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Altcoins

Expect Volatility for Altcoins: Key Levels to WatchTOTAL3 (Total Market Cap excluding BTC and ETH) is currently oscillating between $1 Trillion and $1.1 Trillion, presenting a tight range that traders are closely monitoring. Here’s what could happen next: 1. Range Rebound: A dip to $1 Trillion with a strong bullish rejection at this support could drive the market to test the top of the range at $1.1 Trillion. 2. Breakout Opportunity: A successful breakout above $1.1 Trillion would signal bullish momentum, potentially lifting Altcoin Market to $1.2 Trillion and marking the continuation of Altseason. 3. Bearish Scenario: Failing to hold the $1 Trillion support level would likely trigger short-term bearish sentiment, pushing Altcoin Market cap down by approximately 10%, targeting $0.9 Trillion.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by Trade-Lean
BTC DECEMBER FOMC Going into FOMC the consensus is we'll see a 25bps cut from the FED (95% chance), this would take interest rates from 4.75% to 4.5%. Because the expectation of a cut is so certain, we can assume that the markets have priced this in so baring any craziness in the form of a different result we should see market sentiment remain the same, bullish. A FED pause,(although unlikely according to data) would be very bearish in the the short term in terms of volatility. I would expect to see price revisit the $98-99K mark where the 4H 200EMA would roughly be. In a bullmarket the 4H 200EMA can be used as a great support level often bouncing off of it. For a 25bps cut which is the expected outcome, we have two paths IMO. The bullish path is consolidation under the ATH then a break above, retest and off we go towards $110,000. The bearish path is a loss of this key S/R level after a consolidation above support and break under with a confirmed retest of new resistance. I know it's typical "could go up, could go down", however it's the context that matters here. Alts have taken a back seat for the last week or so, BTC.D at a key level and a rejection off this level would mean alts can play catch-up while as BTC consolidates. We very rarely see BTC drop and altcoins pump so this is the most likely outcome to me baring no upsets in FOMC.
by ProR35
When is altcoin season?When examining the “ CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D ” 12-monthly chart, a clear pattern emerges for altcoin seasons. We observe three years of downward ▼ momentum and consolidation, followed by a year or more of upward ▲ momentum. This pattern could be attributed to market cycles and investor behavior, where extended periods of consolidation are followed by explosive growth. During the consolidation phase, prices stabilize, creating a base for future gains. Once market sentiment shifts, upward momentum takes over, often leading to significant price increases. In previous cycles, we noticed that the altcoin season typically starts after major market cycles. For example, the 2017 altcoin season followed the 2016 cycle, and the 2021 altcoin season followed the 2020 cycle. When zoomed in on the monthly chart, both the 2017 and 2021 altcoin seasons started in January. This consistent timing suggests that the next altcoin season could commence in January 2025. However, there has already been a bullish candle close in November, which could indicate a shift in the pattern. If December also closes bullish, we might see a two-month variance in the current cycle. By examining fractals from past cycles, we can attempt to predict where the current altcoin season might peak. The 2017 fractal indicates a duration of 151 days, with dominance potentially reaching 22% around May or June 2025. In contrast, the 2021 fractal suggests a longer cycle of 365 days, with dominance peaking at approximately 24.5% around December 2025 or January 2026. All charts 📈 indicate that the bottom is in, and all dips are opportunities for buying. Next year's growth looks incredibly promising. 🚀 What do you think? Will the 2024/2025 Altcoin cycle follow the same pattern, or will we see a deviation?
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.DLong
by azad.motala
ALTS aiming for an explosive rally.The Crypto Total Market Cap (excluding Bitcoin) has a red 1week candle last week after 5 straight green ones. This is the first consolidation that all Altcoin Cycles had in December-January months of Halving years, following the breakout over the mid Cycle bull flag. This is the time to buy heavily into altcoins. The expected cap for this Cycle is 11 Trillion, which is the 5.0 Fibonacci extension (2.0 Fibs lower than the previous Cycle, which in turn was 2.0 Fibs lower than the one before). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by TheCryptagon
2
Ripple's RLUSD Launch: A Catalyst for XRP's AscentRipple has launched its stablecoin, RLUSD, which has immediately spurred a notable increase in XRP's price. This launch not only marks Ripple's strategic expansion into the stablecoin arena but also positions XRP for potential new highs, catalyzed by both technical and fundamental advancements. Fundamental Impact: RLUSD's Design and Utility: RLUSD is designed to be fully backed by US dollar deposits, US government bonds, and other cash equivalents, ensuring stability akin to traditional currency. Monthly third-party audits further enhance its credibility and transparency, making it a trusted bridge between fiat and crypto. Its multi-chain support allows for broader adoption and integration, particularly in cross-border payments and DeFi applications. This aligns with Ripple's vision to improve the efficiency of global financial transactions, thereby directly benefiting the XRP ecosystem. Enhancing XRP's Ecosystem: The introduction of RLUSD is seen as a vote of confidence in CRYPTOCAP:XRP and the XRP Ledger (XRPL). By providing a stablecoin that complements CRYPTOCAP:XRP , Ripple aims to increase the liquidity and utility of CRYPTOCAP:XRP , potentially attracting more institutional investors wary of cryptocurrency volatility. The stablecoin's launch is expected to integrate more seamlessly into Ripple's existing payment solutions, enhancing both the XRP Ledger's utility and Ripple's service offerings. Regulatory Approval: RLUSD has received approval from the New York Department of Financial Services (NYDFS), adding a layer of regulatory compliance that could further legitimize Ripple's operations and XRP's use in broader financial systems. This approval is pivotal for Ripple's expansion in the regulated US market, a move that could set a precedent for other stablecoins. Technical Analysis Price Movement: Following the announcement and launch of RLUSD, CRYPTOCAP:XRP has seen a significant uptick, with its price jumping to $2.66, marking a 12.61% increase in the last 24 hours. This surge has pushed XRP past critical resistance levels, breaking a wedge pattern and setting sights on $2.65 and $2.91 as the next possible resistances. The high trading volume accompanying this price rise, up by over 100%, reflects strong market interest and confidence in XRP's direction. Overbought Conditions: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for$ XRP currently stands at 82, indicating an overbought market which suggests caution for short-term traders. However, for long-term holders, this surge from $0.69 to $2.698 in just two months underscores a robust bull market trend, potentially fuelled further by the RLUSD launch. The technical outlook, with the RLUSD news acting as a catalyst, suggests a trajectory towards $5 before Christmas, fueled by both the intrinsic value of the XRP Ledger and the new stablecoin's impact. Conclusion Ripple's strategic introduction of RLUSD is not just a step towards diversifying its offerings but a significant leap in enhancing the XRP ecosystem's robustness and utility. From a fundamental standpoint, RLUSD offers stability and regulatory compliance, which are pivotal for mainstream adoption in financial services. Technically, the stablecoin's launch has propelled XRP's value, with market indicators suggesting continued growth. As Ripple continues to navigate the complexities of crypto-finance integration, RLUSD and XRP together are poised to redefine how digital assets can be leveraged for global payments, potentially setting new benchmarks in the crypto industry before the year's end.
Long
by DEXWireNews
ALT COINs breaking the almost 2 year descending channelI made an interesting comparison between the TOTAL3 (ALT COIN Market Cap, i.e, excluding BTC and ETH) and the BTC Market Cap. As you can see this ratio just broke the 2 year descending channel with big volumes, projecting a 1:1 capitalization between the two. Heres are some key notes: The RSI and MACD bullish divergences also suggest a strong trend reversal. BTC Market Cap can easily reach 3 trillion dollars , the 2.618 fibonacci extension. This is a reasonable assumption since, in the last run, it reached the 4.236 extension quite fast. If both market caps should match - and my projection gets it's way - that means a 2 trillion dollars increase in the ALT COINs market capitalization (almost 3x) I've been accumulating on a couple of alts since the end of last year, and I hope now is the time to bring some returns on that. Stay safe!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by Zerkaalo
ALTSEASON This is why you shouldn't delay buying alts any more!Our last Altseason call was exactly two months ago (October 18, see chart below) which turned out to be the exact level that the new rally of the total crypto market cap (excluding top 10) started: As you can see, the current Cycle (2022 - 2025) displays incredible resemblances with the 2014 - 2017 period. Their Accumulation Phases during the transition from the Bear Cycle to the Bull are very similar, with the Pivot trend-line initially acting as Resistance and then turning into Support on the first Bull Flag formation. That was the pattern that pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, tested and held the 2W MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support, which was what gave us our accurate buy call 2 months ago. Even the RSI and MACD fractals between the two Cycles are identical, with the RSI bottoming on the exact same pattern and the MACD forming a Bearish-into-Bullish-Cross pattern while the market was forming the Bull Flag. Right now we've entered the Parabolic Rally phase (green Channel Up), where the market should continue to rise without major pull-backs towards the -1.5 Fibonacci extension level. Besides that level, what signaled the market top in January 2018 was the RSI forming a Triple Top and the MACD forming its 3rd Bearish Cross. Use those as additional indicators for exiting with huge profit. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by TradingShot
7
Phemex Analysis #44: VIRTUAL’s 6775% Surge and What's Next?In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency, one story stands out: the remarkable journey of VIRTUAL. Since its debut on the Phemex Perpetual USDT market, PHEMEX:VIRTUALUSDT.P has soared an astonishing 97%, climbing from $1.68 to $3.32. But this is just the tip of the iceberg; since its initial launch on February 15, 2024, it has skyrocketed a staggering 6775%, leaping from a mere $0.049 to its current price of $3.32. As we delve deeper into VIRTUAL's performance, a closer look at the technical analysis reveals intriguing patterns. The 4-hour chart shows that the price is forming a second top, accompanied by an RSI divergence—where the price reaches higher highs while the RSI remains stable. This divergence hints at a potential weakening of momentum, at least within this timeframe. On the fundamental side, VIRTUAL continues to shine brightly in a competitive landscape filled with formidable challengers like ELIZA Protocol (AI16Z), Alchemist AI, and MyShell.AI. Despite this fierce competition, VIRTUAL's innovative approach and unique offerings position it as a promising player in the AI Agents Protocol space. Potential Scenarios As we look ahead, we can envision several potential scenarios for VIRTUAL in the coming days, shaped by key support and resistance levels: 1. Continued Rise Should the price maintain its upward trajectory, it is likely to consolidate between $3.2 and $2.6 to build momentum before embarking on another climb. However, if it fails to do so, this rise may not hold. 2. Retrace then Rise After such significant gains over the past two months, a retracement to support levels seems probable before any further ascent. Key support levels at $2.56, $2.33, and $1.88 could provide excellent buying opportunities for those looking to capitalize on dips. 3. Reverse & Keep Dropping As with many narratives in the crypto world, we must acknowledge the possibility of a reversal once the initial excitement fades. If this occurs, prices could continue to decline—a scenario we’ve witnessed too often in this volatile market. Therefore, setting stop-loss orders is crucial for risk management, particularly if prices dip below $1.8 with high trading volume. Conclusion In conclusion, VIRTUAL's journey has been nothing short of extraordinary, marked by impressive growth and resilience in a competitive arena. As traders navigate this dynamic landscape, careful monitoring of technical indicators and market conditions will be vital. The scenarios outlined above serve as a roadmap for potential price movements ahead, underscoring the importance of strategic risk management in this thrilling yet unpredictable market environment. Tips: Elevate Your Trading Game with Phemex. Experience unparalleled flexibility with features like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time adjustments to strategy orders. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution. Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
by Phemex
Renzo (REZ)REZ Analysis 🔹 Overall Status: After an initial drop, REZ coin has been fluctuating within a range box (yellow zone) between 0.03070 - 0.05034 and has recently broken above the upper limit of the box, moving upwards. Currently, the price is pulling back to this broken range zone. 🔹 Key Levels: 1️⃣ Support Levels: Bottom of the range box: 0.033 - 0.030 0.618 Fibonacci retracement: Current potential support area 2️⃣ Resistance Levels: Daily resistance zone (red): 0.065 Bullish Targets: First Target: 0.17279 - 0.21604 (1 Fibonacci level) Second Target: 0.40065 - 0.50092 (1.618 Fibonacci level) Third Target: 2.09323 - 2.61712 (2.618 Fibonacci level) 🔹 RSI and Entry Signals: RSI is currently in an ascending channel on the daily timeframe and is at the bottom of the channel, suggesting potential support and continuation of the uptrend. A move of RSI into the overbought zone, along with a breakout of key resistances, could signal a stronger entry point. 🔹 Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Scenario: If the price stabilizes above the 0.065 daily resistance (red) with increasing trading volume, a move towards Fibonacci targets becomes more probable. ⚠️ Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to stabilize above resistance, a correction towards the range box bottom (0.033 - 0.030) could occur. 🔹 Trading Volume: Monitoring the increase in volume when breaking the daily resistance is crucial, as it could signal a sharp move. 🔹 Conclusion: Safe Entry: After price stabilizes above the red resistance zone with increased volume. Risky Entry Zones: Near the range box support levels and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. 📊 Confirmations: Breakout of daily resistance with high volume Support from RSI at the bottom of the ascending channel Reaction to Fibonacci levels 🔑 Recommendation: Always prioritize capital management. Set a stop-loss at the breakdown of the 0.030 support zone.
Long
by alizeynali69
16/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,649.88 Last weeks low: $94,177.33 Midpoint: $100,413.61 A new ATH for BTC last week as we saw $106K for the first time, truly amazing price action since the Trump election win. NASDAQ:MSTR , IBIT and other massive institutions are continuing to buy with more companies having rumoured to add BTC to their balance sheet, demand is strong and does not seem to be going away as we go into the end of the quarter/year. This week we have many different data releases from the UK, US & ECB. Naturally volatility is expected around these events, it also makes traders a little tentative to enter into trades, I would say this is more accurate during bear markets/ choppy conditions. Right now we're in a strong Bullrun and therefor the momentum is less news data driven and more a race for institutional buying, It's a given at this point that we're in a period of rate cuts and so that is factored into price. Altcoins have seen a recent pullback despite BTC pushing higher, this is as a result of the BTC.D chart tanking when alts took the liquidity from BTC profits and so dominance did see a correction. This latest BTC move up while alts are down is just a continuation of BTC.D continuing its surge as it always does in the Bullrun before the true altseason where alts outpace BTC after a blow-off top. This week I'd like to see BTC come through data events unscathed with altcoins bouncing off the 4H 200EMAs and starting the next leg up going into year end.
by ProR35
Wagyuswap ($WAGYU/USDT) MAX POTENTIAL PREDICTIONCurrent Situation: The Wagyuswap price currently sits at $0.0009969, indicating a significant decline from its historical all-time high (ATH). The technical chart shows clear historical price action where the market witnessed substantial upward momentum in the past. Volume remains moderate, which suggests liquidity but also reflects the cautious sentiment of current investors. Key Resistance Levels: $0.1326939 – Initial resistance. $0.3240766 – Strong psychological barrier. $1.3830605 – Key mid-term resistance. $2.7354979 – Previous ATH level, which marks the peak price potential. Maximum Price Potential: According to the chart and analysis, $3.0759730 is projected as a maximum possible surge in price ( 275,802% increase ). This aligns with the potential recovery to the previous all-time high and beyond, provided market sentiment turns hyper-bullish. Investment Prognosis (simulation): If you invest $1,000 today at the current price of $0.0009969 , and Wagyuswap reaches the maximum projected price of $3.0759730 , the calculation is as follows: Number of WAGYU Tokens Purchased (simulation): WAGYU Tokens= $0.0009969 * $1,000 ≈ 1,003,100 WAGYU Value at Maximum Potential: Future Value= 1,003,100 × 3.0759730 ≈ $3,086,000 Summary & Conclusion: Wagyuswap has significant upside potential if it manages to retest its previous ATH or surpass it, with a projected maximum target of $3.0759730. An investment of $1,000 today could theoretically yield over $3 million if Wagyuswap reaches this level. This prognosis represents a maximal price potential, requiring ideal market conditions, strong community hype, and significant trading momentum to materialize. While this analysis demonstrates the possibility of extraordinary returns, investors must exercise caution, as the crypto market is highly volatile, and such exponential gains come with substantial risks. This is not a financial advice. DYOR! It is just a simulation.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
VELAS is a true sleeping monster ATM (TA + TRADE PLAN)Trend Analysis Current Price: The price is hovering around 0.0117 USDT, which shows a small upward movement (+1.31%) in the current time frame (4-hour chart). Trendline: The chart shows a downward channel (red arrow) where the price has been moving lower. However, the price is now approaching a key support level and showing signs of potential reversal. Resistance Levels: The resistance level is marked by a horizontal red line, indicating significant selling pressure at around 0.0160 USDT. The price must break this resistance to signal a potential upward trend. Support Levels: A key support zone is located between 0.0100 USDT and 0.0132 USDT (marked with green), indicating that the price has been consolidating and could bounce back from this level. Indicators VMC Cipher B-Divergences: The indicator is showing divergences, suggesting potential reversal points, especially as the market is showing bullish divergence at lower price points. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 38.94, which indicates that the asset is in neutral or slightly oversold territory, suggesting that it could be poised for a bounce upwards if buying pressure increases. Art Money Flow Index: This indicator is currently low (around 23.60), suggesting that the money flow is weak. However, it is not in extreme oversold territory, which gives room for potential growth if momentum picks up. Stochastic Oscillator: The stochastic indicator is in oversold territory (around 35.39), signaling that a bullish reversal is possible if the trend picks up. Volume Analysis Volume: Current volume is 3.39K, which is relatively low but has been increasing recently. Higher volume during upward price movement would confirm the continuation of a bullish trend. Key Patterns & Signals Bullish Reversal Setup: The chart shows a potential bullish setup with increasing buying pressure near support. The presence of bullish divergences in the VMC Cipher and the RSI is an early indicator that the market could reverse to the upside. Breakout: The chart suggests that once the price breaks through the resistance level at 0.0160 USDT, it could accelerate towards the 0.0200 USDT level. Professional Trading Plan 1. Entry Points: Primary Entry: Wait for a clear breakout above the resistance zone (0.0160 USDT). A confirmation of this breakout on higher volume would present a strong entry signal. Secondary Entry: Enter near the support level around 0.0100–0.0130 USDT, particularly if there is a reversal candle pattern or other confirmation of bullish momentum. 2. Target Price Levels: Short-Term Target: 0.0180–0.0200 USDT as the next resistance zone after a successful breakout from the current resistance. Long-Term Target: 0.0280 USDT, assuming further strong upward momentum. 3. Stop-Loss Levels: Primary Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss at 0.0100 USDT (below the support zone) to limit downside risk in case of a breakdown. Tight Stop-Loss: For more conservative traders, place the stop-loss just below the immediate support zone near 0.0120 USDT. 4. Risk Management: Allocate a small portion of the portfolio per trade, and use appropriate position sizing based on risk tolerance. For example, 1–3% of the total portfolio per trade. Monitor volume spikes and price action for any signs of reversal or trend exhaustion. 5. Trade Monitoring: Regularly check the key technical indicators (RSI, Stochastic, Art Money Flow) for shifts in momentum. Be aware of any external news or market events that could impact Velas’ price action. The market for Velas (VLX) shows potential for a reversal upward, especially as it tests key support levels and the RSI enters neutral territory. The breakout above resistance would be the key confirmation for further bullish movement, and traders should be prepared for a possible rally towards 0.0200 USDT. Keep an eye on the trading volume and price action for confirmation.
Long
by elfabiiani
Compound (COMP) 🔢 COMP Analysis 🔹 Overall Status: The COMP coin, after following an ascending channel, successfully broke above the channel’s ceiling. At the PRZ zone (which includes the ascending channel ceiling and weekly resistance), selling pressure led to a price correction, pushing the price down to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. ✅ Key Point: Stabilizing above the PRZ zone can accelerate price growth toward Fibonacci targets. Trading volume in this area is crucial as it can provide stronger signals about the buyers' or sellers' dominance. 🔹 Support and Resistance Analysis: 1️⃣ Support Levels: First Support: 0.382 Fibonacci level around $79-$81. Second Support: 0.5 Fibonacci level around $68-$71. Third Support: 0.618 Fibonacci level near $60-$62. 2️⃣ Resistance Levels: PRZ Zone: Weekly resistance and broken ascending channel ceiling (around $92-$103). Bullish Targets: First Target: 1.618 Fibonacci level (already achieved). Second Target: 2.618 Fibonacci level near $300-$330. Third Target: 3.272 Fibonacci level around $500-$550. Final Target: 3.618 Fibonacci level near $720-$750. 🔹 Price Movement Prediction: 1️⃣ Bullish Scenario (if price stabilizes above PRZ): If the price stabilizes above $140 (PRZ zone), it may head toward the 2.618, 3.272, and 3.618 Fibonacci levels. Increased trading volume above PRZ will confirm buyers' dominance. 2️⃣ Bearish Scenario (if the correction continues): If the 0.382 Fibonacci level is broken, the price correction could extend to the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels. These levels could offer attractive opportunities for re-entry via laddered buying. 🔹 RSI and Entry Signals: The RSI indicator on the weekly timeframe is at 72.71 (overbought zone), indicating possible selling pressure. Positive Note: A bullish divergence between the price and RSI suggests the uptrend may resume after a correction. The ascending RSI trendline can act as support. ✅ Conclusion and Recommendations: 1️⃣ Key Levels: Supports: $79-$81 (0.382), $68-$71 (0.5), and $60-$62 (0.618 Fibonacci). Resistances: $130-$140 (PRZ) and higher targets at $300-$330, $500-$550, and $720-$750. 2️⃣ Entry Strategies: Laddered buying near 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci support levels if the correction continues. Entry after price stabilizes above the PRZ zone ($130) with rising trading volume. 3️⃣ Risk Management: Pay close attention to trading volume and price action near critical levels. Monitor the RSI indicator to assess trend strength and identify potential corrections or continued growth. 💡 Final Recommendation: In the current conditions, wait for technical confirmations (such as stabilization above resistance or corrections to lower levels) before entering. Prioritize capital management to minimize risks.
by alizeynali69
Variation of last chart but daily. Alt scenario guess from here This here is a variation of my last but just on the daily instead and another wishful thinking price scenario guess for the altcoins from here. Came up with this scenario guess by using an amalgamation of different ta principles i picked up here and there like described on last chart mixed with a little bit of just intuition guessing, moon cycle theories, and real world time events. Could be totally wrong, not an expert, just throwing my guess based on my level of knowledge, just in case it turns out to be spot on.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by BigDreem192