crypto space.
As the ecosystem expands, Sui-native tokens have gained traction, and $LOFI has emerged as a top contender alongside CRYPTOCAP:PEPE on Sui and $BRETT.
What Makes $LOFI Stand Out?
Unlike many new blockchain projects, $LOFI has secured voluntary listings on major centralized exchanges, including MEXC, LBank, Poloniex, and KuCoin, boosting its exposure and liquidity. The project is built on the principles of community-driven development, accessibility, and decentralized finance (DeFi) innovation.
Analysis of $LOFI
At the core of $LOFI’s mission is its commitment to creating a thriving Web3 community by leveraging the scalability and efficiency of Sui blockchain. The project’s vision is clear:
- Content: Educate and inspire users through engaging digital narratives.
- Community: Foster cross-border connections among investors and enthusiasts.
- Collaboration: Form strategic partnerships to drive mainstream adoption.
Technical Analysis
Currently, $LOFI is trading at a market cap of $79,774,218. The token has been in a consolidation phase, moving below key Moving Averages (MAs) but showing signs of a potential breakout.
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): 54 (Moderate, signaling room for upward movement)
- Key Resistance Level: 1-month high
- Immediate Support Level: 78.6% Fibonacci retracement
- Bullish Pattern: Bullish engulfing candle, signaling momentum
If bullish momentum sustains, $LOFI could witness a 100% surge, retesting its previous 1-month high. However, in case of a pullback, breaking below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level could lead to further declines, potentially revisiting its January 28, 2024 low.
Volume and Liquidity Trends
One of the key aspects influencing $LOFI’s price is its trading volume, which has been in a gradual decline since December 11, 2024. Currently, daily trading volume sits at $13,562,591, reflecting a 41.60% drop in market activity over the past 24 hours. This lower volume presents a buying opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on reduced transaction activity before the next surge.
Historical Performance & Growth Potential
- All-Time High (ATH):$0.2503 (December 15, 2024)
Currently 68% lower than ATH.
- All-Time Low (ATL): $0.009318 (November 24, 2024)
Currently up 759.58% from ATL.
These figures indicate strong investor confidence in $LOFI, despite market fluctuations.
Final Thoughts
With Sui blockchain’s continued growth, $LOFI is well-positioned for a major breakout, provided it maintains technical support levels and gains volume momentum. The RSI, bullish engulfing pattern, and key support levels suggest potential upside, while the market cap and exchange listings reinforce long-term credibility.
For traders and investors, keeping an eye on volume trends, Fibonacci levels, and overall Sui ecosystem developments will be crucial in predicting $LOFI’s next major move.
As always, conduct your own research (DYOR) and manage risk accordingly in this volatile market.
Ethereum Selling ClimaxThis last, uniquely dramatic, move down smells like capitulation for the remaining sellers. It's pretty hard to find any moves similar to February 3rd (May 2021 or covid?). ETH/BTC is in the long term buy zone below 0.0348.
$2570 is the major support, though every attempt down panics below considerably. $3530 is the most near term minor resistance. Upon clearing that, $4373 (the current ATH resistance) is the big resistance to clear. Because of how low ETH/BTC went and the rarity of this sell off I would heavily bet this resistance will be cleared and is highly likely to be our next major support area.
Eth is always the last in the cycle to run, so hold steady, the eth bull market is starting.
Good luck!
The Altcoin Bloodbath Is Over — New Highs Ahead!Altcoins have likely found a bottom, with CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS rebounding off its channel support, aligning with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This confluence suggests a strong technical base, positioning the market for a move toward new highs at the channel top. If momentum follows through, altcoins could see a sustained recovery as liquidity returns to risk assets. 🚀
Bitcoin Dominance: Elliott Wave and Harmonics Combo (Part 2)MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN Dominance ( #BTC.D / CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) indeed started the rise I predicted back in late '22. CRYPTOCAP:BTC rose to the limits, exceeding the 100K Mark.
In #ElliottWave, this is Cycle Wave C (turquoise).
Primary Wave ① (white) completed, with the Corrective Primary Wave ②now in play.
The Correction will pave the way for Alt Season to commence, so the focus will shift to Alt Coins.
#Harmonics are showing #Cypher Patterns, a combo actually, on different degrees.
Bitcoin Dominance ( BTC.D ) Technical Analysis:
* Elliott Wave Impulse: Cycle C (turquoise)
* Harmonic Patterns: Bullish Cyphers
* 88.6% Fibonacci Retracement
* Break-Out with Divergence
* Leading Diagonal in Primary Wave ① (white)
Conclusion:
After a last rise, expecting MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN to top-out and start a Larger Correction.
Alt Season to start and deliver, based on #BTC losing ground.
After this, CRYPTOCAP:BTC to continue ruling, as the one and only #Cryptocurrency.
SOL updated analysisAfter the massive push up for SOL after the TRUMP coin caused huge volumes on SOL network, SOL has now come right back to support as seen on left chart where price reacted off the green vwap line and the green trendline.
The right chart shows how the 260usd blue line is major resistance. Price currently trying to reclaim the purple npoc.
So, now what?
Well, as a smart trader you always have 2 scenarios, up or down.
If SOL can reclaim the light green vwap line above price on left chart this could be a nice v shape recovery move playing out. 260usd is where we will know if bull run is resuming once SOL closes above this level.
If SOL loses the green vwap line below price then SOL could go as low as the next green vwap line at 154usd.
Smash that like button!
Bitcoin’s Next Big Move: Road to $118K?Hey Realistic Traders, Is BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bullish Outlook Over Yet?
Let’s dive into the analysis...
For nearly a month, BTC/USDT remained in a consolidation phase. However, on January 17, 2025, it successfully broke through resistance, signaling the beginning of a bullish phase.
Since then, the price has consistently traded above the EMA 200, reinforcing a strong uptrend.
On the H4 timeframe, a Falling Wedge Breakout has been confirmed, accompanied by a bullish MACD crossover, further supporting the likelihood of continued upward momentum.
Based on these technical factors, the price is projected to rise toward Target at 118,000, as long as it stays above the critical stop-loss level of Stop Loss 97,777.
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Bitcoin."
ATOM LongThis chart represents a long-term price action view of ATOM/USDT, showcasing the accumulation phase and a potential future bullish trend.
The current price action suggests that ATOM is in a period of accumulation around the $4.80 - $5.00 zone. The highlighted region in blue represents a potential area for price to push into, driven by buysid liquidity, with the expectation of a possible breakout towards the $17.20 target.
Key points:
Accumulation phase around the $4.80 - $5.00 range.
Potential bullish movement towards $17.20, driven by liquidity zones.
Key low as a critical support zone, protecting the downside.
Target levels around $17.20 for upside potential.
Always monitor the price action closely for any confirmation before executing a trade.
A personalized indicator for Alt SeasonThe behavior of this chart is such that the green line can only block the candles once and the trend line will definitely be broken on the second collision. If this is our assumption, we will notice that in the last few months this green line has been tested for an upward break, from where the price has been reversed. Now if we move towards this line this time, it is very likely and according to its history that this chart will break upwards and altcoins will be heavily pumped.
Others has completely bottomed out to December 2016 levelsIgnore the noise, what's happening is unprecedented.
You wanted an explosive altseason and Bitcoin to hit 1 million dollars?
Well, be careful what you wish for, this is not an alt season. It's the beginning of the end for the United States Dollar. It's escape velocity before a gigantic financial great reset around 2030.
Things are about to get extremely crazy for all financial assets against the dollar.
Why you may ask?
Donald Trump is performing a brexit 2.0.
He's nationalizing the US & this could collapse the dollar as a global reserve. So imagine witnessing a 1923 Weimar Republic scenario in the U.S.A as everything appreciates roaringly sky high & balloons against the dollar to trillions and trillions of dollars.
Some may call it an industrial revolution, others may call it hyperinflation.
We are probably underestimating how severe the whole tariffs war situation, the Bitcoin arms race, the AI arms race and a myriad of countries shifting from globalization to radical protectionism. What makes this scenario different is that back in 2017, the tariffs war was new. Now Trump is being radical and other countries won't follow his lead, they'll turn their backs on him as more and more countries become protectionist.
Ray Dalio has talked about this,
Kenichi Ohmae, Mike Maloney and many others too.
The dollar has peaked and everything is about to moon.
Welcome to the Roaring 20s
TAO DAILY For me there are two possible entries for TAO caused by the trade war situation in the US, so this is my take on the chart:
- Wicks get filled as a rule of thumb, so this capitulation wick that has reset all the progress made in Q4 2024. My preferred entry would be a sweep and reclaim of the wick as this coincides with range low and a bullish orderblock, an area of extreme support on the high timeframe.
- Another entry would be the breakout of the diagonal downtrend resistance, if this could coincide with the reclaim of the 0.25 line in the range that would add further confluence and a better R:R IMO.
For both entries the Midpoint would be a key S/R level and would be very high resistance.
Update the scenario for BTC.Dom - When might Altseason actually?Currently, BTC.Dom CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is following the second scenario I mentioned in my previous post. This is the only scenario I can think of right now.
According to this scenario, I predict that from now until Trump's inauguration, it will remain quite challenging for Altcoins.
To determine whether Altseason will occur, it’s best to wait until the beginning of February to make an informed decision about deploying capital.
The image below shows instances of the M-pattern , where the second peak is higher than the first, followed by significant **Altcoin growth** in previous seasons.
If this second scenario doesn’t play out, my concern is that BTC.Dom could return to the 70 region. In that case, Altcoins would be completely crushed, and I truly hope this worst-case scenario doesn’t happen. :(
03/02/25 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,485.24
Last weeks low: $100,995.99
Midpoint: $95,506.74
As the US begins a tariff trade war on the world, BTC ends the previous week with a weekend selloff back into the range low of $91,000. Despite the crypto world being everchanging this range low level has held strong for nearly 3 months now.
Because of this strong support level we have seen many weekly outlooks follow the pattern of an early break below weekly low, then reclaim and rally back up the range throughout the week. Could this be the case once again?
Currently sentiment is terrible, probably bear market levels of depression despite Bitcoin being above $100K most of the time. I think this is largely due to the state of altcoins as they are at pre-US election lows, in some cases bear market levels... This plays havoc mentally which so much was promised in terms of alt season potential now that Bitcoin is a new highs. In reality the market will do what hurts the most, max pain.
Having said that, generally a weekend dump can be misleading due to low volume and the absence
of institutional buying making any manipulated move much easier to pull off from a market makers point of view.
There are some nice 4H TF setups emerging, now the macro environment is definitely calling the shots in the Tradfi world but as long as the $91,000 holds the rangebound move is still in play.
First 2,725$ Then 4,958$My near term game plan.
Bullish Gartley and Fibonacci levels.
1. Target 2,725$
2. Target 4,958$
3. Target 6.227$
* What i share here is not an investment advice. Please do your own research before investing in any digital asset.
* Never take my personal opinions as investment advice, you may lose all your money.
BTC - 4H Key Support Zone & Potential ReversalBINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently at the bottom of a descending channel on the 4H timeframe, aligning with a key support level. Given the broader bullish trend on higher timeframes, this zone could provide a strong foundation for a rebound.
📊 Key Observations:
Descending Channel Support: Price is testing the lower boundary of the channel, historically acting as a reversal point.
Bullish Higher Timeframe Context: Despite the short-term downtrend, the macro trend remains bullish, increasing the probability of an upside reaction.
Potential Targets: If support holds, the first target would be the mid-channel zone (~$100K), followed by a move toward the upper boundary around $104K-$106K.
💡 Trading Plan:
1️⃣ Watch for bullish confirmation signals like a bounce with strong volume or bullish divergences.
2️⃣ If support fails, BTC could dip further before a stronger reaction—stay alert!
3️⃣ Higher timeframe traders may see this as a buy-the-dip opportunity in an overall bullish market.
🚀 The next move could be massive! Follow for real-time updates and expert analysis! 🔔
XLM Long following XRP StructureChart Comparison: XLM vs. XRP
On the left side of the chart, we have XLM/USDT, and on the right, we're comparing it with XRP/USDT. Both charts display a very similar structural pattern, with XRP showing a more advanced movement compared to XLM. It appears that XLM is currently lagging behind XRP but is likely to follow suit soon.
Given the similarity in price action and market behavior, I anticipate XLM will catch up, and I am expecting a move towards the marked target in the near future. If XLM continues to follow XRP's trajectory, we should see an upward move that aligns with the target zone.
Keep an eye on XLM for a potential breakout and move towards the target area marked in the chart.